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VoteClimate: Next General Election Forecast If 2% Vote Climate

Next General Election Forecast If 2% Vote Climate

VoteClimate's Forecast For The Next General Election indicates that if VoteClimate can recruit 2% of the electorate in marginal seats, there are 160 seats where we can change which party wins.

2% of the electorate in 160 seats is just 237,000 voters!

We have a huge and historic opportunity to force a race to the top on climate policy

We've flagged those constituencies as "VC Target" in the projection below.

Predicted vote shares (GB): Conservative: 26% | Labour: 25.5% | Reform: 21.5% | Liberal Democrat: 12.7% | Green: 8%

[Last updated: 31 December 2024]

NB: these constituencies will likely change as the opinion polls fluctuate.

Here is the predicted result in each constituency:

Constituency Winner Second Votes Required
1 Blackpool South - VC Target Labour 12,864 Reform 12,857 7 0.01%
2 Corby and East Northamptonshire - VC Target Labour 15,738 Conservative 15,728 10 0.01%
3 Blackpool North and Fleetwood - VC Target Conservative 12,888 Reform 12,877 11 0.02%
4 Scarborough and Whitby - VC Target Labour 13,217 Conservative 13,187 30 0.04%
5 Lowestoft - VC Target Reform 13,106 Conservative 13,051 55 0.07%
6 Bournemouth East - VC Target Conservative 13,716 Labour 13,658 58 0.08%
7 Oldham East and Saddleworth - VC Target Reform 10,415 Labour 10,342 73 0.10%
8 Glasgow South - VC Target Labour 13,939 SNP 13,869 70 0.10%
9 Stoke-on-Trent Central - VC Target Labour 11,206 Reform 11,128 78 0.11%
10 Crawley - VC Target Conservative 13,011 Labour 12,926 85 0.11%
11 Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch - VC Target SNP 14,786 Labour 14,692 94 0.13%
12 Morecambe and Lunesdale - VC Target Conservative 14,723 Labour 14,612 111 0.15%
13 Huddersfield - VC Target Labour 11,161 Green 11,042 119 0.15%
14 Wellingborough and Rushden - VC Target Labour 13,203 Conservative 13,084 119 0.15%
15 Rossendale and Darwen - VC Target Labour 13,607 Conservative 13,490 117 0.16%
16 Watford - VC Target Conservative 11,658 Labour 11,539 119 0.16%
17 Halifax - VC Target Reform 10,505 Labour 10,376 129 0.17%
18 Rushcliffe - VC Target Conservative 19,161 Labour 19,008 153 0.19%
19 Preston - VC Target Labour 10,268 Other 10,091 177 0.23%
20 Dagenham and Rainham - VC Target Labour 12,417 Reform 12,242 175 0.23%
21 East Londonderry - VC Target DUP 11,506 Sinn Fein 11,327 179 0.24%
22 Glasgow North - VC Target Labour 11,563 SNP 11,403 160 0.24%
23 North East Hampshire - VC Target Conservative 19,976 Liberal Democrat 19,790 186 0.24%
24 Bassetlaw - VC Target Labour 13,786 Conservative 13,593 193 0.25%
25 Halesowen - VC Target Conservative 11,349 Reform 11,179 170 0.25%
26 South Shields - VC Target Labour 11,289 Reform 11,115 174 0.25%
27 Basingstoke - VC Target Labour 15,678 Conservative 15,478 200 0.25%
28 Bradford East - VC Target Labour 10,443 Other 10,235 208 0.28%
29 Easington - VC Target Reform 13,010 Labour 12,799 211 0.30%
30 Barrow and Furness - VC Target Conservative 14,167 Labour 13,935 232 0.31%
31 Glasgow East - VC Target Labour 12,268 SNP 12,053 215 0.31%
32 Bolton South and Walkden - VC Target Labour 11,274 Reform 11,008 266 0.33%
33 Newcastle-under-Lyme - VC Target Labour 11,907 Reform 11,677 230 0.34%
34 Rawmarsh and Conisbrough - VC Target Labour 12,663 Reform 12,421 242 0.35%
35 Ely and East Cambridgeshire - VC Target Conservative 16,628 Liberal Democrat 16,351 277 0.35%
36 Washington and Gateshead South - VC Target Reform 13,699 Labour 13,437 262 0.37%
37 Plymouth Moor View - VC Target Labour 13,183 Conservative 12,907 276 0.37%
38 Loughborough - VC Target Conservative 13,114 Labour 12,858 256 0.37%
39 Aldershot - VC Target Conservative 15,025 Labour 14,730 295 0.38%
40 Carlisle - VC Target Conservative 13,772 Labour 13,466 306 0.39%
41 Rochester and Strood - VC Target Conservative 13,143 Reform 12,851 292 0.39%
42 Hemel Hempstead - VC Target Conservative 12,750 Labour 12,469 281 0.40%
43 Ashton-under-Lyne - VC Target Labour 11,728 Reform 11,438 290 0.41%
44 Glasgow South West - VC Target SNP 12,565 Labour 12,279 286 0.42%
45 Thurrock - VC Target Reform 12,338 Labour 12,032 306 0.42%
46 Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley - VC Target Reform 13,291 Labour 12,972 319 0.43%
47 North Warwickshire and Bedworth - VC Target Reform 13,466 Conservative 13,166 300 0.43%
48 Bolton West - VC Target Conservative 13,217 Labour 12,878 339 0.45%
49 Wycombe - VC Target Conservative 12,137 Labour 11,797 340 0.46%
50 Birmingham Ladywood - VC Target Other 12,137 Labour 11,745 392 0.47%
51 North Ayrshire and Arran - VC Target SNP 13,507 Labour 13,161 346 0.48%
52 Normanton and Hemsworth - VC Target Reform 13,475 Labour 13,112 363 0.48%
53 Bishop Auckland - VC Target Labour 12,746 Reform 12,401 345 0.49%
54 Derby South - VC Target Reform 11,122 Labour 10,765 357 0.49%
55 Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey - VC Target SNP 14,867 Conservative 14,486 381 0.49%
56 Caerphilly - VC Target Labour 10,769 Reform 10,407 362 0.50%
57 Barnsley North - VC Target Labour 14,256 Reform 13,833 423 0.54%
58 North Northumberland - VC Target Conservative 13,571 Labour 13,161 410 0.55%
59 Milton Keynes North - VC Target Conservative 14,839 Labour 14,447 392 0.55%
60 Chatham and Aylesford - VC Target Reform 12,664 Conservative 12,247 417 0.56%
61 Heywood and Middleton North - VC Target Reform 11,803 Labour 11,386 417 0.57%
62 Sherwood Forest - VC Target Reform 14,716 Conservative 14,262 454 0.58%
63 Bolton North East - VC Target Reform 12,403 Labour 11,940 463 0.58%
64 Aberdeenshire North and Moray East - VC Target SNP 13,251 Conservative 12,824 427 0.61%
65 Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North - VC Target Other 9,089 Reform 8,614 475 0.61%
66 Hornchurch and Upminster - VC Target Reform 16,125 Conservative 15,641 484 0.64%
67 Houghton and Sunderland South - VC Target Reform 14,801 Labour 14,279 522 0.67%
68 Neath and Swansea East - VC Target Reform 13,112 Labour 12,583 529 0.69%
69 Southport - VC Target Labour 12,776 Conservative 12,243 533 0.72%
70 South Ribble - VC Target Labour 14,855 Conservative 14,311 544 0.74%
71 Nuneaton - VC Target Conservative 12,410 Reform 11,875 535 0.74%
72 Birmingham Northfield - VC Target Labour 11,097 Reform 10,544 553 0.75%
73 Telford - VC Target Labour 13,718 Reform 13,164 554 0.75%
74 Stoke-on-Trent North - VC Target Reform 11,400 Labour 10,858 542 0.78%
75 Wolverhampton North East - VC Target Labour 10,706 Reform 10,156 550 0.78%
76 Weston-super-Mare - VC Target Conservative 12,645 Labour 12,083 562 0.79%
77 Walsall and Bloxwich - VC Target Reform 9,730 Labour 9,137 593 0.79%
78 Mid Dorset and North Poole - VC Target Liberal Democrat 21,410 Conservative 20,802 608 0.81%
79 Basildon and Billericay - VC Target Reform 13,998 Conservative 13,369 629 0.82%
80 Edinburgh East and Musselburgh - VC Target SNP 15,477 Labour 14,852 625 0.82%
81 Dover and Deal - VC Target Reform 14,729 Labour 14,079 650 0.85%
82 Erewash - VC Target Labour 12,815 Reform 12,201 614 0.86%
83 Bolsover - VC Target Labour 12,810 Reform 12,146 664 0.86%
84 Bangor Aberconwy - VC Target Labour 10,223 Conservative 9,608 615 0.87%
85 Tamworth - VC Target Conservative 14,599 Reform 13,927 672 0.90%
86 Harrow West - VC Target Labour 14,939 Conservative 14,222 717 0.90%
87 Gillingham and Rainham - VC Target Conservative 12,291 Reform 11,631 660 0.90%
88 Livingston - VC Target SNP 15,194 Labour 14,487 707 0.91%
89 Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock - VC Target Labour 11,613 SNP 10,969 644 0.92%
90 Bristol East - VC Target Labour 16,889 Green 16,180 709 0.93%
91 Mid Dunbartonshire - VC Target Liberal Democrat 15,370 SNP 14,680 690 0.94%
92 Southend East and Rochford - VC Target Conservative 12,077 Labour 11,417 660 0.94%
93 Ossett and Denby Dale - VC Target Conservative 13,492 Labour 12,795 697 0.96%
94 Kilmarnock and Loudoun - VC Target Labour 15,044 SNP 14,294 750 1.00%
95 Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe - VC Target Liberal Democrat 13,219 Conservative 12,476 743 1.02%
96 Penrith and Solway - VC Target Conservative 15,686 Labour 14,890 796 1.02%
97 Glenrothes and Mid Fife - VC Target SNP 13,612 Labour 12,886 726 1.03%
98 Falkirk - VC Target Labour 14,457 SNP 13,685 772 1.05%
99 Colne Valley - VC Target Conservative 14,927 Labour 14,152 775 1.07%
100 Birmingham Erdington - VC Target Labour 11,103 Reform 10,275 828 1.07%
101 Leigh and Atherton - VC Target Labour 15,203 Reform 14,347 856 1.07%
102 Havant - VC Target Conservative 13,450 Reform 12,630 820 1.13%
103 Eastleigh - VC Target Liberal Democrat 15,154 Conservative 14,350 804 1.15%
104 Spen Valley - VC Target Reform 12,772 Labour 11,934 838 1.15%
105 Ashford - VC Target Conservative 14,082 Reform 13,192 890 1.17%
106 Rhondda and Ogmore - VC Target Labour 13,070 Reform 12,187 883 1.19%
107 Ynys Mon - VC Target Plaid Cymru 10,590 Conservative 9,960 630 1.19%
108 Ilford South - VC Target Labour 12,352 Other 11,385 967 1.19%
109 Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare - VC Target Labour 11,953 Reform 11,030 923 1.24%
110 Torfaen - VC Target Labour 11,385 Reform 10,465 920 1.28%
111 Stockton North - VC Target Labour 12,940 Reform 12,027 913 1.30%
112 North East Somerset and Hanham - VC Target Conservative 16,415 Labour 15,451 964 1.30%
113 Clwyd East - VC Target Conservative 14,718 Labour 13,708 1,010 1.32%
114 Sittingbourne and Sheppey - VC Target Reform 13,018 Conservative 11,961 1,057 1.34%
115 Alyn and Deeside - VC Target Labour 13,790 Reform 12,767 1,023 1.35%
116 Bradford South - VC Target Reform 9,668 Labour 8,703 965 1.36%
117 South West Norfolk - VC Target Reform 12,590 Conservative 11,574 1,016 1.36%
118 Bury North - VC Target Labour 14,737 Conservative 13,662 1,075 1.38%
119 North Antrim - VC Target Other 12,229 DUP 11,192 1,037 1.39%
120 Hartlepool - VC Target Labour 12,426 Reform 11,433 993 1.39%
121 Dudley - VC Target Reform 11,799 Conservative 10,817 982 1.40%
122 Mansfield - VC Target Conservative 13,312 Reform 12,264 1,048 1.41%
123 Sunderland Central - VC Target Reform 13,700 Labour 12,608 1,092 1.43%
124 East Thanet - VC Target Labour 12,686 Reform 11,602 1,084 1.45%
125 Stafford - VC Target Conservative 14,820 Labour 13,795 1,025 1.45%
126 Glasgow North East - VC Target Labour 12,361 SNP 11,302 1,059 1.46%
127 Milton Keynes Central - VC Target Labour 15,127 Conservative 13,896 1,231 1.52%
128 Northampton South - VC Target Conservative 13,592 Labour 12,514 1,078 1.53%
129 Burnley - VC Target Reform 10,324 Labour 9,168 1,156 1.54%
130 Castle Point - VC Target Conservative 15,592 Reform 14,493 1,099 1.55%
131 Isle of Wight West - VC Target Conservative 10,671 Labour 9,813 858 1.55%
132 Blyth and Ashington - VC Target Labour 15,288 Reform 14,089 1,199 1.57%
133 Hyndburn - VC Target Conservative 10,995 Reform 9,936 1,059 1.58%
134 Scunthorpe - VC Target Conservative 12,675 Labour 11,510 1,165 1.58%
135 Vale of Glamorgan - VC Target Conservative 14,349 Labour 13,158 1,191 1.60%
136 Hitchin - VC Target Labour 17,340 Conservative 16,114 1,226 1.62%
137 Wrexham - VC Target Labour 11,766 Conservative 10,620 1,146 1.63%
138 Cannock Chase - VC Target Reform 14,491 Conservative 13,233 1,258 1.63%
139 High Peak - VC Target Labour 17,023 Conservative 15,798 1,225 1.65%
140 Croydon East - VC Target Labour 13,878 Conservative 12,610 1,268 1.66%
141 South Derbyshire - VC Target Conservative 14,387 Labour 13,151 1,236 1.68%
142 Bournemouth West - VC Target Conservative 11,770 Labour 10,585 1,185 1.69%
143 Bridgwater - VC Target Conservative 12,612 Reform 11,362 1,250 1.75%
144 Tipton and Wednesbury - VC Target Reform 10,196 Conservative 8,890 1,306 1.76%
145 East Antrim - VC Target DUP 11,462 Alliance 10,156 1,306 1.78%
146 Brent West - VC Target Conservative 14,338 Labour 12,909 1,429 1.79%
147 North Durham - VC Target Reform 13,639 Labour 12,318 1,321 1.80%
148 Swindon North - VC Target Conservative 14,694 Labour 13,359 1,335 1.82%
149 Stevenage - VC Target Labour 13,215 Conservative 11,918 1,297 1.83%
150 Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor - VC Target Labour 13,914 Reform 12,589 1,325 1.83%
151 Dumfries and Galloway - VC Target Conservative 14,092 SNP 12,618 1,474 1.88%
152 Newport West and Islwyn - VC Target Labour 13,025 Reform 11,567 1,458 1.92%
153 Luton South and South Bedfordshire - VC Target Labour 9,982 Other 8,494 1,488 1.92%
154 Rotherham - VC Target Reform 14,307 Labour 12,838 1,469 1.93%
155 Pontypridd - VC Target Labour 12,147 Reform 10,667 1,480 1.95%
156 Newton Abbot - VC Target Liberal Democrat 14,390 Conservative 12,950 1,440 1.95%
157 Bridgend - VC Target Labour 12,305 Reform 10,852 1,453 1.99%
158 Horsham - VC Target Liberal Democrat 20,301 Conservative 18,724 1,577 1.99%
159 Southampton Itchen - VC Target Labour 11,786 Conservative 10,423 1,363 1.99%
160 Worcester - VC Target Labour 13,870 Conservative 12,373 1,497 2.00%
161 Rugby Conservative 16,032 Labour 14,525 1,507 2.01%
162 Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross Liberal Democrat 15,633 SNP 14,125 1,508 2.02%
163 Hertford and Stortford Conservative 17,015 Labour 15,418 1,597 2.02%
164 Redcar Conservative 13,107 Labour 11,683 1,424 2.03%
165 Gloucester Conservative 13,755 Labour 12,125 1,630 2.05%
166 Gordon and Buchan Conservative 15,315 SNP 13,876 1,439 2.07%
167 Melksham and Devizes Liberal Democrat 18,726 Conservative 17,203 1,523 2.07%
168 Godalming and Ash Conservative 22,314 Liberal Democrat 20,734 1,580 2.08%
169 Bexleyheath and Crayford Conservative 14,286 Reform 12,805 1,481 2.11%
170 Newbury Liberal Democrat 18,290 Conservative 16,764 1,526 2.12%
171 Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton Other 11,299 Labour 9,673 1,626 2.14%
172 Kettering Conservative 14,966 Labour 13,249 1,717 2.16%
173 Wigan Labour 14,769 Reform 13,049 1,720 2.22%
174 Kingston upon Hull East Reform 11,371 Labour 9,803 1,568 2.22%
175 Jarrow and Gateshead East Labour 14,469 Reform 12,900 1,569 2.23%
176 Warrington North Labour 14,194 Reform 12,609 1,585 2.25%
177 Ipswich Labour 14,336 Conservative 12,630 1,706 2.26%
178 Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes Reform 13,211 Labour 11,466 1,745 2.29%
179 Folkestone and Hythe Reform 13,562 Conservative 11,927 1,635 2.33%
180 Stourbridge Conservative 12,972 Labour 11,364 1,608 2.35%
181 West Dunbartonshire Labour 15,380 SNP 13,753 1,627 2.36%
182 Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice Labour 13,543 Reform 11,813 1,730 2.36%
183 St Austell and Newquay Conservative 14,146 Reform 12,312 1,834 2.41%
184 Stalybridge and Hyde Labour 12,281 Reform 10,530 1,751 2.42%
185 Penistone and Stocksbridge Labour 14,396 Reform 12,683 1,713 2.43%
186 North Norfolk Liberal Democrat 18,090 Conservative 16,350 1,740 2.44%
187 Macclesfield Labour 18,696 Conservative 16,859 1,837 2.45%
188 Burton and Uttoxeter Conservative 14,647 Reform 12,681 1,966 2.52%
189 South East Cornwall Conservative 14,369 Reform 12,506 1,863 2.56%
190 Finchley and Golders Green Conservative 18,454 Labour 16,455 1,999 2.58%
191 Edinburgh South West Labour 14,874 SNP 12,964 1,910 2.59%
192 Wakefield and Rothwell Labour 13,362 Reform 11,417 1,945 2.59%
193 Truro and Falmouth Labour 15,518 Conservative 13,612 1,906 2.61%
194 Thornbury and Yate Liberal Democrat 19,483 Conservative 17,417 2,066 2.64%
195 Barnsley South Reform 14,438 Labour 12,432 2,006 2.64%
196 Paisley and Renfrewshire North Labour 15,595 SNP 13,712 1,883 2.65%
197 Isle of Wight East Conservative 10,467 Reform 8,987 1,480 2.65%
198 Camborne and Redruth Labour 14,423 Conservative 12,453 1,970 2.65%
199 Farnham and Bordon Conservative 18,676 Liberal Democrat 16,654 2,022 2.66%
200 Cities of London and Westminster Conservative 13,313 Labour 11,355 1,958 2.67%
201 East Hampshire Conservative 18,027 Liberal Democrat 16,136 1,891 2.68%
202 Coatbridge and Bellshill Labour 15,374 SNP 13,397 1,977 2.72%
203 Wolverhampton West Labour 14,565 Conservative 12,434 2,131 2.74%
204 Newport East Labour 12,282 Reform 10,160 2,122 2.77%
205 Alloa and Grangemouth Labour 14,252 SNP 12,280 1,972 2.79%
206 Harlow Conservative 14,546 Reform 12,446 2,100 2.81%
207 Sheffield Hallam Labour 19,468 Liberal Democrat 17,412 2,056 2.82%
208 Makerfield Reform 15,909 Labour 13,732 2,177 2.84%
209 Altrincham and Sale West Conservative 17,631 Labour 15,490 2,141 2.89%
210 Paisley and Renfrewshire South Labour 15,616 SNP 13,541 2,075 2.90%
211 Shipley Labour 16,397 Conservative 14,235 2,162 2.92%
212 Rochdale Other 11,587 Labour 9,471 2,116 2.92%
213 Maidenhead Liberal Democrat 21,993 Conservative 19,781 2,212 2.92%
214 Kensington and Bayswater Conservative 14,966 Labour 12,694 2,272 2.94%
215 Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West Labour 15,077 SNP 13,016 2,061 2.94%
216 South Shropshire Conservative 17,399 Liberal Democrat 15,138 2,261 2.95%
217 Welwyn Hatfield Conservative 17,056 Labour 14,826 2,230 2.96%
218 Bridlington and The Wolds Conservative 15,155 Reform 12,947 2,208 2.97%
219 Worthing West Conservative 17,560 Labour 15,273 2,287 2.97%
220 North Dorset Conservative 17,700 Liberal Democrat 15,526 2,174 2.99%
221 Leeds South West and Morley Labour 13,298 Reform 11,144 2,154 3.00%
222 Swansea West Labour 11,041 Reform 8,800 2,241 3.02%
223 Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley Labour 9,222 Other 6,892 2,330 3.03%
224 Maidstone and Malling Conservative 14,518 Reform 12,160 2,358 3.08%
225 Gateshead Central and Whickham Labour 13,772 Reform 11,611 2,161 3.09%
226 Dartford Conservative 14,838 Reform 12,486 2,352 3.12%
227 Bristol South Labour 13,877 Green 11,520 2,357 3.12%
228 Wyre Forest Conservative 14,956 Reform 12,538 2,418 3.13%
229 Calder Valley Labour 16,598 Conservative 14,148 2,450 3.17%
230 Edinburgh North and Leith Labour 16,704 SNP 14,203 2,501 3.19%
231 Glasgow West Labour 14,831 SNP 12,626 2,205 3.19%
232 Gravesham Conservative 14,678 Labour 12,314 2,364 3.23%
233 Banbury Conservative 16,062 Labour 13,679 2,383 3.25%
234 Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr Reform 11,586 Labour 9,168 2,418 3.27%
235 Congleton Conservative 16,342 Labour 13,956 2,386 3.27%
236 Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme Conservative 13,514 Reform 11,212 2,302 3.28%
237 Luton North Labour 10,867 Other 8,405 2,462 3.29%
238 Faversham and Mid Kent Conservative 15,245 Reform 12,786 2,459 3.31%
239 Birmingham Yardley Other 10,582 Labour 8,149 2,433 3.32%
240 Colchester Labour 14,057 Conservative 11,434 2,623 3.33%
241 York Outer Labour 17,480 Conservative 14,938 2,542 3.33%
242 Eltham and Chislehurst Labour 15,097 Conservative 12,625 2,472 3.34%
243 Stirling and Strathallan SNP 15,715 Labour 13,165 2,550 3.34%
244 Wolverhampton South East Labour 12,863 Reform 10,266 2,597 3.35%
245 Doncaster Central Labour 13,259 Reform 10,751 2,508 3.36%
246 Crewe and Nantwich Labour 15,681 Reform 13,081 2,600 3.37%
247 South Norfolk Conservative 15,260 Labour 12,739 2,521 3.41%
248 Middlesbrough and Thornaby East Labour 12,340 Reform 9,679 2,661 3.54%
249 Epsom and Ewell Liberal Democrat 19,613 Conservative 16,899 2,714 3.55%
250 Cardiff West Labour 12,128 Plaid Cymru 9,423 2,705 3.57%
251 Broxtowe Labour 14,590 Conservative 12,067 2,523 3.58%
252 Lagan Valley Alliance 18,618 DUP 15,659 2,959 3.60%
253 Tiverton and Minehead Liberal Democrat 17,139 Conservative 14,532 2,607 3.62%
254 Belfast East DUP 19,894 Alliance 17,218 2,676 3.67%
255 Stoke-on-Trent South Conservative 14,181 Reform 11,579 2,602 3.72%
256 Bognor Regis and Littlehampton Conservative 16,124 Reform 13,252 2,872 3.74%
257 Worsley and Eccles Labour 15,409 Reform 12,455 2,954 3.76%
258 Nottingham North and Kimberley Labour 12,494 Reform 9,703 2,791 3.78%
259 Romsey and Southampton North Conservative 19,306 Liberal Democrat 16,562 2,744 3.82%
260 Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke Labour 15,275 SNP 12,531 2,744 3.82%
261 Hastings and Rye Labour 14,296 Conservative 11,372 2,924 3.85%
262 Louth and Horncastle Conservative 17,516 Reform 14,541 2,975 3.87%
263 Central Ayrshire Labour 14,269 SNP 11,570 2,699 3.89%
264 Slough Other 13,870 Labour 10,701 3,169 3.90%
265 Darlington Conservative 15,109 Labour 12,338 2,771 3.92%
266 Canterbury Labour 14,581 Conservative 11,785 2,796 3.93%
267 Rayleigh and Wickford Conservative 17,964 Reform 14,932 3,032 3.96%
268 West Bromwich Labour 12,780 Reform 9,848 2,932 3.96%
269 Bradford West Labour 8,459 Reform 5,365 3,094 3.97%
270 Buckingham and Bletchley Conservative 15,962 Labour 12,988 2,974 3.97%
271 East Worthing and Shoreham Labour 16,684 Conservative 13,700 2,984 3.99%
272 Blaydon and Consett Labour 16,177 Reform 13,358 2,819 4.00%
273 Mid and South Pembrokeshire Conservative 15,325 Labour 12,126 3,199 4.05%
274 Feltham and Heston Labour 12,077 Conservative 8,952 3,125 4.06%
275 Monmouthshire Conservative 18,734 Labour 15,692 3,042 4.07%
276 Sutton and Cheam Liberal Democrat 16,788 Conservative 13,848 2,940 4.07%
277 Mid Cheshire Labour 13,902 Reform 11,027 2,875 4.08%
278 Aberdeen South SNP 15,216 Conservative 12,003 3,213 4.16%
279 Brigg and Immingham Conservative 16,297 Reform 13,251 3,046 4.17%
280 Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy Labour 14,871 SNP 11,876 2,995 4.17%
281 Filton and Bradley Stoke Labour 17,289 Conservative 14,042 3,247 4.19%
282 Staffordshire Moorlands Conservative 15,842 Reform 12,879 2,963 4.24%
283 Southend West and Leigh Conservative 15,505 Labour 12,309 3,196 4.25%
284 Portsmouth North Conservative 14,318 Reform 11,280 3,038 4.31%
285 Perth and Kinross-shire SNP 18,898 Conservative 15,517 3,381 4.38%
286 Wirral West Labour 17,520 Conservative 14,328 3,192 4.38%
287 Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West Labour 14,305 Reform 10,928 3,377 4.40%
288 Kingston upon Hull North and Cottingham Labour 14,075 Reform 10,749 3,326 4.42%
289 Witney Liberal Democrat 19,482 Conservative 16,141 3,341 4.43%
290 Braintree Conservative 17,796 Reform 14,355 3,441 4.43%
291 Spelthorne Conservative 14,413 Reform 11,142 3,271 4.43%
292 Lincoln Labour 13,886 Reform 10,680 3,206 4.43%
293 Brentwood and Ongar Conservative 17,864 Reform 14,518 3,346 4.44%
294 Clwyd North Conservative 14,225 Labour 10,873 3,352 4.47%
295 Selby Labour 17,239 Conservative 13,735 3,504 4.49%
296 Gower Labour 15,399 Reform 11,979 3,420 4.49%
297 East Renfrewshire Labour 17,293 SNP 13,931 3,362 4.51%
298 Swindon South Labour 16,496 Conservative 13,204 3,292 4.54%
299 St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Liberal Democrat 18,365 Conservative 14,773 3,592 4.60%
300 Midlothian Labour 17,567 SNP 14,182 3,385 4.60%
301 Leicester East Conservative 14,529 Other 11,005 3,524 4.60%
302 Redditch Conservative 14,638 Reform 11,351 3,287 4.63%
303 Romford Conservative 15,830 Reform 12,451 3,379 4.63%
304 Aberafan Maesteg Labour 13,718 Reform 10,346 3,372 4.65%
305 Chipping Barnet Conservative 19,798 Labour 16,163 3,635 4.66%
306 North West Leicestershire Conservative 16,556 Reform 12,919 3,637 4.68%
307 Ilford North Other 15,119 Labour 11,394 3,725 4.74%
308 The Wrekin Conservative 16,867 Reform 13,124 3,743 4.74%
309 Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Conservative 15,952 Labour 12,222 3,730 4.75%
310 Lancaster and Wyre Labour 14,557 Conservative 10,993 3,564 4.77%
311 Airdrie and Shotts Labour 15,299 SNP 11,950 3,349 4.77%
312 Derby North Labour 14,055 Conservative 10,610 3,445 4.79%
313 West Suffolk Conservative 16,150 Reform 12,452 3,698 4.79%
314 Northampton North Labour 13,691 Conservative 10,063 3,628 4.80%
315 North East Hertfordshire Conservative 17,205 Labour 13,475 3,730 4.80%
316 North West Cambridgeshire Conservative 15,327 Reform 11,663 3,664 4.83%
317 Birmingham Edgbaston Labour 12,517 Conservative 9,035 3,482 4.85%
318 Amber Valley Reform 15,105 Labour 11,621 3,484 4.87%
319 Chelmsford Liberal Democrat 19,026 Conservative 15,277 3,749 4.87%
320 Bermondsey and Old Southwark Labour 12,709 Liberal Democrat 9,317 3,392 4.88%
321 Leicester West Labour 11,903 Reform 8,253 3,650 4.93%
322 Mid Derbyshire Conservative 16,228 Labour 12,783 3,445 4.93%
323 Bury South Labour 14,548 Conservative 10,831 3,717 4.93%
324 Brentford and Isleworth Labour 15,074 Conservative 11,151 3,923 4.94%
325 North East Derbyshire Conservative 16,653 Labour 13,027 3,626 4.95%
326 Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Conservative 14,890 Reform 11,086 3,804 4.96%
327 Stroud Labour 19,379 Conservative 15,509 3,870 4.97%
328 Hexham Conservative 23,421 Labour 19,620 3,801 4.97%
329 Leeds East Labour 14,132 Reform 10,328 3,804 4.99%
330 South Dorset Conservative 15,211 Labour 11,403 3,808 5.02%
331 Dunfermline and Dollar Labour 16,409 SNP 12,756 3,653 5.02%
332 Bethnal Green and Stepney Other 15,699 Labour 11,604 4,095 5.03%
333 Exmouth and Exeter East Conservative 15,220 Liberal Democrat 11,196 4,024 5.03%
334 Chesterfield Labour 14,625 Reform 11,016 3,609 5.04%
335 Coventry North West Labour 14,928 Reform 11,115 3,813 5.08%
336 Suffolk Coastal Conservative 15,201 Labour 11,406 3,795 5.09%
337 East Kilbride and Strathaven Labour 18,069 SNP 14,153 3,916 5.12%
338 Aylesbury Conservative 14,998 Labour 10,931 4,067 5.14%
339 Pendle and Clitheroe Conservative 15,884 Labour 11,819 4,065 5.16%
340 Boston and Skegness Reform 17,443 Conservative 13,515 3,928 5.18%
341 Herne Bay and Sandwich Conservative 17,730 Reform 13,695 4,035 5.18%
342 Central Suffolk and North Ipswich Conservative 15,351 Reform 11,559 3,792 5.19%
343 Cramlington and Killingworth Labour 16,991 Reform 12,980 4,011 5.26%
344 Bracknell Conservative 14,592 Labour 10,815 3,777 5.27%
345 Maldon Conservative 19,318 Reform 15,186 4,132 5.28%
346 St Helens North Labour 16,384 Reform 12,395 3,989 5.28%
347 Reading West and Mid Berkshire Conservative 15,593 Labour 11,944 3,649 5.31%
348 Blackley and Middleton South Labour 13,022 Reform 9,162 3,860 5.34%
349 North Cotswolds Conservative 17,337 Liberal Democrat 13,428 3,909 5.34%
350 Angus and Perthshire Glens SNP 18,888 Conservative 14,792 4,096 5.34%
351 Bathgate and Linlithgow Labour 15,876 SNP 12,017 3,859 5.35%
352 Bicester and Woodstock Liberal Democrat 18,486 Conservative 14,494 3,992 5.37%
353 Aldridge-Brownhills Conservative 16,209 Reform 12,419 3,790 5.39%
354 South Cotswolds Liberal Democrat 21,364 Conservative 17,476 3,888 5.40%
355 Daventry Conservative 18,311 Reform 13,934 4,377 5.41%
356 Lichfield Conservative 17,144 Reform 13,024 4,120 5.41%
357 South Holland and The Deepings Conservative 17,341 Reform 13,083 4,258 5.43%
358 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Conservative 18,036 SNP 14,073 3,963 5.43%
359 Harwich and North Essex Conservative 17,088 Reform 12,919 4,169 5.46%
360 Torridge and Tavistock Conservative 16,204 Reform 12,116 4,088 5.47%
361 Peterborough Conservative 13,784 Labour 9,757 4,027 5.49%
362 Bromsgrove Conservative 16,894 Reform 12,678 4,216 5.51%
363 South Basildon and East Thurrock Reform 14,623 Conservative 10,615 4,008 5.52%
364 Rutherglen Labour 17,510 SNP 13,494 4,016 5.53%
365 Barking Labour 12,256 Reform 7,843 4,413 5.53%
366 Norwich North Labour 15,697 Reform 11,616 4,081 5.54%
367 Gainsborough Conservative 17,004 Reform 12,805 4,199 5.54%
368 Sleaford and North Hykeham Conservative 17,644 Reform 13,420 4,224 5.58%
369 Hereford and South Herefordshire Conservative 15,330 Reform 11,295 4,035 5.59%
370 Bedford Labour 13,851 Conservative 9,799 4,052 5.59%
371 Cardiff East Labour 11,805 Reform 7,729 4,076 5.59%
372 South Suffolk Conservative 16,440 Reform 12,254 4,186 5.61%
373 Rother Valley Conservative 15,774 Labour 11,871 3,903 5.62%
374 Coventry South Labour 15,477 Conservative 11,184 4,293 5.63%
375 Dundee Central SNP 16,098 Labour 11,917 4,181 5.63%
376 Foyle SDLP 15,647 Sinn Fein 11,481 4,166 5.67%
377 Torbay Liberal Democrat 17,614 Conservative 13,293 4,321 5.67%
378 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry SNP 15,948 Labour 11,624 4,324 5.68%
379 Manchester Rusholme Labour 11,658 Green 7,500 4,158 5.73%
380 Chesham and Amersham Liberal Democrat 22,665 Conservative 18,374 4,291 5.73%
381 Leeds Central and Headingley Labour 12,135 Green 8,079 4,056 5.75%
382 City of Durham Labour 14,505 Reform 10,429 4,076 5.77%
383 Warrington South Labour 17,576 Conservative 13,009 4,567 5.83%
384 Fermanagh and South Tyrone Sinn Fein 24,844 UUP 20,273 4,571 5.87%
385 Coventry East Labour 13,995 Reform 9,544 4,451 5.87%
386 West Ham and Beckton Labour 12,476 Other 7,830 4,646 5.88%
387 Ribble Valley Conservative 18,077 Labour 13,340 4,737 5.89%
388 Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend Labour 16,218 Reform 11,689 4,529 5.94%
389 Llanelli Reform 13,767 Plaid Cymru 9,511 4,256 5.95%
390 Stratford and Bow Labour 14,481 Other 9,646 4,835 5.99%
391 Shrewsbury Labour 17,266 Conservative 12,670 4,596 6.00%
392 Poole Conservative 14,678 Reform 10,326 4,352 6.00%
393 Dorking and Horley Liberal Democrat 19,514 Conservative 15,194 4,320 6.03%
394 Uxbridge and South Ruislip Conservative 16,731 Labour 12,222 4,509 6.03%
395 Birmingham Selly Oak Labour 13,127 Reform 8,557 4,570 6.04%
396 Smethwick Labour 12,868 Reform 8,346 4,522 6.21%
397 Aberdeen North SNP 14,669 Labour 9,939 4,730 6.23%
398 Broxbourne Conservative 16,225 Reform 11,510 4,715 6.27%
399 Broadland and Fakenham Conservative 16,892 Reform 12,068 4,824 6.28%
400 Frome and East Somerset Liberal Democrat 15,667 Conservative 11,225 4,442 6.31%
401 Southampton Test Labour 12,013 Reform 7,868 4,145 6.33%
402 Didcot and Wantage Liberal Democrat 20,658 Conservative 15,541 5,117 6.34%
403 Surrey Heath Liberal Democrat 19,868 Conservative 15,305 4,563 6.34%
404 St Helens South and Whiston Labour 14,512 Reform 9,950 4,562 6.37%
405 Hamilton and Clyde Valley Labour 17,084 SNP 12,264 4,820 6.39%
406 Birmingham Perry Barr Other 14,265 Labour 9,338 4,927 6.45%
407 Hendon Conservative 16,588 Labour 11,748 4,840 6.46%
408 Mid Norfolk Conservative 17,204 Reform 12,333 4,871 6.47%
409 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale Conservative 15,496 SNP 10,835 4,661 6.48%
410 Forest of Dean Conservative 16,756 Labour 11,990 4,766 6.54%
411 Fylde Conservative 16,469 Reform 11,407 5,062 6.57%
412 Whitehaven and Workington Labour 17,082 Reform 12,264 4,818 6.58%
413 Grantham and Bourne Conservative 17,033 Reform 12,190 4,843 6.61%
414 South Leicestershire Conservative 18,518 Reform 13,319 5,199 6.62%
415 North West Norfolk Conservative 16,317 Reform 11,383 4,934 6.63%
416 Gedling Labour 17,683 Conservative 12,551 5,132 6.66%
417 Chingford and Woodford Green Conservative 17,399 Other 12,445 4,954 6.69%
418 Sheffield Central Labour 13,846 Green 9,789 4,057 6.70%
419 Hamble Valley Conservative 19,491 Liberal Democrat 14,164 5,327 6.70%
420 Beverley and Holderness Conservative 16,122 Labour 11,265 4,857 6.75%
421 North East Fife Liberal Democrat 16,497 SNP 11,784 4,713 6.76%
422 Old Bexley and Sidcup Conservative 18,362 Reform 13,397 4,965 6.78%
423 Waveney Valley Green 19,607 Conservative 14,614 4,993 6.83%
424 Henley and Thame Liberal Democrat 22,191 Conservative 17,125 5,066 6.87%
425 Plymouth Sutton and Devonport Labour 15,882 Reform 10,704 5,178 6.88%
426 Sussex Weald Conservative 16,651 Reform 11,639 5,012 6.88%
427 Strangford DUP 15,559 Alliance 10,428 5,131 6.88%
428 Earley and Woodley Conservative 19,619 Labour 14,549 5,070 6.89%
429 North East Cambridgeshire Conservative 16,169 Reform 11,232 4,937 6.90%
430 Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven Labour 14,550 Conservative 9,799 4,751 6.91%
431 South West Hertfordshire Conservative 16,500 Liberal Democrat 11,540 4,960 6.91%
432 Nottingham South Labour 11,844 Reform 7,398 4,446 6.92%
433 Central Devon Conservative 17,449 Labour 12,194 5,255 6.97%
434 Derbyshire Dales Conservative 18,139 Labour 13,024 5,115 6.98%
435 North Devon Liberal Democrat 20,235 Conservative 14,710 5,525 6.99%
436 Tewkesbury Liberal Democrat 19,365 Conservative 14,208 5,157 7.02%
437 Chelsea and Fulham Conservative 19,306 Labour 13,782 5,524 7.04%
438 North Somerset Conservative 19,313 Labour 14,071 5,242 7.04%
439 Beckenham and Penge Labour 19,642 Conservative 14,161 5,481 7.10%
440 Cardiff North Labour 15,706 Conservative 10,632 5,074 7.10%
441 Hinckley and Bosworth Conservative 16,967 Reform 11,504 5,463 7.15%
442 South West Wiltshire Conservative 15,941 Reform 10,701 5,240 7.17%
443 North Herefordshire Green 20,650 Conservative 15,423 5,227 7.18%
444 Doncaster North Labour 13,750 Conservative 8,737 5,013 7.19%
445 Warwick and Leamington Labour 18,259 Conservative 12,762 5,497 7.21%
446 Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire SNP 17,650 Liberal Democrat 12,029 5,621 7.21%
447 Bromley and Biggin Hill Conservative 16,542 Labour 11,423 5,119 7.24%
448 Honiton and Sidmouth Liberal Democrat 21,313 Conservative 15,822 5,491 7.27%
449 Leeds North West Labour 17,304 Conservative 12,090 5,214 7.28%
450 Mid Sussex Liberal Democrat 20,180 Conservative 14,597 5,583 7.35%
451 Christchurch Conservative 16,766 Reform 11,539 5,227 7.36%
452 Fareham and Waterlooville Conservative 17,724 Reform 12,057 5,667 7.36%
453 Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland Conservative 18,535 Labour 13,341 5,194 7.39%
454 South West Devon Conservative 18,445 Reform 12,702 5,743 7.40%
455 Battersea Labour 17,521 Conservative 12,100 5,421 7.44%
456 Glastonbury and Somerton Liberal Democrat 18,920 Conservative 13,454 5,466 7.49%
457 Mid Bedfordshire Conservative 17,464 Reform 11,804 5,660 7.50%
458 Leeds West and Pudsey Labour 14,487 Reform 9,219 5,268 7.52%
459 Belfast North Sinn Fein 17,674 DUP 12,062 5,612 7.56%
460 Putney Labour 18,382 Conservative 12,840 5,542 7.62%
461 Meriden and Solihull East Conservative 17,102 Reform 11,482 5,620 7.63%
462 West Lancashire Labour 17,066 Reform 11,331 5,735 7.74%
463 Stratford-on-Avon Liberal Democrat 21,801 Conservative 15,931 5,870 7.75%
464 Portsmouth South Labour 14,357 Reform 8,625 5,732 7.78%
465 Witham Conservative 19,148 Reform 12,979 6,169 7.81%
466 Bexhill and Battle Conservative 16,565 Reform 10,922 5,643 7.82%
467 Chester North and Neston Labour 16,998 Conservative 11,505 5,493 7.82%
468 Leicester South Other 15,536 Labour 9,990 5,546 7.83%
469 Sevenoaks Conservative 18,030 Liberal Democrat 12,197 5,833 7.91%
470 Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber SNP 16,182 Conservative 10,480 5,702 7.95%
471 Cardiff South and Penarth Labour 13,145 Reform 7,325 5,820 7.97%
472 Beaconsfield Conservative 18,213 Liberal Democrat 12,377 5,836 8.02%
473 Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Conservative 18,418 Reform 12,654 5,764 8.05%
474 Caerfyrddin Plaid Cymru 15,520 Reform 9,563 5,957 8.05%
475 Melton and Syston Conservative 17,776 Reform 11,751 6,025 8.11%
476 Salisbury Conservative 17,449 Liberal Democrat 11,568 5,881 8.19%
477 South Devon Liberal Democrat 20,921 Conservative 15,001 5,920 8.19%
478 Mid Leicestershire Conservative 18,303 Reform 12,058 6,245 8.23%
479 Gorton and Denton Labour 14,271 Reform 7,961 6,310 8.25%
480 Bristol North East Labour 14,349 Green 8,502 5,847 8.34%
481 Cheltenham Liberal Democrat 24,777 Conservative 18,400 6,377 8.37%
482 Mid Buckinghamshire Conservative 19,979 Liberal Democrat 13,627 6,352 8.40%
483 Huntingdon Conservative 18,872 Labour 12,210 6,662 8.43%
484 Enfield North Labour 16,318 Conservative 9,666 6,652 8.44%
485 Orpington Conservative 17,789 Reform 11,731 6,058 8.50%
486 Hayes and Harlington Labour 15,771 Conservative 9,425 6,346 8.53%
487 East Wiltshire Conservative 17,116 Reform 10,786 6,330 8.54%
488 Salford Labour 16,310 Reform 9,144 7,166 8.57%
489 East Surrey Conservative 17,526 Reform 11,236 6,290 8.58%
490 Edinburgh West Liberal Democrat 18,750 SNP 12,173 6,577 8.60%
491 Great Yarmouth Reform 16,944 Conservative 10,554 6,390 8.72%
492 Holborn and St Pancras Labour 14,521 Other 8,305 6,216 8.72%
493 Reading Central Labour 16,405 Conservative 9,983 6,422 8.73%
494 Exeter Labour 13,757 Reform 7,832 5,925 8.73%
495 Poplar and Limehouse Labour 13,941 Green 6,582 7,359 8.75%
496 Skipton and Ripon Conservative 19,460 Labour 12,517 6,943 8.76%
497 Runcorn and Helsby Labour 17,233 Reform 11,017 6,216 8.78%
498 Wythenshawe and Sale East Labour 15,871 Reform 9,041 6,830 8.78%
499 West Worcestershire Conservative 19,557 Liberal Democrat 12,582 6,975 8.80%
500 Ealing North Labour 15,742 Conservative 9,134 6,608 8.83%
501 Harrogate and Knaresborough Liberal Democrat 22,328 Conservative 15,399 6,929 8.89%
502 Stockport Labour 16,669 Reform 9,848 6,821 8.90%
503 Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Conservative 19,042 SNP 12,163 6,879 9.00%
504 Edmonton and Winchmore Hill Labour 15,721 Conservative 8,883 6,838 9.02%
505 New Forest West Conservative 16,572 Reform 10,365 6,207 9.04%
506 Solihull West and Shirley Conservative 16,522 Reform 10,027 6,495 9.04%
507 Goole and Pocklington Conservative 19,491 Reform 12,256 7,235 9.05%
508 Manchester Central Labour 15,498 Reform 7,773 7,725 9.07%
509 West Dorset Liberal Democrat 26,709 Conservative 19,798 6,911 9.10%
510 Upper Bann DUP 21,642 Sinn Fein 14,236 7,406 9.12%
511 Carshalton and Wallington Liberal Democrat 18,984 Conservative 12,204 6,780 9.12%
512 Keighley and Ilkley Conservative 19,340 Labour 12,510 6,830 9.18%
513 North West Hampshire Conservative 18,196 Reform 10,957 7,239 9.21%
514 Chippenham Liberal Democrat 21,006 Conservative 14,132 6,874 9.28%
515 Cambridge Labour 16,049 Liberal Democrat 9,524 6,525 9.28%
516 Wokingham Liberal Democrat 23,923 Conservative 16,936 6,987 9.31%
517 Tatton Conservative 20,773 Labour 13,861 6,912 9.31%
518 Weald of Kent Conservative 20,304 Reform 13,195 7,109 9.36%
519 Tunbridge Wells Liberal Democrat 22,230 Conservative 14,850 7,380 9.37%
520 East Ham Labour 15,181 Other 7,670 7,511 9.48%
521 Harborough, Oadby and Wigston Conservative 19,203 Labour 11,833 7,370 9.56%
522 Norwich South Labour 16,320 Green 9,009 7,311 9.58%
523 Ealing Central and Acton Labour 16,947 Conservative 9,376 7,571 9.65%
524 Hazel Grove Liberal Democrat 16,800 Reform 9,750 7,050 9.68%
525 Leeds South Labour 14,450 Green 7,086 7,364 9.70%
526 North West Essex Conservative 19,922 Labour 12,157 7,765 9.74%
527 South Antrim UUP 16,311 DUP 8,799 7,512 9.75%
528 Thirsk and Malton Conservative 19,686 Reform 11,951 7,735 9.86%
529 Brent East Labour 14,917 Conservative 7,239 7,678 9.90%
530 Birkenhead Labour 17,273 Green 9,538 7,735 9.91%
531 Droitwich and Evesham Conservative 20,009 Reform 12,360 7,649 9.98%
532 Windsor Conservative 16,550 Liberal Democrat 9,218 7,332 10.00%
533 Gosport Conservative 18,060 Reform 10,711 7,349 10.03%
534 North Down Other 21,030 Alliance 13,608 7,422 10.05%
535 New Forest East Conservative 17,353 Reform 10,259 7,094 10.05%
536 Sutton Coldfield Conservative 19,098 Labour 11,654 7,444 10.05%
537 Guildford Liberal Democrat 21,382 Conservative 14,215 7,167 10.14%
538 Croydon South Conservative 20,483 Labour 12,816 7,667 10.24%
539 Erith and Thamesmead Labour 17,267 Reform 9,152 8,115 10.31%
540 Dewsbury and Batley Other 15,641 Reform 8,240 7,401 10.32%
541 South Northamptonshire Conservative 19,641 Reform 12,356 7,285 10.35%
542 Hampstead and Highgate Labour 17,831 Conservative 9,540 8,291 10.36%
543 Reigate Conservative 19,313 Labour 11,312 8,001 10.38%
544 Tynemouth Labour 18,762 Reform 11,106 7,656 10.46%
545 Hackney South and Shoreditch Labour 19,423 Green 11,135 8,288 10.59%
546 Lothian East Labour 19,016 SNP 10,963 8,053 10.67%
547 Sheffield South East Labour 15,746 Conservative 7,792 7,954 10.73%
548 Stockton West Conservative 21,206 Labour 13,473 7,733 10.76%
549 Orkney and Shetland Liberal Democrat 8,008 SNP 4,309 3,699 10.80%
550 Runnymede and Weybridge Conservative 18,435 Liberal Democrat 10,422 8,013 10.89%
551 North Bedfordshire Conservative 20,364 Reform 11,685 8,679 11.01%
552 Croydon West Labour 15,958 Conservative 7,349 8,609 11.05%
553 North Cornwall Liberal Democrat 22,330 Conservative 13,833 8,497 11.07%
554 Chester South and Eddisbury Conservative 20,500 Labour 12,271 8,229 11.08%
555 Na h-Eileanan an Iar Labour 5,439 SNP 3,065 2,374 11.13%
556 Stretford and Urmston Labour 17,334 Reform 8,947 8,387 11.16%
557 Newark Conservative 21,592 Labour 12,685 8,907 11.16%
558 Hackney North and Stoke Newington Labour 19,134 Green 10,368 8,766 11.27%
559 Southgate and Wood Green Labour 17,912 Conservative 9,131 8,781 11.32%
560 Hammersmith and Chiswick Labour 18,539 Conservative 9,946 8,593 11.33%
561 Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough Labour 13,763 Green 5,784 7,979 11.34%
562 Streatham and Croydon North Labour 17,880 Green 8,478 9,402 11.35%
563 Manchester Withington Labour 17,031 Green 8,947 8,084 11.46%
564 Ellesmere Port and Bromborough Labour 18,881 Reform 10,732 8,149 11.51%
565 Leyton and Wanstead Labour 15,825 Green 7,524 8,301 11.61%
566 Widnes and Halewood Labour 18,546 Reform 10,341 8,205 11.69%
567 South Cambridgeshire Liberal Democrat 24,135 Conservative 14,936 9,199 11.90%
568 Ealing Southall Labour 17,637 Conservative 8,278 9,359 11.90%
569 South Down Sinn Fein 19,698 SDLP 10,418 9,280 12.17%
570 Newcastle upon Tyne North Labour 18,697 Reform 9,590 9,107 12.18%
571 Bristol North West Labour 18,369 Green 9,243 9,126 12.19%
572 Lewisham North Labour 19,903 Green 10,786 9,117 12.29%
573 Wallasey Labour 19,277 Reform 10,161 9,116 12.31%
574 Vauxhall and Camberwell Green Labour 16,792 Green 7,227 9,565 12.34%
575 Tottenham Labour 18,095 Green 8,594 9,501 12.52%
576 Kenilworth and Southam Conservative 19,599 Reform 10,208 9,391 12.53%
577 Nottingham East Labour 15,114 Reform 6,368 8,746 12.60%
578 East Grinstead and Uckfield Conservative 20,729 Liberal Democrat 11,216 9,513 12.62%
579 Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney Labour 13,867 Conservative 4,995 8,872 12.65%
580 Queen's Park and Maida Vale Labour 15,530 Conservative 5,969 9,561 12.65%
581 Islington South and Finsbury Labour 17,737 Green 8,350 9,387 12.66%
582 Harpenden and Berkhamsted Liberal Democrat 25,390 Conservative 16,201 9,189 12.72%
583 Peckham Labour 17,909 Green 8,534 9,375 13.00%
584 Wetherby and Easingwold Conservative 21,075 Labour 11,414 9,661 13.00%
585 Clacton Reform 23,103 Conservative 12,861 10,242 13.09%
586 Taunton and Wellington Liberal Democrat 22,625 Conservative 12,246 10,379 13.19%
587 Wells and Mendip Hills Liberal Democrat 21,901 Conservative 12,312 9,589 13.31%
588 Yeovil Liberal Democrat 22,032 Conservative 11,361 10,671 13.35%
589 Woking Liberal Democrat 22,451 Conservative 12,634 9,817 13.45%
590 Chichester Liberal Democrat 23,692 Conservative 13,145 10,547 13.46%
591 Tonbridge Conservative 20,342 Reform 10,466 9,876 13.57%
592 Oxford East Labour 16,424 Other 6,548 9,876 13.75%
593 Leeds North East Labour 17,903 Conservative 8,251 9,652 13.75%
594 Liverpool Riverside Labour 15,866 Green 6,018 9,848 13.80%
595 York Central Labour 19,106 Reform 8,100 11,006 13.83%
596 Esher and Walton Liberal Democrat 26,208 Conservative 15,866 10,342 13.97%
597 Epping Forest Conservative 19,785 Labour 9,631 10,154 14.06%
598 Knowsley Labour 19,457 Reform 9,120 10,337 14.36%
599 Arundel and South Downs Conservative 21,805 Reform 10,592 11,213 14.38%
600 Lewes Liberal Democrat 24,983 Conservative 14,019 10,964 14.39%
601 Sheffield Heeley Labour 17,867 Green 7,250 10,617 14.45%
602 Cheadle Liberal Democrat 22,473 Conservative 11,608 10,865 14.61%
603 Eastbourne Liberal Democrat 22,010 Conservative 11,351 10,659 14.68%
604 Blackburn Other 18,078 Labour 7,303 10,775 14.71%
605 Clapham and Brixton Hill Labour 18,814 Green 6,590 12,224 14.71%
606 Liverpool Wavertree Labour 18,078 Green 7,665 10,413 14.75%
607 Dulwich and West Norwood Labour 21,516 Green 9,675 11,841 14.82%
608 Wimbledon Liberal Democrat 23,882 Conservative 12,554 11,328 14.84%
609 Walthamstow Labour 21,426 Green 10,355 11,071 14.87%
610 Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge Conservative 22,010 Labour 11,370 10,640 14.87%
611 Sefton Central Labour 20,834 Conservative 9,766 11,068 14.90%
612 Tooting Labour 22,670 Conservative 11,130 11,540 15.15%
613 Winchester Liberal Democrat 27,704 Conservative 15,730 11,974 15.29%
614 Mitcham and Morden Labour 19,490 Reform 7,603 11,887 15.38%
615 Bath Liberal Democrat 18,965 Conservative 8,020 10,945 15.71%
616 Rutland and Stamford Conservative 21,228 Reform 9,938 11,290 15.73%
617 Ashfield Reform 19,320 Labour 8,319 11,001 15.96%
618 Lewisham East Labour 18,512 Reform 6,620 11,892 16.21%
619 Islington North Other 24,152 Labour 12,303 11,849 16.26%
620 Hertsmere Conservative 21,730 Labour 9,701 12,029 16.37%
621 Lewisham West and East Dulwich Labour 21,493 Green 10,130 11,363 16.38%
622 Greenwich and Woolwich Labour 18,678 Reform 6,558 12,120 16.59%
623 Liverpool Garston Labour 19,292 Reform 7,756 11,536 16.65%
624 Belfast South and Mid Down SDLP 21,345 Alliance 8,839 12,506 16.73%
625 Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Conservative 21,707 Labour 9,970 11,737 16.79%
626 Edinburgh South Labour 20,391 SNP 8,433 11,958 16.88%
627 Hove and Portslade Labour 20,986 Reform 8,464 12,522 16.91%
628 Belfast West Sinn Fein 21,009 Other 8,123 12,886 17.10%
629 St Ives Liberal Democrat 23,179 Conservative 11,106 12,073 17.25%
630 Liverpool Walton Labour 21,100 Reform 9,123 11,977 17.28%
631 North Shropshire Liberal Democrat 24,362 Conservative 10,850 13,512 17.42%
632 Richmond and Northallerton Conservative 22,964 Reform 10,061 12,903 17.46%
633 Liverpool West Derby Labour 20,364 Reform 8,150 12,214 17.47%
634 Bootle Labour 21,552 Reform 8,085 13,467 18.44%
635 Ceredigion Preseli Plaid Cymru 21,738 Reform 7,580 14,158 18.71%
636 Oxford West and Abingdon Liberal Democrat 22,075 Conservative 8,710 13,365 19.13%
637 Newry and Armagh Sinn Fein 22,299 SDLP 6,806 15,493 19.80%
638 Kingston and Surbiton Liberal Democrat 24,357 Conservative 8,876 15,481 20.01%
639 Mid Ulster Sinn Fein 24,085 DUP 9,162 14,923 20.17%
640 Richmond Park Liberal Democrat 26,685 Conservative 11,388 15,297 20.40%
641 Hornsey and Friern Barnet Labour 22,359 Green 8,075 14,284 20.44%
642 Harrow East Conservative 25,681 Labour 9,947 15,734 20.56%
643 Dwyfor Meirionnydd Plaid Cymru 21,788 Reform 6,748 15,040 20.59%
644 West Tyrone Sinn Fein 22,711 DUP 6,794 15,917 21.43%
645 Bristol Central Green 24,760 Labour 10,308 14,452 23.04%
646 Brighton Pavilion Green 28,715 Labour 10,456 18,259 24.41%
647 St Albans Liberal Democrat 27,363 Conservative 9,547 17,816 24.49%
648 Twickenham Liberal Democrat 28,431 Conservative 9,013 19,418 25.90%
649 Westmorland and Lonsdale Liberal Democrat 28,695 Conservative 9,576 19,119 26.54%
650 Chorley Other 29,301 Green 4,663 24,638 32.94%

See also: Electoral Analysis

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