Estimated electorate: 69,687
Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in South Shields will be as follows:
Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%
For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.
The following candidates are expected to stand in the new South Shields constituency at the next election:
There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.
Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk
Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.
If we can recruit 13,724 members in South Shields, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Labour or Reform/Brexit has the best climate policy. That's 19.7% of the electorate in this seat.
We need 16,594 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of Labour, Reform/Brexit or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 23.8% of the electorate in this seat.
We need 18,637 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 26.7% of the electorate.