VoteClimate: General Election Scenario: Labour Slips 2.5%

General Election Scenario: Labour Slips 2.5%

What might happen at the next general election if 2.5% of voters switched back from Labour to Conservative?

Main forecast: VoteClimate's Forecast For The Next General Election

Labour: majority of 34 seats
Conservative: 101 seats short of a majority

Predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 41.5% | Conservative: 29.5% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

[Last updated: September 2023]

In this scenario the most marginal seats would be as follows:

Constituency Winner Second Votes Required
1 Basingstoke Labour 15,999 Conservative 15,991 8 0.01%
2 Glasgow South SNP 17,028 Labour 17,016 12 0.02%
3 Nuneaton Labour 19,751 Conservative 19,687 64 0.09%
4 Bassetlaw Conservative 18,837 Labour 18,744 93 0.12%
5 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale Conservative 16,861 SNP 16,739 122 0.18%
6 Southend East and Rochford Labour 19,914 Conservative 19,774 140 0.19%
7 Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Conservative 20,911 Labour 20,708 203 0.26%
8 Halesowen Labour 19,496 Conservative 19,310 186 0.26%
9 Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes Conservative 16,938 Labour 16,709 229 0.31%
10 Burton and Uttoxeter Conservative 20,794 Labour 20,473 321 0.44%
11 Swindon North Conservative 21,230 Labour 20,883 347 0.46%
12 Dumfries and Galloway SNP 20,198 Conservative 19,810 388 0.49%
13 North Northumberland Labour 19,187 Conservative 18,706 481 0.62%
14 Harrogate and Knaresborough Conservative 19,906 Liberal Democrat 19,423 483 0.66%
15 Sutton and Cheam Conservative 16,950 Liberal Democrat 16,464 486 0.68%
16 Worthing West Conservative 19,880 Labour 19,383 497 0.70%
17 Godalming and Ash Liberal Democrat 18,584 Conservative 18,109 475 0.73%
18 Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West SNP 19,406 Labour 18,864 542 0.77%
19 Na h-Eileanan an Iar Labour 5,823 SNP 5,659 164 0.78%
20 Aberdeenshire North and Moray East Conservative 20,036 SNP 19,411 625 0.82%
21 Ceredigion Preseli Plaid Cymru 16,185 Labour 15,504 681 0.88%
22 Edinburgh East and Musselburgh Labour 23,200 SNP 22,408 792 0.89%
23 Glasgow West SNP 15,144 Labour 14,538 606 1.01%
24 St Austell and Newquay Conservative 20,551 Labour 19,784 767 1.03%
25 Plymouth Moor View Labour 19,844 Conservative 19,052 792 1.09%
26 Hemel Hempstead Conservative 18,050 Labour 17,296 754 1.16%
27 Hamilton and Clyde Valley SNP 17,256 Labour 16,396 860 1.22%
28 Rugby Labour 21,680 Conservative 20,793 887 1.23%
29 Taunton and Wellington Conservative 23,164 Liberal Democrat 22,101 1,063 1.32%
30 North East Somerset and Hanham Labour 24,465 Conservative 23,339 1,126 1.33%
31 Stoke-on-Trent South Conservative 17,242 Labour 16,420 822 1.33%
32 North Somerset Conservative 21,032 Labour 20,016 1,016 1.39%
33 Fermanagh and South Tyrone Sinn Fein 22,651 UUP 21,596 1,055 1.39%
34 Herne Bay and Sandwich Conservative 22,153 Labour 21,064 1,089 1.42%
35 Mid Derbyshire Conservative 19,958 Labour 18,980 978 1.43%
36 Sherwood Forest Conservative 22,575 Labour 21,487 1,088 1.44%
37 Forest of Dean Conservative 21,973 Labour 20,878 1,095 1.53%
38 Southend West and Leigh Conservative 22,004 Labour 20,835 1,169 1.58%
39 Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke Labour 16,834 SNP 15,804 1,030 1.60%
40 Bromley and Biggin Hill Conservative 22,625 Labour 21,283 1,342 1.62%
41 West Dunbartonshire SNP 21,056 Labour 19,805 1,251 1.63%
42 Bexleyheath and Crayford Labour 18,584 Conservative 17,446 1,138 1.67%
43 Dudley Conservative 19,745 Labour 18,472 1,273 1.77%
44 Finchley and Golders Green Labour 18,877 Liberal Democrat 17,491 1,386 1.78%
45 Telford Labour 20,518 Conservative 19,223 1,295 1.81%
46 Reading West and Mid Berkshire Labour 17,982 Conservative 16,737 1,245 1.84%
47 Buckingham and Bletchley Conservative 17,968 Labour 16,697 1,271 1.86%
48 Weston-super-Mare Conservative 17,265 Labour 16,070 1,195 1.91%
49 Northampton South Labour 14,722 Conservative 13,768 954 1.92%
50 Stafford Conservative 22,772 Labour 21,343 1,429 1.92%
51 Banbury Conservative 17,234 Labour 16,012 1,222 1.92%
52 Glasgow East Labour 14,327 SNP 13,189 1,138 1.93%
53 Eastleigh Conservative 20,367 Liberal Democrat 18,926 1,441 1.94%
54 Mansfield Conservative 23,130 Labour 21,606 1,524 2.05%
55 Glasgow North Labour 17,706 SNP 16,268 1,438 2.06%
56 Dunfermline and Dollar SNP 17,073 Labour 15,697 1,376 2.07%
57 Gordon and Buchan SNP 18,444 Conservative 17,016 1,428 2.08%
58 Woking Conservative 17,456 Liberal Democrat 15,955 1,501 2.10%
59 Glasgow South West Labour 18,256 SNP 16,693 1,563 2.13%
60 Gravesham Conservative 21,400 Labour 19,831 1,569 2.14%
61 Harborough, Oadby and Wigston Conservative 20,695 Labour 19,096 1,599 2.17%
62 Exmouth and Exeter East Other 18,528 Conservative 16,981 1,547 2.18%
63 Winchester Liberal Democrat 24,791 Conservative 23,006 1,785 2.22%
64 North East Derbyshire Labour 21,473 Conservative 19,776 1,697 2.30%
65 Kettering Conservative 23,937 Labour 22,047 1,890 2.30%
66 St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Conservative 17,759 Liberal Democrat 16,161 1,598 2.32%
67 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine SNP 23,152 Conservative 21,225 1,927 2.33%
68 Gillingham and Rainham Conservative 18,620 Labour 17,030 1,590 2.36%
69 Didcot and Wantage Conservative 19,267 Liberal Democrat 17,527 1,740 2.39%
70 Carlisle Labour 23,082 Conservative 21,156 1,926 2.45%
71 South Down Sinn Fein 14,629 SDLP 12,798 1,831 2.47%
72 Tatton Conservative 20,896 Labour 18,966 1,930 2.51%
73 Edinburgh South West SNP 18,600 Labour 16,730 1,870 2.51%
74 East Thanet Labour 21,246 Conservative 19,424 1,822 2.52%
75 Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr Conservative 18,841 Labour 17,035 1,806 2.55%
76 Stourbridge Conservative 23,242 Labour 21,192 2,050 2.55%
77 Belfast North Sinn Fein 21,797 DUP 19,965 1,832 2.60%
78 Harlow Conservative 21,804 Labour 19,866 1,938 2.64%
79 Central Devon Conservative 21,992 Labour 20,096 1,896 2.64%
80 Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe Conservative 16,679 Liberal Democrat 14,760 1,919 2.65%
81 Dover and Deal Labour 22,728 Conservative 20,670 2,058 2.67%
82 Ribble Valley Conservative 21,108 Labour 19,143 1,965 2.70%
83 Thurrock Labour 20,868 Conservative 18,765 2,103 2.79%
84 Scunthorpe Labour 19,975 Conservative 17,861 2,114 2.85%
85 Bournemouth West Labour 19,299 Conservative 17,171 2,128 2.89%
86 Congleton Conservative 22,063 Labour 19,909 2,154 2.92%
87 Rochester and Strood Conservative 21,021 Labour 18,772 2,249 2.94%
88 Airdrie and Shotts Labour 16,852 SNP 14,969 1,883 2.94%
89 Isle of Wight West Conservative 14,982 Labour 13,289 1,693 2.96%
90 Isle of Wight East Conservative 14,627 Labour 12,973 1,654 2.96%
91 Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Conservative 22,029 SNP 19,751 2,278 2.98%
92 Hazel Grove Liberal Democrat 15,889 Conservative 13,955 1,934 3.01%
93 Belfast East DUP 20,623 Alliance 18,578 2,045 3.03%
94 Chelsea and Fulham Labour 17,669 Conservative 15,479 2,190 3.08%
95 Glenrothes and Mid Fife SNP 17,801 Labour 15,585 2,216 3.12%
96 Paisley and Renfrewshire North SNP 19,722 Labour 17,429 2,293 3.18%
97 Farnham and Bordon Conservative 20,855 Liberal Democrat 18,608 2,247 3.21%
98 Portsmouth North Conservative 20,364 Labour 17,898 2,466 3.46%
99 Chester South and Eddisbury Labour 19,120 Conservative 16,777 2,343 3.47%
100 Ashfield Labour 13,056 Other 10,728 2,328 3.59%
101 North Down Alliance 19,426 DUP 16,841 2,585 3.60%
102 Wellingborough and Rushden Conservative 21,219 Labour 18,557 2,662 3.62%
103 North East Fife SNP 19,088 Liberal Democrat 16,583 2,505 3.63%
104 Lowestoft Conservative 19,735 Labour 17,103 2,632 3.70%
105 Caerfyrddin Labour 18,212 Plaid Cymru 15,461 2,751 3.71%
106 Aylesbury Conservative 18,678 Labour 16,059 2,619 3.72%
107 Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland Labour 20,110 Conservative 17,581 2,529 3.73%
108 Wokingham Conservative 22,476 Liberal Democrat 19,329 3,147 3.79%
109 North East Hertfordshire Conservative 22,436 Labour 19,522 2,914 3.79%
110 Glasgow North East Labour 26,708 SNP 22,660 4,048 3.85%
111 Penrith and Solway Labour 24,759 Conservative 21,440 3,319 3.90%
112 East Kilbride and Strathaven SNP 20,103 Labour 17,195 2,908 3.91%
113 Midlothian Labour 20,111 SNP 17,338 2,773 3.93%
114 Edinburgh North and Leith SNP 16,357 Labour 13,825 2,532 3.93%
115 Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Conservative 20,961 Labour 17,992 2,969 3.94%
116 Hertford and Stortford Conservative 22,433 Labour 19,419 3,014 3.94%
117 Dartford Conservative 21,988 Labour 19,097 2,891 3.95%
118 Rutherglen Labour 21,791 SNP 18,717 3,074 3.97%
119 Welwyn Hatfield Labour 22,097 Conservative 19,100 2,997 4.02%
120 Coatbridge and Bellshill Labour 22,786 SNP 19,624 3,162 4.02%
121 St Ives Liberal Democrat 21,636 Conservative 18,671 2,965 4.12%
122 Orkney and Shetland Liberal Democrat 8,493 SNP 7,068 1,425 4.17%
123 Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme Labour 16,886 Conservative 14,015 2,871 4.21%
124 Paisley and Renfrewshire South SNP 18,585 Labour 15,893 2,692 4.22%
125 South Antrim DUP 15,224 UUP 12,198 3,026 4.22%
126 Ely and East Cambridgeshire Conservative 18,459 Liberal Democrat 15,538 2,921 4.26%
127 Fylde Conservative 23,246 Labour 19,945 3,301 4.35%
128 Erewash Labour 22,724 Conservative 19,538 3,186 4.39%
129 South Dorset Conservative 21,531 Labour 18,271 3,260 4.42%
130 South Ribble Labour 23,268 Conservative 19,955 3,313 4.43%
131 Selby Conservative 20,630 Labour 17,670 2,960 4.45%
132 Westmorland and Lonsdale Liberal Democrat 20,824 Conservative 17,647 3,177 4.49%
133 Guildford Liberal Democrat 21,379 Conservative 18,058 3,321 4.55%
134 Bicester and Woodstock Conservative 19,380 Labour 15,867 3,513 4.55%
135 Livingston SNP 16,902 Labour 13,891 3,011 4.59%
136 Witney Conservative 19,345 Liberal Democrat 16,164 3,181 4.62%
137 South Derbyshire Conservative 21,060 Labour 17,868 3,192 4.64%
138 West Dorset Conservative 22,748 Liberal Democrat 19,042 3,706 4.77%
139 Croydon South Labour 22,490 Conservative 18,792 3,698 4.80%
140 Amber Valley Conservative 21,072 Labour 17,704 3,368 4.84%
141 Wetherby and Easingwold Conservative 27,056 Labour 22,525 4,531 4.90%
142 Macclesfield Labour 23,557 Conservative 19,801 3,756 4.93%
143 Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch SNP 19,760 Labour 16,393 3,367 4.98%
144 Derbyshire Dales Conservative 23,419 Labour 19,700 3,719 5.09%
145 Colchester Labour 22,084 Conservative 18,067 4,017 5.10%
146 Wimbledon Liberal Democrat 21,355 Labour 17,499 3,856 5.10%
147 Scarborough and Whitby Labour 24,248 Conservative 20,442 3,806 5.12%
148 North Bedfordshire Conservative 24,887 Labour 20,401 4,486 5.16%
149 Eastbourne Liberal Democrat 21,454 Conservative 17,617 3,837 5.18%
150 Folkestone and Hythe Conservative 20,477 Labour 16,807 3,670 5.19%
151 South Norfolk Conservative 18,528 Labour 15,337 3,191 5.22%
152 Harpenden and Berkhamsted Conservative 19,778 Liberal Democrat 15,713 4,065 5.23%
153 Aldershot Conservative 21,467 Labour 17,389 4,078 5.29%
154 Romford Conservative 22,555 Labour 18,644 3,911 5.34%
155 Bathgate and Linlithgow SNP 19,166 Labour 15,015 4,151 5.36%
156 Redditch Conservative 21,140 Labour 17,505 3,635 5.39%
157 Huntingdon Conservative 26,593 Labour 21,530 5,063 5.41%
158 Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock SNP 14,815 Conservative 11,676 3,139 5.42%
159 Henley and Thame Conservative 21,151 Liberal Democrat 17,291 3,860 5.46%
160 Mid Cheshire Labour 19,185 Conservative 15,676 3,509 5.50%
161 South Cambridgeshire Liberal Democrat 20,920 Conservative 16,839 4,081 5.52%
162 Bournemouth East Labour 21,472 Conservative 17,351 4,121 5.56%
163 Sutton Coldfield Conservative 21,831 Labour 17,624 4,207 5.56%
164 Staffordshire Moorlands Conservative 23,330 Labour 19,234 4,096 5.56%
165 Morecambe and Lunesdale Labour 23,242 Conservative 18,767 4,475 5.56%
166 Gloucester Labour 24,323 Conservative 19,916 4,407 5.58%
167 Hitchin Conservative 18,588 Labour 14,836 3,752 5.59%
168 Hexham Labour 24,176 Conservative 19,822 4,354 5.62%
169 Suffolk Coastal Conservative 20,342 Labour 16,310 4,032 5.69%
170 Shrewsbury Labour 23,566 Conservative 19,389 4,177 5.69%
171 York Outer Labour 22,233 Conservative 17,981 4,252 5.73%
172 Pendle and Clitheroe Labour 27,624 Conservative 22,804 4,820 5.75%
173 Newcastle-under-Lyme Labour 21,067 Conservative 16,862 4,205 5.86%
174 North Warwickshire and Bedworth Conservative 22,181 Labour 18,044 4,137 5.89%
175 Reigate Conservative 20,888 Labour 16,346 4,542 5.95%
176 North West Leicestershire Conservative 23,645 Labour 19,118 4,527 5.96%
177 Waveney Valley Conservative 26,012 Labour 20,843 5,169 5.98%
178 South West Hertfordshire Conservative 17,288 Labour 13,266 4,022 6.00%
179 Chippenham Conservative 22,443 Liberal Democrat 17,951 4,492 6.01%
180 Harwich and North Essex Conservative 21,855 Labour 17,496 4,359 6.04%
181 Lewes Liberal Democrat 23,121 Conservative 18,594 4,527 6.05%
182 Stevenage Labour 21,953 Conservative 17,645 4,308 6.07%
183 Thornbury and Yate Conservative 23,629 Liberal Democrat 18,919 4,710 6.10%
184 Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey SNP 18,396 Conservative 14,262 4,134 6.15%
185 Mid Bedfordshire Conservative 20,611 Labour 16,361 4,250 6.17%
186 Cheadle Liberal Democrat 22,937 Conservative 17,938 4,999 6.18%
187 The Wrekin Conservative 23,589 Labour 18,981 4,608 6.21%
188 Beverley and Holderness Conservative 21,540 Labour 17,085 4,455 6.27%
189 Rossendale and Darwen Labour 23,421 Conservative 18,766 4,655 6.30%
190 Newark Conservative 24,825 Labour 19,780 5,045 6.33%
191 Spelthorne Conservative 20,918 Labour 16,320 4,598 6.48%
192 Great Yarmouth Conservative 21,019 Labour 16,338 4,681 6.51%
193 Stoke-on-Trent North Labour 19,209 Conservative 14,526 4,683 6.61%
194 Chatham and Aylesford Conservative 21,295 Labour 16,455 4,840 6.62%
195 Bracknell Conservative 20,101 Labour 15,528 4,573 6.63%
196 Newbury Conservative 20,346 Liberal Democrat 15,764 4,582 6.69%
197 Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy Labour 19,021 SNP 14,125 4,896 6.78%
198 Romsey and Southampton North Conservative 20,541 Liberal Democrat 15,462 5,079 6.80%
199 Uxbridge and South Ruislip Labour 19,581 Conservative 15,310 4,271 6.84%
200 Wolverhampton North East Labour 21,290 Conservative 15,903 5,387 6.87%
201 Windsor Conservative 17,855 Labour 13,291 4,564 6.87%
202 Monmouthshire Labour 22,553 Conservative 17,582 4,971 6.88%
203 North Devon Conservative 22,585 Liberal Democrat 17,351 5,234 6.90%
204 Poole Conservative 20,825 Labour 15,818 5,007 6.91%
205 Blackpool South Labour 21,779 Conservative 16,216 5,563 6.91%
206 South Devon Conservative 20,720 Liberal Democrat 15,654 5,066 6.94%
207 Yeovil Conservative 21,271 Liberal Democrat 16,400 4,871 6.94%
208 Blackpool North and Fleetwood Labour 19,834 Conservative 15,190 4,644 6.94%
209 Ynys Mon Labour 14,026 Plaid Cymru 10,418 3,608 6.95%
210 Ashford Conservative 21,327 Labour 16,285 5,042 7.08%
211 Rother Valley Labour 18,537 Conservative 13,520 5,017 7.10%
212 Glastonbury and Somerton Conservative 22,948 Liberal Democrat 17,492 5,456 7.11%
213 Earley and Woodley Labour 17,033 Conservative 12,806 4,227 7.13%
214 Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross SNP 17,785 Liberal Democrat 12,577 5,208 7.16%
215 Edinburgh West SNP 21,069 Labour 14,816 6,253 7.20%
216 Barnsley North Labour 18,866 Reform/Brexit 13,383 5,483 7.21%
217 Wakefield and Rothwell Labour 22,345 Conservative 16,968 5,377 7.23%
218 Dorking and Horley Conservative 19,541 Liberal Democrat 14,865 4,676 7.27%
219 North West Cambridgeshire Conservative 18,550 Labour 13,969 4,581 7.27%
220 Lothian East Labour 22,103 SNP 16,668 5,435 7.34%
221 Crawley Labour 24,453 Conservative 18,996 5,457 7.35%
222 Crewe and Nantwich Labour 24,295 Conservative 18,583 5,712 7.38%
223 Runnymede and Weybridge Conservative 21,624 Labour 15,645 5,979 7.44%
224 Wells and Mendip Hills Conservative 22,843 Liberal Democrat 16,932 5,911 7.45%
225 Penistone and Stocksbridge Labour 21,622 Conservative 16,301 5,321 7.50%
226 Broadland and Fakenham Conservative 22,711 Labour 17,210 5,501 7.58%
227 North Norfolk Conservative 21,223 Liberal Democrat 15,697 5,526 7.59%
228 Esher and Walton Liberal Democrat 23,550 Conservative 18,364 5,186 7.61%
229 Carshalton and Wallington Liberal Democrat 19,251 Conservative 13,689 5,562 7.62%
230 Old Bexley and Sidcup Conservative 23,197 Labour 17,773 5,424 7.63%
231 Tunbridge Wells Conservative 22,472 Liberal Democrat 16,753 5,719 7.64%
232 Cannock Chase Conservative 23,360 Labour 17,613 5,747 7.68%
233 Kenilworth and Southam Conservative 20,702 Labour 15,354 5,348 7.72%
234 Solihull West and Shirley Conservative 22,536 Labour 16,609 5,927 7.74%
235 Camborne and Redruth Labour 22,544 Conservative 17,444 5,100 7.74%
236 Beaconsfield Conservative 20,874 Other 15,547 5,327 7.76%
237 Mid Sussex Conservative 20,328 Labour 14,771 5,557 7.77%
238 Hereford and South Herefordshire Conservative 21,916 Labour 16,324 5,592 7.78%
239 Broxbourne Conservative 22,711 Labour 16,873 5,838 7.87%
240 North Cotswolds Conservative 21,476 Labour 15,563 5,913 7.90%
241 North Shropshire Conservative 23,892 Labour 17,725 6,167 8.00%
242 South Basildon and East Thurrock Conservative 20,125 Labour 14,646 5,479 8.03%
243 Newton Abbot Conservative 20,753 Labour 14,920 5,833 8.06%
244 Bolsover Labour 20,464 Conservative 14,420 6,044 8.10%
245 South West Wiltshire Conservative 19,835 Labour 14,563 5,272 8.11%
246 Corby and East Northamptonshire Labour 27,055 Conservative 21,048 6,007 8.16%
247 Salisbury Conservative 22,260 Labour 16,017 6,243 8.20%
248 Mid Norfolk Conservative 22,717 Labour 16,738 5,979 8.21%
249 Bognor Regis and Littlehampton Conservative 23,873 Labour 17,336 6,537 8.25%
250 Chelmsford Conservative 23,085 Labour 16,657 6,428 8.26%
251 Meriden and Solihull East Conservative 22,199 Labour 15,946 6,253 8.26%
252 South Leicestershire Conservative 23,053 Labour 17,230 5,823 8.28%
253 Tamworth Conservative 22,515 Labour 16,581 5,934 8.30%
254 Wyre Forest Conservative 24,144 Labour 17,644 6,500 8.33%
255 Bishop Auckland Labour 23,958 Conservative 17,351 6,607 8.34%
256 Barnsley South Labour 17,883 Reform/Brexit 11,709 6,174 8.37%
257 South East Cornwall Conservative 22,781 Labour 16,768 6,013 8.42%
258 Dundee Central SNP 23,432 Labour 16,844 6,588 8.42%
259 Hertsmere Conservative 23,270 Labour 17,135 6,135 8.43%
260 Barrow and Furness Labour 24,730 Conservative 18,084 6,646 8.43%
261 Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Conservative 23,169 Labour 16,717 6,452 8.47%
262 Central Ayrshire SNP 19,975 Conservative 13,576 6,399 8.49%
263 Mid Dunbartonshire SNP 20,668 Liberal Democrat 14,209 6,459 8.51%
264 South West Devon Conservative 24,660 Labour 18,292 6,368 8.58%
265 Aldridge-Brownhills Conservative 21,124 Labour 15,277 5,847 8.59%
266 Mid Leicestershire Conservative 24,399 Labour 17,894 6,505 8.63%
267 Brigg and Immingham Conservative 22,014 Labour 15,682 6,332 8.67%
268 Hornchurch and Upminster Conservative 23,619 Labour 16,987 6,632 8.67%
269 North Cornwall Conservative 23,646 Liberal Democrat 17,121 6,525 8.70%
270 Frome and East Somerset Conservative 16,466 Labour 11,512 4,954 8.71%
271 North West Norfolk Conservative 23,404 Labour 16,889 6,515 8.71%
272 Bolton West Labour 20,296 Conservative 14,792 5,504 8.72%
273 Weald of Kent Conservative 23,266 Labour 16,539 6,727 8.72%
274 Mid and South Pembrokeshire Labour 26,348 Conservative 19,866 6,482 8.75%
275 Swindon South Labour 25,289 Conservative 18,840 6,449 8.78%
276 Bridlington and The Wolds Conservative 19,850 Labour 14,169 5,681 8.79%
277 East Worthing and Shoreham Labour 25,505 Conservative 18,852 6,653 8.85%
278 Mid Buckinghamshire Conservative 21,929 Labour 15,111 6,818 8.86%
279 Harrow East Labour 24,289 Conservative 17,745 6,544 8.89%
280 Central Suffolk and North Ipswich Conservative 22,061 Labour 15,891 6,170 8.89%
281 Epsom and Ewell Conservative 24,735 Liberal Democrat 16,903 7,832 8.93%
282 Kilmarnock and Loudoun SNP 22,794 Labour 15,644 7,150 8.94%
283 Strangford DUP 16,488 Alliance 10,300 6,188 9.05%
284 Sheffield Hallam Labour 23,701 Liberal Democrat 16,989 6,712 9.05%
285 Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber SNP 20,789 Conservative 14,240 6,549 9.09%
286 South Northamptonshire Conservative 25,240 Labour 18,254 6,986 9.16%
287 Stoke-on-Trent Central Labour 21,431 Conservative 14,641 6,790 9.17%
288 Redcar Labour 20,110 Conservative 13,615 6,495 9.18%
289 Worcester Labour 24,720 Conservative 17,968 6,752 9.19%
290 Upper Bann DUP 17,538 Sinn Fein 10,906 6,632 9.19%
291 Loughborough Labour 25,909 Conservative 18,806 7,103 9.22%
292 Hartlepool Labour 18,497 Reform/Brexit 11,924 6,573 9.28%
293 Lagan Valley DUP 19,362 Alliance 12,323 7,039 9.31%
294 Tipton and Wednesbury Labour 16,493 Conservative 10,766 5,727 9.34%
295 Skipton and Ripon Conservative 24,257 Labour 17,142 7,115 9.41%
296 East Renfrewshire SNP 22,562 Conservative 15,763 6,799 9.41%
297 Surrey Heath Conservative 22,439 Liberal Democrat 15,408 7,031 9.45%
298 Northampton North Labour 31,273 Conservative 22,536 8,737 9.46%
299 West Bromwich Labour 22,412 Conservative 14,842 7,570 9.49%
300 Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge Conservative 21,833 Labour 15,701 6,132 9.50%
301 Bexhill and Battle Conservative 22,487 Labour 15,944 6,543 9.55%
302 Whitehaven and Workington Labour 22,602 Conservative 16,122 6,480 9.63%
303 Ipswich Labour 23,911 Conservative 16,587 7,324 9.70%
304 Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor Labour 19,050 Conservative 12,776 6,274 9.76%
305 Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice Labour 16,594 Conservative 10,050 6,544 9.83%
306 Goole and Pocklington Conservative 29,266 Labour 20,301 8,965 9.91%
307 Bromsgrove Conservative 25,088 Labour 17,641 7,447 9.92%
308 Melton and Syston Conservative 24,260 Labour 16,714 7,546 9.94%
309 Rushcliffe Labour 26,600 Conservative 19,184 7,416 9.95%
310 Leeds South West and Morley Labour 23,722 Conservative 16,162 7,560 9.97%
311 Tiverton and Minehead Conservative 20,809 Labour 13,979 6,830 9.98%
312 East Wiltshire Conservative 20,041 Labour 13,514 6,527 10.00%
313 Lichfield Conservative 25,981 Labour 18,133 7,848 10.00%
314 Perth and Kinross-shire SNP 28,313 Conservative 19,566 8,747 10.01%
315 Broxtowe Labour 25,268 Conservative 17,410 7,858 10.03%
316 West Suffolk Conservative 24,069 Labour 16,281 7,788 10.03%
317 Maidstone and Malling Conservative 19,825 Labour 13,191 6,634 10.08%
318 South Suffolk Conservative 23,269 Labour 15,866 7,403 10.08%
319 Filton and Bradley Stoke Labour 24,484 Conservative 17,443 7,041 10.09%
320 Norwich North Labour 23,983 Conservative 16,715 7,268 10.16%
321 Clwyd North Labour 24,527 Conservative 16,911 7,616 10.19%
322 Walsall and Bloxwich Labour 24,653 Conservative 16,232 8,421 10.21%
323 Epping Forest Conservative 23,683 Labour 16,096 7,587 10.21%
324 East Grinstead and Uckfield Conservative 20,492 Labour 13,350 7,142 10.26%
325 Angus and Perthshire Glens SNP 24,339 Conservative 16,427 7,912 10.27%
326 Cheltenham Liberal Democrat 28,172 Conservative 20,104 8,068 10.31%
327 Aberdeen South SNP 22,630 Conservative 13,971 8,659 10.32%
328 Faversham and Mid Kent Conservative 22,629 Labour 15,205 7,424 10.34%
329 Basildon and Billericay Conservative 23,653 Labour 15,786 7,867 10.36%
330 Melksham and Devizes Conservative 21,623 Liberal Democrat 14,205 7,418 10.40%
331 Dwyfor Meirionnydd Plaid Cymru 21,740 Labour 14,242 7,498 10.45%
332 Oxford West and Abingdon Liberal Democrat 26,216 Labour 16,988 9,228 10.46%
333 North West Hampshire Conservative 27,152 Labour 17,902 9,250 10.47%
334 Watford Labour 26,397 Conservative 17,953 8,444 10.53%
335 Shipley Labour 26,084 Conservative 18,278 7,806 10.54%
336 Southport Labour 24,575 Conservative 16,562 8,013 10.63%
337 Mid Dorset and North Poole Conservative 24,402 Liberal Democrat 16,390 8,012 10.66%
338 Milton Keynes Central Labour 27,329 Conservative 18,719 8,610 10.67%
339 Orpington Conservative 18,689 Labour 12,415 6,274 10.70%
340 Altrincham and Sale West Labour 25,988 Conservative 18,136 7,852 10.74%
341 Milton Keynes North Labour 24,797 Conservative 16,926 7,871 10.82%
342 Gainsborough Conservative 25,219 Labour 17,267 7,952 10.83%
343 Hyndburn Labour 21,265 Conservative 13,575 7,690 10.86%
344 North Ayrshire and Arran SNP 20,892 Labour 12,523 8,369 10.94%
345 Burnley Labour 19,496 Conservative 11,727 7,769 10.95%
346 Horsham Conservative 23,210 Labour 14,572 8,638 11.05%
347 Sittingbourne and Sheppey Conservative 22,951 Labour 14,696 8,255 11.05%
348 Chesham and Amersham Conservative 22,273 Labour 13,963 8,310 11.07%
349 Tewkesbury Conservative 20,986 Labour 13,196 7,790 11.19%
350 Darlington Labour 22,662 Conservative 14,705 7,957 11.21%
351 Torridge and Tavistock Conservative 24,292 Labour 15,838 8,454 11.23%
352 Southampton Itchen Labour 21,498 Conservative 14,164 7,334 11.24%
353 Honiton and Sidmouth Conservative 24,970 Labour 15,590 9,380 11.25%
354 Leigh and Atherton Labour 23,325 Conservative 14,642 8,683 11.26%
355 West Tyrone Sinn Fein 17,625 DUP 9,633 7,992 11.26%
356 South Cotswolds Conservative 20,883 Liberal Democrat 13,413 7,470 11.26%
357 East Antrim DUP 18,257 Alliance 10,378 7,879 11.27%
358 Arundel and South Downs Conservative 24,422 Labour 15,493 8,929 11.29%
359 Cities of London and Westminster Labour 23,546 Liberal Democrat 13,908 9,638 11.29%
360 Chichester Conservative 23,009 Labour 14,292 8,717 11.30%
361 Stockton West Labour 20,800 Conservative 13,895 6,905 11.41%
362 Lincoln Labour 24,856 Conservative 16,283 8,573 11.42%
363 Thirsk and Malton Conservative 23,107 Labour 14,904 8,203 11.42%
364 Newry and Armagh Sinn Fein 18,563 DUP 10,059 8,504 11.43%
365 Alloa and Grangemouth SNP 16,889 Conservative 10,047 6,842 11.43%
366 Bridgwater Conservative 18,918 Labour 11,730 7,188 11.43%
367 Daventry Conservative 28,276 Labour 18,743 9,533 11.68%
368 Wycombe Labour 24,532 Conservative 15,918 8,614 11.74%
369 Havant Conservative 22,092 Labour 13,608 8,484 11.77%
370 Torbay Conservative 21,739 Liberal Democrat 12,830 8,909 11.78%
371 Truro and Falmouth Labour 28,992 Conservative 19,475 9,517 12.05%
372 Lancaster and Wyre Labour 23,362 Conservative 14,778 8,584 12.06%
373 Wolverhampton South East Labour 23,894 Conservative 14,073 9,821 12.07%
374 Colne Valley Labour 26,635 Conservative 17,499 9,136 12.08%
375 Maidenhead Conservative 23,272 Labour 14,008 9,264 12.11%
376 Hinckley and Bosworth Conservative 23,474 Labour 14,614 8,860 12.19%
377 Hendon Labour 26,653 Conservative 17,264 9,389 12.20%
378 Rawmarsh and Conisbrough Labour 18,499 Conservative 9,802 8,697 12.24%
379 Doncaster North Labour 17,891 Reform/Brexit 9,179 8,712 12.29%
380 Wrexham Labour 22,630 Conservative 13,976 8,654 12.29%
381 Birmingham Northfield Labour 21,099 Conservative 12,394 8,705 12.34%
382 Rutland and Stamford Conservative 23,305 Labour 14,479 8,826 12.34%
383 Gosport Conservative 23,762 Labour 14,653 9,109 12.39%
384 Sleaford and North Hykeham Conservative 23,200 Labour 14,496 8,704 12.39%
385 Hastings and Rye Labour 27,619 Conservative 18,014 9,605 12.40%
386 Kingston upon Hull East Labour 16,804 Conservative 7,826 8,978 12.40%
387 West Worcestershire Conservative 25,644 Labour 16,049 9,595 12.41%
388 Grantham and Bourne Conservative 25,799 Labour 16,262 9,537 12.47%
389 South Shropshire Conservative 25,882 Labour 16,101 9,781 12.50%
390 Peterborough Labour 23,568 Conservative 14,564 9,004 12.50%
391 Hamble Valley Conservative 23,810 Labour 14,274 9,536 12.56%
392 Sussex Weald Conservative 22,921 Labour 14,034 8,887 12.62%
393 Ossett and Denby Dale Labour 19,187 Conservative 11,500 7,687 12.70%
394 Derby North Labour 25,513 Conservative 15,114 10,399 12.72%
395 North East Hampshire Conservative 24,414 Liberal Democrat 14,625 9,789 12.72%
396 East Londonderry DUP 15,881 SDLP 6,806 9,075 12.78%
397 East Surrey Conservative 20,851 Labour 12,126 8,725 12.87%
398 Stroud Labour 28,784 Conservative 18,890 9,894 13.04%
399 Normanton and Hemsworth Labour 19,026 Conservative 9,487 9,539 13.05%
400 Calder Valley Labour 30,479 Conservative 20,668 9,811 13.07%
401 Richmond and Northallerton Conservative 23,832 Labour 14,224 9,608 13.12%
402 Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley Labour 19,522 Conservative 9,769 9,753 13.22%
403 Mid Ulster Sinn Fein 20,494 DUP 11,009 9,485 13.24%
404 Braintree Conservative 25,725 Labour 15,577 10,148 13.30%
405 Sevenoaks Conservative 23,223 Labour 13,318 9,905 13.31%
406 Aberdeen North SNP 16,869 Conservative 8,445 8,424 13.42%
407 Clwyd East Labour 27,591 Conservative 16,834 10,757 13.60%
408 Wolverhampton West Labour 21,527 Conservative 12,883 8,644 13.61%
409 Witham Conservative 25,652 Labour 15,438 10,214 13.68%
410 Falkirk SNP 22,396 Labour 11,705 10,691 13.69%
411 Stratford-on-Avon Conservative 24,165 Liberal Democrat 13,992 10,173 13.75%
412 Stirling and Strathallan SNP 24,920 Conservative 14,825 10,095 13.80%
413 South West Norfolk Conservative 24,293 Labour 14,324 9,969 13.81%
414 East Hampshire Conservative 21,774 Liberal Democrat 12,386 9,388 13.82%
415 Doncaster Central Labour 20,801 Conservative 10,113 10,688 13.83%
416 Tonbridge Conservative 24,792 Labour 14,252 10,540 13.89%
417 Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Conservative 25,064 Labour 14,932 10,132 14.07%
418 Vale of Glamorgan Labour 27,207 Conservative 17,229 9,978 14.27%
419 Blyth and Ashington Labour 21,110 Conservative 11,414 9,696 14.40%
420 Heywood and Middleton North Labour 23,691 Conservative 12,274 11,417 14.55%
421 Droitwich and Evesham Conservative 26,411 Labour 15,481 10,930 14.55%
422 Kingston upon Hull North and Cottingham Labour 22,299 Conservative 10,326 11,973 14.64%
423 Bangor Aberconwy Labour 24,940 Conservative 13,846 11,094 14.70%
424 Chesterfield Labour 20,745 Conservative 10,537 10,208 14.73%
425 Gedling Labour 27,435 Conservative 16,209 11,226 14.73%
426 New Forest East Conservative 24,055 Labour 13,216 10,839 14.74%
427 Beckenham and Penge Labour 27,577 Conservative 15,557 12,020 14.74%
428 Bedford Labour 21,916 Conservative 12,219 9,697 14.84%
429 Coventry North West Labour 24,627 Conservative 13,451 11,176 14.85%
430 Warrington South Labour 28,208 Conservative 16,646 11,562 14.89%
431 Keighley and Ilkley Labour 27,593 Conservative 16,690 10,903 14.98%
432 Stockton North Labour 25,516 Conservative 13,977 11,539 15.02%
433 Rotherham Labour 20,216 Conservative 9,006 11,210 15.05%
434 Belfast South and Mid Down SDLP 25,777 DUP 13,675 12,102 15.18%
435 Houghton and Sunderland South Labour 20,741 Conservative 9,087 11,654 15.24%
436 Fareham and Waterlooville Conservative 25,139 Labour 13,839 11,300 15.33%
437 Bolton North East Labour 25,927 Conservative 14,083 11,844 15.49%
438 Kensington and Bayswater Labour 25,640 Conservative 13,092 12,548 15.50%
439 Leeds East Labour 24,151 Conservative 12,287 11,864 15.54%
440 Dagenham and Rainham Labour 24,045 Conservative 12,534 11,511 15.55%
441 Torfaen Labour 19,832 Conservative 9,082 10,750 15.56%
442 Brighton Pavilion Green 27,797 Labour 16,384 11,413 15.62%
443 Bridgend Labour 23,982 Conservative 12,412 11,570 15.63%
444 North Herefordshire Conservative 23,495 Labour 12,446 11,049 15.67%
445 Sunderland Central Labour 21,158 Conservative 9,723 11,435 15.73%
446 Chipping Barnet Labour 29,461 Conservative 17,125 12,336 15.81%
447 Clacton Conservative 25,559 Labour 13,405 12,154 15.83%
448 Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire SNP 22,790 Conservative 10,492 12,298 15.84%
449 Dewsbury and Batley Labour 25,766 Conservative 14,047 11,719 15.85%
450 North West Essex Conservative 25,466 Labour 13,342 12,124 15.87%
451 Coventry South Labour 23,233 Conservative 11,922 11,311 15.92%
452 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry SNP 21,714 Conservative 10,768 10,946 15.93%
453 Warwick and Leamington Labour 27,094 Conservative 15,017 12,077 16.00%
454 New Forest West Conservative 23,485 Labour 12,103 11,382 16.06%
455 Newport East Labour 27,306 Conservative 13,737 13,569 16.15%
456 Bury North Labour 23,855 Conservative 13,332 10,523 16.17%
457 Alyn and Deeside Labour 26,216 Conservative 14,367 11,849 16.17%
458 Bury South Labour 29,722 Conservative 15,739 13,983 16.18%
459 Stalybridge and Hyde Labour 22,768 Conservative 10,511 12,257 16.23%
460 Warrington North Labour 23,903 Conservative 12,237 11,666 16.25%
461 North Antrim DUP 19,229 UUP 7,484 11,745 16.51%
462 Easington Labour 19,644 Reform/Brexit 8,191 11,453 16.60%
463 High Peak Labour 28,686 Conservative 16,267 12,419 16.72%
464 Washington and Gateshead South Labour 21,500 Conservative 8,915 12,585 16.78%
465 Llanelli Labour 20,316 Plaid Cymru 8,982 11,334 16.79%
466 Nottingham North and Kimberley Labour 17,968 Conservative 8,271 9,697 16.80%
467 North East Cambridgeshire Conservative 25,729 Labour 13,177 12,552 16.87%
468 Blaydon and Consett Labour 21,912 Conservative 10,410 11,502 16.89%
469 Cambridge Labour 26,017 Liberal Democrat 13,249 12,768 16.94%
470 Louth and Horncastle Conservative 29,050 Labour 15,944 13,106 17.02%
471 Makerfield Labour 25,550 Conservative 11,206 14,344 17.15%
472 Oldham East and Saddleworth Labour 27,262 Conservative 13,072 14,190 17.20%
473 Spen Valley Labour 24,202 Conservative 11,722 12,480 17.25%
474 North Dorset Conservative 24,809 Labour 12,176 12,633 17.28%
475 Bradford South Labour 23,894 Conservative 10,813 13,081 17.28%
476 Eltham and Chislehurst Labour 25,955 Conservative 13,204 12,751 17.30%
477 Halifax Labour 26,435 Conservative 13,239 13,196 17.34%
478 Bristol North East Labour 26,802 Conservative 14,240 12,562 17.46%
479 Southampton Test Labour 26,082 Conservative 12,521 13,561 17.46%
480 St Albans Liberal Democrat 25,087 Conservative 13,625 11,462 17.56%
481 Christchurch Conservative 25,062 Labour 12,364 12,698 17.67%
482 Cramlington and Killingworth Labour 24,201 Conservative 11,294 12,907 17.83%
483 Ashton-under-Lyne Labour 22,587 Conservative 9,553 13,034 18.02%
484 North Durham Labour 23,217 Conservative 9,889 13,328 18.16%
485 Newport West and Islwyn Labour 21,775 Conservative 9,367 12,408 18.18%
486 Brentwood and Ongar Conservative 26,989 Labour 13,286 13,703 18.25%
487 Chingford and Woodford Green Labour 27,998 Conservative 15,305 12,693 18.36%
488 Rayleigh and Wickford Conservative 28,389 Labour 14,660 13,729 18.40%
489 Leicester West Labour 21,408 Conservative 8,665 12,743 18.47%
490 City of Durham Labour 23,723 Conservative 10,293 13,430 18.54%
491 South Shields Labour 20,722 Reform/Brexit 7,774 12,948 18.58%
492 Derby South Labour 21,929 Conservative 9,596 12,333 18.58%
493 Sheffield South East Labour 24,228 Conservative 10,269 13,959 18.86%
494 Castle Point Conservative 28,675 Labour 14,557 14,118 19.05%
495 Kingston and Surbiton Liberal Democrat 26,220 Conservative 12,038 14,182 19.16%
496 Worsley and Eccles Labour 24,641 Conservative 10,129 14,512 19.33%
497 Wigan Labour 22,251 Conservative 8,437 13,814 19.36%
498 Huddersfield Labour 24,394 Conservative 11,067 13,327 19.38%
499 Middlesbrough and Thornaby East Labour 24,071 Conservative 9,318 14,753 19.39%
500 Bolton South and Walkden Labour 28,763 Conservative 11,990 16,773 19.44%
501 Birmingham Erdington Labour 26,870 Conservative 10,670 16,200 19.48%
502 Boston and Skegness Conservative 27,917 Labour 13,307 14,610 19.50%
503 Belfast West Sinn Fein 20,191 DUP 7,115 13,076 19.56%
504 Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney Labour 24,233 Reform/Brexit 8,948 15,285 19.68%
505 Reading Central Labour 28,519 Conservative 13,840 14,679 19.72%
506 Leeds West and Pudsey Labour 26,141 Conservative 12,051 14,090 19.78%
507 Gower Labour 27,715 Conservative 12,995 14,720 19.90%
508 Croydon East Labour 23,959 Conservative 11,013 12,946 20.18%
509 Edinburgh South Labour 21,180 SNP 9,830 11,350 20.18%
510 Richmond Park Liberal Democrat 34,954 Conservative 18,674 16,280 20.19%
511 Coventry East Labour 25,872 Conservative 10,408 15,464 20.36%
512 Plymouth Sutton and Devonport Labour 27,819 Conservative 12,655 15,164 20.39%
513 Leeds North West Labour 28,533 Conservative 13,379 15,154 20.40%
514 Caerphilly Labour 22,180 Conservative 7,680 14,500 20.42%
515 Maldon Conservative 28,055 Labour 12,619 15,436 20.59%
516 Leicester East Labour 26,620 Conservative 11,420 15,200 20.68%
517 Jarrow and Gateshead East Labour 21,856 Conservative 7,521 14,335 20.86%
518 Canterbury Labour 33,619 Conservative 17,653 15,966 20.87%
519 Portsmouth South Labour 27,305 Conservative 11,752 15,553 20.97%
520 Bath Liberal Democrat 26,990 Labour 11,828 15,162 20.98%
521 Feltham and Heston Labour 25,633 Conservative 9,932 15,701 21.05%
522 Birmingham Edgbaston Labour 24,165 Conservative 9,660 14,505 21.10%
523 South Holland and The Deepings Conservative 28,532 Labour 12,422 16,110 21.20%
524 Bermondsey and Old Southwark Labour 27,405 Liberal Democrat 11,045 16,360 21.47%
525 Erith and Thamesmead Labour 28,109 Conservative 11,183 16,926 21.67%
526 Pontypridd Labour 24,284 Conservative 7,904 16,380 21.70%
527 Tynemouth Labour 29,990 Conservative 13,553 16,437 21.71%
528 Neath and Swansea East Labour 25,663 Conservative 8,408 17,255 21.73%
529 Gateshead Central and Whickham Labour 23,923 Conservative 8,955 14,968 21.75%
530 Luton South and South Bedfordshire Labour 29,410 Conservative 10,824 18,586 21.79%
531 Rochdale Labour 23,075 Conservative 8,095 14,980 22.08%
532 Battersea Labour 27,923 Conservative 12,166 15,757 22.32%
533 Brentford and Isleworth Labour 25,375 Conservative 9,694 15,681 22.41%
534 Putney Labour 27,680 Conservative 12,109 15,571 22.43%
535 Stockport Labour 25,901 Conservative 8,888 17,013 22.72%
536 Preston Labour 25,973 Conservative 9,183 16,790 22.84%
537 Nottingham South Labour 26,300 Conservative 8,704 17,596 22.91%
538 Foyle SDLP 25,560 Sinn Fein 9,296 16,264 23.01%
539 Harrow West Labour 28,999 Conservative 11,486 17,513 23.06%
540 Runcorn and Helsby Labour 25,507 Conservative 10,502 15,005 23.12%
541 Brent West Labour 29,239 Conservative 10,651 18,588 23.23%
542 Wythenshawe and Sale East Labour 26,115 Conservative 8,374 17,741 23.25%
543 Hayes and Harlington Labour 28,446 Conservative 10,636 17,810 23.27%
544 Bristol South Labour 28,423 Conservative 10,365 18,058 23.45%
545 Swansea West Labour 23,479 Conservative 7,358 16,121 23.47%
546 Bristol North West Labour 30,040 Conservative 12,893 17,147 23.49%
547 Wirral West Labour 32,197 Conservative 14,690 17,507 23.49%
548 Chester North and Neston Labour 33,674 Conservative 14,118 19,556 23.60%
549 Hampstead and Highgate Labour 24,337 Liberal Democrat 8,795 15,542 23.72%
550 Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven Labour 27,835 Conservative 10,658 17,177 23.83%
551 Twickenham Liberal Democrat 33,463 Conservative 14,059 19,404 23.99%
552 Enfield North Labour 31,037 Conservative 11,928 19,109 24.00%
553 Ilford North Labour 27,057 Conservative 10,704 16,353 24.24%
554 Blackley and Middleton South Labour 19,866 Conservative 5,495 14,371 24.55%
555 Luton North Labour 21,354 Conservative 7,383 13,971 24.63%
556 Rhondda and Ogmore Labour 22,072 Reform/Brexit 5,527 16,545 24.66%
557 Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton Labour 23,906 Conservative 7,637 16,269 24.69%
558 Birmingham Selly Oak Labour 31,834 Conservative 10,190 21,644 24.80%
559 Sheffield Heeley Labour 25,633 Conservative 7,799 17,834 24.93%
560 Exeter Labour 30,259 Conservative 11,365 18,894 25.00%
561 West Lancashire Labour 30,271 Conservative 12,081 18,190 25.11%
562 Newcastle upon Tyne North Labour 26,918 Conservative 8,855 18,063 25.11%
563 Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare Labour 24,271 Reform/Brexit 5,871 18,400 25.13%
564 Aberafan Maesteg Labour 22,417 Conservative 5,992 16,425 25.24%
565 Birmingham Yardley Labour 24,110 Conservative 6,835 17,275 25.29%
566 Cardiff North Labour 32,418 Conservative 12,939 19,479 25.33%
567 Slough Labour 29,891 Conservative 9,206 20,685 25.47%
568 St Helens North Labour 27,588 Conservative 7,903 19,685 25.53%
569 Ellesmere Port and Bromborough Labour 28,849 Conservative 11,209 17,640 25.71%
570 Cardiff West Labour 27,951 Conservative 8,652 19,299 25.81%
571 Smethwick Labour 24,576 Conservative 7,388 17,188 25.90%
572 Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough Labour 26,514 Conservative 6,467 20,047 26.31%
573 Barking Labour 27,559 Conservative 7,573 19,986 26.56%
574 Clapham and Brixton Hill Labour 31,322 Liberal Democrat 9,618 21,704 26.61%
575 Leeds South Labour 21,518 Conservative 4,973 16,545 26.74%
576 Norwich South Labour 30,073 Conservative 9,331 20,742 26.79%
577 Leeds Central and Headingley Labour 29,081 Conservative 7,734 21,347 26.97%
578 Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West Labour 30,110 Conservative 8,816 21,294 27.27%
579 Cardiff South and Penarth Labour 34,793 Conservative 10,171 24,622 27.45%
580 York Central Labour 29,639 Conservative 8,712 20,927 27.75%
581 Salford Labour 26,655 Conservative 6,537 20,118 27.81%
582 Ealing North Labour 30,263 Conservative 9,748 20,515 27.89%
583 Queen's Park and Maida Vale Labour 31,231 Conservative 8,237 22,994 27.90%
584 Bristol Central Labour 25,159 Green 10,261 14,898 28.35%
585 Ealing Central and Acton Labour 27,257 Conservative 7,907 19,350 29.12%
586 Vauxhall and Camberwell Green Labour 28,403 Liberal Democrat 7,379 21,024 29.13%
587 Islington South and Finsbury Labour 30,988 Liberal Democrat 8,609 22,379 29.13%
588 Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend Labour 30,153 Conservative 8,237 21,916 29.16%
589 Hornsey and Friern Barnet Labour 25,498 Liberal Democrat 8,309 17,189 29.34%
590 Croydon West Labour 32,148 Conservative 8,838 23,310 29.53%
591 Edmonton and Winchmore Hill Labour 31,704 Conservative 9,082 22,622 29.57%
592 Tooting Labour 35,521 Conservative 11,167 24,354 29.76%
593 Brent East Labour 23,477 Conservative 5,384 18,093 29.83%
594 Greenwich and Woolwich Labour 25,261 Conservative 6,222 19,039 29.88%
595 Oxford East Labour 21,038 Conservative 4,417 16,621 29.97%
596 Southgate and Wood Green Labour 32,025 Conservative 9,132 22,893 30.03%
597 Birkenhead Labour 29,548 Other 7,285 22,263 30.12%
598 Birmingham Perry Barr Labour 23,178 Conservative 5,426 17,752 30.20%
599 Hammersmith and Chiswick Labour 35,513 Conservative 9,539 25,974 30.24%
600 Sefton Central Labour 31,907 Conservative 9,685 22,222 30.57%
601 St Helens South and Whiston Labour 26,997 Reform/Brexit 5,871 21,126 30.61%
602 Streatham and Croydon North Labour 31,728 Liberal Democrat 7,565 24,163 30.69%
603 Nottingham East Labour 34,754 Conservative 7,463 27,291 30.78%
604 Cardiff East Labour 22,703 Conservative 5,165 17,538 31.15%
605 Mitcham and Morden Labour 30,304 Conservative 7,547 22,757 31.28%
606 Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North Labour 31,140 Conservative 6,888 24,252 31.38%
607 Sheffield Central Labour 26,989 Green 4,649 22,340 31.55%
608 Bradford East Labour 26,422 Conservative 5,339 21,083 31.67%
609 Bristol East Labour 39,814 Green 11,292 28,522 31.73%
610 Ealing Southall Labour 34,252 Conservative 7,995 26,257 31.89%
611 Manchester Central Labour 34,538 Conservative 5,573 28,965 32.22%
612 Hove and Portslade Labour 35,329 Conservative 9,911 25,418 32.57%
613 Stretford and Urmston Labour 32,247 Conservative 8,499 23,748 32.81%
614 Gorton and Denton Labour 31,236 Conservative 5,328 25,908 33.26%
615 Blackburn Labour 29,828 Conservative 6,463 23,365 33.34%
616 Leeds North East Labour 30,844 Conservative 7,281 23,563 33.40%
617 Dulwich and West Norwood Labour 32,955 Green 8,270 24,685 33.71%
618 Lewisham East Labour 25,356 Conservative 5,008 20,348 33.77%
619 Ilford South Labour 31,956 Conservative 6,174 25,782 33.88%
620 Poplar and Limehouse Labour 34,124 Liberal Democrat 6,571 27,553 34.91%
621 Leicester South Labour 34,799 Conservative 7,027 27,772 35.33%
622 Wallasey Labour 33,530 Conservative 8,068 25,462 35.75%
623 Holborn and St Pancras Labour 36,079 Liberal Democrat 6,226 29,853 35.89%
624 Widnes and Halewood Labour 28,510 Conservative 5,184 23,326 36.04%
625 Hackney North and Stoke Newington Labour 35,737 Green 5,669 30,068 36.42%
626 Islington North Labour 34,864 Liberal Democrat 7,161 27,703 36.86%
627 Leyton and Wanstead Labour 40,051 Conservative 7,512 32,539 37.48%
628 Peckham Labour 29,026 Liberal Democrat 3,949 25,077 38.07%
629 Lewisham West and East Dulwich Labour 30,076 Green 4,845 25,231 38.12%
630 Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley Labour 33,207 Conservative 4,401 28,806 38.18%
631 Manchester Withington Labour 35,723 Liberal Democrat 6,466 29,257 38.43%
632 Manchester Rusholme Labour 21,349 Reform/Brexit 2,022 19,327 38.71%
633 Hackney South and Shoreditch Labour 36,856 Green 4,357 32,499 38.99%
634 West Ham and Beckton Labour 31,863 Conservative 4,166 27,697 39.04%
635 Stratford and Bow Labour 27,959 Conservative 3,469 24,490 39.44%
636 Birmingham Ladywood Labour 41,276 Conservative 3,952 37,324 39.81%
637 Lewisham North Labour 40,818 Liberal Democrat 5,351 35,467 40.98%
638 East Ham Labour 34,073 Conservative 4,199 29,874 40.99%
639 Tottenham Labour 34,838 Green 3,575 31,263 41.40%
640 Bradford West Labour 33,721 Conservative 3,982 29,739 42.07%
641 Chorley Other 34,409 Green 3,414 30,995 42.39%
642 Bethnal Green and Stepney Labour 39,889 Liberal Democrat 4,838 35,051 43.00%
643 Knowsley Labour 40,256 Reform/Brexit 4,790 35,466 44.38%
644 Liverpool Garston Labour 39,111 Reform/Brexit 4,469 34,642 44.52%
645 Walthamstow Labour 31,615 Conservative 3,831 27,784 44.79%
646 Liverpool Wavertree Labour 25,179 Reform/Brexit 2,398 22,781 44.87%
647 Liverpool West Derby Labour 32,900 Reform/Brexit 3,256 29,644 45.63%
648 Bootle Labour 38,206 Reform/Brexit 4,041 34,165 45.66%
649 Liverpool Riverside Labour 46,284 Green 4,549 41,735 45.76%
650 Liverpool Walton Labour 33,648 Conservative 2,750 30,898 47.73%

See also: Electoral Analysis

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