These seats are where the winning party is forecast to gain the narrowest lead over the third-place party, according to VoteClimate's Forecast For The Next General Election.
These are seats where Registering with VoteClimate will have the maximum influence on party policies. So if you have climate-concerned friends and family in these areas, please invite them to join us!
If VoteClimate can recruit one million members and they are distributed evenly across the UK, that's 2.1% of registered voters in each seat.
Vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%
[Last updated: September 2023]
| Constituency | Winner | Second | Third | Votes Required | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe | Conservative | 15,293 | Liberal Democrat | 14,789 | Labour | 14,690 | 603 | 0.83% |
| Woking | Conservative | 16,020 | Liberal Democrat | 16,001 | Labour | 14,884 | 1,136 | 1.59% |
| St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | Conservative | 16,369 | Liberal Democrat | 16,278 | Labour | 14,754 | 1,615 | 2.34% |
| Harpenden and Berkhamsted | Conservative | 18,141 | Labour | 16,562 | Liberal Democrat | 15,749 | 2,392 | 3.08% |
| Didcot and Wantage | Conservative | 17,670 | Liberal Democrat | 17,565 | Labour | 15,026 | 2,644 | 3.64% |
| Ely and East Cambridgeshire | Conservative | 16,959 | Liberal Democrat | 15,608 | Labour | 14,439 | 2,520 | 3.68% |
| Bicester and Woodstock | Conservative | 17,831 | Labour | 17,389 | Liberal Democrat | 14,581 | 3,250 | 4.20% |
| South Devon | Conservative | 19,069 | Labour | 16,677 | Liberal Democrat | 15,738 | 3,331 | 4.56% |
| Sutton and Cheam | Liberal Democrat | 16,513 | Conservative | 15,561 | Labour | 13,072 | 3,441 | 4.80% |
| Romsey and Southampton North | Conservative | 18,919 | Liberal Democrat | 15,554 | Labour | 14,939 | 3,980 | 5.33% |
See also: Electoral Analysis