Chatham and Aylesford Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 73,002

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Chatham and Aylesford will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Chatham and Aylesford constituency at the next election:

• Nicholas Chan (Liberal Democrat)
• Steven Tanner (Social Democratic Party) - 4 Climate-related Tweets

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Chatham and Aylesford?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 1,824 members in Chatham and Aylesford, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Conservative or Labour has the best climate policy. That's 2.5% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 16,465 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 22.6% of the electorate.