VoteClimate: Council Elections Forecast in Tower Hamlets - 7 May 2026

Council Elections Forecast in Tower Hamlets - 7 May 2026

There were council elections in Tower Hamlets on 7 May 2026.

Based on previous elections and national poll swings, which may overlook the local context, VoteClimate estimates that the results in Tower Hamlets will be as follows. We've ordered the results to highlight the seats that are most marginal for climate-ambitious parties. A few votes could make the difference in these areas.

If a climate-ambitious party is expected to win a seat, we show their expected Majority. Otherwise, we show the estimated Swing Required for the best-placed climate-ambitious party to win.

If you have friends and family in the more marginal wards, please strongly encourage them to get out and VoteClimate!

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Forecast vote shares (GB): Reform: 26.5% | Labour: 18.6% | Conservative: 18.5% | Green: 16.2% | Liberal Democrat: 12%

Ward (Seats) Expected Winner Green Forecast LD Forecast Majority /
Swing Required
Bethnal Green East (3) Reform (1,185) 2nd (1,183) 4th (417) 0.1% (2)
Blackwall & Cubitt Town (3) Reform (921) 2nd (912) 3rd (647) 0.3% (9)
Island Gardens (2) Green (876) 1st (876) 3rd (521) 0.4% (12)
Bethnal Green West (3) Reform (1,176) 2nd (1,148) 4th (435) 0.8% (28)
Bromley North (2) Reform (657) 2nd (598) 4th (250) 3.0% (59)
Weavers (2) Reform (759) 2nd (690) 4th (259) 3.1% (69)
Mile End (3) Reform (1,207) 2nd (1,086) 4th (478) 3.2% (121)
St Dunstan's (2) Reform (933) 2nd (825) 4th (372) 3.7% (108)
Lansbury (3) Reform (1,074) 2nd (950) 4th (501) 3.9% (124)
Whitechapel (3) Reform (1,015) 2nd (885) 3rd (598) 4.2% (130)
Bow East (3) Green (1,499) 1st (1,499) 4th (617) 4.2% (195)
St Katharine's & Wapping (2) Liberal Democrat (902) 3rd (718) 1st (902) 4.3% (133)
Limehouse (1) Reform (416) 2nd (347) 4th (228) 4.7% (69)
Spitalfields & Banglatown (2) Reform (757) 2nd (623) 4th (294) 5.9% (134)
Stepney Green (2) Reform (857) 2nd (686) 3rd (627) 6.2% (171)
Poplar (1) Reform (363) 2nd (292) 4th (130) 7.1% (71)
Bromley South (2) Reform (806) 2nd (615) 4th (280) 8.1% (191)
Shadwell (2) Liberal Democrat (1,047) 3rd (602) 1st (1,047) 8.8% (242)
Canary Wharf (2) Reform (630) 2nd (385) 3rd (317) 14.1% (245)
Bow West (2) Green (1,444) 1st (1,444) 4th (292) 17.3% (563)

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