There were council elections in Hampshire on 7 May 2026.
Based on previous elections and national poll swings, which may overlook the local context, VoteClimate estimates that the results in Hampshire will be as follows. We've ordered the results to highlight the seats that are most marginal for climate-ambitious parties. A few votes could make the difference in these areas.
If a climate-ambitious party is expected to win a seat, we show their expected Majority. Otherwise, we show the estimated Swing Required for the best-placed climate-ambitious party to win.
If you have friends and family in the more marginal wards, please strongly encourage them to get out and VoteClimate!
`Forecast vote shares (GB): Reform: 26.5% | Labour: 18.6% | Conservative: 18.5% | Green: 16.2% | Liberal Democrat: 12%
| Ward (Seats) | Expected Winner | Green Forecast | LD Forecast | Majority / Swing Required |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyndhurst & Fordingbridge (1) | Reform (1,501) | 2nd (1,427) | 4th (882) | 1.4% (74) |
| Tadley & Baughurst (1) | Reform (1,153) | 4th (704) | 2nd (1,094) | 1.4% (59) |
| Winchester Downlands (1) | Liberal Democrat (2,315) | 4th (1,235) | 1st (2,315) | 1.8% (137) |
| Eastleigh North (1) | Liberal Democrat (1,152) | 4th (609) | 1st (1,152) | 1.8% (74) |
| Brockenhurst (1) | Reform (1,591) | 2nd (1,471) | 4th (831) | 2.1% (120) |
| Winchester Southern Parishes (1) | Reform (1,147) | 4th (849) | 3rd (1,017) | 2.7% (130) |
| Ringwood (1) | Reform (1,180) | 2nd (1,038) | 5th (342) | 3.3% (142) |
| Fareham Crofton (1) | Reform (1,697) | 4th (1,037) | 3rd (1,487) | 3.3% (210) |
| Purbrook & Stakes South (1) | Conservative (905) | 4th (438) | 2nd (796) | 3.5% (109) |
| Hartley Wintney & Yateley West (1) | Liberal Democrat (1,940) | 4th (1,040) | 1st (1,940) | 3.7% (239) |
| Farnborough South (1) | Reform (1,424) | 4th (844) | 2nd (1,217) | 4.0% (207) |
| Petersfield Butser (1) | Reform (1,464) | 3rd (1,179) | 2nd (1,221) | 4.5% (243) |
| Petersfield Hangers (1) | Reform (1,558) | 2nd (1,294) | 4th (1,041) | 4.8% (264) |
| West End & Horton Heath (1) | Liberal Democrat (1,273) | 4th (647) | 1st (1,273) | 5.2% (213) |
| Bishops Waltham (1) | Reform (1,704) | 3rd (1,379) | 4th (1,214) | 5.3% (325) |
| Yateley East & Blackwater (1) | Liberal Democrat (1,826) | 3rd (705) | 1st (1,826) | 5.4% (265) |
| Candovers, Oakley & Overton (1) | Reform (1,418) | 4th (867) | 2nd (1,140) | 5.4% (278) |
| Emsworth & St Faiths (1) | Reform (1,658) | 3rd (1,320) | 5th (630) | 5.6% (338) |
| Basingstoke South East (1) | Liberal Democrat (1,460) | 4th (727) | 1st (1,460) | 5.7% (272) |
| Fareham Town (2) | Reform (2,189) | 2nd (1,738) | 4th (924) | 6.1% (451) |
| Eastleigh South (1) | Liberal Democrat (1,550) | 3rd (757) | 1st (1,550) | 6.3% (311) |
| Hardway (1) | Liberal Democrat (1,285) | 3rd (561) | 1st (1,285) | 6.6% (248) |
| Leesland & Town (2) | Reform (2,095) | 4th (1,175) | 2nd (1,601) | 6.8% (494) |
| Hayling Island (1) | Reform (1,706) | 3rd (1,340) | 6.9% (366) | |
| Liphook, Headley & Grayshott (1) | Reform (1,468) | 4th (865) | 3rd (1,114) | 6.9% (354) |
| Fareham Sarisbury (1) | Conservative (1,482) | 4th (528) | 2nd (1,185) | 7.0% (297) |
| Romsey Rural (1) | Conservative (1,775) | 4th (1,065) | 3rd (1,316) | 7.2% (459) |
| Bridgemary (1) | Liberal Democrat (1,505) | 4th (717) | 1st (1,505) | 7.3% (333) |
| Alton Town (1) | Liberal Democrat (1,688) | 4th (802) | 1st (1,688) | 7.4% (376) |
| New Milton (1) | Conservative (1,545) | 3rd (1,153) | 5th (520) | 7.4% (392) |
| Test Valley Central (1) | Reform (1,665) | 4th (1,014) | 3rd (1,238) | 7.5% (427) |
| Alton Rural (1) | Reform (1,680) | 3rd (1,226) | 4th (994) | 7.8% (454) |
| Lymington & Boldre (1) | Reform (1,384) | 5th (859) | 3rd (944) | 8.0% (440) |
| Lee (1) | Conservative (1,212) | 4th (742) | 3rd (853) | 8.1% (359) |
| South Waterside (1) | Reform (1,068) | 4th (562) | 3rd (762) | 8.2% (306) |
| North West Havant (1) | Reform (1,076) | 4th (607) | 3rd (745) | 8.6% (331) |
| Andover West (1) | Reform (1,233) | 4th (754) | 3rd (842) | 8.9% (391) |
| Odiham & Hook (1) | Reform (1,473) | 4th (900) | 3rd (1,003) | 9.0% (470) |
| Catherington (1) | Reform (1,326) | 3rd (899) | 4th (895) | 9.2% (427) |
| Hedge End & West End South (1) | Liberal Democrat (1,685) | 4th (735) | 1st (1,685) | 10.1% (482) |
| Farnborough West (1) | Reform (1,279) | 4th (782) | 5th (650) | 10.3% (497) |
| Chandler's Ford (1) | Liberal Democrat (2,007) | 4th (870) | 1st (2,007) | 10.4% (585) |
| Basingstoke South West (1) | Reform (1,449) | 4th (886) | 5th (589) | 10.9% (563) |
| Dibden & Hythe (1) | Liberal Democrat (1,978) | 4th (713) | 1st (1,978) | 10.9% (565) |
| Cowplain & Hart Plain (1) | Conservative (1,277) | 3rd (872) | 4th (290) | 11.0% (405) |
| North East Havant (1) | Reform (765) | 4th (467) | 5th (251) | 11.0% (298) |
| Andover North (1) | Reform (930) | 3rd (569) | 5th (449) | 11.1% (361) |
| Loddon (1) | Reform (1,416) | 3rd (865) | 5th (627) | 11.2% (551) |
| Totton North & Netley Marsh (1) | Reform (1,291) | 4th (745) | 3rd (793) | 11.2% (498) |
| Farnborough North (1) | Labour (1,196) | 4th (696) | 5th (453) | 11.3% (500) |
| Calleva (1) | Reform (1,258) | 3rd (768) | 4th (576) | 11.3% (490) |
| Fareham Portchester (1) | Liberal Democrat (2,084) | 4th (874) | 1st (2,084) | 11.3% (654) |
| Whitchurch & The Cleres (1) | Reform (1,466) | 3rd (896) | 5th (587) | 11.6% (570) |
| Totton South & Marchwood (1) | Liberal Democrat (1,838) | 4th (638) | 1st (1,838) | 12.2% (581) |
| New Milton North, Milford & Hordle (1) | Conservative (1,848) | 3rd (1,144) | 5th (480) | 12.2% (704) |
| Romsey Town (1) | Liberal Democrat (2,325) | 3rd (891) | 1st (2,325) | 12.4% (740) |
| Meon Valley (1) | Green (1,912) | 1st (1,912) | 2nd (1,510) | 12.5% (727) |
| Botley & Hedge End North (1) | Liberal Democrat (1,670) | 3rd (673) | 1st (1,670) | 12.7% (569) |
| Fareham Warsash (1) | Conservative (1,736) | 3rd (992) | 4th (776) | 12.8% (744) |
| Winchester Westgate (1) | Liberal Democrat (2,270) | 3rd (1,059) | 1st (2,270) | 13.0% (753) |
| Waterloo & Stakes North (1) | Conservative (1,250) | 3rd (704) | 5th (433) | 13.3% (546) |
| Fleet Town (1) | Reform (1,703) | 3rd (994) | 4th (794) | 13.7% (709) |
| Andover South (1) | Reform (1,428) | 3rd (809) | 4th (600) | 13.8% (619) |
| Itchen Valley (1) | Liberal Democrat (2,942) | 4th (932) | 1st (2,942) | 13.9% (988) |
| Fareham Titchfield (1) | Reform (1,561) | 3rd (815) | 5th (617) | 15.1% (746) |
| Hamble (1) | Liberal Democrat (2,122) | 3rd (794) | 1st (2,122) | 15.3% (823) |
| Church Crookham & Ewshot (1) | Reform (1,541) | 3rd (942) | 15.8% (599) | |
| Basingstoke Central (1) | Labour (1,394) | 3rd (683) | 5th (469) | 16.6% (711) |
| Bishopstoke & Fair Oak (1) | Other (1,917) | 4th (672) | 3rd (996) | 17.2% (921) |
| Basingstoke North West (1) | Labour (1,315) | 4th (621) | 5th (261) | 17.7% (694) |
| Baddesley (1) | Liberal Democrat (2,374) | 3rd (786) | 1st (2,374) | 18.3% (987) |
| Winchester Eastgate (1) | Green (1,550) | 1st (1,550) | 2nd (1,525) | 18.8% (861) |
| Aldershot North (1) | Labour (1,319) | 4th (580) | 5th (407) | 19.1% (739) |
| Basingstoke North (1) | Labour (1,079) | 3rd (481) | 5th (215) | 20.4% (598) |
| Aldershot South (1) | Labour (1,640) | 4th (693) | 5th (269) | 20.8% (947) |
| Whitehill, Bordon & Lindford (1) | Reform (808) | 2nd (358) | 3rd (315) | 23.2% (450) |
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