VoteClimate: Na h-Eileanan an Iar Constituency 2024

Na h-Eileanan an Iar Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 21,107

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Na h-Eileanan an Iar will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Na h-Eileanan an Iar constituency at the next election:

  • Torcuil Crichton (Labour)
  • Angus MacNeil (Independent)
  • Susan Thomson (SNP)

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Na h-Eileanan an Iar?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 544 members in Na h-Eileanan an Iar, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Labour or SNP has the best climate policy. That's 2.6% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 4,041 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of Labour, SNP or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 19.1% of the electorate in this seat.

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