Estimated electorate: 74,919
Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Boston and Skegness will be as follows:
Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%
For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.
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If we can recruit 11,106 members in Boston and Skegness, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Conservative or Labour has the best climate policy. That's 14.8% of the electorate in this seat.
We need 23,429 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of Conservative, Labour or Liberal Democrat has the best climate policy. That's 31.3% of the electorate in this seat.