VoteClimate: Green Party Most Winnable Local Elections - 1 May 2025

Green Party Most Winnable Local Elections - 1 May 2025

At the top of the table, you can see the places where the Green Party is predicted to achieve a majority on 1 May 2025. Further down the table, we show the places where other parties will likely have slender majorities and the Green Party has the greatest opportunity to overtake them. If we can galvanise even small numbers of votes in these places we could swing the outcome in favour of climate. Do you know anyone who lives in these areas? If so, please share our voting recommendations.

Forecast vote shares (GB): Conservative: 25% | Reform: 25% | Labour: 18% | Liberal Democrat: 17% | Green: 7%

[Last updated: April 2025]

Location Expected Winner Green Votes Majority / Votes Required
Mancroft - Norwich - 1 May 2025 Green 1,239 1,239 589 20.8%
Stroud Central - Stroud - 1 May 2025 Green 244 244 41 5.0%
Penryn - Cornwall - 1 May 2025 Green 426 426 0 0.0%
Brandon - County Durham - 1 May 2025 Green 911 911 0 0.0%
Broadclyst - Devon - 1 May 2025 Green 1,613 1,613 0 0.0%
Totnes & Dartington - Devon - 1 May 2025 Green 2,156 2,156 0 0.0%
Minchinhampton - Gloucestershire - 1 May 2025 Green 2,178 2,178 0 0.0%
Sedbury - Gloucestershire - 1 May 2025 Green 1,513 1,513 0 0.0%
Hertford All Saints - Hertfordshire - 1 May 2025 Green 1,536 1,536 0 0.0%
Ware North - Hertfordshire - 1 May 2025 Green 980 980 0 0.0%
Ashford East - Kent - 1 May 2025 Green 1,571 1,571 0 0.0%
Hythe West - Kent - 1 May 2025 Green 1,538 1,538 0 0.0%
Swale East - Kent - 1 May 2025 Green 2,324 2,324 0 0.0%
Tonbridge - Kent - 1 May 2025 Green 4,697 4,697 0 0.0%
Burnley Central West - Lancashire - 1 May 2025 Green 850 850 0 0.0%
Lancaster Central - Lancashire - 1 May 2025 Green 1,967 1,967 0 0.0%
Syston Ridgeway - Leicestershire - 1 May 2025 Green 903 903 0 0.0%
Humshaugh - Northumberland - 1 May 2025 Green 945 945 0 0.0%
Newark East - Nottinghamshire - 1 May 2025 Green 776 776 0 0.0%
Shrivenham - Oxfordshire - 1 May 2025 Green 1,167 1,167 0 0.0%
Wallingford - Oxfordshire - 1 May 2025 Green 1,564 1,564 0 0.0%
Oswestry South - Shropshire - 1 May 2025 Green 501 501 0 0.0%
Porthill - Shropshire - 1 May 2025 Green 807 807 0 0.0%
Radbrook - Shropshire - 1 May 2025 Green 770 770 0 0.0%
St Oswald - Shropshire - 1 May 2025 Green 365 365 0 0.0%
Kenilworth Park Hill - Warwickshire - 1 May 2025 Green 1,664 1,664 0 0.0%
Leamington Brunswick - Warwickshire - 1 May 2025 Green 1,161 1,161 0 0.0%
Leamington Willes - Warwickshire - 1 May 2025 Green 1,332 1,332 0 0.0%
Shipston - Warwickshire - 1 May 2025 Green 968 968 0 0.0%
Weddington - Warwickshire - 1 May 2025 Green 1,356 1,356 0 0.0%
Croome - Worcestershire - 1 May 2025 Green 1,514 1,514 0 0.0%
Malvern Trinity - Worcestershire - 1 May 2025 Green 1,203 1,203 0 0.0%
St Peter - Worcestershire - 1 May 2025 Green 1,636 1,636 0 0.0%
St Stephen - Worcestershire - 1 May 2025 Green 1,514 1,514 0 0.0%
St David's & Haven Banks - Devon - 1 May 2025 Labour 1,280 1,225 55 0.7%
Ramsgate - Kent - 1 May 2025 Reform 2,315 2,180 135 0.8%
Tiverton West - Devon - 1 May 2025 Conservative 941 868 73 0.8%
Tetbury - Gloucestershire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 988 916 72 1.0%
Lancaster East - Lancashire - 1 May 2025 Labour 1,419 1,334 85 1.1%
Warwick South - Warwickshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 831 758 73 1.1%
Ilfracombe - Devon - 1 May 2025 Conservative 824 762 62 1.1%
Evesham South - Worcestershire - 1 May 2025 Reform 620 557 63 1.2%
Sevenoaks Rural North East - Kent - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,433 1,304 129 1.3%
Burnley Rural - Lancashire - 1 May 2025 Reform 991 844 147 1.9%
Abbey - Cambridgeshire - 1 May 2025 Labour 843 738 105 1.9%
Syston Fosse - Leicestershire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,072 930 142 2.3%
Kingsthorpe North - West Northamptonshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 1,092 882 210 2.8%
Stonehouse - Gloucestershire - 1 May 2025 Reform 730 571 159 2.8%
Hatherleigh & Chagford - Devon - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,313 1,025 288 3.3%
Sprotbrough - Doncaster - 1 May 2025 Reform 870 647 223 3.4%
Hitchin Rural - Hertfordshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,171 869 302 3.5%
Earls Barton - North Northamptonshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 1,418 1,007 411 3.6%
Stroud Central - Gloucestershire - 1 May 2025 Labour 1,746 1,376 370 3.7%
Nuneaton East - Warwickshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,039 769 270 3.9%
Ivinghoe - Buckinghamshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 1,012 696 316 3.9%
West of England Combined Authority - West Of England - 1 May 2025 Labour 65,700 45,701 19,999 4.0%
Corvedale - Shropshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 426 308 118 4.1%
Nene Valley - West Northamptonshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 1,021 677 344 4.1%
Rodborough - Gloucestershire - 1 May 2025 Labour 1,242 871 371 4.6%
Lapworth & West Kenilworth - Warwickshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 777 523 254 4.8%
Long Buckby - West Northamptonshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,248 761 487 5.0%
Deal & Walmer - Kent - 1 May 2025 Reform 2,315 1,408 907 5.1%
Ise - North Northamptonshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,035 600 435 5.5%
Grantham South - Lincolnshire - 1 May 2025 Labour 511 266 245 5.7%
Uttoxeter Town - Staffordshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 717 461 256 5.7%
Bessacarr - Doncaster - 1 May 2025 Labour 1,294 774 520 5.7%
Yelverton Rural - Devon - 1 May 2025 Reform 1,212 627 585 5.9%
Market Harborough West & Foxton - Leicestershire - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 999 522 477 6.2%
West Bridgford North - Nottinghamshire - 1 May 2025 Labour 1,758 1,119 639 6.2%
Salisbury Harnham East - Wiltshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 429 208 221 6.2%
Breaston - Derbyshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,310 759 551 6.3%
Dover North - Kent - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,206 679 527 6.4%
Chulmleigh & Landkey - Devon - 1 May 2025 Conservative 798 377 421 6.5%
Broadstairs - Kent - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,518 821 697 6.5%
Tunbridge Wells Rural - Kent - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,422 685 737 6.7%
Morpeth North - Northumberland - 1 May 2025 Conservative 573 279 294 6.8%
Exmouth - Devon - 1 May 2025 Reform 2,445 974 1,471 6.9%
Finningley - Doncaster - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,375 703 672 6.9%
Dover Town - Kent - 1 May 2025 Reform 1,740 799 941 6.9%
Rushden South - North Northamptonshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,044 510 534 7.0%
Mitcheldean - Gloucestershire - 1 May 2025 Other 795 312 483 7.0%
Melton West - Leicestershire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 687 308 379 7.1%
Wearside & Topsham - Devon - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,298 606 692 7.2%
Riverside - Worcestershire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 917 446 471 7.2%
Baldock & Letchworth East - Hertfordshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 1,091 453 638 7.3%
Bishops Stortford West - Hertfordshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 976 396 580 7.4%
Okehampton Rural - Devon - 1 May 2025 Reform 1,096 471 625 7.5%
Bingham East - Nottinghamshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 930 485 445 7.5%
Aylesbury South East - Buckinghamshire - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 943 425 518 7.6%
St Neots Priory Park & Little Paxton - Cambridgeshire - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 706 304 402 7.6%
Banbury Calthorpe - Oxfordshire - 1 May 2025 Labour 744 328 416 7.6%
Oundle - North Northamptonshire - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 1,684 736 948 7.6%
Birchington & Rural - Kent - 1 May 2025 Reform 2,461 1,269 1,192 7.6%
Lichfield City South - Staffordshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,059 448 611 7.7%
Marlow - Buckinghamshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 1,263 487 776 7.7%
Perranporth - Cornwall - 1 May 2025 Reform 402 134 268 7.8%
Campden-Vale - Gloucestershire - 1 May 2025 Reform 1,168 589 579 7.8%
Much Wenlock - Shropshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 439 198 241 7.8%
Ware South - Hertfordshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,102 531 571 7.9%
St Ives North & Wyton - Cambridgeshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 686 300 386 7.9%
Whitstable East & Herne Bay West - Kent - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,528 732 796 7.9%
Tunbridge Wells East - Kent - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,458 562 896 8.0%
Irthlingborough - North Northamptonshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 1,178 521 657 8.0%
Devizes North - Wiltshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 364 154 210 8.0%
The Lavingtons - Wiltshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 567 315 252 8.0%
Norton & Askern - Doncaster - 1 May 2025 Labour 1,013 435 578 8.1%
West Bridgford South - Nottinghamshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,268 521 747 8.2%
Ashby de la Zouch - Leicestershire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,101 459 642 8.3%
Leake & Ruddington - Nottinghamshire - 1 May 2025 Labour 1,994 715 1,279 8.3%
Willand & Uffculme - Devon - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,143 486 657 8.3%
Duryard & Pennsylvania - Devon - 1 May 2025 Labour 957 362 595 8.4%
Ashford Rural East - Kent - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,622 779 843 8.4%
Heavitree & Whipton Barton - Devon - 1 May 2025 Labour 1,540 811 729 8.4%
Tiverton East - Devon - 1 May 2025 Conservative 790 216 574 8.5%
Lancaster South East - Lancashire - 1 May 2025 Labour 1,462 806 656 8.5%
Salisbury Fisherton & Bemerton Village - Wiltshire - 1 May 2025 Labour 494 230 264 8.5%
Roman Ridge - Doncaster - 1 May 2025 Labour 847 435 412 8.5%
Salisbury St Paul's - Wiltshire - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 431 187 244 8.5%
Market - Cambridgeshire - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 731 334 397 8.6%
Salisbury St Francis & Stratford - Wiltshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 629 291 338 8.6%
Bicester North - Oxfordshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 747 313 434 8.6%
Stapleford & Broxtowe Central - Nottinghamshire - 1 May 2025 Other 1,978 519 1,459 8.6%
Finedon - North Northamptonshire - 1 May 2025 Labour 1,074 444 630 8.6%
Moulton - West Northamptonshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,370 611 759 8.7%
St Neots East & Gransden - Cambridgeshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 367 156 211 8.7%
Tunbridge Wells West - Kent - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 1,902 773 1,129 8.8%
Thrapston - North Northamptonshire - 1 May 2025 Other 1,712 591 1,121 8.8%
Salisbury Milford - Wiltshire - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 510 200 310 8.8%
Harvington - Worcestershire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,026 476 550 8.8%
Coleford - Gloucestershire - 1 May 2025 Other 633 164 469 8.9%
Bideford East - Devon - 1 May 2025 Conservative 795 325 470 8.9%
Glenfields, Kirby Muxloe & Leicester Forests - Leicestershire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,601 666 935 9.0%
St Ives South & Needingworth - Cambridgeshire - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 798 263 535 9.0%
Cullompton & Bradninch - Devon - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,023 398 625 9.0%
Woodditton - Cambridgeshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 902 311 591 9.0%
Bideford West & Hartland - Devon - 1 May 2025 Reform 578 235 343 9.0%
Lydney - Gloucestershire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 853 378 475 9.0%
Old Sarum & Lower Bourne Valley - Wiltshire - 1 May 2025 Labour 419 137 282 9.0%
Lancaster Rural East - Lancashire - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 1,134 325 809 9.0%
Herne Bay East - Kent - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,334 577 757 9.0%
Tunbridge Wells North - Kent - 1 May 2025 Labour 1,556 517 1,039 9.1%
Irchester - North Northamptonshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,150 345 805 9.2%
Pewsey Vale East - Wiltshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 560 239 321 9.2%
Buntingford - Hertfordshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,379 653 726 9.2%
Maidstone Central - Kent - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 2,922 1,156 1,766 9.2%
Camp Hill - Warwickshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 472 155 317 9.2%
Kingsthorpe South - West Northamptonshire - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 981 368 613 9.3%
Maidstone Rural South - Kent - 1 May 2025 Reform 1,155 459 696 9.3%
Papworth & Swavesey - Cambridgeshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 760 190 570 9.4%
Devizes East - Wiltshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 426 139 287 9.4%
Castle - Cambridgeshire - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 1,034 415 619 9.4%
Alderbury & Whiteparish - Wiltshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 682 301 381 9.4%
Huntingdon North & Hartford - Cambridgeshire - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 652 168 484 9.5%
Aylesbury East - Buckinghamshire - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 1,109 421 688 9.5%
Ashford Central - Kent - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,221 490 731 9.5%
Mansfield West - Nottinghamshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 1,073 300 773 9.5%
Castle Donington & Kegworth - Leicestershire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 833 203 630 9.6%
Armthorpe - Doncaster - 1 May 2025 Labour 930 386 544 9.6%
Preston North - Lancashire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,174 302 872 9.6%
Bewdley - Worcestershire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 748 303 445 9.6%
Codsall - Staffordshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,138 504 634 9.6%
London Colney - Hertfordshire - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 833 223 610 9.6%
Loughborough South West - Leicestershire - 1 May 2025 Reform 1,105 322 783 9.6%
Toton, Chilwell & Attenborough - Nottinghamshire - 1 May 2025 Labour 2,922 1,109 1,813 9.6%
Desborough - North Northamptonshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 1,226 386 840 9.7%
Harpenden South West - Hertfordshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,616 578 1,038 9.7%
Melksham Without West & Rural - Wiltshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 533 233 300 9.7%
Braunton Rural - Devon - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 1,060 384 676 9.7%
Truro Moresk & Trehaverne - Cornwall - 1 May 2025 Other 617 199 418 9.7%
Budbrooke & Bishop's Tachbrook - Warwickshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,245 467 778 9.7%
Wadebridge East & St Minver - Cornwall - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 750 318 432 9.8%
Hatfield East - Hertfordshire - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 725 180 545 9.8%
Bovey Rural - Devon - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,064 323 741 9.8%
Canterbury North - Kent - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,342 458 884 9.8%
Winslow - Buckinghamshire - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 1,324 545 779 9.8%
Long Rock, Marazion & St Erth - Cornwall - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 631 242 389 9.8%
Exmouth & Budleigh Salterton Coastal - Devon - 1 May 2025 Conservative 1,243 436 807 9.8%
Letchworth South - Hertfordshire - 1 May 2025 Reform 1,264 338 926 9.8%
Nadder Valley - Wiltshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 601 285 316 9.8%
Cambridgeshire and Peterborough Combined Authority - Cambridgeshire And Peterborough - 1 May 2025 Liberal Democrat 60,729 14,822 45,907 9.9%
Burwell - Cambridgeshire - 1 May 2025 Conservative 794 198 596 9.9%

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