Gillingham and Rainham Constituency 2024

Estimated electorate: 67,230

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that the result in Gillingham and Rainham will be as follows:

Based on predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

For all new seats and a full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

Prospective Parliamentary Candidates

The following candidates are expected to stand in the new Gillingham and Rainham constituency at the next election:

• Stuart Bourne (Liberal Democrat) - 11 Climate-related Tweets
• Naushabah Khan (Labour) - 2 Climate-related Tweets
• Peter Wheeler (Social Democratic Party)

There may be further candidates standing for whom data is not yet available.

Data Source: https://candidates.democracyclub.org.uk

What Can VoteClimate Achieve in Gillingham and Rainham?

Coming soon: once we have enough signed-up members, report the number here.

If we can recruit 1,150 members in Gillingham and Rainham, we can potentially swing the seat at the next election to whichever of Labour or Conservative has the best climate policy. That's 1.7% of the electorate in this seat.

We need 15,453 members in this constituency to be able to elect a Green MP. That's 23.0% of the electorate.