Birmingham Selly Oak Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 87,290

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Birmingham Selly Oak will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Birmingham Selly Oak constituency at the next election:

• Steve McCabe MP (Labour) - 7 Climate-related Tweets
• Simon Phipps (Conservative)

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Birmingham Selly Oak?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 23,581 members in Birmingham Selly Oak, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Labour or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 27.0% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 29,132 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 33.4% of the electorate.