Epsom and Ewell Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 87,807

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Epsom and Ewell will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Epsom and Ewell constituency at the next election:

• Mhairi Fraser (Conservative)
• Helen Maguire (Liberal Democrat) - 5 Climate-related Tweets
• Stephen McKenna (Green)
• Gina Miller (True and Fair)

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Epsom and Ewell?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 4,440 members in Epsom and Ewell, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Conservative or Labour has the best climate policy. That's 5.1% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 5,770 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of Conservative, Labour or Liberal Democrat has the best climate policy. That's 6.6% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 17,595 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 20.0% of the electorate.