There were council elections in Thurrock on 7 May 2026.
Based on previous elections and national poll swings, which may overlook the local context, VoteClimate estimates that the results in Thurrock will be as follows. We've ordered the results to highlight the seats that are most marginal for climate-ambitious parties. A few votes could make the difference in these areas.
If a climate-ambitious party is expected to win a seat, we show their expected Majority. Otherwise, we show the estimated Swing Required for the best-placed climate-ambitious party to win.
If you have friends and family in the more marginal wards, please strongly encourage them to get out and VoteClimate!
`Forecast vote shares (GB): Reform: 26.5% | Labour: 18.6% | Conservative: 18.5% | Green: 16.2% | Liberal Democrat: 12%
| Ward (Seats) | Expected Winner | Green Forecast | LD Forecast | Majority / Swing Required |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grays Riverside (3) | Reform (502) | 3rd (454) | 2.6% (48) | |
| Chadwell St Mary (3) | Labour (462) | 4th (257) | 13.0% (205) | |
| Little Thurrock Rectory (2) | Conservative (366) | 4th (210) | 13.8% (156) | |
| Belhus (3) | Conservative (466) | 4th (250) | 13.9% (216) | |
| Tilbury St Chads (2) | Labour (274) | 4th (138) | 17.0% (136) | |
| Little Thurrock Blackshots (2) | Conservative (570) | 4th (266) | 20.4% (304) | |
| Ockendon (3) | Conservative (996) | 4th (353) | 26.9% (643) | |
| Purfleet-on-Thames (2) | No prediction available | |||
| Tilbury Riverside (2) | No prediction available | |||
| The Homesteads & Stanford-le-Hope North (3) | No prediction available | |||
| Stifford (2) | No prediction available | |||
| Stanford-le-Hope South (3) | No prediction available | |||
| Aveley (3) | No prediction available | |||
| Orsett, Horndon & Bulphan (2) | No prediction available | |||
| Grays Town (3) | No prediction available | |||
| East Tilbury, Linford & West Tilbury (2) | No prediction available | |||
| Corringham & Fobbing (3) | No prediction available | |||
| Chafford Hundred West (2) | No prediction available | |||
| Chafford Hundred East (2) | No prediction available | |||
| West Thurrock & South Stifford (2) | No prediction available | |||
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