These are the seats where the Green Party has the best chance of winning, based on the least required swing in VoteClimate's Forecast For The Next General Election.
Forecast vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%
[Last updated: September 2023]
| Constituency | Expected Winner | Greens | Votes Required | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton Pavilion | Green | 27,399 | Green | 27,399 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Isle of Wight East | Labour | 14,076 | Green | 7,651 | 6,425 | 11.5% |
| Isle of Wight West | Labour | 14,393 | Green | 7,821 | 6,572 | 11.5% |
| Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket | Conservative | 21,425 | Green | 10,776 | 10,649 | 14.0% |
| Woking | Conservative | 16,020 | Green | 3,659 | 12,361 | 17.3% |
| Reigate | Conservative | 19,220 | Green | 5,718 | 13,502 | 17.7% |
| Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe | Conservative | 15,293 | Green | 2,338 | 12,955 | 17.9% |
| Ceredigion Preseli | Labour | 16,586 | Green | 2,615 | 13,971 | 18.1% |
| Ashfield | Labour | 13,987 | Green | 2,075 | 11,912 | 18.4% |
| Bicester and Woodstock | Conservative | 17,831 | Green | 3,610 | 14,221 | 18.4% |
| Sutton and Cheam | Liberal Democrat | 16,513 | Green | 3,254 | 13,259 | 18.5% |
| South West Hertfordshire | Conservative | 15,879 | Green | 3,275 | 12,604 | 18.8% |
| North Cotswolds | Conservative | 19,753 | Green | 5,580 | 14,173 | 19.0% |
| Harpenden and Berkhamsted | Conservative | 18,141 | Green | 3,274 | 14,867 | 19.1% |
| Windsor | Conservative | 16,454 | Green | 3,533 | 12,921 | 19.5% |
| Aylesbury | Labour | 17,529 | Green | 3,709 | 13,820 | 19.6% |
| Wokingham | Conservative | 20,678 | Green | 4,431 | 16,247 | 19.6% |
| St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | Conservative | 16,369 | Green | 2,833 | 13,536 | 19.6% |
| Runnymede and Weybridge | Conservative | 19,910 | Green | 4,136 | 15,774 | 19.6% |
| Lowestoft | Labour | 18,499 | Green | 4,539 | 13,960 | 19.7% |
| Edinburgh West | SNP | 20,929 | Green | 3,846 | 17,083 | 19.7% |
| Suffolk Coastal | Conservative | 19,632 | Green | 4,975 | 14,657 | 19.8% |
| Chesham and Amersham | Conservative | 20,521 | Green | 5,607 | 14,914 | 19.9% |
| Waveney Valley | Conservative | 24,056 | Green | 6,768 | 17,288 | 20.0% |
| Epsom and Ewell | Conservative | 22,788 | Green | 5,193 | 17,595 | 20.0% |
See also: Electoral Analysis