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VoteClimate: Next General Election Forecast If 2% Vote Climate

Next General Election Forecast If 2% Vote Climate

VoteClimate's Forecast For The Next General Election indicates that if VoteClimate can recruit 2% of the electorate in marginal seats, there are 145 seats where we can change which party wins.

2% of the electorate in 145 seats is just 217,000 voters!

We have a huge and historic opportunity to force a race to the top on climate policy

We've flagged those constituencies as "VC Target" in the projection below.

Predicted vote shares (GB): Reform: 27% | Labour: 18.8% | Conservative: 18.3% | Green: 14.5% | Liberal Democrat: 12.2%

[Last updated: June 2026]

NB: these constituencies will likely change as the opinion polls fluctuate.

Here is the predicted result in each constituency:

Constituency Winner Second Votes Required
1 Norwich South - VC Target Labour 12,342 Green 12,341 1 0.00%
2 Monmouthshire - VC Target Plaid Cymru 13,021 Reform 13,016 5 0.01%
3 Wirral West - VC Target Labour 13,683 Reform 13,666 17 0.02%
4 South Shropshire - VC Target Reform 14,891 Liberal Democrat 14,864 27 0.04%
5 Clwyd East - VC Target Plaid Cymru 14,339 Reform 14,309 30 0.04%
6 Vale of Glamorgan - VC Target Plaid Cymru 13,415 Reform 13,383 32 0.04%
7 Tynemouth - VC Target Reform 14,547 Labour 14,503 44 0.06%
8 Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton - VC Target Reform 11,351 Other 11,299 52 0.07%
9 Exeter - VC Target Labour 10,438 Reform 10,391 47 0.07%
10 Stockport - VC Target Reform 12,683 Labour 12,627 56 0.07%
11 Gosport - VC Target Reform 13,793 Conservative 13,736 57 0.08%
12 Birmingham Edgbaston - VC Target Labour 9,658 Reform 9,602 56 0.08%
13 Swindon South - VC Target Labour 12,966 Reform 12,884 82 0.11%
14 Hamble Valley - VC Target Reform 14,492 Conservative 14,390 102 0.13%
15 Coventry South - VC Target Labour 12,065 Reform 11,960 105 0.14%
16 New Forest East - VC Target Reform 13,107 Conservative 12,958 149 0.21%
17 North West Essex - VC Target Conservative 15,051 Reform 14,882 169 0.21%
18 East Londonderry - VC Target DUP 11,506 Sinn Fein 11,327 179 0.24%
19 Aberafan Maesteg - VC Target Plaid Cymru 12,608 Reform 12,434 174 0.24%
20 Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley - VC Target Reform 7,083 Other 6,892 191 0.25%
21 West Worcestershire - VC Target Conservative 14,384 Reform 14,182 202 0.25%
22 North Bedfordshire - VC Target Conservative 15,454 Reform 15,237 217 0.28%
23 Rochdale - VC Target Other 11,587 Reform 11,336 251 0.35%
24 Uxbridge and South Ruislip - VC Target Reform 12,973 Conservative 12,711 262 0.35%
25 Birkenhead - VC Target Labour 12,984 Green 12,708 276 0.35%
26 Portsmouth South - VC Target Reform 11,203 Labour 10,942 261 0.35%
27 Hackney South and Shoreditch - VC Target Labour 14,738 Green 14,433 305 0.39%
28 Rushcliffe - VC Target Labour 14,954 Reform 14,643 311 0.39%
29 Sutton Coldfield - VC Target Reform 14,901 Conservative 14,605 296 0.40%
30 Newton Abbot - VC Target Liberal Democrat 13,934 Reform 13,630 304 0.41%
31 Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr - VC Target Plaid Cymru 14,233 Reform 13,920 313 0.42%
32 Welwyn Hatfield - VC Target Reform 13,334 Conservative 13,013 321 0.43%
33 Reigate - VC Target Conservative 14,522 Reform 14,174 348 0.45%
34 Macclesfield - VC Target Labour 14,753 Reform 14,400 353 0.47%
35 Leicester East - VC Target Other 11,005 Conservative 10,641 364 0.48%
36 Stratford and Bow - VC Target Green 11,121 Labour 10,699 422 0.52%
37 South West Hertfordshire - VC Target Reform 12,538 Conservative 12,163 375 0.52%
38 Wythenshawe and Sale East - VC Target Labour 12,158 Reform 11,732 426 0.55%
39 York Outer - VC Target Labour 13,673 Reform 13,252 421 0.55%
40 Thirsk and Malton - VC Target Reform 15,283 Conservative 14,848 435 0.55%
41 Bermondsey and Old Southwark - VC Target Labour 9,475 Liberal Democrat 9,085 390 0.56%
42 Leeds North West - VC Target Labour 13,387 Reform 12,983 404 0.56%
43 Clwyd North - VC Target Reform 12,746 Plaid Cymru 12,298 448 0.60%
44 Gorton and Denton - VC Target Labour 10,724 Reform 10,253 471 0.62%
45 Bedford - VC Target Labour 10,706 Reform 10,258 448 0.62%
46 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale - VC Target SNP 12,188 Conservative 11,741 447 0.62%
47 Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe - VC Target Reform 12,318 Plaid Cymru 11,849 469 0.64%
48 Preston - VC Target Reform 10,601 Other 10,091 510 0.66%
49 Bristol North East - VC Target Green 11,583 Reform 11,116 467 0.67%
50 Salford - VC Target Labour 12,354 Reform 11,744 610 0.73%
51 North Cotswolds - VC Target Liberal Democrat 13,284 Conservative 12,745 539 0.74%
52 Droitwich and Evesham - VC Target Reform 15,653 Conservative 15,072 581 0.76%
53 Peterborough - VC Target Reform 10,880 Conservative 10,308 572 0.78%
54 Wrexham - VC Target Plaid Cymru 12,968 Reform 12,412 556 0.79%
55 Filton and Bradley Stoke - VC Target Reform 14,069 Labour 13,454 615 0.79%
56 North West Hampshire - VC Target Reform 14,321 Conservative 13,649 672 0.85%
57 Nottingham South - VC Target Reform 9,590 Labour 9,040 550 0.86%
58 Pontypridd - VC Target Plaid Cymru 13,251 Reform 12,577 674 0.89%
59 Chingford and Woodford Green - VC Target Conservative 13,116 Other 12,445 671 0.91%
60 Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare - VC Target Reform 12,797 Plaid Cymru 12,103 694 0.93%
61 Bradford East - VC Target Other 10,235 Reform 9,514 721 0.96%
62 Hitchin - VC Target Reform 14,307 Labour 13,565 742 0.98%
63 Brent West - VC Target Conservative 10,984 Labour 10,198 786 0.98%
64 Huntingdon - VC Target Reform 15,034 Conservative 14,257 777 0.98%
65 Solihull West and Shirley - VC Target Reform 13,005 Conservative 12,298 707 0.98%
66 Gower - VC Target Reform 15,119 Plaid Cymru 14,368 751 0.99%
67 Poplar and Limehouse - VC Target Labour 10,414 Green 9,562 852 1.01%
68 Cambridge - VC Target Labour 13,030 Green 12,278 752 1.07%
69 Swansea West - VC Target Plaid Cymru 11,666 Reform 10,869 797 1.07%
70 Leeds West and Pudsey - VC Target Reform 11,875 Labour 11,115 760 1.08%
71 Runcorn and Helsby - VC Target Reform 14,060 Labour 13,284 776 1.10%
72 Ellesmere Port and Bromborough - VC Target Labour 14,563 Reform 13,785 778 1.10%
73 Barking - VC Target Reform 10,059 Labour 9,181 878 1.10%
74 Stroud - VC Target Labour 15,114 Reform 14,253 861 1.11%
75 Manchester Withington - VC Target Labour 12,798 Green 12,015 783 1.11%
76 High Peak - VC Target Reform 14,228 Labour 13,388 840 1.13%
77 Chester North and Neston - VC Target Labour 13,261 Reform 12,464 797 1.14%
78 Na h-Eileanan an Iar - VC Target SNP 3,893 Labour 3,650 243 1.14%
79 Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire - VC Target SNP 16,110 Liberal Democrat 15,222 888 1.14%
80 Newark - VC Target Conservative 16,568 Reform 15,651 917 1.15%
81 Banbury - VC Target Reform 12,981 Conservative 12,129 852 1.16%
82 Lewisham North - VC Target Labour 15,105 Green 14,236 869 1.17%
83 Hackney North and Stoke Newington - VC Target Labour 14,659 Green 13,723 936 1.20%
84 Harrow West - VC Target Labour 11,772 Conservative 10,808 964 1.21%
85 Smethwick - VC Target Reform 10,637 Labour 9,754 883 1.21%
86 Goole and Pocklington - VC Target Reform 15,811 Conservative 14,835 976 1.22%
87 Reading West and Mid Berkshire - VC Target Reform 12,551 Conservative 11,711 840 1.22%
88 Bradford West - VC Target Reform 7,122 Green 6,164 958 1.23%
89 Bridgend - VC Target Reform 13,159 Plaid Cymru 12,253 906 1.24%
90 Manchester Rusholme - VC Target Green 9,612 Labour 8,711 901 1.24%
91 Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk - VC Target Conservative 14,272 SNP 13,308 964 1.26%
92 Skipton and Ripon - VC Target Reform 15,708 Conservative 14,703 1,005 1.27%
93 Wolverhampton West - VC Target Reform 12,373 Labour 11,352 1,021 1.31%
94 Basingstoke - VC Target Reform 13,306 Labour 12,258 1,048 1.34%
95 Mid and South Pembrokeshire - VC Target Reform 14,226 Plaid Cymru 13,137 1,089 1.38%
96 North Antrim - VC Target Other 12,229 DUP 11,192 1,037 1.39%
97 Derbyshire Dales - VC Target Reform 14,737 Conservative 13,711 1,026 1.40%
98 New Forest West - VC Target Reform 13,299 Conservative 12,330 969 1.41%
99 Luton South and South Bedfordshire - VC Target Reform 9,586 Other 8,494 1,092 1.41%
100 Birmingham Selly Oak - VC Target Reform 11,021 Labour 9,947 1,074 1.42%
101 Lothian East - VC Target SNP 13,050 Labour 11,975 1,075 1.42%
102 Bristol North West - VC Target Labour 13,990 Green 12,920 1,070 1.43%
103 Kenilworth and Southam - VC Target Conservative 14,664 Reform 13,588 1,076 1.44%
104 East Wiltshire - VC Target Reform 13,874 Conservative 12,807 1,067 1.44%
105 Milton Keynes Central - VC Target Reform 12,966 Labour 11,751 1,215 1.50%
106 Truro and Falmouth - VC Target Reform 13,099 Labour 11,982 1,117 1.53%
107 Enfield North - VC Target Labour 12,630 Reform 11,418 1,212 1.54%
108 Finchley and Golders Green - VC Target Conservative 14,323 Labour 13,128 1,195 1.54%
109 Feltham and Heston - VC Target Reform 10,450 Labour 9,244 1,206 1.57%
110 Southampton Test - VC Target Reform 10,229 Labour 9,170 1,059 1.62%
111 Widnes and Halewood - VC Target Labour 14,303 Reform 13,167 1,136 1.62%
112 Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North - VC Target Reform 10,350 Other 9,089 1,261 1.62%
113 Rhondda and Ogmore - VC Target Reform 13,996 Plaid Cymru 12,782 1,214 1.63%
114 Croydon East - VC Target Reform 12,015 Labour 10,762 1,253 1.64%
115 Erith and Thamesmead - VC Target Labour 13,302 Reform 12,008 1,294 1.64%
116 Manchester Central - VC Target Labour 11,628 Reform 10,227 1,401 1.64%
117 Cities of London and Westminster - VC Target Conservative 10,106 Labour 8,895 1,211 1.65%
118 Stretford and Urmston - VC Target Labour 13,226 Reform 11,979 1,247 1.66%
119 Mid Buckinghamshire - VC Target Conservative 14,820 Liberal Democrat 13,557 1,263 1.67%
120 Beaconsfield - VC Target Conservative 13,534 Liberal Democrat 12,318 1,216 1.67%
121 Altrincham and Sale West - VC Target Conservative 13,409 Labour 12,154 1,255 1.70%
122 South Northamptonshire - VC Target Reform 15,985 Conservative 14,779 1,206 1.71%
123 East Worthing and Shoreham - VC Target Reform 14,264 Labour 12,982 1,282 1.72%
124 Weald of Kent - VC Target Reform 16,598 Conservative 15,292 1,306 1.72%
125 Leyton and Wanstead - VC Target Labour 11,934 Green 10,704 1,230 1.72%
126 Luton North - VC Target Reform 9,702 Other 8,405 1,297 1.73%
127 East Surrey - VC Target Reform 14,268 Conservative 12,979 1,289 1.76%
128 East Antrim - VC Target DUP 11,462 Alliance 10,156 1,306 1.78%
129 Leeds South - VC Target Labour 12,050 Green 10,683 1,367 1.80%
130 West Lancashire - VC Target Reform 14,538 Labour 13,202 1,336 1.80%
131 Leeds Central and Headingley - VC Target Green 10,374 Labour 9,089 1,285 1.82%
132 Coventry East - VC Target Reform 12,132 Labour 10,739 1,393 1.84%
133 Brentford and Isleworth - VC Target Labour 11,647 Reform 10,185 1,462 1.84%
134 Kensington and Bayswater - VC Target Conservative 11,485 Labour 10,031 1,454 1.88%
135 West Ham and Beckton - VC Target Labour 9,344 Other 7,830 1,514 1.92%
136 Plymouth Sutton and Devonport - VC Target Reform 13,619 Labour 12,169 1,450 1.93%
137 Harborough, Oadby and Wigston - VC Target Conservative 14,598 Reform 13,101 1,497 1.94%
138 Blackley and Middleton South - VC Target Reform 11,292 Labour 9,883 1,409 1.95%
139 Salisbury - VC Target Conservative 13,028 Liberal Democrat 11,624 1,404 1.96%
140 Warrington South - VC Target Reform 15,198 Labour 13,662 1,536 1.96%
141 Worthing West - VC Target Reform 14,846 Conservative 13,336 1,510 1.96%
142 Shrewsbury - VC Target Reform 14,828 Labour 13,324 1,504 1.96%
143 Newcastle upon Tyne North - VC Target Labour 14,273 Reform 12,804 1,469 1.96%
144 Birmingham Yardley - VC Target Other 10,582 Reform 9,142 1,440 1.97%
145 Melton and Syston - VC Target Reform 14,883 Conservative 13,399 1,484 2.00%
146 Shipley Reform 14,285 Labour 12,802 1,483 2.00%
147 Darlington Reform 12,915 Conservative 11,500 1,415 2.00%
148 Runnymede and Weybridge Conservative 13,803 Reform 12,328 1,475 2.00%
149 Neath and Swansea East Reform 15,141 Plaid Cymru 13,612 1,529 2.00%
150 Milton Keynes North Reform 12,719 Labour 11,295 1,424 2.01%
151 St Helens South and Whiston Reform 12,348 Labour 10,894 1,454 2.03%
152 Leicester West Reform 10,630 Labour 9,106 1,524 2.06%
153 Orpington Reform 14,892 Conservative 13,425 1,467 2.06%
154 Llanelli Plaid Cymru 16,588 Reform 15,101 1,487 2.08%
155 Streatham and Croydon North Labour 13,644 Green 11,906 1,738 2.10%
156 Mid Leicestershire Reform 15,492 Conservative 13,892 1,600 2.11%
157 Newport West and Islwyn Reform 14,060 Plaid Cymru 12,452 1,608 2.12%
158 Wycombe Reform 10,654 Labour 9,049 1,605 2.19%
159 Meriden and Solihull East Reform 14,537 Conservative 12,921 1,616 2.19%
160 Gedling Reform 15,433 Labour 13,743 1,690 2.19%
161 Wallasey Labour 14,841 Reform 13,212 1,629 2.20%
162 Tonbridge Conservative 15,239 Reform 13,605 1,634 2.24%
163 Sevenoaks Reform 14,925 Conservative 13,254 1,671 2.27%
164 Bury South Reform 12,993 Labour 11,270 1,723 2.29%
165 Bexhill and Battle Reform 14,067 Conservative 12,373 1,694 2.35%
166 North Somerset Conservative 14,664 Reform 12,911 1,753 2.36%
167 Rother Valley Reform 13,731 Conservative 12,091 1,640 2.36%
168 North East Cambridgeshire Reform 13,879 Conservative 12,188 1,691 2.36%
169 Central Devon Reform 14,773 Conservative 12,989 1,784 2.37%
170 Lancaster and Wyre Reform 13,011 Labour 11,233 1,778 2.38%
171 North East Derbyshire Reform 14,468 Conservative 12,693 1,775 2.42%
172 Wetherby and Easingwold Conservative 16,088 Reform 14,284 1,804 2.43%
173 Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven Green 13,703 Labour 12,013 1,690 2.46%
174 Calder Valley Reform 14,816 Labour 12,911 1,905 2.46%
175 Hinckley and Bosworth Reform 14,406 Conservative 12,522 1,884 2.47%
176 South West Wiltshire Reform 13,699 Conservative 11,869 1,830 2.50%
177 Cardiff East Plaid Cymru 11,939 Reform 10,110 1,829 2.51%
178 Islington South and Finsbury Labour 13,439 Green 11,576 1,863 2.51%
179 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine SNP 14,907 Conservative 13,070 1,837 2.52%
180 Ribble Valley Reform 15,675 Conservative 13,646 2,029 2.52%
181 Witham Reform 16,425 Conservative 14,410 2,015 2.55%
182 Ilford South Other 11,385 Labour 9,277 2,108 2.60%
183 Warwick and Leamington Labour 14,238 Reform 12,247 1,991 2.61%
184 Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Reform 15,865 Conservative 13,984 1,881 2.63%
185 Watford Reform 10,737 Labour 8,813 1,924 2.63%
186 Aylesbury Reform 13,127 Conservative 11,038 2,089 2.64%
187 Colchester Reform 12,904 Labour 10,818 2,086 2.65%
188 Newport East Reform 12,577 Plaid Cymru 10,543 2,034 2.65%
189 Tottenham Labour 13,729 Green 11,703 2,026 2.67%
190 Fareham and Waterlooville Reform 15,237 Conservative 13,161 2,076 2.70%
191 North Dorset Liberal Democrat 15,221 Reform 13,248 1,973 2.71%
192 Bournemouth East Reform 12,587 Labour 10,623 1,964 2.71%
193 Buckingham and Bletchley Reform 14,071 Conservative 12,021 2,050 2.74%
194 Reading Central Labour 12,642 Green 10,621 2,021 2.75%
195 Mid Bedfordshire Reform 15,208 Conservative 13,125 2,083 2.76%
196 Cardiff South and Penarth Plaid Cymru 11,788 Reform 9,758 2,030 2.78%
197 Ealing North Labour 12,136 Reform 10,017 2,119 2.83%
198 Peckham Labour 13,624 Green 11,577 2,047 2.84%
199 Christchurch Reform 14,356 Conservative 12,339 2,017 2.84%
200 North West Norfolk Reform 14,323 Conservative 12,196 2,127 2.86%
201 Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend Reform 14,364 Labour 12,177 2,187 2.87%
202 Chester South and Eddisbury Conservative 15,667 Reform 13,506 2,161 2.91%
203 Windsor Conservative 12,361 Reform 10,225 2,136 2.91%
204 Leeds East Reform 13,027 Labour 10,807 2,220 2.91%
205 Forest of Dean Reform 14,727 Conservative 12,600 2,127 2.92%
206 Ipswich Reform 13,348 Labour 11,127 2,221 2.95%
207 Romsey and Southampton North Liberal Democrat 16,384 Conservative 14,262 2,122 2.95%
208 City of Durham Reform 13,063 Labour 10,977 2,086 2.96%
209 Canterbury Reform 13,282 Labour 11,174 2,108 2.96%
210 Bromley and Biggin Hill Reform 14,565 Conservative 12,466 2,099 2.97%
211 Exmouth and Exeter East Reform 13,543 Conservative 11,157 2,386 2.98%
212 Whitehaven and Workington Reform 15,495 Labour 13,303 2,192 2.99%
213 Arundel and South Downs Conservative 16,318 Reform 13,967 2,351 3.02%
214 Fylde Reform 14,709 Conservative 12,371 2,338 3.03%
215 Broxbourne Reform 14,543 Conservative 12,261 2,282 3.03%
216 Beverley and Holderness Reform 14,396 Conservative 12,198 2,198 3.05%
217 Eltham and Chislehurst Reform 14,000 Labour 11,714 2,286 3.09%
218 North East Somerset and Hanham Reform 14,659 Conservative 12,364 2,295 3.11%
219 South West Devon Reform 16,252 Conservative 13,833 2,419 3.12%
220 Barrow and Furness Reform 13,314 Labour 10,966 2,348 3.13%
221 Walthamstow Labour 16,291 Green 13,955 2,336 3.14%
222 Beckenham and Penge Labour 15,384 Reform 12,949 2,435 3.15%
223 Northampton North Reform 12,932 Labour 10,529 2,403 3.18%
224 Worcester Reform 13,056 Labour 10,666 2,390 3.19%
225 Sussex Weald Reform 14,506 Conservative 12,180 2,326 3.19%
226 Chipping Barnet Conservative 15,375 Labour 12,877 2,498 3.20%
227 Bury North Reform 14,004 Labour 11,501 2,503 3.22%
228 Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough Labour 11,478 Green 9,206 2,272 3.23%
229 Hampstead and Highgate Labour 13,695 Green 11,100 2,595 3.24%
230 Huddersfield Green 13,827 Reform 11,304 2,523 3.24%
231 Poole Reform 13,308 Conservative 10,947 2,361 3.26%
232 Pendle and Clitheroe Reform 14,578 Conservative 11,958 2,620 3.33%
233 Torfaen Reform 12,644 Plaid Cymru 10,220 2,424 3.38%
234 Bracknell Reform 13,356 Conservative 10,924 2,432 3.39%
235 Hayes and Harlington Labour 12,392 Reform 9,866 2,526 3.39%
236 Mid Norfolk Reform 15,554 Conservative 12,980 2,574 3.42%
237 Vauxhall and Camberwell Green Labour 12,796 Green 10,140 2,656 3.43%
238 Grantham and Bourne Reform 15,309 Conservative 12,781 2,528 3.45%
239 Coventry North West Reform 14,076 Labour 11,482 2,594 3.46%
240 Kingston upon Hull North and Cottingham Reform 13,283 Labour 10,668 2,615 3.47%
241 North East Hertfordshire Reform 15,578 Conservative 12,868 2,710 3.49%
242 Nottingham North and Kimberley Reform 12,157 Labour 9,583 2,574 3.49%
243 Sheffield Central Green 13,335 Labour 11,220 2,115 3.49%
244 Middlesbrough and Thornaby East Reform 12,087 Labour 9,456 2,631 3.50%
245 West Bromwich Reform 12,418 Labour 9,824 2,594 3.50%
246 Bristol South Green 14,538 Reform 11,847 2,691 3.56%
247 Derby North Reform 13,456 Labour 10,872 2,584 3.59%
248 Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West Reform 13,465 Labour 10,703 2,762 3.60%
249 Farnham and Bordon Liberal Democrat 16,447 Conservative 13,716 2,731 3.60%
250 Lagan Valley Alliance 18,618 DUP 15,659 2,959 3.60%
251 Holborn and St Pancras Labour 10,873 Other 8,305 2,568 3.60%
252 St Helens North Reform 15,168 Labour 12,447 2,721 3.60%
253 Edinburgh South Labour 12,971 SNP 10,415 2,556 3.61%
254 Wolverhampton South East Reform 12,681 Labour 9,878 2,803 3.62%
255 Penrith and Solway Reform 14,631 Conservative 11,810 2,821 3.62%
256 Broadland and Fakenham Reform 15,425 Conservative 12,632 2,793 3.63%
257 Colne Valley Reform 13,904 Conservative 11,250 2,654 3.65%
258 South Leicestershire Reform 16,687 Conservative 13,809 2,878 3.67%
259 Belfast East DUP 19,894 Alliance 17,218 2,676 3.67%
260 Hastings and Rye Reform 13,751 Labour 10,949 2,802 3.69%
261 Sheffield Hallam Liberal Democrat 18,514 Labour 15,814 2,700 3.70%
262 Norwich North Reform 14,818 Labour 12,080 2,738 3.71%
263 Stockton West Conservative 16,581 Reform 13,907 2,674 3.72%
264 Lewisham West and East Dulwich Labour 16,423 Green 13,826 2,597 3.74%
265 Edmonton and Winchmore Hill Labour 12,187 Reform 9,345 2,842 3.75%
266 Chesterfield Reform 13,947 Labour 11,253 2,694 3.76%
267 East Hampshire Liberal Democrat 15,868 Conservative 13,201 2,667 3.77%
268 Hexham Conservative 20,210 Labour 17,323 2,887 3.78%
269 Tatton Conservative 16,016 Reform 13,197 2,819 3.80%
270 Swindon North Reform 13,918 Conservative 11,112 2,806 3.83%
271 Cardiff North Plaid Cymru 15,397 Reform 12,652 2,745 3.84%
272 South Norfolk Reform 14,222 Conservative 11,326 2,896 3.91%
273 Hertford and Stortford Reform 15,822 Conservative 12,732 3,090 3.92%
274 Mid Derbyshire Reform 14,968 Conservative 12,225 2,743 3.92%
275 Dulwich and West Norwood Labour 16,529 Green 13,362 3,167 3.96%
276 South Holland and The Deepings Reform 16,034 Conservative 12,919 3,115 3.97%
277 Old Bexley and Sidcup Reform 16,819 Conservative 13,910 2,909 3.97%
278 Nottingham East Labour 11,532 Reform 8,770 2,762 3.98%
279 Hereford and South Herefordshire Reform 14,324 Conservative 11,411 2,913 4.03%
280 Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Reform 14,185 Conservative 11,084 3,101 4.04%
281 Queen's Park and Maida Vale Labour 11,910 Green 8,851 3,059 4.05%
282 Congleton Reform 15,248 Conservative 12,291 2,957 4.06%
283 Lincoln Reform 13,633 Labour 10,699 2,934 4.06%
284 Redcar Reform 12,820 Conservative 9,957 2,863 4.08%
285 Suffolk Coastal Reform 14,275 Conservative 11,222 3,053 4.10%
286 Southend West and Leigh Reform 14,717 Conservative 11,619 3,098 4.12%
287 Gloucester Reform 13,493 Conservative 10,209 3,284 4.13%
288 Isle of Wight East Reform 10,907 Green 8,596 2,311 4.14%
289 Rugby Reform 15,204 Conservative 12,086 3,118 4.16%
290 Cramlington and Killingworth Reform 16,264 Labour 13,090 3,174 4.16%
291 Ealing Central and Acton Labour 12,991 Green 9,712 3,279 4.18%
292 Rutland and Stamford Conservative 16,205 Reform 13,202 3,003 4.18%
293 Birmingham Ladywood Other 12,137 Labour 8,606 3,531 4.22%
294 Liverpool Wavertree Labour 13,684 Green 10,694 2,990 4.24%
295 Morecambe and Lunesdale Reform 14,630 Labour 11,357 3,273 4.28%
296 Gainsborough Reform 16,006 Conservative 12,755 3,251 4.29%
297 Central Suffolk and North Ipswich Reform 14,414 Conservative 11,278 3,136 4.29%
298 North West Cambridgeshire Reform 14,770 Conservative 11,500 3,270 4.31%
299 South Suffolk Reform 15,401 Conservative 12,178 3,223 4.32%
300 Doncaster Central Reform 13,468 Labour 10,211 3,257 4.36%
301 South Dorset Reform 14,590 Conservative 11,259 3,331 4.39%
302 Aldridge-Brownhills Reform 15,382 Conservative 12,283 3,099 4.41%
303 Torridge and Tavistock Reform 15,162 Conservative 11,849 3,313 4.43%
304 Sefton Central Labour 16,276 Reform 12,982 3,294 4.43%
305 Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Reform 15,300 Conservative 11,814 3,486 4.44%
306 Knowsley Labour 14,982 Reform 11,782 3,200 4.45%
307 Dumfries and Galloway SNP 14,128 Conservative 10,632 3,496 4.45%
308 Bromsgrove Reform 15,951 Conservative 12,531 3,420 4.47%
309 Selby Reform 16,932 Labour 13,423 3,509 4.50%
310 Harwich and North Essex Reform 16,290 Conservative 12,846 3,444 4.51%
311 West Suffolk Reform 15,521 Conservative 12,032 3,489 4.52%
312 Ely and East Cambridgeshire Liberal Democrat 16,105 Reform 12,512 3,593 4.54%
313 York Central Labour 14,714 Reform 11,091 3,623 4.55%
314 Oxford East Labour 13,619 Green 10,346 3,273 4.56%
315 Southampton Itchen Reform 12,226 Labour 9,089 3,137 4.59%
316 Worsley and Eccles Reform 15,366 Labour 11,741 3,625 4.61%
317 Sleaford and North Hykeham Reform 16,707 Conservative 13,209 3,498 4.62%
318 Mid Cheshire Reform 13,983 Labour 10,727 3,256 4.63%
319 Bournemouth West Reform 11,998 Conservative 8,722 3,276 4.66%
320 Aldershot Reform 15,126 Labour 11,454 3,672 4.67%
321 Spelthorne Reform 14,049 Conservative 10,594 3,455 4.68%
322 Loughborough Reform 13,222 Labour 9,991 3,231 4.69%
323 Corby and East Northamptonshire Reform 15,988 Labour 12,289 3,699 4.70%
324 Caerphilly Plaid Cymru 15,648 Reform 12,224 3,424 4.71%
325 Sheffield Heeley Labour 14,909 Green 11,436 3,473 4.73%
326 Hendon Conservative 12,879 Labour 9,339 3,540 4.73%
327 Daventry Reform 17,463 Conservative 13,636 3,827 4.73%
328 Redditch Reform 14,386 Conservative 11,020 3,366 4.74%
329 Lichfield Reform 16,562 Conservative 12,932 3,630 4.77%
330 Isle of Wight West Reform 10,619 Conservative 7,973 2,646 4.78%
331 East Ham Labour 11,551 Green 7,720 3,831 4.84%
332 Herne Bay and Sandwich Reform 17,103 Conservative 13,317 3,786 4.86%
333 Torbay Liberal Democrat 16,973 Reform 13,267 3,706 4.86%
334 Liverpool Riverside Labour 12,063 Green 8,539 3,524 4.94%
335 Eastleigh Liberal Democrat 14,841 Reform 11,384 3,457 4.94%
336 Stevenage Reform 13,714 Labour 10,206 3,508 4.94%
337 Hamilton and Clyde Valley SNP 15,091 Labour 11,355 3,736 4.95%
338 Portsmouth North Reform 14,257 Conservative 10,769 3,488 4.95%
339 The Wrekin Reform 16,515 Conservative 12,577 3,938 4.99%
340 Kettering Reform 15,210 Green 11,239 3,971 5.00%
341 Hove and Portslade Labour 16,048 Green 12,335 3,713 5.01%
342 Romford Reform 15,573 Conservative 11,910 3,663 5.02%
343 Burnley Reform 12,690 Liberal Democrat 8,922 3,768 5.03%
344 Keighley and Ilkley Conservative 15,055 Reform 11,298 3,757 5.05%
345 North West Leicestershire Reform 16,370 Conservative 12,440 3,930 5.05%
346 Southport Reform 13,539 Labour 9,811 3,728 5.06%
347 Southgate and Wood Green Labour 13,843 Green 9,911 3,932 5.07%
348 Stalybridge and Hyde Reform 13,033 Labour 9,350 3,683 5.10%
349 Leeds North East Labour 13,787 Green 10,194 3,593 5.12%
350 Hertsmere Conservative 16,823 Reform 13,059 3,764 5.12%
351 Frome and East Somerset Liberal Democrat 15,050 Reform 11,425 3,625 5.15%
352 Maldon Reform 18,448 Conservative 14,414 4,034 5.15%
353 Chelsea and Fulham Conservative 15,036 Labour 10,983 4,053 5.17%
354 Gordon and Buchan SNP 14,836 Conservative 11,206 3,630 5.22%
355 Leeds South West and Morley Reform 14,000 Labour 10,241 3,759 5.23%
356 Godalming and Ash Liberal Democrat 20,525 Conservative 16,531 3,994 5.27%
357 Wakefield and Rothwell Reform 14,135 Labour 10,165 3,970 5.29%
358 Birmingham Erdington Reform 12,485 Labour 8,384 4,101 5.29%
359 Tiverton and Minehead Liberal Democrat 16,628 Reform 12,771 3,857 5.35%
360 Southend East and Rochford Reform 12,764 Conservative 9,000 3,764 5.36%
361 Earley and Woodley Conservative 16,429 Labour 12,483 3,946 5.37%
362 Gateshead Central and Whickham Reform 14,134 Labour 10,341 3,793 5.43%
363 Clapham and Brixton Hill Labour 14,436 Green 9,912 4,524 5.44%
364 Brent East Labour 11,536 Reform 7,315 4,221 5.44%
365 Broxtowe Reform 15,038 Labour 11,189 3,849 5.46%
366 Bathgate and Linlithgow SNP 13,803 Labour 9,845 3,958 5.48%
367 Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock SNP 12,674 Reform 8,808 3,866 5.50%
368 Brigg and Immingham Reform 16,339 Conservative 12,319 4,020 5.50%
369 Gravesham Reform 15,106 Conservative 11,077 4,029 5.51%
370 Stoke-on-Trent South Reform 14,549 Conservative 10,682 3,867 5.52%
371 Stourbridge Reform 13,536 Conservative 9,748 3,788 5.55%
372 Hazel Grove Liberal Democrat 16,279 Reform 12,238 4,041 5.55%
373 Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme Reform 14,156 Conservative 10,227 3,929 5.60%
374 North Northumberland Reform 14,262 Labour 10,103 4,159 5.61%
375 Mitcham and Morden Labour 15,055 Reform 10,715 4,340 5.62%
376 Alyn and Deeside Reform 15,568 Plaid Cymru 11,303 4,265 5.63%
377 Blaydon and Consett Reform 16,303 Labour 12,331 3,972 5.64%
378 Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice Reform 14,498 Labour 10,359 4,139 5.65%
379 Crewe and Nantwich Reform 16,472 Labour 12,105 4,367 5.66%
380 Foyle SDLP 15,647 Sinn Fein 11,481 4,166 5.67%
381 Braintree Reform 17,730 Conservative 13,327 4,403 5.67%
382 Walsall and Bloxwich Reform 11,871 Other 7,600 4,271 5.70%
383 Ealing Southall Labour 13,540 Reform 9,039 4,501 5.72%
384 Stafford Reform 15,220 Conservative 11,147 4,073 5.77%
385 Wyre Forest Reform 15,587 Conservative 11,117 4,470 5.78%
386 Scunthorpe Reform 13,813 Conservative 9,542 4,271 5.78%
387 South Ribble Reform 15,823 Labour 11,570 4,253 5.79%
388 Maidstone and Malling Reform 15,088 Conservative 10,657 4,431 5.80%
389 Richmond and Northallerton Conservative 17,747 Reform 13,454 4,293 5.81%
390 Bognor Regis and Littlehampton Reform 16,465 Conservative 11,992 4,473 5.82%
391 Staffordshire Moorlands Reform 16,025 Conservative 11,956 4,069 5.82%
392 Battersea Labour 13,687 Reform 9,444 4,243 5.83%
393 Brentwood and Ongar Reform 17,718 Conservative 13,315 4,403 5.84%
394 Hemel Hempstead Reform 13,761 Labour 9,604 4,157 5.85%
395 Fermanagh and South Tyrone Sinn Fein 24,844 UUP 20,273 4,571 5.87%
396 Wigan Reform 15,669 Labour 11,099 4,570 5.89%
397 Weston-super-Mare Reform 13,626 Conservative 9,393 4,233 5.93%
398 Louth and Horncastle Reform 17,640 Conservative 13,072 4,568 5.94%
399 Liverpool Garston Labour 14,747 Reform 10,598 4,149 5.99%
400 Northampton South Reform 14,363 Conservative 10,146 4,217 5.99%
401 Putney Labour 14,376 Reform 10,021 4,355 5.99%
402 Dartford Reform 15,625 Conservative 11,098 4,527 6.00%
403 Bolton South and Walkden Reform 13,152 Labour 8,366 4,786 6.01%
404 Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland Conservative 16,081 Labour 11,803 4,278 6.08%
405 Dunfermline and Dollar SNP 14,493 Labour 10,062 4,431 6.08%
406 Camborne and Redruth Reform 15,614 Labour 11,075 4,539 6.11%
407 East Grinstead and Uckfield Conservative 16,716 Liberal Democrat 12,108 4,608 6.11%
408 Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy SNP 13,627 Labour 9,229 4,398 6.12%
409 Bridlington and The Wolds Reform 15,866 Conservative 11,303 4,563 6.13%
410 Wolverhampton North East Reform 12,629 Labour 8,294 4,335 6.13%
411 Faversham and Mid Kent Reform 15,840 Conservative 11,272 4,568 6.15%
412 Croydon West Labour 12,396 Reform 7,567 4,829 6.20%
413 Rayleigh and Wickford Reform 18,195 Conservative 13,435 4,760 6.22%
414 Birmingham Northfield Reform 13,154 Labour 8,519 4,635 6.26%
415 Greenwich and Woolwich Labour 14,348 Green 9,770 4,578 6.26%
416 Hartlepool Reform 14,063 Labour 9,586 4,477 6.27%
417 Harlow Reform 15,632 Conservative 10,944 4,688 6.28%
418 Airdrie and Shotts SNP 14,568 Labour 10,160 4,408 6.28%
419 North East Hampshire Liberal Democrat 19,463 Conservative 14,625 4,838 6.29%
420 Jarrow and Gateshead East Reform 15,339 Labour 10,906 4,433 6.31%
421 Lewisham East Labour 14,249 Green 9,606 4,643 6.33%
422 Hyndburn Reform 12,351 Conservative 8,094 4,257 6.34%
423 Crawley Reform 14,752 Labour 9,949 4,803 6.36%
424 South Derbyshire Reform 15,461 Conservative 10,771 4,690 6.36%
425 Liverpool Walton Labour 16,341 Reform 11,927 4,414 6.37%
426 Burton and Uttoxeter Reform 15,906 Conservative 10,936 4,970 6.37%
427 Slough Other 13,870 Reform 8,679 5,191 6.39%
428 East Thanet Reform 14,489 Labour 9,697 4,792 6.40%
429 Bolton West Reform 14,740 Labour 9,931 4,809 6.42%
430 Aberdeenshire North and Moray East SNP 14,407 Reform 9,907 4,500 6.42%
431 Warrington North Reform 15,359 Labour 10,806 4,553 6.45%
432 Central Ayrshire SNP 13,467 Labour 8,962 4,505 6.49%
433 Bridgwater Reform 13,940 Conservative 9,272 4,668 6.52%
434 Hammersmith and Chiswick Labour 14,429 Reform 9,476 4,953 6.53%
435 Croydon South Conservative 15,869 Reform 10,947 4,922 6.57%
436 St Austell and Newquay Reform 15,471 Conservative 10,461 5,010 6.59%
437 East Kilbride and Strathaven SNP 16,410 Labour 11,367 5,043 6.60%
438 Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor Reform 15,465 Labour 10,692 4,773 6.61%
439 Halifax Reform 12,933 Labour 7,786 5,147 6.64%
440 Rutherglen SNP 16,377 Labour 11,549 4,828 6.64%
441 Penistone and Stocksbridge Reform 15,837 Labour 11,098 4,739 6.73%
442 Stoke-on-Trent Central Reform 13,460 Labour 8,487 4,973 6.74%
443 Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke SNP 14,458 Labour 9,601 4,857 6.77%
444 Doncaster North Labour 11,957 Conservative 7,225 4,732 6.78%
445 Alloa and Grangemouth SNP 14,003 Reform 9,198 4,805 6.80%
446 Stockton North Reform 14,744 Labour 9,951 4,793 6.82%
447 Bolsover Reform 15,125 Labour 9,849 5,276 6.83%
448 Ashton-under-Lyne Reform 13,645 Labour 8,784 4,861 6.85%
449 Liverpool West Derby Labour 15,694 Reform 10,906 4,788 6.85%
450 Oldham East and Saddleworth Reform 12,768 Labour 7,720 5,048 6.87%
451 Strangford DUP 15,559 Alliance 10,428 5,131 6.88%
452 Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey SNP 15,894 Conservative 10,560 5,334 6.91%
453 Blyth and Ashington Reform 16,952 Labour 11,657 5,295 6.91%
454 Carlisle Reform 15,808 Labour 10,415 5,393 6.93%
455 Dagenham and Rainham Reform 14,799 Labour 9,398 5,401 7.06%
456 Barnsley North Reform 16,234 Labour 10,703 5,531 7.07%
457 Leigh and Atherton Reform 17,253 Labour 11,589 5,664 7.08%
458 Glasgow North East SNP 12,798 Labour 7,647 5,151 7.09%
459 South Shields Reform 13,249 Green 8,391 4,858 7.11%
460 South East Cornwall Reform 15,710 Conservative 10,545 5,165 7.11%
461 Bassetlaw Reform 16,266 Labour 10,693 5,573 7.13%
462 Mansfield Reform 15,324 Conservative 9,999 5,325 7.14%
463 Wellingborough and Rushden Reform 15,751 Labour 10,210 5,541 7.15%
464 Blackpool South Reform 15,337 Labour 9,792 5,545 7.16%
465 Bradford South Reform 11,534 Labour 6,445 5,089 7.17%
466 Sutton and Cheam Liberal Democrat 16,454 Reform 11,257 5,197 7.19%
467 Ilford North Other 15,119 Reform 9,464 5,655 7.19%
468 East Renfrewshire SNP 16,321 Labour 10,927 5,394 7.23%
469 Derby South Reform 13,325 Labour 8,015 5,310 7.28%
470 Thornbury and Yate Liberal Democrat 19,014 Reform 13,296 5,718 7.31%
471 Gillingham and Rainham Reform 14,529 Conservative 9,118 5,411 7.36%
472 Edinburgh North and Leith SNP 15,857 Labour 10,071 5,786 7.38%
473 Rawmarsh and Conisbrough Reform 14,751 Labour 9,596 5,155 7.46%
474 Bexleyheath and Crayford Reform 15,940 Conservative 10,694 5,246 7.46%
475 Ossett and Denby Dale Reform 15,471 Conservative 10,072 5,399 7.47%
476 Glasgow West SNP 14,338 Labour 9,166 5,172 7.49%
477 Hornsey and Friern Barnet Labour 17,139 Green 11,891 5,248 7.51%
478 Erewash Reform 15,247 Labour 9,874 5,373 7.51%
479 Rossendale and Darwen Reform 16,152 Labour 10,548 5,604 7.53%
480 Telford Reform 16,085 Labour 10,527 5,558 7.53%
481 Midlothian SNP 16,983 Labour 11,439 5,544 7.54%
482 Edinburgh South West SNP 14,652 Labour 9,075 5,577 7.56%
483 Belfast North Sinn Fein 17,674 DUP 12,062 5,612 7.56%
484 Sheffield South East Labour 13,336 Green 7,709 5,627 7.59%
485 Bethnal Green and Stepney Other 15,699 Green 9,508 6,191 7.60%
486 Plymouth Moor View Reform 15,910 Labour 10,220 5,690 7.61%
487 Havant Reform 15,458 Conservative 9,940 5,518 7.63%
488 Bolton North East Reform 15,195 Labour 9,042 6,153 7.69%
489 Nuneaton Reform 14,760 Conservative 9,197 5,563 7.74%
490 Scarborough and Whitby Reform 16,002 Labour 10,228 5,774 7.75%
491 North Devon Liberal Democrat 19,472 Reform 13,328 6,144 7.77%
492 Halesowen Reform 13,922 Labour 8,591 5,331 7.78%
493 Tipton and Wednesbury Reform 12,405 Labour 6,637 5,768 7.78%
494 Bishop Auckland Reform 15,346 Labour 9,838 5,508 7.79%
495 Ashford Reform 16,301 Conservative 10,355 5,946 7.80%
496 Mid Dunbartonshire Liberal Democrat 19,530 SNP 13,780 5,750 7.81%
497 Glastonbury and Somerton Liberal Democrat 18,199 Reform 12,495 5,704 7.82%
498 Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West SNP 14,894 Labour 9,403 5,491 7.83%
499 Bootle Labour 16,664 Reform 10,933 5,731 7.85%
500 Coatbridge and Bellshill SNP 15,351 Labour 9,645 5,706 7.85%
501 Thurrock Reform 14,975 Labour 9,199 5,776 7.87%
502 Newcastle-under-Lyme Reform 14,551 Labour 9,203 5,348 7.89%
503 Newbury Liberal Democrat 17,873 Conservative 12,169 5,704 7.92%
504 Melksham and Devizes Liberal Democrat 18,304 Conservative 12,479 5,825 7.93%
505 Castle Point Reform 17,294 Conservative 11,656 5,638 7.94%
506 Horsham Liberal Democrat 19,913 Conservative 13,630 6,283 7.94%
507 Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley Reform 15,780 Labour 9,845 5,935 7.95%
508 Normanton and Hemsworth Reform 15,937 Labour 9,917 6,020 7.96%
509 Paisley and Renfrewshire South SNP 15,427 Labour 9,706 5,721 7.99%
510 Stoke-on-Trent North Reform 14,017 Labour 8,368 5,649 8.09%
511 Chelmsford Liberal Democrat 18,538 Reform 12,306 6,232 8.10%
512 St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Liberal Democrat 17,814 Reform 11,479 6,335 8.11%
513 North Norfolk Liberal Democrat 17,667 Conservative 11,869 5,798 8.12%
514 Easington Reform 15,291 Labour 9,642 5,649 8.14%
515 Rochester and Strood Reform 15,859 Conservative 9,756 6,103 8.22%
516 Dewsbury and Batley Other 15,641 Reform 9,744 5,897 8.23%
517 Tamworth Reform 17,111 Conservative 10,927 6,184 8.24%
518 Mid Dorset and North Poole Liberal Democrat 22,642 Conservative 16,433 6,209 8.25%
519 Kingston upon Hull East Reform 13,150 Labour 7,286 5,864 8.30%
520 Paisley and Renfrewshire North SNP 15,617 Labour 9,695 5,922 8.33%
521 Heywood and Middleton North Reform 15,434 Labour 9,324 6,110 8.33%
522 Glasgow North SNP 12,696 Labour 7,030 5,666 8.38%
523 Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Conservative 16,887 Reform 11,026 5,861 8.38%
524 Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross Liberal Democrat 18,640 SNP 12,343 6,297 8.44%
525 Washington and Gateshead South Reform 16,176 Labour 10,143 6,033 8.50%
526 Lowestoft Reform 16,024 Conservative 9,669 6,355 8.55%
527 Houghton and Sunderland South Reform 17,505 Labour 10,798 6,707 8.55%
528 Chatham and Aylesford Reform 15,443 Conservative 9,019 6,424 8.55%
529 Blackpool North and Fleetwood Reform 15,980 Labour 9,656 6,324 8.64%
530 Glasgow East SNP 13,527 Labour 7,535 5,992 8.69%
531 Sittingbourne and Sheppey Reform 15,647 Conservative 8,724 6,923 8.76%
532 West Dunbartonshire SNP 15,675 Labour 9,601 6,074 8.79%
533 Sunderland Central Reform 16,218 Labour 9,462 6,756 8.87%
534 Rotherham Reform 15,892 Labour 9,155 6,737 8.87%
535 Spen Valley Reform 15,601 Labour 9,123 6,478 8.92%
536 Falkirk SNP 15,503 Labour 8,929 6,574 8.93%
537 North Ayrshire and Arran SNP 15,311 Reform 8,835 6,476 8.97%
538 Dudley Reform 14,292 Conservative 7,986 6,306 8.99%
539 Bangor Aberconwy Plaid Cymru 17,447 Reform 11,100 6,347 9.00%
540 Tooting Labour 17,716 Green 10,823 6,893 9.05%
541 Basildon and Billericay Reform 16,860 Conservative 9,869 6,991 9.09%
542 Upper Bann DUP 21,642 Sinn Fein 14,236 7,406 9.12%
543 Epsom and Ewell Liberal Democrat 19,246 Conservative 12,250 6,996 9.14%
544 Livingston SNP 16,884 Reform 9,681 7,203 9.23%
545 South West Norfolk Reform 15,198 Conservative 8,297 6,901 9.24%
546 Kilmarnock and Loudoun SNP 16,258 Labour 9,358 6,900 9.25%
547 Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes Reform 15,829 Labour 8,772 7,057 9.27%
548 Aberdeen North SNP 15,821 Reform 8,753 7,068 9.31%
549 Bicester and Woodstock Liberal Democrat 18,078 Reform 11,138 6,940 9.33%
550 Dorking and Horley Liberal Democrat 18,915 Reform 12,180 6,735 9.40%
551 Sherwood Forest Reform 18,195 Labour 10,763 7,432 9.42%
552 Didcot and Wantage Liberal Democrat 20,127 Reform 12,526 7,601 9.42%
553 Glasgow South West SNP 14,020 Labour 7,514 6,506 9.45%
554 Dover and Deal Reform 17,933 Labour 10,710 7,223 9.45%
555 North Warwickshire and Bedworth Reform 16,439 Conservative 9,816 6,623 9.50%
556 North Durham Reform 16,223 Labour 9,239 6,984 9.54%
557 Witney Liberal Democrat 18,994 Reform 11,798 7,196 9.54%
558 Birmingham Perry Barr Other 14,265 Reform 6,902 7,363 9.64%
559 Barnsley South Reform 16,630 Labour 9,281 7,349 9.69%
560 Cardiff West Plaid Cymru 18,327 Reform 10,987 7,340 9.70%
561 South Antrim UUP 16,311 DUP 8,799 7,512 9.75%
562 Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney Plaid Cymru 13,175 Labour 6,330 6,845 9.76%
563 Carshalton and Wallington Liberal Democrat 18,365 Reform 11,009 7,356 9.89%
564 Glasgow South SNP 15,429 Labour 8,466 6,963 9.92%
565 Aberdeen South SNP 16,510 Conservative 8,750 7,760 10.04%
566 North Down Other 21,030 Alliance 13,608 7,422 10.05%
567 Glenrothes and Mid Fife SNP 15,822 Reform 8,721 7,101 10.05%
568 Cannock Chase Reform 17,581 Conservative 9,816 7,765 10.09%
569 Mid Sussex Liberal Democrat 19,709 Reform 12,019 7,690 10.12%
570 Maidenhead Liberal Democrat 23,225 Conservative 15,555 7,670 10.13%
571 Bristol East Green 21,365 Labour 13,649 7,716 10.16%
572 Hornchurch and Upminster Reform 19,280 Conservative 11,561 7,719 10.23%
573 North Cornwall Liberal Democrat 21,418 Reform 13,539 7,879 10.27%
574 Tewkesbury Liberal Democrat 18,746 Reform 11,179 7,567 10.30%
575 Stratford-on-Avon Liberal Democrat 21,098 Reform 13,257 7,841 10.36%
576 Yeovil Liberal Democrat 20,956 Reform 12,474 8,482 10.61%
577 Makerfield Reform 18,440 Labour 10,272 8,168 10.66%
578 Edinburgh East and Musselburgh SNP 17,150 Labour 9,006 8,144 10.69%
579 Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch SNP 16,567 Labour 9,040 7,527 10.70%
580 Stirling and Strathallan SNP 17,503 Reform 9,304 8,199 10.75%
581 Taunton and Wellington Liberal Democrat 21,613 Reform 13,063 8,550 10.87%
582 Folkestone and Hythe Reform 16,440 Conservative 8,698 7,742 11.05%
583 Surrey Heath Liberal Democrat 19,309 Reform 11,310 7,999 11.12%
584 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry SNP 18,232 Reform 9,707 8,525 11.20%
585 South Cotswolds Liberal Democrat 20,866 Conservative 12,662 8,204 11.40%
586 Leicester South Other 15,536 Reform 7,393 8,143 11.49%
587 Epping Forest Conservative 16,647 Labour 8,261 8,386 11.61%
588 Tunbridge Wells Liberal Democrat 21,514 Reform 12,355 9,159 11.63%
589 Perth and Kinross-shire SNP 20,871 Conservative 11,789 9,082 11.75%
590 Chesham and Amersham Liberal Democrat 22,120 Conservative 13,309 8,811 11.77%
591 Honiton and Sidmouth Liberal Democrat 20,653 Reform 11,607 9,046 11.98%
592 Chippenham Liberal Democrat 20,286 Reform 11,350 8,936 12.06%
593 South Devon Liberal Democrat 20,257 Reform 11,500 8,757 12.12%
594 South Down Sinn Fein 19,698 SDLP 10,418 9,280 12.17%
595 Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber SNP 17,218 Reform 8,483 8,735 12.17%
596 Chichester Liberal Democrat 22,657 Reform 13,054 9,603 12.25%
597 Angus and Perthshire Glens SNP 20,594 Conservative 11,152 9,442 12.32%
598 Henley and Thame Liberal Democrat 21,587 Conservative 12,337 9,250 12.54%
599 Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge Conservative 18,936 Labour 9,947 8,989 12.56%
600 Blackburn Other 18,078 Reform 8,743 9,335 12.74%
601 Wells and Mendip Hills Liberal Democrat 20,909 Reform 11,707 9,202 12.77%
602 Bath Liberal Democrat 18,045 Reform 9,109 8,936 12.83%
603 Amber Valley Reform 18,041 Labour 8,860 9,181 12.83%
604 South Basildon and East Thurrock Reform 17,144 Conservative 7,664 9,480 13.04%
605 North East Fife Liberal Democrat 19,467 SNP 10,306 9,161 13.13%
606 Waveney Valley Green 22,411 Reform 12,796 9,615 13.16%
607 Boston and Skegness Reform 19,919 Conservative 9,848 10,071 13.28%
608 Harrogate and Knaresborough Liberal Democrat 21,626 Reform 11,256 10,370 13.30%
609 North Shropshire Liberal Democrat 23,159 Reform 12,579 10,580 13.64%
610 Dundee Central SNP 18,101 Reform 7,540 10,561 14.23%
611 North Herefordshire Green 23,441 Reform 13,060 10,381 14.26%
612 Eastbourne Liberal Democrat 21,040 Reform 10,681 10,359 14.27%
613 Cheadle Liberal Democrat 21,680 Reform 10,768 10,912 14.67%
614 Wokingham Liberal Democrat 23,238 Conservative 12,165 11,073 14.75%
615 Guildford Liberal Democrat 20,717 Conservative 10,150 10,567 14.95%
616 Cheltenham Liberal Democrat 25,711 Conservative 14,190 11,521 15.13%
617 Edinburgh West Liberal Democrat 22,783 SNP 11,145 11,638 15.22%
618 Caerfyrddin Plaid Cymru 22,799 Reform 11,529 11,270 15.23%
619 St Ives Liberal Democrat 22,053 Reform 11,290 10,763 15.38%
620 Harrow East Conservative 20,564 Reform 8,683 11,881 15.53%
621 Woking Liberal Democrat 21,634 Reform 10,056 11,578 15.87%
622 Lewes Liberal Democrat 23,990 Reform 11,861 12,129 15.92%
623 South Cambridgeshire Liberal Democrat 23,363 Reform 10,934 12,429 16.07%
624 Orkney and Shetland Liberal Democrat 9,366 SNP 3,843 5,523 16.13%
625 Great Yarmouth Reform 19,568 Conservative 7,592 11,976 16.33%
626 West Dorset Liberal Democrat 27,796 Conservative 15,320 12,476 16.43%
627 Belfast South and Mid Down SDLP 21,345 Alliance 8,839 12,506 16.73%
628 Kingston and Surbiton Liberal Democrat 23,107 Reform 10,165 12,942 16.73%
629 Oxford West and Abingdon Liberal Democrat 21,024 Reform 9,108 11,916 17.06%
630 Belfast West Sinn Fein 21,009 Other 8,123 12,886 17.10%
631 Wimbledon Liberal Democrat 23,254 Reform 9,672 13,582 17.79%
632 Ynys Mon Plaid Cymru 16,377 Reform 6,877 9,500 17.88%
633 Harpenden and Berkhamsted Liberal Democrat 24,619 Conservative 11,585 13,034 18.04%
634 Esher and Walton Liberal Democrat 25,318 Conservative 11,298 14,020 18.94%
635 Newry and Armagh Sinn Fein 22,299 SDLP 6,806 15,493 19.80%
636 Winchester Liberal Democrat 26,637 Conservative 11,108 15,529 19.84%
637 Mid Ulster Sinn Fein 24,085 DUP 9,162 14,923 20.17%
638 Clacton Reform 25,489 Conservative 9,118 16,371 20.92%
639 Ashfield Reform 20,837 Other 6,276 14,561 21.12%
640 Islington North Other 24,152 Labour 8,644 15,508 21.29%
641 West Tyrone Sinn Fein 22,711 DUP 6,794 15,917 21.43%
642 St Albans Liberal Democrat 25,958 Reform 9,803 16,155 22.21%
643 Richmond Park Liberal Democrat 25,519 Reform 8,864 16,655 22.21%
644 Ceredigion Preseli Plaid Cymru 26,485 Reform 9,412 17,073 22.56%
645 Twickenham Liberal Democrat 26,962 Reform 9,861 17,101 22.81%
646 Dwyfor Meirionnydd Plaid Cymru 25,294 Reform 8,288 17,006 23.28%
647 Westmorland and Lonsdale Liberal Democrat 27,094 Reform 9,851 17,243 23.94%
648 Brighton Pavilion Green 31,137 Reform 8,809 22,328 29.86%
649 Bristol Central Green 26,816 Labour 7,398 19,418 30.95%
650 Chorley Other 29,301 Green 4,663 24,638 32.94%

See also: Electoral Analysis

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