VoteClimate: Closest Two-Way Marginal Seats December 2019

Closest Two-Way Marginal Seats December 2019

There were 46 seats where the majority was smaller than 2.1% of the electorate at the December 2019 general election.

If VoteClimate can recruit one million members and they are distributed evenly across the UK, that's 2.1% of registered voters in each seat.

Which seats will have the narrowest majorities at the next election? see Predicted Closest Two-Way Marginal Seats.

Constituency Winner Second Votes Required
Fermanagh and South Tyrone Sinn Fein 21,986 UUP 21,929 57 0.08%
Bury North Conservative 21,660 Labour 21,555 105 0.15%
Bedford Labour 20,491 Conservative 20,346 145 0.20%
East Dunbartonshire SNP 19,672 Liberal Democrat 19,523 149 0.23%
Kensington Conservative 16,768 Labour 16,618 150 0.23%
Coventry North West Labour 20,918 Conservative 20,710 208 0.28%
Alyn and Deeside Labour 18,271 Conservative 18,058 213 0.34%
Dagenham and Rainham Labour 19,468 Conservative 19,175 293 0.41%
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross Liberal Democrat 11,705 SNP 11,501 204 0.43%
Bury South Conservative 22,034 Labour 21,632 402 0.53%
Bolton North East Conservative 19,759 Labour 19,381 378 0.56%
Coventry South Labour 19,544 Conservative 19,143 401 0.56%
Moray Conservative 22,112 SNP 21,599 513 0.72%
High Peak Conservative 24,844 Labour 24,254 590 0.79%
Weaver Vale Labour 22,772 Conservative 22,210 562 0.80%
Heywood and Middleton Conservative 20,453 Labour 19,790 663 0.83%
Carshalton and Wallington Conservative 20,822 Liberal Democrat 20,193 629 0.86%
Wimbledon Conservative 20,373 Liberal Democrat 19,745 628 0.92%
Gedling Conservative 22,718 Labour 22,039 679 0.95%
Sheffield, Hallam Labour 19,709 Liberal Democrat 18,997 712 0.98%
Gordon SNP 23,885 Conservative 23,066 819 1.03%
Warwick and Leamington Labour 23,718 Conservative 22,929 789 1.03%
Blyth Valley Conservative 17,440 Labour 16,728 712 1.11%
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Conservative 22,752 SNP 21,909 843 1.16%
Stoke-On-Trent Central Conservative 14,557 Labour 13,887 670 1.21%
Cheltenham Conservative 28,486 Liberal Democrat 27,505 981 1.21%
Wansbeck Labour 17,124 Conservative 16,310 814 1.29%
Winchester Conservative 28,430 Liberal Democrat 27,445 985 1.30%
Newport West Labour 18,977 Conservative 18,075 902 1.35%
Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford Labour 18,297 Conservative 17,021 1,276 1.51%
Chipping Barnet Conservative 25,745 Labour 24,533 1,212 1.52%
Stockton North Labour 17,728 Conservative 16,701 1,027 1.54%
North West Durham Conservative 19,990 Labour 18,846 1,144 1.59%
Delyn Conservative 16,756 Labour 15,891 865 1.59%
Hemsworth Labour 16,460 Conservative 15,280 1,180 1.60%
Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath SNP 16,568 Labour 15,325 1,243 1.71%
Bridgend Conservative 18,193 Labour 17,036 1,157 1.83%
Kingston upon Hull East Labour 12,713 Conservative 11,474 1,239 1.88%
Dewsbury Conservative 26,179 Labour 24,618 1,561 1.92%
Chingford and Woodford Green Conservative 23,481 Labour 22,219 1,262 1.93%
Wolverhampton South East Labour 15,522 Conservative 14,287 1,235 1.96%
Chesterfield Labour 18,171 Conservative 16,720 1,451 2.04%
South Down Sinn Fein 16,137 SDLP 14,517 1,620 2.05%
Oldham East and Saddleworth Labour 20,088 Conservative 18,589 1,499 2.08%
Warrington North Labour 20,611 Conservative 19,102 1,509 2.09%
Burnley Conservative 15,720 Labour 14,368 1,352 2.10%

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