These are the seats where the Green Party has the best chance of winning, based on the least required swing in VoteClimate's Forecast For The Next General Election.
Forecast vote shares (GB): Labour: 45% | Conservative: 22% | Reform: 13% | Liberal Democrat: 8.5% | Green: 6%
[Last updated: 24 June 2024]
| Constituency | Expected Winner | Greens | Votes Required | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton Pavilion | Green | 27,474 | Green | 27,474 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Bristol Central | Green | 20,399 | Green | 20,399 | 0 | 0.0% |
| South Antrim | UUP | 11,140 | Green | 430 | 10,710 | 13.9% |
| Maidstone and Malling | Conservative | 13,823 | Green | 2,760 | 11,063 | 14.5% |
| Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket | Labour | 17,677 | Green | 5,841 | 11,836 | 15.1% |
| Waveney Valley | Conservative | 20,652 | Green | 9,462 | 11,190 | 15.3% |
| Strangford | DUP | 12,165 | Green | 702 | 11,463 | 15.4% |
| North Herefordshire | Conservative | 18,852 | Green | 7,561 | 11,291 | 15.5% |
| Ashfield | Reform | 12,071 | Green | 1,276 | 10,795 | 15.7% |
| Isle of Wight East | Labour | 12,286 | Green | 3,505 | 8,781 | 15.7% |
| East Londonderry | DUP | 12,414 | Green | 485 | 11,929 | 15.8% |
| North Antrim | DUP | 11,787 | Green | 0 | 11,787 | 15.8% |
| South West Wiltshire | Labour | 14,814 | Green | 3,145 | 11,669 | 16.0% |
| Manchester Rusholme | Labour | 17,547 | Green | 5,734 | 11,813 | 16.3% |
| Exmouth and Exeter East | Conservative | 15,349 | Green | 1,681 | 13,668 | 17.1% |
| North West Cambridgeshire | Labour | 15,554 | Green | 2,552 | 13,002 | 17.1% |
| Tipton and Wednesbury | Labour | 14,380 | Green | 1,607 | 12,773 | 17.2% |
| Lagan Valley | DUP | 14,848 | Green | 545 | 14,303 | 17.4% |
| Llanelli | Labour | 14,450 | Green | 1,990 | 12,460 | 17.4% |
| East Antrim | DUP | 13,459 | Green | 683 | 12,776 | 17.4% |
| Rochdale | Labour | 14,882 | Green | 2,207 | 12,675 | 17.5% |
| Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock | SNP | 13,051 | Green | 621 | 12,430 | 17.7% |
| South West Norfolk | Labour | 15,366 | Green | 2,122 | 13,244 | 17.7% |
| South Dorset | Labour | 17,002 | Green | 3,468 | 13,534 | 17.8% |
| Bridgwater | Conservative | 14,516 | Green | 1,687 | 12,829 | 17.9% |
See also: Electoral Analysis