VoteClimate: Next General Election Forecast If 0.5% Vote Climate

Next General Election Forecast If 0.5% Vote Climate

VoteClimate's Forecast For The Next General Election indicates that if VoteClimate can recruit 0.5% of the electorate in marginal seats, there are 65 seats where we can change which party wins.

0.5% of the electorate in 65 seats is just 24,000 voters!

We have a huge and historic opportunity to force a race to the top on climate policy

We've flagged those constituencies as "VC Target" in the projection below.

Predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 25.5% | Reform: 25% | Conservative: 22% | Liberal Democrat: 13% | Green: 8.8%

[Last updated: 17 February 2025]

NB: these constituencies will likely change as the opinion polls fluctuate.

Here is the predicted result in each constituency:

(Tap or click on a hexagon to see which seat it is)

See also: Electoral Analysis

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