Manchester Withington Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 76,118

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Manchester Withington will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Manchester Withington constituency at the next election:

• Wendy Andrew (Social Democratic Party)
• Sam Easterby-Smith (Green)
• Richard Kilpatrick (Liberal Democrat) - 10 Climate-related Tweets
• Jeff Smith MP (Labour) - 60 Climate-related Tweets

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Manchester Withington?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 29,913 members in Manchester Withington, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Labour or Liberal Democrat has the best climate policy. That's 39.3% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 32,747 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 43.0% of the electorate.