Bolton West Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 63,184

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Bolton West will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Bolton West constituency at the next election:

• Vicki Attenborough (Green) - 4 Climate-related Tweets
• Phil Brickell (Labour) - 25 Climate-related Tweets
• Dylan Evans (Reform/Brexit)
• Donald McIntosh (Liberal Democrat)

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Bolton West?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 7,858 members in Bolton West, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Labour or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 12.4% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 18,945 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 30.0% of the electorate.