VoteClimate: Council Elections Forecast in Sefton - 7 May 2026

Council Elections Forecast in Sefton - 7 May 2026

There were council elections in Sefton on 7 May 2026.

Based on previous elections and national poll swings, which may overlook the local context, VoteClimate estimates that the results in Sefton will be as follows. We've ordered the results to highlight the seats that are most marginal for climate-ambitious parties. A few votes could make the difference in these areas.

If a climate-ambitious party is expected to win a seat, we show their expected Majority. Otherwise, we show the estimated Swing Required for the best-placed climate-ambitious party to win.

If you have friends and family in the more marginal wards, please strongly encourage them to get out and VoteClimate!

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Forecast vote shares (GB): Reform: 26.5% | Labour: 18.6% | Conservative: 18.5% | Green: 16.2% | Liberal Democrat: 12%

Ward (Seats) Expected Winner Green Forecast LD Forecast Majority /
Swing Required
Cambridge (3) Liberal Democrat (1,015) 4th (385) 1st (1,015) 6.5% (206)
Norwood (3) Reform (689) 3rd (509) 4th (472) 6.7% (180)
Duke's (3) Conservative (1,102) 4th (382) 2nd (848) 7.7% (254)
Blundellsands (3) Labour (875) 4th (513) 5th (279) 12.0% (362)
Kew (3) Liberal Democrat (1,228) 1st (1,228) 12.0% (373)
Birkdale (3) Liberal Democrat (1,278) 5th (404) 1st (1,278) 13.3% (459)
Litherland (3) Labour (675) 3rd (340) 6th (96) 16.2% (335)
Meols (3) Liberal Democrat (1,265) 4th (388) 1st (1,265) 18.2% (571)
Ainsdale (3) Liberal Democrat (1,744) 5th (390) 1st (1,744) 22.9% (880)
Thornton & Hightown (3) No prediction available
Netherton South & Orrell (3) No prediction available
Netherton North (3) No prediction available
Maghull East (3) No prediction available
Great Crosby (3) No prediction available
Lydiate & Maghull West (3) No prediction available
Aintree & Maghull South (3) No prediction available
Formby West (3) No prediction available
Formby East (3) No prediction available
Ford (3) Labour (860)
Bootle West (3) No prediction available
Bootle East (3) No prediction available
Waterloo (3) No prediction available

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