VoteClimate: Green Party Most Winnable Seats

Green Party Most Winnable Seats

These are the seats where the Green Party has the best chance of winning, based on the least required swing in VoteClimate's Forecast For The Next General Election.

Forecast vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

[Last updated: September 2023]

Constituency Expected Winner Greens Votes Required
Brighton Pavilion Green 27,430 Green 27,430 0 0.0%
Isle of Wight East Labour 14,060 Green 7,641 6,419 11.5%
Isle of Wight West Labour 14,403 Green 7,827 6,576 11.5%
Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Conservative 21,430 Green 10,778 10,652 14.0%
Woking Conservative 16,018 Green 3,658 12,360 17.3%
Reigate Conservative 19,224 Green 5,720 13,504 17.7%
Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe Conservative 15,295 Green 2,339 12,956 17.9%
Ceredigion Preseli Labour 16,593 Green 2,616 13,977 18.1%
Ashfield Labour 13,991 Green 2,075 11,916 18.4%
Bicester and Woodstock Conservative 17,806 Green 3,604 14,202 18.4%
Sutton and Cheam Liberal Democrat 16,513 Green 3,253 13,260 18.5%
South West Hertfordshire Conservative 15,877 Green 3,276 12,601 18.8%
North Cotswolds Conservative 19,788 Green 5,589 14,199 19.0%
Harpenden and Berkhamsted Conservative 18,141 Green 3,277 14,864 19.1%
Windsor Conservative 16,452 Green 3,532 12,920 19.5%
Aylesbury Labour 17,450 Green 3,694 13,756 19.6%
Wokingham Conservative 20,669 Green 4,426 16,243 19.6%
St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Conservative 16,305 Green 2,819 13,486 19.6%
Runnymede and Weybridge Conservative 19,902 Green 4,135 15,767 19.6%
Lowestoft Labour 18,505 Green 4,539 13,966 19.7%
Edinburgh West SNP 20,934 Green 3,846 17,088 19.7%
Suffolk Coastal Conservative 18,756 Green 4,754 14,002 19.8%
Chesham and Amersham Conservative 20,515 Green 5,607 14,908 19.9%
Waveney Valley Conservative 24,030 Green 6,758 17,272 20.0%
Epsom and Ewell Conservative 22,768 Green 5,190 17,578 20.0%

See also: Electoral Analysis

Maximise your vote to save the planet.

Join Now