VoteClimate: Ely and East Cambridgeshire Constituency 2024

Ely and East Cambridgeshire Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 68,498

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Ely and East Cambridgeshire will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Ely and East Cambridgeshire constituency at the next election:

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Ely and East Cambridgeshire?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 1,363 members in Ely and East Cambridgeshire, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Conservative or Liberal Democrat has the best climate policy. That's 2.0% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 2,524 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of Conservative, Liberal Democrat or Labour has the best climate policy. That's 3.7% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 14,606 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 21.3% of the electorate.

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