Gainsborough Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 73,399

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Gainsborough will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Gainsborough constituency at the next election:

• Edward Leigh MP (Conservative) - 1 Climate-related Tweet
• Jess McGuire (Labour)
• Tim Mellors (Social Democratic Party)
• Pat O'Connor (Reform/Brexit)

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Gainsborough?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 4,439 members in Gainsborough, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Conservative or Labour has the best climate policy. That's 6.0% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 17,770 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of Conservative, Labour or Liberal Democrat has the best climate policy. That's 24.2% of the electorate in this seat.