Estimated electorate: 73,996
Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Stratford-on-Avon will be as follows:
Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%
For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.
The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Stratford-on-Avon constituency at the next election:
There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.
Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk
Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.
If we can recruit 8,200 members in Stratford-on-Avon, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Conservative or Liberal Democrat has the best climate policy. That's 11.1% of the electorate in this seat.
We need 8,525 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of Conservative, Liberal Democrat or Labour has the best climate policy. That's 11.5% of the electorate in this seat.
We need 17,527 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 23.7% of the electorate.