Gordon and Buchan Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 68,730

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Gordon and Buchan will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Gordon and Buchan constituency at the next election:

• Nurul Hoque Ali (Labour) - 9 Climate-related Tweets
• Harriet Cross (Conservative)
• Richard Thomson MP (SNP) - 26 Climate-related Tweets
• Conrad Wood (Liberal Democrat)

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Gordon and Buchan?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 3,820 members in Gordon and Buchan, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of SNP or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 5.6% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 9,345 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of SNP, Conservative or Labour has the best climate policy. That's 13.6% of the electorate in this seat.