Estimated electorate: 82,554
Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Walsall and Bloxwich will be as follows:
Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%
For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.
The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Walsall and Bloxwich constituency at the next election:
There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.
Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk
Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.
If we can recruit 11,062 members in Walsall and Bloxwich, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Labour or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 13.4% of the electorate in this seat.
We need 22,876 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of Labour, Conservative or Reform/Brexit has the best climate policy. That's 27.7% of the electorate in this seat.
We need 23,241 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 28.2% of the electorate.