Ynys Mon Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 51,925

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Ynys Mon will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Ynys Mon constituency at the next election:

• Jeremy Brignell-Thorp (Green)
• Oliver Lewis (Reform/Brexit) - 141 Climate-related Tweets
• Glyn Preston (Liberal Democrat) - 5 Climate-related Tweets
• Elwyn Vaughan (Plaid Cymru) - 20 Climate-related Tweets
• Craig Williams MP (Conservative) - 24 Climate-related Tweets
• Stephen Witherden (Labour)

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Ynys Mon?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 4,411 members in Ynys Mon, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Labour or Plaid Cymru has the best climate policy. That's 8.5% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 7,117 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of Labour, Plaid Cymru or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 13.7% of the electorate in this seat.