Penrith and Solway Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 85,211

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Penrith and Solway will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Penrith and Solway constituency at the next election:

• Julia Aglionby (Liberal Democrat) - 14 Climate-related Tweets
• Markus Campbell-Savours (Labour)
• Susan Denham-Smith (Green)
• Mark Jenkinson MP (Conservative) - 21 Climate-related Tweets

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Penrith and Solway?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 6,679 members in Penrith and Solway, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Labour or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 7.8% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 22,512 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 26.4% of the electorate.