VoteClimate: Airdrie and Shotts Constituency 2024

Airdrie and Shotts Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 64,032

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Airdrie and Shotts will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Airdrie and Shotts constituency at the next election:

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Airdrie and Shotts?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 2,867 members in Airdrie and Shotts, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Labour or SNP has the best climate policy. That's 4.5% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 13,351 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of Labour, SNP or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 20.9% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 15,779 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 24.6% of the electorate.

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