Salford Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 72,325

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Salford will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Salford constituency at the next election:

• Jake Austin (Liberal Democrat) - 3 Climate-related Tweets
• David Henry (Green)
• Stephen Lewthwaite (Social Democratic Party)
• Rebecca Long-Bailey MP (Labour) - 98 Climate-related Tweets

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Salford?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 21,454 members in Salford, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Labour or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 29.7% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 22,466 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of Labour, Conservative or Reform/Brexit has the best climate policy. That's 31.1% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 24,241 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 33.5% of the electorate.