Estimated electorate: 72,232
Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in East Renfrewshire will be as follows:
Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%
For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.
The following candidates are expected to stand in the new East Renfrewshire constituency at the next election:
There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.
Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk
Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.
If we can recruit 7,532 members in East Renfrewshire, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of SNP or Labour has the best climate policy. That's 10.4% of the electorate in this seat.
We need 9,042 members in this constituency to have a chance of swinging the seat to whichever of SNP, Labour or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 12.5% of the electorate in this seat.