VoteClimate: Closest Two-Way Marginal Seats July 2024

Closest Two-Way Marginal Seats July 2024

There were 80 seats where the majority was smaller than 2.1% of the electorate at the July 2024 general election.

If VoteClimate can recruit one million members and they are distributed evenly across the UK, that's 2.1% of registered voters in each seat.

Constituency Winner Second Votes Required
1 Hendon Labour 15,855 Conservative 15,840 15 0.02%
2 Poole Labour 14,168 Conservative 14,150 18 0.02%
3 Basildon and Billericay Conservative 12,905 Labour 12,885 20 0.03%
4 North West Cambridgeshire Labour 14,785 Conservative 14,746 39 0.05%
5 Central Devon Conservative 16,831 Labour 16,770 61 0.08%
6 Havant Conservative 12,986 Labour 12,894 92 0.13%
7 South Basildon and East Thurrock Reform 12,178 Labour 12,080 98 0.13%
8 Exmouth and Exeter East Conservative 14,728 Labour 14,607 121 0.15%
9 Peterborough Labour 13,418 Conservative 13,300 118 0.16%
10 Beverley and Holderness Conservative 15,501 Labour 15,377 124 0.17%
11 Chelsea and Fulham Labour 18,556 Conservative 18,404 152 0.19%
12 East Londonderry DUP 11,506 Sinn Fein 11,327 179 0.24%
13 Bethnal Green and Stepney Labour 15,896 Other 15,699 197 0.24%
14 Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland Labour 16,468 Conservative 16,254 214 0.30%
15 Forest of Dean Labour 16,373 Conservative 16,095 278 0.38%
16 Bromley and Biggin Hill Conservative 15,929 Labour 15,627 302 0.43%
17 Sittingbourne and Sheppey Labour 11,919 Conservative 11,564 355 0.45%
18 Derbyshire Dales Labour 17,759 Conservative 17,409 350 0.48%
19 Ely and East Cambridgeshire Liberal Democrat 17,127 Conservative 16,632 495 0.63%
20 Ilford North Labour 15,647 Other 15,119 528 0.67%
21 Fylde Conservative 15,917 Labour 15,356 561 0.73%
22 Uxbridge and South Ruislip Labour 16,599 Conservative 16,012 587 0.79%
23 Aylesbury Labour 15,081 Conservative 14,451 630 0.80%
24 North East Hampshire Liberal Democrat 21,178 Conservative 20,544 634 0.82%
25 South West Norfolk Labour 11,847 Conservative 11,217 630 0.84%
26 North Somerset Labour 19,138 Conservative 18,499 639 0.86%
27 Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Labour 14,976 Conservative 14,309 667 0.87%
28 Stoke-on-Trent South Labour 14,221 Conservative 13,594 627 0.90%
29 Bradford West Labour 11,724 Independent 11,017 707 0.91%
30 Dundee Central SNP 15,544 Labour 14,869 675 0.91%
31 Broadland and Fakenham Conservative 16,322 Labour 15,603 719 0.94%
32 Birmingham Yardley Labour 11,275 Other 10,582 693 0.95%
33 Slough Labour 14,666 Other 13,870 796 0.98%
34 Wyre Forest Conservative 14,489 Labour 13,677 812 1.05%
35 Ribble Valley Labour 18,177 Conservative 17,321 856 1.06%
36 Lichfield Labour 17,232 Conservative 16,422 810 1.06%
37 Bracknell Labour 14,783 Conservative 13,999 784 1.09%
38 Portsmouth North Labour 14,495 Conservative 13,715 780 1.11%
39 Redditch Labour 14,810 Conservative 14,021 789 1.11%
40 The Wrekin Conservative 16,320 Labour 15,437 883 1.12%
41 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry SNP 15,581 Labour 14,722 859 1.13%
42 Pendle and Clitheroe Labour 16,129 Conservative 15,227 902 1.14%
43 Earley and Woodley Labour 18,209 Conservative 17,361 848 1.15%
44 Godalming and Ash Conservative 23,293 Liberal Democrat 22,402 891 1.18%
45 Dumfries and Galloway Conservative 13,527 SNP 12,597 930 1.18%
46 Ynys Mon Plaid Cymru 10,590 Conservative 9,953 637 1.20%
47 Gordon and Buchan Conservative 14,418 SNP 13,540 878 1.26%
48 Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey SNP 14,961 Conservative 13,960 1,001 1.30%
49 North West Leicestershire Labour 16,871 Conservative 15,859 1,012 1.30%
50 Aberdeenshire North and Moray East SNP 13,455 Conservative 12,513 942 1.34%
51 South Dorset Labour 15,659 Conservative 14,611 1,048 1.38%
52 North Antrim Other 12,229 DUP 11,192 1,037 1.39%
53 Suffolk Coastal Labour 15,672 Conservative 14,602 1,070 1.44%
54 Rother Valley Labour 16,023 Conservative 15,025 998 1.44%
55 Harwich and North Essex Conservative 16,522 Labour 15,360 1,162 1.52%
56 Tatton Conservative 19,956 Labour 18,820 1,136 1.53%
57 Dartford Labour 15,392 Conservative 14,200 1,192 1.58%
58 Clwyd North Labour 14,794 Conservative 13,598 1,196 1.59%
59 Staffordshire Moorlands Conservative 15,310 Labour 14,135 1,175 1.68%
60 Mid Bedfordshire Conservative 16,912 Labour 15,591 1,321 1.75%
61 Hereford and South Herefordshire Conservative 14,871 Labour 13,592 1,279 1.77%
62 Farnham and Bordon Conservative 18,951 Liberal Democrat 17,602 1,349 1.78%
63 East Antrim DUP 11,462 Alliance 10,156 1,306 1.78%
64 Mid Dorset and North Poole Liberal Democrat 21,442 Conservative 20,090 1,352 1.80%
65 East Hampshire Conservative 18,509 Liberal Democrat 17,234 1,275 1.80%
66 Stirling and Strathallan Labour 16,856 SNP 15,462 1,394 1.83%
67 Tamworth Labour 15,338 Conservative 13,956 1,382 1.84%
68 Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Labour 16,745 Conservative 15,293 1,452 1.85%
69 Bridgwater Conservative 12,281 Labour 10,932 1,349 1.88%
70 Huntingdon Conservative 18,257 Labour 16,758 1,499 1.90%
71 Birmingham Perry Barr Other 14,265 Labour 12,796 1,469 1.92%
72 Great Yarmouth Reform 14,385 Labour 12,959 1,426 1.94%
73 Faversham and Mid Kent Conservative 14,816 Labour 13,347 1,469 1.98%
74 Reading West and Mid Berkshire Labour 16,273 Conservative 14,912 1,361 1.98%
75 Rochdale Labour 13,027 Other 11,587 1,440 1.99%
76 Romford Conservative 15,339 Labour 13,876 1,463 2.01%
77 Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe Liberal Democrat 13,736 Conservative 12,264 1,472 2.01%
78 Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North Labour 10,655 Other 9,089 1,566 2.01%
79 Skipton and Ripon Conservative 18,833 Labour 17,183 1,650 2.08%
80 Llanelli Labour 12,751 Reform 11,247 1,504 2.10%

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