Uxbridge and South Ruislip Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 62,432

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Uxbridge and South Ruislip will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Uxbridge and South Ruislip constituency at the next election:

• Danny Beales (Labour) - 4 Climate-related Tweets
• Stephen Gardner (Social Democratic Party)
• Ian Rex-Hawkes (Liberal Democrat)
• Steven Tuckwell MP (Conservative) - 2 Climate-related Tweets

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Uxbridge and South Ruislip?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 6,693 members in Uxbridge and South Ruislip, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Labour or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 10.7% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 17,680 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of Labour, Conservative or Liberal Democrat has the best climate policy. That's 28.3% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 17,972 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 28.8% of the electorate.