Leeds East Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 76,480

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Leeds East will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Leeds East constituency at the next election:

• Tobie Abel (Liberal Democrat)
• Richard Burgon MP (Labour) - 96 Climate-related Tweets
• Catherine Dobson (Social Democratic Party)
• David Dresser (Reform/Brexit)
• Sam Firth (Conservative) - 5 Climate-related Tweets

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Leeds East?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 14,017 members in Leeds East, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Labour or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 18.3% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 20,827 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of Labour, Conservative or Reform/Brexit has the best climate policy. That's 27.2% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 22,346 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 29.2% of the electorate.