VoteClimate's Forecast For The Next General Election

Based on the current opinion polls, we project that if a general election were held today the results would be as follows.

Labour: 105 seats short of a majority
Reform: 189 seats short of a majority

Predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 25.5% | Reform: 25% | Conservative: 22% | Liberal Democrat: 13% | Green: 8.8%

[Last updated: 17 February 2025]

List
Map

Here is the predicted result in each constituency:

Constituency	Predicted Winner
Aberafan Maesteg	Labour
Aberdeen North	SNP
Aberdeen South	SNP
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East	SNP
Airdrie and Shotts	SNP
Aldershot	Labour
Aldridge-Brownhills	Conservative
Alloa and Grangemouth	SNP
Altrincham and Sale West	Labour
Alyn and Deeside	Reform
Amber Valley	Reform
Angus and Perthshire Glens	SNP
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry	SNP
Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber	SNP
Arundel and South Downs	Conservative
Ashfield	Reform
Ashford	Reform
Ashton-under-Lyne	Reform
Aylesbury	Conservative
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock	SNP
Banbury	Conservative
Bangor Aberconwy	Reform
Barking	Labour
Barnsley North	Reform
Barnsley South	Reform
Barrow and Furness	Labour
Basildon and Billericay	Reform
Basingstoke	Labour
Bassetlaw	Reform
Bath	Liberal Democrat
Bathgate and Linlithgow	SNP
Battersea	Labour
Beaconsfield	Conservative
Beckenham and Penge	Labour
Bedford	Labour
Belfast East	DUP
Belfast North	Sinn Fein
Belfast South and Mid Down	SDLP
Belfast West	Sinn Fein
Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Labour
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	SNP
Bethnal Green and Stepney	Other
Beverley and Holderness	Conservative
Bexhill and Battle	Conservative
Bexleyheath and Crayford	Reform
Bicester and Woodstock	Liberal Democrat
Birkenhead	Labour
Birmingham Edgbaston	Labour
Birmingham Erdington	Reform
Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley	Labour
Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North	Reform
Birmingham Ladywood	Other
Birmingham Northfield	Reform
Birmingham Perry Barr	Other
Birmingham Selly Oak	Labour
Birmingham Yardley	Other
Bishop Auckland	Reform
Blackburn	Other
Blackley and Middleton South	Labour
Blackpool North and Fleetwood	Reform
Blackpool South	Reform
Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney	Labour
Blaydon and Consett	Labour
Blyth and Ashington	Reform
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton	Reform
Bolsover	Reform
Bolton North East	Reform
Bolton South and Walkden	Reform
Bolton West	Reform
Bootle	Labour
Boston and Skegness	Reform
Bournemouth East	Labour
Bournemouth West	Reform
Bracknell	Conservative
Bradford East	Other
Bradford South	Reform
Bradford West	Labour
Braintree	Reform
Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe	Liberal Democrat
Brent East	Labour
Brent West	Labour
Brentford and Isleworth	Labour
Brentwood and Ongar	Reform
Bridgend	Reform
Bridgwater	Reform
Bridlington and The Wolds	Reform
Brigg and Immingham	Reform
Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven	Labour
Brighton Pavilion	Green
Bristol Central	Green
Bristol East	Labour
Bristol North East	Labour
Bristol North West	Labour
Bristol South	Labour
Broadland and Fakenham	Conservative
Bromley and Biggin Hill	Conservative
Bromsgrove	Conservative
Broxbourne	Conservative
Broxtowe	Labour
Buckingham and Bletchley	Conservative
Burnley	Reform
Burton and Uttoxeter	Reform
Bury North	Labour
Bury South	Labour
Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket	Reform
Caerfyrddin	Plaid Cymru
Caerphilly	Reform
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross	Liberal Democrat
Calder Valley	Labour
Camborne and Redruth	Labour
Cambridge	Labour
Cannock Chase	Reform
Canterbury	Labour
Cardiff East	Labour
Cardiff North	Labour
Cardiff South and Penarth	Labour
Cardiff West	Labour
Carlisle	Reform
Carshalton and Wallington	Liberal Democrat
Castle Point	Reform
Central Ayrshire	SNP
Central Devon	Conservative
Central Suffolk and North Ipswich	Conservative
Ceredigion Preseli	Plaid Cymru
Chatham and Aylesford	Reform
Cheadle	Liberal Democrat
Chelmsford	Liberal Democrat
Chelsea and Fulham	Conservative
Cheltenham	Liberal Democrat
Chesham and Amersham	Liberal Democrat
Chester North and Neston	Labour
Chester South and Eddisbury	Conservative
Chesterfield	Labour
Chichester	Liberal Democrat
Chingford and Woodford Green	Conservative
Chippenham	Liberal Democrat
Chipping Barnet	Conservative
Chorley	Other
Christchurch	Conservative
Cities of London and Westminster	Conservative
City of Durham	Labour
Clacton	Reform
Clapham and Brixton Hill	Labour
Clwyd East	Labour
Clwyd North	Conservative
Coatbridge and Bellshill	SNP
Colchester	Labour
Colne Valley	Labour
Congleton	Conservative
Corby and East Northamptonshire	Labour
Coventry East	Labour
Coventry North West	Labour
Coventry South	Labour
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy	SNP
Cramlington and Killingworth	Labour
Crawley	Reform
Crewe and Nantwich	Labour
Croydon East	Labour
Croydon South	Conservative
Croydon West	Labour
Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch	SNP
Dagenham and Rainham	Reform
Darlington	Conservative
Dartford	Reform
Daventry	Conservative
Derby North	Labour
Derby South	Reform
Derbyshire Dales	Conservative
Dewsbury and Batley	Other
Didcot and Wantage	Liberal Democrat
Doncaster Central	Labour
Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme	Reform
Doncaster North	Labour
Dorking and Horley	Liberal Democrat
Dover and Deal	Reform
Droitwich and Evesham	Conservative
Dudley	Reform
Dulwich and West Norwood	Labour
Dumfries and Galloway	SNP
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	SNP
Dundee Central	SNP
Dunfermline and Dollar	SNP
Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard	Conservative
Dwyfor Meirionnydd	Plaid Cymru
Ealing Central and Acton	Labour
Ealing North	Labour
Ealing Southall	Labour
Earley and Woodley	Conservative
Easington	Reform
East Antrim	DUP
East Grinstead and Uckfield	Conservative
East Ham	Labour
East Hampshire	Liberal Democrat
East Kilbride and Strathaven	SNP
East Londonderry	DUP
East Renfrewshire	SNP
East Surrey	Conservative
East Thanet	Reform
East Wiltshire	Conservative
East Worthing and Shoreham	Labour
Eastbourne	Liberal Democrat
Eastleigh	Liberal Democrat
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh	SNP
Edinburgh North and Leith	SNP
Edinburgh South	Labour
Edinburgh South West	SNP
Edinburgh West	Liberal Democrat
Edmonton and Winchmore Hill	Labour
Ellesmere Port and Bromborough	Labour
Eltham and Chislehurst	Labour
Ely and East Cambridgeshire	Liberal Democrat
Enfield North	Labour
Epping Forest	Conservative
Epsom and Ewell	Liberal Democrat
Erewash	Reform
Erith and Thamesmead	Labour
Esher and Walton	Liberal Democrat
Exeter	Labour
Exmouth and Exeter East	Conservative
Falkirk	SNP
Fareham and Waterlooville	Conservative
Farnham and Bordon	Liberal Democrat
Faversham and Mid Kent	Reform
Feltham and Heston	Labour
Fermanagh and South Tyrone	Sinn Fein
Filton and Bradley Stoke	Labour
Finchley and Golders Green	Labour
Folkestone and Hythe	Reform
Forest of Dean	Conservative
Foyle	SDLP
Frome and East Somerset	Liberal Democrat
Fylde	Conservative
Gainsborough	Conservative
Gateshead Central and Whickham	Labour
Gedling	Labour
Gillingham and Rainham	Reform
Glasgow East	SNP
Glasgow North	SNP
Glasgow North East	SNP
Glasgow South	SNP
Glasgow South West	SNP
Glasgow West	SNP
Glastonbury and Somerton	Liberal Democrat
Glenrothes and Mid Fife	SNP
Gloucester	Labour
Godalming and Ash	Liberal Democrat
Goole and Pocklington	Conservative
Gordon and Buchan	SNP
Gorton and Denton	Labour
Gosport	Conservative
Gower	Labour
Grantham and Bourne	Conservative
Gravesham	Reform
Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes	Reform
Great Yarmouth	Reform
Greenwich and Woolwich	Labour
Guildford	Liberal Democrat
Hackney North and Stoke Newington	Labour
Hackney South and Shoreditch	Labour
Halesowen	Reform
Halifax	Reform
Hamble Valley	Conservative
Hamilton and Clyde Valley	SNP
Hammersmith and Chiswick	Labour
Hampstead and Highgate	Labour
Harborough, Oadby and Wigston	Conservative
Harlow	Reform
Harpenden and Berkhamsted	Liberal Democrat
Harrogate and Knaresborough	Liberal Democrat
Harrow East	Conservative
Harrow West	Labour
Hartlepool	Reform
Harwich and North Essex	Conservative
Hastings and Rye	Labour
Havant	Reform
Hayes and Harlington	Labour
Hazel Grove	Liberal Democrat
Hemel Hempstead	Labour
Hendon	Conservative
Henley and Thame	Liberal Democrat
Hereford and South Herefordshire	Conservative
Herne Bay and Sandwich	Reform
Hertford and Stortford	Labour
Hertsmere	Conservative
Hexham	Conservative
Heywood and Middleton North	Reform
High Peak	Labour
Hinckley and Bosworth	Conservative
Hitchin	Labour
Holborn and St Pancras	Labour
Honiton and Sidmouth	Liberal Democrat
Hornchurch and Upminster	Reform
Hornsey and Friern Barnet	Labour
Horsham	Liberal Democrat
Houghton and Sunderland South	Reform
Hove and Portslade	Labour
Huddersfield	Green
Huntingdon	Conservative
Hyndburn	Reform
Ilford North	Other
Ilford South	Labour
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West	SNP
Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire	SNP
Ipswich	Labour
Isle of Wight East	Reform
Isle of Wight West	Labour
Islington North	Other
Islington South and Finsbury	Labour
Jarrow and Gateshead East	Labour
Keighley and Ilkley	Conservative
Kenilworth and Southam	Conservative
Kensington and Bayswater	Conservative
Kettering	Reform
Kilmarnock and Loudoun	SNP
Kingston and Surbiton	Liberal Democrat
Kingston upon Hull East	Reform
Kingston upon Hull North and Cottingham	Labour
Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice	Labour
Kingswinford and South Staffordshire	Conservative
Knowsley	Labour
Lagan Valley	Alliance
Lancaster and Wyre	Labour
Leeds Central and Headingley	Labour
Leeds East	Labour
Leeds North East	Labour
Leeds North West	Labour
Leeds South	Labour
Leeds South West and Morley	Labour
Leeds West and Pudsey	Labour
Leicester East	Conservative
Leicester South	Other
Leicester West	Labour
Leigh and Atherton	Reform
Lewes	Liberal Democrat
Lewisham East	Labour
Lewisham North	Labour
Lewisham West and East Dulwich	Labour
Leyton and Wanstead	Labour
Lichfield	Conservative
Lincoln	Labour
Liverpool Garston	Labour
Liverpool Riverside	Labour
Liverpool Walton	Labour
Liverpool Wavertree	Labour
Liverpool West Derby	Labour
Livingston	SNP
Llanelli	Reform
Lothian East	SNP
Loughborough	Labour
Louth and Horncastle	Reform
Lowestoft	Reform
Luton North	Labour
Luton South and South Bedfordshire	Labour
Macclesfield	Labour
Maidenhead	Liberal Democrat
Maidstone and Malling	Reform
Makerfield	Reform
Maldon	Reform
Manchester Central	Labour
Manchester Rusholme	Labour
Manchester Withington	Labour
Mansfield	Reform
Melksham and Devizes	Liberal Democrat
Melton and Syston	Conservative
Meriden and Solihull East	Conservative
Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare	Reform
Mid and South Pembrokeshire	Conservative
Mid Bedfordshire	Conservative
Mid Buckinghamshire	Conservative
Mid Cheshire	Labour
Mid Derbyshire	Conservative
Mid Dorset and North Poole	Liberal Democrat
Mid Dunbartonshire	Liberal Democrat
Mid Leicestershire	Conservative
Mid Norfolk	Conservative
Mid Sussex	Liberal Democrat
Mid Ulster	Sinn Fein
Middlesbrough and Thornaby East	Labour
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland	Conservative
Midlothian	SNP
Milton Keynes Central	Labour
Milton Keynes North	Labour
Mitcham and Morden	Labour
Monmouthshire	Conservative
Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr	Reform
Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey	SNP
Morecambe and Lunesdale	Labour
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke	SNP
Na h-Eileanan an Iar	SNP
Neath and Swansea East	Reform
New Forest East	Conservative
New Forest West	Conservative
Newark	Conservative
Newbury	Liberal Democrat
Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West	Labour
Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend	Labour
Newcastle upon Tyne North	Labour
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Reform
Newport East	Labour
Newport West and Islwyn	Reform
Newry and Armagh	Sinn Fein
Newton Abbot	Liberal Democrat
Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor	Reform
Normanton and Hemsworth	Reform
North Antrim	Other
North Ayrshire and Arran	SNP
North Bedfordshire	Conservative
North Cornwall	Liberal Democrat
North Cotswolds	Conservative
North Devon	Liberal Democrat
North Dorset	Liberal Democrat
North Down	Other
North Durham	Reform
North East Cambridgeshire	Conservative
North East Derbyshire	Conservative
North East Fife	Liberal Democrat
North East Hampshire	Liberal Democrat
North East Hertfordshire	Conservative
North East Somerset and Hanham	Labour
North Herefordshire	Green
North Norfolk	Liberal Democrat
North Northumberland	Labour
North Shropshire	Liberal Democrat
North Somerset	Conservative
North Warwickshire and Bedworth	Reform
North West Cambridgeshire	Reform
North West Essex	Conservative
North West Hampshire	Conservative
North West Leicestershire	Reform
North West Norfolk	Conservative
Northampton North	Labour
Northampton South	Reform
Norwich North	Labour
Norwich South	Labour
Nottingham East	Labour
Nottingham North and Kimberley	Labour
Nottingham South	Labour
Nuneaton	Reform
Old Bexley and Sidcup	Conservative
Oldham East and Saddleworth	Reform
Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton	Other
Orkney and Shetland	Liberal Democrat
Orpington	Conservative
Ossett and Denby Dale	Reform
Oxford East	Labour
Oxford West and Abingdon	Liberal Democrat
Paisley and Renfrewshire North	SNP
Paisley and Renfrewshire South	SNP
Peckham	Labour
Pendle and Clitheroe	Conservative
Penistone and Stocksbridge	Labour
Penrith and Solway	Labour
Perth and Kinross-shire	SNP
Peterborough	Conservative
Plymouth Moor View	Reform
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	Labour
Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley	Reform
Pontypridd	Labour
Poole	Conservative
Poplar and Limehouse	Labour
Portsmouth North	Reform
Portsmouth South	Labour
Preston	Other
Putney	Labour
Queen's Park and Maida Vale	Labour
Rawmarsh and Conisbrough	Reform
Rayleigh and Wickford	Reform
Reading Central	Labour
Reading West and Mid Berkshire	Conservative
Redcar	Labour
Redditch	Reform
Reigate	Conservative
Rhondda and Ogmore	Reform
Ribble Valley	Conservative
Richmond and Northallerton	Conservative
Richmond Park	Liberal Democrat
Rochdale	Other
Rochester and Strood	Reform
Romford	Reform
Romsey and Southampton North	Conservative
Rossendale and Darwen	Reform
Rother Valley	Conservative
Rotherham	Reform
Rugby	Labour
Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner	Conservative
Runcorn and Helsby	Labour
Runnymede and Weybridge	Conservative
Rushcliffe	Labour
Rutherglen	SNP
Rutland and Stamford	Conservative
Salford	Labour
Salisbury	Conservative
Scarborough and Whitby	Reform
Scunthorpe	Reform
Sefton Central	Labour
Selby	Labour
Sevenoaks	Conservative
Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough	Labour
Sheffield Central	Labour
Sheffield Hallam	Labour
Sheffield Heeley	Labour
Sheffield South East	Labour
Sherwood Forest	Reform
Shipley	Labour
Shrewsbury	Labour
Sittingbourne and Sheppey	Reform
Skipton and Ripon	Conservative
Sleaford and North Hykeham	Conservative
Slough	Other
Smethwick	Labour
Solihull West and Shirley	Conservative
South Antrim	UUP
South Basildon and East Thurrock	Reform
South Cambridgeshire	Liberal Democrat
South Cotswolds	Liberal Democrat
South Derbyshire	Reform
South Devon	Liberal Democrat
South Dorset	Reform
South Down	Sinn Fein
South East Cornwall	Reform
South Holland and The Deepings	Conservative
South Leicestershire	Conservative
South Norfolk	Conservative
South Northamptonshire	Conservative
South Ribble	Labour
South Shields	Reform
South Shropshire	Liberal Democrat
South Suffolk	Conservative
South West Devon	Conservative
South West Hertfordshire	Conservative
South West Norfolk	Reform
South West Wiltshire	Conservative
Southampton Itchen	Labour
Southampton Test	Labour
Southend East and Rochford	Labour
Southend West and Leigh	Conservative
Southgate and Wood Green	Labour
Southport	Labour
Spelthorne	Reform
Spen Valley	Reform
St Albans	Liberal Democrat
St Austell and Newquay	Reform
St Helens North	Labour
St Helens South and Whiston	Labour
St Ives	Liberal Democrat
St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire	Liberal Democrat
Stafford	Labour
Staffordshire Moorlands	Reform
Stalybridge and Hyde	Labour
Stevenage	Labour
Stirling and Strathallan	SNP
Stockport	Labour
Stockton North	Reform
Stockton West	Conservative
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Reform
Stoke-on-Trent North	Reform
Stoke-on-Trent South	Reform
Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge	Conservative
Stourbridge	Reform
Strangford	DUP
Stratford and Bow	Labour
Stratford-on-Avon	Liberal Democrat
Streatham and Croydon North	Labour
Stretford and Urmston	Labour
Stroud	Labour
Suffolk Coastal	Conservative
Sunderland Central	Reform
Surrey Heath	Liberal Democrat
Sussex Weald	Conservative
Sutton and Cheam	Liberal Democrat
Sutton Coldfield	Conservative
Swansea West	Labour
Swindon North	Labour
Swindon South	Labour
Tamworth	Reform
Tatton	Conservative
Taunton and Wellington	Liberal Democrat
Telford	Reform
Tewkesbury	Liberal Democrat
The Wrekin	Reform
Thirsk and Malton	Conservative
Thornbury and Yate	Liberal Democrat
Thurrock	Reform
Tipton and Wednesbury	Reform
Tiverton and Minehead	Liberal Democrat
Tonbridge	Conservative
Tooting	Labour
Torbay	Liberal Democrat
Torfaen	Reform
Torridge and Tavistock	Conservative
Tottenham	Labour
Truro and Falmouth	Labour
Tunbridge Wells	Liberal Democrat
Twickenham	Liberal Democrat
Tynemouth	Labour
Upper Bann	DUP
Uxbridge and South Ruislip	Conservative
Vale of Glamorgan	Labour
Vauxhall and Camberwell Green	Labour
Wakefield and Rothwell	Labour
Wallasey	Labour
Walsall and Bloxwich	Reform
Walthamstow	Labour
Warrington North	Labour
Warrington South	Labour
Warwick and Leamington	Labour
Washington and Gateshead South	Reform
Watford	Labour
Waveney Valley	Green
Weald of Kent	Conservative
Wellingborough and Rushden	Reform
Wells and Mendip Hills	Liberal Democrat
Welwyn Hatfield	Labour
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine	SNP
West Bromwich	Labour
West Dorset	Liberal Democrat
West Dunbartonshire	SNP
West Ham and Beckton	Labour
West Lancashire	Labour
West Suffolk	Reform
West Tyrone	Sinn Fein
West Worcestershire	Conservative
Westmorland and Lonsdale	Liberal Democrat
Weston-super-Mare	Reform
Wetherby and Easingwold	Conservative
Whitehaven and Workington	Labour
Widnes and Halewood	Labour
Wigan	Labour
Wimbledon	Liberal Democrat
Winchester	Liberal Democrat
Windsor	Conservative
Wirral West	Labour
Witham	Conservative
Witney	Liberal Democrat
Woking	Liberal Democrat
Wokingham	Liberal Democrat
Wolverhampton North East	Reform
Wolverhampton South East	Labour
Wolverhampton West	Labour
Worcester	Labour
Worsley and Eccles	Labour
Worthing West	Labour
Wrexham	Labour
Wycombe	Labour
Wyre Forest	Reform
Wythenshawe and Sale East	Labour
Yeovil	Liberal Democrat
Ynys Mon	Plaid Cymru
York Central	Labour
York Outer	Labour

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