Bristol North West Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 72,955

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Bristol North West will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Bristol North West constituency at the next election:

• Caroline Gooch (Liberal Democrat)
• Darren Jones MP (Labour) - 237 Climate-related Tweets
• Mary Page (Green) - 4 Climate-related Tweets
• Laura Saunders (Conservative) - 2 Climate-related Tweets

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Bristol North West?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 19,448 members in Bristol North West, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Labour or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 26.7% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 26,903 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 36.9% of the electorate.