(Please note: there is a newer version of this page at VoteClimate's Forecast For The Next General Election)
Based on the updated constituency boundaries and current opinion polls, we project that if a general election were held today the results would be as follows.
Labour: majority of 138 seats
Conservative: 154 seats short of a majority
Predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 44% | Conservative: 27% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform: 6.1%
[Last updated: September 2023]
Here is the predicted result in each new constituency:
(Tap or click on a hexagon to see which seat it is)
See also: Electoral Analysis