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VoteClimate: General Election Scenario: Labour Slips 2.5%

General Election Scenario: Labour Slips 2.5%

What might happen at the next general election if 2.5% of voters switched back from Labour to Conservative?

Main forecast: VoteClimate's Forecast For The Next General Election

Labour: majority of 34 seats
Conservative: 101 seats short of a majority

Predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 41.5% | Conservative: 29.5% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

[Last updated: September 2023]

In this scenario the most marginal seats would be as follows:

Constituency Winner Second Votes Required
1 Basingstoke Labour 16,000 Conservative 15,994 6 0.01%
2 Glasgow South SNP 17,028 Labour 17,016 12 0.02%
3 Nuneaton Labour 19,748 Conservative 19,687 61 0.09%
4 Bassetlaw Conservative 18,842 Labour 18,747 95 0.12%
5 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale Conservative 16,875 SNP 16,751 124 0.18%
6 Southend East and Rochford Labour 19,917 Conservative 19,778 139 0.19%
7 Halesowen Labour 19,500 Conservative 19,315 185 0.26%
8 Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Conservative 20,914 Labour 20,708 206 0.26%
9 Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes Conservative 16,921 Labour 16,689 232 0.31%
10 Burton and Uttoxeter Conservative 20,778 Labour 20,461 317 0.43%
11 Swindon North Conservative 21,232 Labour 20,885 347 0.46%
12 Dumfries and Galloway SNP 20,185 Conservative 19,796 389 0.50%
13 North Northumberland Labour 19,200 Conservative 18,718 482 0.62%
14 Harrogate and Knaresborough Conservative 19,902 Liberal Democrat 19,418 484 0.66%
15 Sutton and Cheam Conservative 16,950 Liberal Democrat 16,464 486 0.68%
16 Worthing West Conservative 19,868 Labour 19,367 501 0.70%
17 Godalming and Ash Liberal Democrat 18,571 Conservative 18,093 478 0.73%
18 Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West SNP 19,409 Labour 18,867 542 0.77%
19 Na h-Eileanan an Iar Labour 5,825 SNP 5,659 166 0.79%
20 Aberdeenshire North and Moray East Conservative 20,028 SNP 19,403 625 0.82%
21 Ceredigion Preseli Plaid Cymru 16,185 Labour 15,497 688 0.89%
22 Edinburgh East and Musselburgh Labour 23,209 SNP 22,412 797 0.90%
23 Glasgow West SNP 15,135 Labour 14,530 605 1.01%
24 St Austell and Newquay Conservative 20,558 Labour 19,798 760 1.02%
25 Plymouth Moor View Labour 19,842 Conservative 19,052 790 1.08%
26 Hemel Hempstead Conservative 18,060 Labour 17,306 754 1.16%
27 Hamilton and Clyde Valley SNP 17,273 Labour 16,415 858 1.22%
28 Rugby Labour 21,645 Conservative 20,760 885 1.23%
29 Taunton and Wellington Conservative 23,173 Liberal Democrat 22,112 1,061 1.32%
30 Stoke-on-Trent South Conservative 17,237 Labour 16,418 819 1.32%
31 North East Somerset and Hanham Labour 24,439 Conservative 23,315 1,124 1.33%
32 Sherwood Forest Conservative 21,626 Labour 20,587 1,039 1.37%
33 North Somerset Conservative 21,033 Labour 20,017 1,016 1.39%
34 Fermanagh and South Tyrone Sinn Fein 22,646 UUP 21,590 1,056 1.39%
35 Herne Bay and Sandwich Conservative 22,153 Labour 21,066 1,087 1.42%
36 Mid Derbyshire Conservative 19,964 Labour 18,985 979 1.43%
37 Forest of Dean Conservative 21,976 Labour 20,879 1,097 1.54%
38 Southend West and Leigh Conservative 22,004 Labour 20,835 1,169 1.58%
39 Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke Labour 16,830 SNP 15,801 1,029 1.60%
40 Bromley and Biggin Hill Conservative 22,619 Labour 21,278 1,341 1.62%
41 West Dunbartonshire SNP 21,059 Labour 19,807 1,252 1.63%
42 Bexleyheath and Crayford Labour 18,585 Conservative 17,447 1,138 1.67%
43 Finchley and Golders Green Labour 18,129 Liberal Democrat 16,797 1,332 1.71%
44 Dudley Conservative 19,771 Labour 18,492 1,279 1.78%
45 Telford Labour 20,511 Conservative 19,217 1,294 1.81%
46 Buckingham and Bletchley Conservative 17,946 Labour 16,698 1,248 1.83%
47 Reading West and Mid Berkshire Labour 17,947 Conservative 16,708 1,239 1.83%
48 Northampton South Labour 14,742 Conservative 13,793 949 1.90%
49 Stafford Conservative 22,763 Labour 21,335 1,428 1.92%
50 Weston-super-Mare Conservative 17,255 Labour 16,058 1,197 1.92%
51 Banbury Conservative 17,203 Labour 15,982 1,221 1.93%
52 Glasgow East Labour 14,338 SNP 13,199 1,139 1.93%
53 Eastleigh Conservative 20,349 Liberal Democrat 18,907 1,442 1.94%
54 Mansfield Conservative 23,134 Labour 21,614 1,520 2.05%
55 Glasgow North Labour 17,710 SNP 16,272 1,438 2.06%
56 Dunfermline and Dollar SNP 17,076 Labour 15,700 1,376 2.07%
57 Gordon and Buchan SNP 18,451 Conservative 17,024 1,427 2.08%
58 Woking Conservative 17,458 Liberal Democrat 15,961 1,497 2.09%
59 Glasgow South West Labour 18,251 SNP 16,688 1,563 2.13%
60 Gravesham Conservative 21,401 Labour 19,831 1,570 2.14%
61 Harborough, Oadby and Wigston Conservative 20,676 Labour 19,082 1,594 2.16%
62 Exmouth and Exeter East Other 18,560 Conservative 17,007 1,553 2.19%
63 Winchester Liberal Democrat 24,778 Conservative 22,955 1,823 2.27%
64 Kettering Conservative 23,962 Labour 22,080 1,882 2.29%
65 North East Derbyshire Labour 21,479 Conservative 19,783 1,696 2.30%
66 St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Conservative 17,829 Liberal Democrat 16,226 1,603 2.32%
67 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine SNP 23,151 Conservative 21,225 1,926 2.33%
68 Gillingham and Rainham Conservative 18,616 Labour 17,026 1,590 2.37%
69 Didcot and Wantage Conservative 19,233 Liberal Democrat 17,499 1,734 2.39%
70 Carlisle Labour 23,077 Conservative 21,149 1,928 2.46%
71 South Down Sinn Fein 14,629 SDLP 12,798 1,831 2.47%
72 Tatton Conservative 20,889 Labour 18,957 1,932 2.51%
73 Edinburgh South West SNP 18,588 Labour 16,716 1,872 2.51%
74 East Thanet Labour 21,257 Conservative 19,430 1,827 2.53%
75 Stourbridge Conservative 23,219 Labour 21,172 2,047 2.55%
76 Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr Conservative 18,845 Labour 17,036 1,809 2.55%
77 Belfast North Sinn Fein 21,795 DUP 19,966 1,829 2.60%
78 Central Devon Conservative 21,995 Labour 20,100 1,895 2.64%
79 Harlow Conservative 21,808 Labour 19,869 1,939 2.64%
80 Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe Conservative 16,679 Liberal Democrat 14,762 1,917 2.65%
81 Dover and Deal Labour 22,727 Conservative 20,670 2,057 2.67%
82 Ribble Valley Conservative 21,105 Labour 19,148 1,957 2.69%
83 Thurrock Labour 20,857 Conservative 18,758 2,099 2.79%
84 Scunthorpe Labour 19,973 Conservative 17,860 2,113 2.84%
85 Bournemouth West Labour 19,311 Conservative 17,184 2,127 2.89%
86 Congleton Conservative 22,052 Labour 19,899 2,153 2.92%
87 Rochester and Strood Conservative 21,029 Labour 18,781 2,248 2.94%
88 Airdrie and Shotts Labour 16,863 SNP 14,981 1,882 2.94%
89 Isle of Wight West Conservative 14,970 Labour 13,279 1,691 2.96%
90 Isle of Wight East Conservative 14,641 Labour 12,987 1,654 2.96%
91 Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Conservative 22,030 SNP 19,750 2,280 2.98%
92 Hazel Grove Liberal Democrat 15,883 Conservative 13,951 1,932 3.01%
93 Belfast East DUP 20,625 Alliance 18,578 2,047 3.03%
94 Chelsea and Fulham Labour 17,654 Conservative 15,477 2,177 3.06%
95 Glenrothes and Mid Fife SNP 17,794 Labour 15,579 2,215 3.12%
96 Paisley and Renfrewshire North SNP 19,719 Labour 17,426 2,293 3.18%
97 Farnham and Bordon Conservative 20,857 Liberal Democrat 18,617 2,240 3.20%
98 Portsmouth North Conservative 20,364 Labour 17,897 2,467 3.46%
99 Chester South and Eddisbury Labour 19,153 Conservative 16,790 2,363 3.50%
100 Ashfield Labour 13,052 Other 10,726 2,326 3.59%
101 North Down Alliance 19,420 DUP 16,831 2,589 3.60%
102 Wellingborough and Rushden Conservative 21,202 Labour 18,541 2,661 3.62%
103 North East Fife SNP 19,095 Liberal Democrat 16,582 2,513 3.64%
104 Lowestoft Conservative 19,730 Labour 17,097 2,633 3.71%
105 Caerfyrddin Labour 18,212 Plaid Cymru 15,459 2,753 3.71%
106 Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland Labour 20,121 Conservative 17,587 2,534 3.73%
107 Aylesbury Conservative 18,772 Labour 16,131 2,641 3.74%
108 North East Hertfordshire Conservative 22,433 Labour 19,518 2,915 3.79%
109 Wokingham Conservative 22,485 Liberal Democrat 19,333 3,152 3.80%
110 Glasgow North East Labour 26,704 SNP 22,659 4,045 3.85%
111 Penrith and Solway Labour 24,784 Conservative 21,460 3,324 3.90%
112 East Kilbride and Strathaven SNP 20,109 Labour 17,200 2,909 3.91%
113 Midlothian Labour 20,105 SNP 17,335 2,770 3.93%
114 Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Conservative 20,966 Labour 17,997 2,969 3.93%
115 Edinburgh North and Leith SNP 16,372 Labour 13,835 2,537 3.94%
116 Hertford and Stortford Conservative 22,432 Labour 19,418 3,014 3.94%
117 Dartford Conservative 22,011 Labour 19,116 2,895 3.95%
118 Rutherglen Labour 21,773 SNP 18,702 3,071 3.97%
119 Welwyn Hatfield Labour 22,099 Conservative 19,101 2,998 4.02%
120 Coatbridge and Bellshill Labour 22,772 SNP 19,612 3,160 4.02%
121 St Ives Liberal Democrat 21,638 Conservative 18,667 2,971 4.12%
122 Orkney and Shetland Liberal Democrat 8,494 SNP 7,066 1,428 4.17%
123 South Antrim DUP 15,223 UUP 12,201 3,022 4.21%
124 Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme Labour 16,879 Conservative 14,006 2,873 4.22%
125 Paisley and Renfrewshire South SNP 18,587 Labour 15,894 2,693 4.22%
126 Ely and East Cambridgeshire Conservative 18,445 Liberal Democrat 15,537 2,908 4.25%
127 Fylde Conservative 23,218 Labour 19,918 3,300 4.36%
128 Erewash Labour 22,723 Conservative 19,537 3,186 4.39%
129 South Dorset Conservative 21,535 Labour 18,271 3,264 4.43%
130 South Ribble Labour 23,261 Conservative 19,949 3,312 4.43%
131 South Derbyshire Conservative 20,169 Labour 17,119 3,050 4.44%
132 Selby Conservative 20,618 Labour 17,655 2,963 4.46%
133 Westmorland and Lonsdale Liberal Democrat 20,822 Conservative 17,648 3,174 4.49%
134 Bicester and Woodstock Conservative 19,406 Labour 15,896 3,510 4.54%
135 Guildford Liberal Democrat 21,376 Conservative 18,055 3,321 4.55%
136 Livingston SNP 16,904 Labour 13,894 3,010 4.59%
137 Witney Conservative 19,367 Liberal Democrat 16,186 3,181 4.61%
138 West Dorset Conservative 22,741 Liberal Democrat 19,039 3,702 4.77%
139 Croydon South Labour 22,490 Conservative 18,794 3,696 4.80%
140 Amber Valley Conservative 21,071 Labour 17,700 3,371 4.85%
141 Wetherby and Easingwold Conservative 27,046 Labour 22,512 4,534 4.90%
142 Macclesfield Labour 23,559 Conservative 19,801 3,758 4.93%
143 Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch SNP 19,772 Labour 16,407 3,365 4.98%
144 Derbyshire Dales Conservative 23,429 Labour 19,711 3,718 5.09%
145 Colchester Labour 22,068 Conservative 18,051 4,017 5.10%
146 Wimbledon Liberal Democrat 21,361 Labour 17,502 3,859 5.11%
147 Romford Conservative 21,601 Labour 17,859 3,742 5.11%
148 Scarborough and Whitby Labour 24,247 Conservative 20,441 3,806 5.12%
149 North Bedfordshire Conservative 24,879 Labour 20,395 4,484 5.16%
150 Eastbourne Liberal Democrat 21,451 Conservative 17,613 3,838 5.19%
151 Folkestone and Hythe Conservative 20,475 Labour 16,805 3,670 5.19%
152 Harpenden and Berkhamsted Conservative 19,778 Liberal Democrat 15,715 4,063 5.23%
153 South Norfolk Conservative 18,658 Labour 15,433 3,225 5.24%
154 Aldershot Conservative 21,465 Labour 17,390 4,075 5.29%
155 Bathgate and Linlithgow SNP 19,170 Labour 15,018 4,152 5.36%
156 Redditch Conservative 21,141 Labour 17,506 3,635 5.39%
157 Huntingdon Conservative 26,544 Labour 21,490 5,054 5.41%
158 Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock SNP 14,816 Conservative 11,678 3,138 5.41%
159 Henley and Thame Conservative 21,157 Liberal Democrat 17,298 3,859 5.46%
160 Mid Cheshire Labour 19,192 Conservative 15,684 3,508 5.50%
161 South Cambridgeshire Liberal Democrat 20,878 Conservative 16,805 4,073 5.52%
162 Morecambe and Lunesdale Labour 23,230 Conservative 18,763 4,467 5.56%
163 Bournemouth East Labour 21,472 Conservative 17,351 4,121 5.56%
164 Staffordshire Moorlands Conservative 23,343 Labour 19,246 4,097 5.56%
165 Sutton Coldfield Conservative 21,832 Labour 17,623 4,209 5.56%
166 Gloucester Labour 24,329 Conservative 19,917 4,412 5.59%
167 Hitchin Conservative 18,570 Labour 14,822 3,748 5.59%
168 Hexham Labour 24,188 Conservative 19,819 4,369 5.64%
169 Suffolk Coastal Conservative 21,294 Labour 17,071 4,223 5.69%
170 Shrewsbury Labour 23,571 Conservative 19,391 4,180 5.69%
171 York Outer Labour 22,232 Conservative 17,982 4,250 5.73%
172 Pendle and Clitheroe Labour 27,623 Conservative 22,814 4,809 5.73%
173 Newcastle-under-Lyme Labour 21,070 Conservative 16,867 4,203 5.85%
174 North Warwickshire and Bedworth Conservative 22,172 Labour 18,039 4,133 5.88%
175 Reigate Conservative 20,882 Labour 16,341 4,541 5.95%
176 North West Leicestershire Conservative 23,644 Labour 19,115 4,529 5.96%
177 Waveney Valley Conservative 26,039 Labour 20,863 5,176 5.98%
178 Chippenham Conservative 22,445 Liberal Democrat 17,955 4,490 6.01%
179 South West Hertfordshire Conservative 17,290 Labour 13,261 4,029 6.01%
180 Harwich and North Essex Conservative 21,844 Labour 17,494 4,350 6.03%
181 Lewes Liberal Democrat 23,118 Conservative 18,594 4,524 6.05%
182 Stevenage Labour 21,954 Conservative 17,646 4,308 6.07%
183 Thornbury and Yate Conservative 23,615 Liberal Democrat 18,909 4,706 6.10%
184 Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey SNP 18,411 Conservative 14,272 4,139 6.15%
185 Mid Bedfordshire Conservative 20,635 Labour 16,382 4,253 6.17%
186 Cheadle Liberal Democrat 22,944 Conservative 17,943 5,001 6.18%
187 The Wrekin Conservative 23,590 Labour 18,985 4,605 6.20%
188 Beverley and Holderness Conservative 21,522 Labour 17,071 4,451 6.27%
189 Rossendale and Darwen Labour 23,415 Conservative 18,764 4,651 6.29%
190 Newark Conservative 24,824 Labour 19,776 5,048 6.33%
191 Spelthorne Conservative 20,918 Labour 16,321 4,597 6.48%
192 Great Yarmouth Conservative 21,019 Labour 16,337 4,682 6.51%
193 Stoke-on-Trent North Labour 19,209 Conservative 14,530 4,679 6.60%
194 Bracknell Conservative 20,090 Labour 15,518 4,572 6.63%
195 Chatham and Aylesford Conservative 21,279 Labour 16,438 4,841 6.63%
196 Newbury Conservative 20,345 Liberal Democrat 15,764 4,581 6.69%
197 Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy Labour 19,022 SNP 14,124 4,898 6.79%
198 Romsey and Southampton North Conservative 20,550 Liberal Democrat 15,462 5,088 6.81%
199 Uxbridge and South Ruislip Labour 19,578 Conservative 15,309 4,269 6.84%
200 Windsor Conservative 17,856 Labour 13,291 4,565 6.87%
201 Wolverhampton North East Labour 21,291 Conservative 15,901 5,390 6.87%
202 Monmouthshire Labour 22,569 Conservative 17,592 4,977 6.88%
203 Blackpool South Labour 21,793 Conservative 16,231 5,562 6.90%
204 North Devon Conservative 22,585 Liberal Democrat 17,347 5,238 6.90%
205 Poole Conservative 20,815 Labour 15,808 5,007 6.91%
206 Yeovil Conservative 21,269 Liberal Democrat 16,398 4,871 6.94%
207 South Devon Conservative 20,722 Liberal Democrat 15,653 5,069 6.94%
208 Blackpool North and Fleetwood Labour 19,800 Conservative 15,162 4,638 6.95%
209 Ynys Mon Labour 14,027 Plaid Cymru 10,417 3,610 6.95%
210 Ashford Conservative 21,297 Labour 16,265 5,032 7.07%
211 Rother Valley Labour 18,542 Conservative 13,524 5,018 7.10%
212 Glastonbury and Somerton Conservative 22,951 Liberal Democrat 17,495 5,456 7.11%
213 Earley and Woodley Labour 17,103 Conservative 12,850 4,253 7.15%
214 Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross SNP 17,775 Liberal Democrat 12,574 5,201 7.16%
215 Edinburgh West SNP 21,064 Labour 14,810 6,254 7.21%
216 Barnsley North Labour 18,874 Reform/Brexit 13,388 5,486 7.21%
217 Wakefield and Rothwell Labour 22,365 Conservative 16,982 5,383 7.23%
218 Dorking and Horley Conservative 19,535 Liberal Democrat 14,858 4,677 7.27%
219 North West Cambridgeshire Conservative 18,572 Labour 13,984 4,588 7.27%
220 Lothian East Labour 22,108 SNP 16,671 5,437 7.35%
221 Crawley Labour 24,453 Conservative 19,001 5,452 7.35%
222 Crewe and Nantwich Labour 24,291 Conservative 18,578 5,713 7.38%
223 Runnymede and Weybridge Conservative 21,633 Labour 15,652 5,981 7.44%
224 Wells and Mendip Hills Conservative 22,863 Liberal Democrat 16,942 5,921 7.45%
225 Penistone and Stocksbridge Labour 21,622 Conservative 16,300 5,322 7.50%
226 Broadland and Fakenham Conservative 22,722 Labour 17,219 5,503 7.58%
227 North Norfolk Conservative 21,222 Liberal Democrat 15,695 5,527 7.60%
228 Esher and Walton Liberal Democrat 23,544 Conservative 18,357 5,187 7.62%
229 Carshalton and Wallington Liberal Democrat 19,257 Conservative 13,692 5,565 7.63%
230 Old Bexley and Sidcup Conservative 23,192 Labour 17,770 5,422 7.63%
231 Tunbridge Wells Conservative 22,472 Liberal Democrat 16,752 5,720 7.64%
232 Cannock Chase Conservative 23,362 Labour 17,611 5,751 7.69%
233 Kenilworth and Southam Conservative 20,736 Labour 15,391 5,345 7.70%
234 Solihull West and Shirley Conservative 22,523 Labour 16,601 5,922 7.73%
235 Camborne and Redruth Labour 22,541 Conservative 17,442 5,099 7.74%
236 Beaconsfield Conservative 20,875 Other 15,546 5,329 7.76%
237 Mid Sussex Conservative 20,319 Labour 14,769 5,550 7.77%
238 Hereford and South Herefordshire Conservative 21,914 Labour 16,317 5,597 7.79%
239 Broxbourne Conservative 22,713 Labour 16,877 5,836 7.86%
240 North Cotswolds Conservative 21,439 Labour 15,544 5,895 7.89%
241 North Shropshire Conservative 23,891 Labour 17,725 6,166 8.00%
242 South Basildon and East Thurrock Conservative 20,134 Labour 14,657 5,477 8.02%
243 Newton Abbot Conservative 20,754 Labour 14,920 5,834 8.06%
244 South West Wiltshire Conservative 19,855 Labour 14,581 5,274 8.10%
245 Bolsover Labour 20,463 Conservative 14,418 6,045 8.11%
246 Corby and East Northamptonshire Labour 27,027 Conservative 21,025 6,002 8.16%
247 Salisbury Conservative 22,247 Labour 16,012 6,235 8.19%
248 Mid Norfolk Conservative 22,622 Labour 16,665 5,957 8.22%
249 Bognor Regis and Littlehampton Conservative 23,891 Labour 17,355 6,536 8.24%
250 Chelmsford Conservative 23,087 Labour 16,659 6,428 8.26%
251 Meriden and Solihull East Conservative 22,217 Labour 15,961 6,256 8.26%
252 South Leicestershire Conservative 22,941 Labour 17,152 5,789 8.27%
253 Tamworth Conservative 22,505 Labour 16,569 5,936 8.31%
254 Wyre Forest Conservative 24,144 Labour 17,644 6,500 8.33%
255 Bishop Auckland Labour 23,940 Conservative 17,339 6,601 8.34%
256 Barnsley South Labour 17,874 Reform/Brexit 11,702 6,172 8.37%
257 South East Cornwall Conservative 22,780 Labour 16,768 6,012 8.42%
258 Dundee Central SNP 23,434 Labour 16,846 6,588 8.42%
259 Barrow and Furness Labour 24,723 Conservative 18,080 6,643 8.43%
260 Hertsmere Conservative 23,267 Labour 17,132 6,135 8.43%
261 Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Conservative 23,163 Labour 16,712 6,451 8.47%
262 Central Ayrshire SNP 19,973 Conservative 13,575 6,398 8.49%
263 Mid Dunbartonshire SNP 20,656 Liberal Democrat 14,205 6,451 8.51%
264 South West Devon Conservative 24,653 Labour 18,289 6,364 8.58%
265 Aldridge-Brownhills Conservative 21,122 Labour 15,272 5,850 8.59%
266 Mid Leicestershire Conservative 24,496 Labour 17,962 6,534 8.63%
267 Brigg and Immingham Conservative 22,033 Labour 15,700 6,333 8.66%
268 Hornchurch and Upminster Conservative 23,625 Labour 16,989 6,636 8.67%
269 Frome and East Somerset Conservative 16,469 Labour 11,520 4,949 8.69%
270 North Cornwall Conservative 23,640 Liberal Democrat 17,118 6,522 8.70%
271 North West Norfolk Conservative 23,388 Labour 16,882 6,506 8.70%
272 Bolton West Labour 20,307 Conservative 14,801 5,506 8.71%
273 Weald of Kent Conservative 23,316 Labour 16,573 6,743 8.72%
274 Mid and South Pembrokeshire Labour 26,354 Conservative 19,869 6,485 8.75%
275 Swindon South Labour 25,237 Conservative 18,802 6,435 8.78%
276 Bridlington and The Wolds Conservative 19,875 Labour 14,188 5,687 8.79%
277 East Worthing and Shoreham Labour 25,504 Conservative 18,850 6,654 8.85%
278 Mid Buckinghamshire Conservative 21,864 Labour 15,056 6,808 8.87%
279 Harrow East Labour 24,287 Conservative 17,744 6,543 8.89%
280 Central Suffolk and North Ipswich Conservative 22,025 Labour 15,867 6,158 8.89%
281 Epsom and Ewell Conservative 24,758 Liberal Democrat 16,923 7,835 8.92%
282 Kilmarnock and Loudoun SNP 22,790 Labour 15,643 7,147 8.94%
283 Sheffield Hallam Labour 23,698 Liberal Democrat 16,989 6,709 9.05%
284 Strangford DUP 16,492 Alliance 10,300 6,192 9.05%
285 Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber SNP 20,793 Conservative 14,243 6,550 9.09%
286 South Northamptonshire Conservative 25,236 Labour 18,249 6,987 9.17%
287 Stoke-on-Trent Central Labour 21,429 Conservative 14,636 6,793 9.17%
288 Redcar Labour 20,102 Conservative 13,610 6,492 9.18%
289 Worcester Labour 24,719 Conservative 17,969 6,750 9.19%
290 Upper Bann DUP 17,551 Sinn Fein 10,914 6,637 9.19%
291 Loughborough Labour 25,907 Conservative 18,802 7,105 9.23%
292 Hartlepool Labour 18,497 Reform/Brexit 11,924 6,573 9.28%
293 Lagan Valley DUP 19,364 Alliance 12,326 7,038 9.30%
294 Tipton and Wednesbury Labour 16,469 Conservative 10,751 5,718 9.34%
295 Skipton and Ripon Conservative 24,259 Labour 17,143 7,116 9.41%
296 East Renfrewshire SNP 22,562 Conservative 15,763 6,799 9.41%
297 Surrey Heath Conservative 22,434 Liberal Democrat 15,404 7,030 9.45%
298 Northampton North Labour 31,270 Conservative 22,532 8,738 9.47%
299 West Bromwich Labour 22,436 Conservative 14,858 7,578 9.49%
300 Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge Conservative 21,846 Labour 15,706 6,140 9.51%
301 Bexhill and Battle Conservative 22,493 Labour 15,947 6,546 9.55%
302 Whitehaven and Workington Labour 22,588 Conservative 16,113 6,475 9.63%
303 Ipswich Labour 23,908 Conservative 16,589 7,319 9.69%
304 Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor Labour 19,046 Conservative 12,771 6,275 9.77%
305 Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice Labour 16,606 Conservative 10,066 6,540 9.81%
306 Goole and Pocklington Conservative 29,235 Labour 20,277 8,958 9.91%
307 Bromsgrove Conservative 25,088 Labour 17,643 7,445 9.92%
308 Melton and Syston Conservative 24,294 Labour 16,747 7,547 9.92%
309 Rushcliffe Labour 26,597 Conservative 19,182 7,415 9.95%
310 East Wiltshire Conservative 20,077 Labour 13,563 6,514 9.96%
311 Leeds South West and Morley Labour 23,716 Conservative 16,152 7,564 9.97%
312 Tiverton and Minehead Conservative 20,791 Labour 13,972 6,819 9.98%
313 Lichfield Conservative 26,007 Labour 18,154 7,853 10.00%
314 Perth and Kinross-shire SNP 28,323 Conservative 19,574 8,749 10.01%
315 West Suffolk Conservative 24,070 Labour 16,284 7,786 10.03%
316 Broxtowe Labour 25,280 Conservative 17,417 7,863 10.03%
317 Filton and Bradley Stoke Labour 24,505 Conservative 17,467 7,038 10.08%
318 Maidstone and Malling Conservative 19,827 Labour 13,193 6,634 10.08%
319 South Suffolk Conservative 23,273 Labour 15,871 7,402 10.08%
320 Norwich North Labour 23,981 Conservative 16,712 7,269 10.16%
321 Clwyd North Labour 24,519 Conservative 16,903 7,616 10.19%
322 Walsall and Bloxwich Labour 24,673 Conservative 16,247 8,426 10.21%
323 Epping Forest Conservative 23,684 Labour 16,093 7,591 10.22%
324 East Grinstead and Uckfield Conservative 20,514 Labour 13,363 7,151 10.27%
325 Angus and Perthshire Glens SNP 24,321 Conservative 16,417 7,904 10.27%
326 Cheltenham Liberal Democrat 28,172 Conservative 20,104 8,068 10.31%
327 Aberdeen South SNP 22,629 Conservative 13,971 8,658 10.32%
328 Faversham and Mid Kent Conservative 22,694 Labour 15,250 7,444 10.34%
329 Basildon and Billericay Conservative 23,651 Labour 15,786 7,865 10.35%
330 Melksham and Devizes Conservative 21,609 Liberal Democrat 14,194 7,415 10.41%
331 Dwyfor Meirionnydd Plaid Cymru 21,742 Labour 14,239 7,503 10.45%
332 North West Hampshire Conservative 27,134 Labour 17,892 9,242 10.47%
333 Oxford West and Abingdon Liberal Democrat 26,211 Labour 16,969 9,242 10.49%
334 Watford Labour 26,396 Conservative 17,950 8,446 10.53%
335 Southport Labour 24,578 Conservative 16,567 8,011 10.62%
336 Mid Dorset and North Poole Conservative 24,398 Liberal Democrat 16,387 8,011 10.66%
337 Milton Keynes Central Labour 27,301 Conservative 18,699 8,602 10.67%
338 Orpington Conservative 18,697 Labour 12,419 6,278 10.70%
339 Altrincham and Sale West Labour 25,988 Conservative 18,135 7,853 10.74%
340 Milton Keynes North Labour 24,805 Conservative 16,934 7,871 10.81%
341 Gainsborough Conservative 25,214 Labour 17,265 7,949 10.83%
342 Hyndburn Labour 21,263 Conservative 13,574 7,689 10.85%
343 North Ayrshire and Arran SNP 20,895 Labour 12,523 8,372 10.94%
344 Burnley Labour 19,511 Conservative 11,737 7,774 10.95%
345 Shipley Labour 27,194 Conservative 19,056 8,138 11.00%
346 Horsham Conservative 23,167 Labour 14,548 8,619 11.04%
347 Sittingbourne and Sheppey Conservative 22,901 Labour 14,666 8,235 11.05%
348 Chesham and Amersham Conservative 22,279 Labour 13,965 8,314 11.07%
349 Tewkesbury Conservative 21,006 Labour 13,209 7,797 11.19%
350 Darlington Labour 22,684 Conservative 14,720 7,964 11.21%
351 Torridge and Tavistock Conservative 24,297 Labour 15,843 8,454 11.23%
352 Southampton Itchen Labour 21,486 Conservative 14,159 7,327 11.23%
353 Honiton and Sidmouth Conservative 24,941 Labour 15,578 9,363 11.25%
354 Leigh and Atherton Labour 23,311 Conservative 14,635 8,676 11.25%
355 West Tyrone Sinn Fein 17,622 DUP 9,633 7,989 11.25%
356 South Cotswolds Conservative 20,903 Liberal Democrat 13,424 7,479 11.27%
357 East Antrim DUP 18,252 Alliance 10,378 7,874 11.27%
358 Cities of London and Westminster Labour 23,538 Liberal Democrat 13,906 9,632 11.28%
359 Arundel and South Downs Conservative 24,419 Labour 15,489 8,930 11.29%
360 Chichester Conservative 23,022 Labour 14,300 8,722 11.30%
361 Stockton West Labour 20,835 Conservative 13,916 6,919 11.42%
362 Thirsk and Malton Conservative 23,120 Labour 14,912 8,208 11.42%
363 Lincoln Labour 24,851 Conservative 16,275 8,576 11.42%
364 Alloa and Grangemouth SNP 16,872 Conservative 10,037 6,835 11.43%
365 Bridgwater Conservative 18,918 Labour 11,732 7,186 11.43%
366 Newry and Armagh Sinn Fein 18,559 DUP 10,053 8,506 11.43%
367 Daventry Conservative 28,272 Labour 18,741 9,531 11.68%
368 Wycombe Labour 24,531 Conservative 15,916 8,615 11.74%
369 Havant Conservative 22,087 Labour 13,601 8,486 11.77%
370 Torbay Conservative 21,737 Liberal Democrat 12,831 8,906 11.78%
371 Truro and Falmouth Labour 28,998 Conservative 19,478 9,520 12.05%
372 Lancaster and Wyre Labour 23,383 Conservative 14,792 8,591 12.06%
373 Wolverhampton South East Labour 23,894 Conservative 14,074 9,820 12.07%
374 Colne Valley Labour 26,646 Conservative 17,504 9,142 12.09%
375 Maidenhead Conservative 23,274 Labour 14,008 9,266 12.12%
376 Hinckley and Bosworth Conservative 23,473 Labour 14,611 8,862 12.20%
377 Hendon Labour 26,659 Conservative 17,269 9,390 12.20%
378 Rawmarsh and Conisbrough Labour 18,506 Conservative 9,804 8,702 12.24%
379 Doncaster North Labour 17,892 Reform/Brexit 9,178 8,714 12.30%
380 Wrexham Labour 22,625 Conservative 13,968 8,657 12.30%
381 Birmingham Northfield Labour 21,104 Conservative 12,399 8,705 12.34%
382 Rutland and Stamford Conservative 23,302 Labour 14,478 8,824 12.34%
383 Sleaford and North Hykeham Conservative 23,194 Labour 14,496 8,698 12.38%
384 Gosport Conservative 23,761 Labour 14,654 9,107 12.38%
385 Hastings and Rye Labour 27,624 Conservative 18,015 9,609 12.40%
386 Kingston upon Hull East Labour 16,826 Conservative 7,832 8,994 12.41%
387 West Worcestershire Conservative 25,642 Labour 16,046 9,596 12.42%
388 Grantham and Bourne Conservative 25,816 Labour 16,278 9,538 12.47%
389 South Shropshire Conservative 25,879 Labour 16,098 9,781 12.50%
390 Peterborough Labour 23,568 Conservative 14,563 9,005 12.50%
391 Hamble Valley Conservative 23,916 Labour 14,325 9,591 12.58%
392 Sussex Weald Conservative 22,934 Labour 14,044 8,890 12.62%
393 Ossett and Denby Dale Labour 19,200 Conservative 11,506 7,694 12.70%
394 Derby North Labour 25,491 Conservative 15,102 10,389 12.72%
395 North East Hampshire Conservative 24,425 Liberal Democrat 14,632 9,793 12.72%
396 East Londonderry DUP 15,879 SDLP 6,807 9,072 12.77%
397 East Surrey Conservative 20,842 Labour 12,118 8,724 12.88%
398 Normanton and Hemsworth Labour 19,014 Conservative 9,482 9,532 13.05%
399 Stroud Labour 28,785 Conservative 18,882 9,903 13.06%
400 Calder Valley Labour 30,485 Conservative 20,673 9,812 13.07%
401 Richmond and Northallerton Conservative 23,811 Labour 14,214 9,597 13.12%
402 Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley Labour 19,525 Conservative 9,770 9,755 13.22%
403 Mid Ulster Sinn Fein 20,498 DUP 11,004 9,494 13.26%
404 Braintree Conservative 25,713 Labour 15,573 10,140 13.30%
405 Sevenoaks Conservative 23,210 Labour 13,309 9,901 13.31%
406 Aberdeen North SNP 16,865 Conservative 8,440 8,425 13.42%
407 Clwyd East Labour 27,601 Conservative 16,841 10,760 13.60%
408 Wolverhampton West Labour 21,513 Conservative 12,875 8,638 13.61%
409 Witham Conservative 25,659 Labour 15,442 10,217 13.68%
410 Falkirk SNP 22,390 Labour 11,700 10,690 13.70%
411 Stratford-on-Avon Conservative 24,159 Liberal Democrat 13,991 10,168 13.74%
412 Stirling and Strathallan SNP 24,924 Conservative 14,828 10,096 13.80%
413 South West Norfolk Conservative 24,283 Labour 14,316 9,967 13.81%
414 East Hampshire Conservative 21,780 Liberal Democrat 12,386 9,394 13.82%
415 Doncaster Central Labour 20,800 Conservative 10,111 10,689 13.83%
416 Tonbridge Conservative 24,760 Labour 14,235 10,525 13.89%
417 Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Conservative 25,035 Labour 14,917 10,118 14.07%
418 Vale of Glamorgan Labour 27,213 Conservative 17,230 9,983 14.27%
419 Blyth and Ashington Labour 21,116 Conservative 11,417 9,699 14.40%
420 Heywood and Middleton North Labour 23,691 Conservative 12,276 11,415 14.55%
421 Droitwich and Evesham Conservative 26,424 Labour 15,484 10,940 14.56%
422 Kingston upon Hull North and Cottingham Labour 22,286 Conservative 10,330 11,956 14.62%
423 Bangor Aberconwy Labour 24,938 Conservative 13,846 11,092 14.69%
424 Beckenham and Penge Labour 27,558 Conservative 15,558 12,000 14.72%
425 New Forest East Conservative 24,052 Labour 13,221 10,831 14.73%
426 Chesterfield Labour 20,737 Conservative 10,534 10,203 14.73%
427 Gedling Labour 27,431 Conservative 16,207 11,224 14.73%
428 Bedford Labour 21,915 Conservative 12,219 9,696 14.84%
429 Coventry North West Labour 24,633 Conservative 13,458 11,175 14.85%
430 Warrington South Labour 28,215 Conservative 16,650 11,565 14.90%
431 Keighley and Ilkley Labour 27,600 Conservative 16,693 10,907 14.98%
432 Stockton North Labour 25,490 Conservative 13,961 11,529 15.02%
433 Rotherham Labour 20,209 Conservative 9,003 11,206 15.06%
434 Belfast South and Mid Down SDLP 25,780 DUP 13,678 12,102 15.18%
435 Houghton and Sunderland South Labour 20,742 Conservative 9,088 11,654 15.24%
436 Fareham and Waterlooville Conservative 25,119 Labour 13,827 11,292 15.33%
437 Bolton North East Labour 25,927 Conservative 14,081 11,846 15.49%
438 Kensington and Bayswater Labour 25,654 Conservative 13,097 12,557 15.51%
439 Leeds East Labour 24,183 Conservative 12,318 11,865 15.51%
440 Dagenham and Rainham Labour 24,023 Conservative 12,521 11,502 15.55%
441 Torfaen Labour 19,824 Conservative 9,078 10,746 15.56%
442 Brighton Pavilion Green 27,766 Labour 16,366 11,400 15.62%
443 Bridgend Labour 23,992 Conservative 12,417 11,575 15.63%
444 North Herefordshire Conservative 23,498 Labour 12,449 11,049 15.67%
445 Sunderland Central Labour 21,159 Conservative 9,724 11,435 15.73%
446 Chipping Barnet Labour 29,455 Conservative 17,122 12,333 15.81%
447 Clacton Conservative 25,588 Labour 13,428 12,160 15.82%
448 Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire SNP 22,791 Conservative 10,491 12,300 15.84%
449 Dewsbury and Batley Labour 25,782 Conservative 14,055 11,727 15.85%
450 North West Essex Conservative 25,464 Labour 13,343 12,121 15.86%
451 Coventry South Labour 23,199 Conservative 11,904 11,295 15.92%
452 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry SNP 21,727 Conservative 10,774 10,953 15.93%
453 Warwick and Leamington Labour 27,086 Conservative 15,011 12,075 16.01%
454 New Forest West Conservative 23,486 Labour 12,102 11,384 16.06%
455 Newport East Labour 27,287 Conservative 13,727 13,560 16.15%
456 Alyn and Deeside Labour 26,215 Conservative 14,371 11,844 16.16%
457 Bury North Labour 23,853 Conservative 13,328 10,525 16.17%
458 Bury South Labour 29,727 Conservative 15,740 13,987 16.18%
459 Louth and Horncastle Conservative 27,706 Labour 15,207 12,499 16.22%
460 Stalybridge and Hyde Labour 22,771 Conservative 10,513 12,258 16.23%
461 Warrington North Labour 23,902 Conservative 12,237 11,665 16.25%
462 North Antrim DUP 19,231 UUP 7,484 11,747 16.51%
463 Easington Labour 19,641 Reform/Brexit 8,191 11,450 16.60%
464 High Peak Labour 28,688 Conservative 16,267 12,421 16.73%
465 Washington and Gateshead South Labour 21,498 Conservative 8,914 12,584 16.78%
466 Llanelli Labour 20,318 Plaid Cymru 8,988 11,330 16.78%
467 Nottingham North and Kimberley Labour 17,949 Conservative 8,262 9,687 16.80%
468 North East Cambridgeshire Conservative 25,742 Labour 13,181 12,561 16.88%
469 Blaydon and Consett Labour 21,930 Conservative 10,419 11,511 16.89%
470 Cambridge Labour 26,016 Liberal Democrat 13,248 12,768 16.94%
471 Makerfield Labour 25,551 Conservative 11,206 14,345 17.14%
472 Oldham East and Saddleworth Labour 27,255 Conservative 13,071 14,184 17.20%
473 Spen Valley Labour 24,187 Conservative 11,716 12,471 17.24%
474 North Dorset Conservative 24,811 Labour 12,179 12,632 17.28%
475 Bradford South Labour 23,886 Conservative 10,812 13,074 17.28%
476 Eltham and Chislehurst Labour 25,956 Conservative 13,204 12,752 17.30%
477 Halifax Labour 26,430 Conservative 13,236 13,194 17.34%
478 Bristol North East Labour 26,820 Conservative 14,250 12,570 17.46%
479 Southampton Test Labour 26,082 Conservative 12,519 13,563 17.47%
480 St Albans Liberal Democrat 25,083 Conservative 13,621 11,462 17.56%
481 Christchurch Conservative 25,065 Labour 12,365 12,700 17.67%
482 Cramlington and Killingworth Labour 24,172 Conservative 11,281 12,891 17.83%
483 Ashton-under-Lyne Labour 22,597 Conservative 9,557 13,040 18.03%
484 North Durham Labour 23,220 Conservative 9,891 13,329 18.16%
485 Newport West and Islwyn Labour 21,770 Conservative 9,368 12,402 18.18%
486 Brentwood and Ongar Conservative 26,991 Labour 13,284 13,707 18.25%
487 Chingford and Woodford Green Labour 28,007 Conservative 15,309 12,698 18.36%
488 Rayleigh and Wickford Conservative 28,385 Labour 14,659 13,726 18.40%
489 Leicester West Labour 21,409 Conservative 8,663 12,746 18.48%
490 City of Durham Labour 23,716 Conservative 10,291 13,425 18.54%
491 Derby South Labour 21,936 Conservative 9,598 12,338 18.58%
492 South Shields Labour 20,721 Reform/Brexit 7,772 12,949 18.58%
493 Sheffield South East Labour 24,230 Conservative 10,269 13,961 18.86%
494 Castle Point Conservative 28,676 Labour 14,557 14,119 19.05%
495 Kingston and Surbiton Liberal Democrat 26,211 Conservative 12,033 14,178 19.16%
496 Worsley and Eccles Labour 24,663 Conservative 10,137 14,526 19.33%
497 Wigan Labour 22,249 Conservative 8,438 13,811 19.36%
498 Huddersfield Labour 24,384 Conservative 11,063 13,321 19.37%
499 Middlesbrough and Thornaby East Labour 24,046 Conservative 9,304 14,742 19.40%
500 Bolton South and Walkden Labour 28,745 Conservative 11,983 16,762 19.44%
501 Birmingham Erdington Labour 26,914 Conservative 10,679 16,235 19.50%
502 Boston and Skegness Conservative 27,913 Labour 13,303 14,610 19.50%
503 Belfast West Sinn Fein 20,193 DUP 7,113 13,080 19.57%
504 Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney Labour 24,228 Reform/Brexit 8,949 15,279 19.68%
505 Reading Central Labour 28,481 Conservative 13,819 14,662 19.72%
506 Leeds West and Pudsey Labour 26,137 Conservative 12,050 14,087 19.78%
507 Gower Labour 27,722 Conservative 12,996 14,726 19.90%
508 Croydon East Labour 23,896 Conservative 10,987 12,909 20.17%
509 Edinburgh South Labour 21,173 SNP 9,827 11,346 20.18%
510 Richmond Park Liberal Democrat 34,958 Conservative 18,677 16,281 20.19%
511 Coventry East Labour 25,904 Conservative 10,424 15,480 20.35%
512 Plymouth Sutton and Devonport Labour 27,819 Conservative 12,655 15,164 20.39%
513 Leeds North West Labour 28,532 Conservative 13,380 15,152 20.40%
514 Caerphilly Labour 22,193 Conservative 7,685 14,508 20.42%
515 Maldon Conservative 28,052 Labour 12,618 15,434 20.59%
516 Leicester East Labour 26,620 Conservative 11,420 15,200 20.68%
517 Jarrow and Gateshead East Labour 21,868 Conservative 7,527 14,341 20.85%
518 Canterbury Labour 33,606 Conservative 17,645 15,961 20.87%
519 Portsmouth South Labour 27,303 Conservative 11,754 15,549 20.96%
520 Bath Liberal Democrat 26,996 Labour 11,830 15,166 20.98%
521 Feltham and Heston Labour 25,629 Conservative 9,929 15,700 21.05%
522 Birmingham Edgbaston Labour 24,182 Conservative 9,662 14,520 21.10%
523 South Holland and The Deepings Conservative 28,532 Labour 12,422 16,110 21.20%
524 Bermondsey and Old Southwark Labour 27,381 Liberal Democrat 11,034 16,347 21.47%
525 Erith and Thamesmead Labour 28,173 Conservative 11,197 16,976 21.69%
526 Pontypridd Labour 24,301 Conservative 7,912 16,389 21.70%
527 Tynemouth Labour 29,986 Conservative 13,554 16,432 21.70%
528 Neath and Swansea East Labour 25,688 Conservative 8,417 17,271 21.73%
529 Gateshead Central and Whickham Labour 23,913 Conservative 8,952 14,961 21.74%
530 Luton South and South Bedfordshire Labour 29,414 Conservative 10,822 18,592 21.79%
531 Rochdale Labour 23,075 Conservative 8,094 14,981 22.08%
532 Battersea Labour 27,915 Conservative 12,163 15,752 22.32%
533 Brentford and Isleworth Labour 25,402 Conservative 9,703 15,699 22.42%
534 Putney Labour 27,695 Conservative 12,115 15,580 22.43%
535 Stockport Labour 25,898 Conservative 8,883 17,015 22.73%
536 Preston Labour 25,973 Conservative 9,190 16,783 22.83%
537 Nottingham South Labour 26,282 Conservative 8,702 17,580 22.90%
538 Foyle SDLP 25,566 Sinn Fein 9,293 16,273 23.01%
539 Harrow West Labour 28,998 Conservative 11,485 17,513 23.06%
540 Runcorn and Helsby Labour 25,490 Conservative 10,498 14,992 23.11%
541 Brent West Labour 29,238 Conservative 10,653 18,585 23.23%
542 Wythenshawe and Sale East Labour 26,114 Conservative 8,372 17,742 23.25%
543 Hayes and Harlington Labour 28,445 Conservative 10,638 17,807 23.26%
544 Bristol South Labour 28,428 Conservative 10,367 18,061 23.45%
545 Swansea West Labour 23,441 Conservative 7,345 16,096 23.47%
546 Bristol North West Labour 30,020 Conservative 12,884 17,136 23.49%
547 Wirral West Labour 32,201 Conservative 14,694 17,507 23.49%
548 Chester North and Neston Labour 33,631 Conservative 14,100 19,531 23.60%
549 Hampstead and Highgate Labour 24,317 Liberal Democrat 8,788 15,529 23.72%
550 Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven Labour 27,850 Conservative 10,664 17,186 23.82%
551 Twickenham Liberal Democrat 33,468 Conservative 14,059 19,409 23.99%
552 Enfield North Labour 31,050 Conservative 11,929 19,121 24.00%
553 Ilford North Labour 27,042 Conservative 10,699 16,343 24.24%
554 Blackley and Middleton South Labour 19,857 Conservative 5,494 14,363 24.54%
555 Luton North Labour 21,342 Conservative 7,379 13,963 24.63%
556 Rhondda and Ogmore Labour 22,062 Reform/Brexit 5,526 16,536 24.66%
557 Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton Labour 23,909 Conservative 7,638 16,271 24.69%
558 Birmingham Selly Oak Labour 31,837 Conservative 10,189 21,648 24.80%
559 Sheffield Heeley Labour 25,614 Conservative 7,796 17,818 24.92%
560 Exeter Labour 30,254 Conservative 11,360 18,894 25.01%
561 West Lancashire Labour 30,273 Conservative 12,084 18,189 25.10%
562 Newcastle upon Tyne North Labour 26,873 Conservative 8,838 18,035 25.12%
563 Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare Labour 24,276 Reform/Brexit 5,873 18,403 25.13%
564 Aberafan Maesteg Labour 22,414 Conservative 5,990 16,424 25.25%
565 Birmingham Yardley Labour 24,132 Conservative 6,840 17,292 25.29%
566 Cardiff North Labour 32,415 Conservative 12,937 19,478 25.34%
567 Slough Labour 29,894 Conservative 9,210 20,684 25.47%
568 St Helens North Labour 27,582 Conservative 7,901 19,681 25.53%
569 Ellesmere Port and Bromborough Labour 28,876 Conservative 11,219 17,657 25.71%
570 Cardiff West Labour 27,946 Conservative 8,650 19,296 25.81%
571 Smethwick Labour 24,578 Conservative 7,389 17,189 25.90%
572 Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough Labour 26,517 Conservative 6,466 20,051 26.31%
573 Barking Labour 27,573 Conservative 7,578 19,995 26.56%
574 Clapham and Brixton Hill Labour 31,346 Liberal Democrat 9,629 21,717 26.61%
575 Leeds South Labour 21,505 Conservative 4,970 16,535 26.74%
576 Norwich South Labour 30,073 Conservative 9,330 20,743 26.79%
577 Leeds Central and Headingley Labour 29,089 Conservative 7,735 21,354 26.97%
578 Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West Labour 30,120 Conservative 8,822 21,298 27.26%
579 Cardiff South and Penarth Labour 34,774 Conservative 10,163 24,611 27.46%
580 York Central Labour 29,638 Conservative 8,711 20,927 27.75%
581 Salford Labour 26,651 Conservative 6,536 20,115 27.81%
582 Ealing North Labour 30,266 Conservative 9,749 20,517 27.89%
583 Queen's Park and Maida Vale Labour 31,262 Conservative 8,246 23,016 27.90%
584 Bristol Central Labour 25,145 Green 10,257 14,888 28.35%
585 Ealing Central and Acton Labour 27,261 Conservative 7,908 19,353 29.12%
586 Islington South and Finsbury Labour 30,985 Liberal Democrat 8,608 22,377 29.13%
587 Vauxhall and Camberwell Green Labour 28,433 Liberal Democrat 7,385 21,048 29.13%
588 Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend Labour 30,177 Conservative 8,246 21,931 29.15%
589 Hornsey and Friern Barnet Labour 25,463 Liberal Democrat 8,297 17,166 29.34%
590 Croydon West Labour 32,275 Conservative 8,875 23,400 29.53%
591 Edmonton and Winchmore Hill Labour 31,704 Conservative 9,086 22,618 29.56%
592 Tooting Labour 35,512 Conservative 11,162 24,350 29.76%
593 Brent East Labour 23,456 Conservative 5,380 18,076 29.83%
594 Greenwich and Woolwich Labour 25,195 Conservative 6,207 18,988 29.88%
595 Oxford East Labour 21,057 Conservative 4,422 16,635 29.97%
596 Southgate and Wood Green Labour 32,049 Conservative 9,134 22,915 30.03%
597 Birkenhead Labour 29,540 Other 7,284 22,256 30.11%
598 Birmingham Perry Barr Labour 23,127 Conservative 5,415 17,712 30.19%
599 Hammersmith and Chiswick Labour 35,496 Conservative 9,532 25,964 30.24%
600 Sefton Central Labour 31,906 Conservative 9,686 22,220 30.57%
601 St Helens South and Whiston Labour 26,986 Reform/Brexit 5,870 21,116 30.61%
602 Streatham and Croydon North Labour 31,657 Liberal Democrat 7,556 24,101 30.68%
603 Nottingham East Labour 34,777 Conservative 7,469 27,308 30.77%
604 Cardiff East Labour 22,716 Conservative 5,169 17,547 31.15%
605 Mitcham and Morden Labour 30,297 Conservative 7,541 22,756 31.30%
606 Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North Labour 31,157 Conservative 6,884 24,273 31.40%
607 Sheffield Central Labour 27,005 Green 4,652 22,353 31.55%
608 Bradford East Labour 26,431 Conservative 5,340 21,091 31.67%
609 Bristol East Labour 39,827 Green 11,298 28,529 31.72%
610 Ealing Southall Labour 34,257 Conservative 7,995 26,262 31.89%
611 Manchester Central Labour 34,547 Conservative 5,574 28,973 32.23%
612 Hove and Portslade Labour 35,332 Conservative 9,911 25,421 32.58%
613 Stretford and Urmston Labour 32,246 Conservative 8,500 23,746 32.81%
614 Gorton and Denton Labour 31,242 Conservative 5,330 25,912 33.26%
615 Blackburn Labour 29,833 Conservative 6,464 23,369 33.34%
616 Leeds North East Labour 30,844 Conservative 7,281 23,563 33.41%
617 Dulwich and West Norwood Labour 32,922 Green 8,261 24,661 33.72%
618 Lewisham East Labour 25,330 Conservative 5,002 20,328 33.77%
619 Ilford South Labour 31,964 Conservative 6,174 25,790 33.88%
620 Poplar and Limehouse Labour 34,124 Liberal Democrat 6,569 27,555 34.91%
621 Leicester South Labour 34,800 Conservative 7,027 27,773 35.33%
622 Wallasey Labour 33,530 Conservative 8,066 25,464 35.75%
623 Holborn and St Pancras Labour 36,079 Liberal Democrat 6,225 29,854 35.90%
624 Widnes and Halewood Labour 28,608 Conservative 5,196 23,412 36.06%
625 Hackney North and Stoke Newington Labour 35,773 Green 5,674 30,099 36.42%
626 Islington North Labour 34,863 Liberal Democrat 7,161 27,702 36.86%
627 Leyton and Wanstead Labour 40,025 Conservative 7,511 32,514 37.47%
628 Peckham Labour 29,002 Liberal Democrat 3,944 25,058 38.08%
629 Lewisham West and East Dulwich Labour 30,128 Green 4,857 25,271 38.11%
630 Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley Labour 33,175 Conservative 4,395 28,780 38.19%
631 Manchester Withington Labour 35,723 Liberal Democrat 6,467 29,256 38.44%
632 Manchester Rusholme Labour 21,342 Reform/Brexit 2,022 19,320 38.71%
633 Hackney South and Shoreditch Labour 36,850 Green 4,357 32,493 38.99%
634 West Ham and Beckton Labour 31,852 Conservative 4,164 27,688 39.04%
635 Stratford and Bow Labour 27,970 Conservative 3,470 24,500 39.43%
636 Birmingham Ladywood Labour 41,248 Conservative 3,949 37,299 39.81%
637 Lewisham North Labour 40,850 Liberal Democrat 5,356 35,494 40.98%
638 East Ham Labour 34,065 Conservative 4,199 29,866 40.99%
639 Tottenham Labour 34,820 Green 3,571 31,249 41.41%
640 Bradford West Labour 33,721 Conservative 3,982 29,739 42.07%
641 Chorley Other 34,397 Green 3,414 30,983 42.39%
642 Bethnal Green and Stepney Labour 39,891 Liberal Democrat 4,839 35,052 43.00%
643 Knowsley Labour 40,275 Reform/Brexit 4,793 35,482 44.37%
644 Liverpool Garston Labour 39,024 Reform/Brexit 4,461 34,563 44.51%
645 Walthamstow Labour 31,637 Conservative 3,835 27,802 44.78%
646 Liverpool Wavertree Labour 25,174 Reform/Brexit 2,397 22,777 44.86%
647 Liverpool West Derby Labour 32,904 Reform/Brexit 3,255 29,649 45.63%
648 Bootle Labour 38,205 Reform/Brexit 4,039 34,166 45.66%
649 Liverpool Riverside Labour 46,272 Green 4,548 41,724 45.76%
650 Liverpool Walton Labour 33,653 Conservative 2,752 30,901 47.73%

See also: Electoral Analysis

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