Estimated electorate: 71,776
Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Dwyfor Meirionnydd will be as follows:
Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%
For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.
The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Dwyfor Meirionnydd constituency at the next election:
There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.
Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk
Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.
If we can recruit 6,598 members in Dwyfor Meirionnydd, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Plaid Cymru or Labour has the best climate policy. That's 9.2% of the electorate in this seat.
We need 14,171 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of Plaid Cymru, Labour or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 19.7% of the electorate in this seat.