St Austell and Newquay Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 74,147

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in St Austell and Newquay will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new St Austell and Newquay constituency at the next election:

• Steve Double MP (Conservative) - 4 Climate-related Tweets
• Joanna Kenny (Liberal Democrat) - 5 Climate-related Tweets
• Noah Law (Labour)
• Amanda Pennington (Green)

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in St Austell and Newquay?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 2,397 members in St Austell and Newquay, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Labour or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 3.2% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 15,631 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of Labour, Conservative or Liberal Democrat has the best climate policy. That's 21.1% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 17,469 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 23.6% of the electorate.