Burnley Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 70,964

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Burnley will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Burnley constituency at the next election:

• Gordon Birtwistle (Liberal Democrat) - 1 Climate-related Tweet
• Scott Cunliffe (Green) - 9 Climate-related Tweets
• Antony Higginbotham MP (Conservative) - 1 Climate-related Tweet
• Oliver Ryan (Labour) - 4 Climate-related Tweets

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Burnley?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 9,816 members in Burnley, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Labour or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 13.8% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 15,555 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of Labour, Conservative or Reform/Brexit has the best climate policy. That's 21.9% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 18,051 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 25.4% of the electorate.