Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr Constituency 2026

Electorate: 74,039

Steve Witherden is the Labour MP for Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr. Check out Steve Witherden's Record on Climate.

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the latest opinion polls, VoteClimate estimates that if a general election happened today, the result in Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr would be as follows.

Strongest Vote For Climate

If there were an election today, VoteClimate would recommend the following strongest vote for climate in Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr:

This is based on the parties' climate policies and pledges and the latest opinion polls. For more details, please scroll down to Voting Recommendations.

This constituency projection is based on the following national vote shares (Wales): Plaid Cymru: 35.4% | Reform: 29.3% | Labour: 11.1% | Conservative: 10.7% | Green: 6.7% | Liberal Democrat: 4.5%

[Last updated: September 2026]

For our full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

What Happened at the July 2024 General Election?

Voting Recommendations

Based on our analysis Party Manifestos - Climate Comparison and our review of current policies, we have ranked the parties' manifestos for their impact on climate:

1. Green - very good
2. Lib Dems - good
3. Labour - underwhelming
4. Others - hopeless

We're classifying Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr as a marginal seat, as the predicted majority is less than 5% of the expected turnout.

Unfortunately, we don't believe that any party with good climate policies can win in this seat. Instead, we urge all climate-voters in Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr to use their vote to send the strongest message to the main two parties that they need to take urgent action on climate, by voting for:

Green

For more information please see How VoteClimate Works In Different Types Of Seat.