Orkney and Shetland Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 34,211

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Orkney and Shetland will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Orkney and Shetland constituency at the next election:

• Alex Armitage (Green) - 2 Climate-related Tweets
• Alistair Carmichael MP (Liberal Democrat) - 14 Climate-related Tweets
• Robert Leslie (SNP) - 55 Climate-related Tweets
• Shane Painter (Conservative) - 1 Climate-related Tweet
• Conor Savage (Labour)

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Orkney and Shetland?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 1,404 members in Orkney and Shetland, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Liberal Democrat or SNP has the best climate policy. That's 4.1% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 3,618 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of Liberal Democrat, SNP or Labour has the best climate policy. That's 10.6% of the electorate in this seat.