Electoral Analysis

Find out what might happen in each seat at the next general election:

• VoteClimate's Forecast For The Next General Election

These pages show the seats where VoteClimate can have the greatest impact:

• Predicted Closest Two-Way Marginal Seats
• Predicted Closest Three-Way Marginal Seats
• Most Marginal Seats In Labour's Majority At The Next Election
• Green Party Most Winnable Seats
• Liberal Democrats Most Winnable Seats
• Next General Election Forecast By Required Swing

Key battleground seats by party, where VoteClimate can have strong influence:

• The Labour Party's Key Battleground Seats
• Liberal Democrats Key Battleground Seats
• Scottish National Party Key Battleground Seats
• Plaid Cymru Key Battleground Seats

Alternative scenarios at the next general election:

• General Election Scenario: Labour Slips 2.5%
• General Election Scenario: Labour Slips 5%
• General Election Scenario: 2.5% Swing Labour To Lib Dems
• General Election Scenario: 5% Swing Labour To Lib Dems
• General Election Scenario: 7.5% Swing Labour To Lib Dems
• General Election Scenario: 8% Swing Labour To Greens

VoteClimate scenarios at the next general election:

• What If One Million Voters Switch To The Party With The Best Climate Policy That Can Win In Their Seat?
• What If 7.5% Of The Electorate Switch To The Party With The Best Climate Policy That Can Win In Their Seat?
• What If 19.75% Of The Electorate Switch To The Party With The Best Climate Policy That Can Win In Their Seat?
• What If One Million Voters Switch From Labour To A Party With Better Climate Policy?
• What If 4.25% Of The Electorate Switch From Labour To A Party With Better Climate Policy?

This is what happened at the last general election in December 2019:

• Closest Two-Way Marginal Seats December 2019
• Closest Three-Way Marginal Seats December 2019
• Green Party Best Constituencies December 2019
• Lib Dem Best Constituencies December 2019
• December 2019 General Election Ordered By Majority