VoteClimate: General Election Scenario: Labour Slips 5%

General Election Scenario: Labour Slips 5%

What might happen at the next general election if 5% of voters switched back from Labour to Conservative?

Main forecast: VoteClimate's Forecast For The Next General Election

Labour: 10 seats short of a majority
Conservative: 73 seats short of a majority

Predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 39% | Conservative: 32% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

[Last updated: September 2023]

In this scenario the most marginal seats would be as follows:

Constituency Winner Second Votes Required
1 Welwyn Hatfield Labour 20,625 Conservative 20,622 3 0.00%
2 Penrith and Solway Labour 23,132 Conservative 23,128 4 0.00%
3 Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke SNP 15,898 Labour 15,868 30 0.05%
4 Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland Conservative 18,927 Labour 18,815 112 0.17%
5 Winchester Conservative 24,832 Liberal Democrat 24,669 163 0.20%
6 Exmouth and Exeter East Other 18,528 Conservative 18,345 183 0.26%
7 South Ribble Labour 21,743 Conservative 21,522 221 0.30%
8 Erewash Labour 21,261 Conservative 21,042 219 0.30%
9 Chester South and Eddisbury Conservative 18,126 Labour 17,820 306 0.45%
10 Chelsea and Fulham Conservative 16,769 Labour 16,401 368 0.52%
11 Glasgow East Labour 13,663 SNP 13,353 310 0.53%
12 Glasgow North Labour 16,902 SNP 16,505 397 0.57%
13 Finchley and Golders Green Conservative 18,018 Liberal Democrat 17,500 518 0.67%
14 Glasgow South West Labour 17,426 SNP 16,915 511 0.70%
15 Bournemouth West Conservative 18,529 Labour 17,989 540 0.73%
16 Scunthorpe Conservative 19,236 Labour 18,658 578 0.78%
17 Macclesfield Labour 22,026 Conservative 21,380 646 0.85%
18 Edinburgh East and Musselburgh SNP 22,603 Labour 21,834 769 0.87%
19 Scarborough and Whitby Labour 22,693 Conservative 22,020 673 0.90%
20 Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme Labour 15,780 Conservative 15,155 625 0.92%
21 Thurrock Conservative 20,182 Labour 19,487 695 0.92%
22 Croydon South Labour 21,028 Conservative 20,303 725 0.94%
23 Na h-Eileanan an Iar SNP 5,676 Labour 5,457 219 1.04%
24 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Conservative 23,647 SNP 22,708 939 1.14%
25 Ashfield Labour 12,115 Conservative 11,361 754 1.16%
26 Hazel Grove Liberal Democrat 15,870 Conservative 15,119 751 1.17%
27 Gordon and Buchan Conservative 18,937 SNP 18,070 867 1.26%
28 Dover and Deal Conservative 22,255 Labour 21,193 1,062 1.38%
29 Airdrie and Shotts Labour 15,972 SNP 15,087 885 1.38%
30 Fermanagh and South Tyrone Sinn Fein 22,651 UUP 21,596 1,055 1.39%
31 Colchester Labour 20,663 Conservative 19,528 1,135 1.44%
32 East Thanet Conservative 20,911 Labour 19,812 1,099 1.52%
33 Shrewsbury Labour 22,064 Conservative 20,934 1,130 1.54%
34 Hexham Labour 22,634 Conservative 21,416 1,218 1.57%
35 Pendle and Clitheroe Labour 25,905 Conservative 24,568 1,337 1.59%
36 Mid Cheshire Labour 17,960 Conservative 16,941 1,019 1.60%
37 Godalming and Ash Conservative 19,556 Liberal Democrat 18,501 1,055 1.62%
38 Carlisle Conservative 22,782 Labour 21,507 1,275 1.62%
39 Glasgow South SNP 17,238 Labour 16,137 1,101 1.65%
40 Gloucester Labour 22,803 Conservative 21,481 1,322 1.67%
41 North East Derbyshire Conservative 21,290 Labour 20,025 1,265 1.71%
42 York Outer Labour 20,795 Conservative 19,455 1,340 1.81%
43 Bournemouth East Labour 20,102 Conservative 18,756 1,346 1.82%
44 Caerfyrddin Labour 16,928 Conservative 15,567 1,361 1.83%
45 Morecambe and Lunesdale Labour 21,766 Conservative 20,288 1,478 1.84%
46 St Ives Liberal Democrat 21,574 Conservative 20,195 1,379 1.91%
47 Reading West and Mid Berkshire Conservative 18,092 Labour 16,671 1,421 2.10%
48 Midlothian Labour 18,906 SNP 17,401 1,505 2.13%
49 Telford Conservative 20,662 Labour 19,125 1,537 2.15%
50 Stevenage Labour 20,592 Conservative 19,045 1,547 2.18%
51 Bexleyheath and Crayford Conservative 18,786 Labour 17,304 1,482 2.18%
52 Newcastle-under-Lyme Labour 19,770 Conservative 18,204 1,566 2.18%
53 Northampton South Conservative 14,831 Labour 13,700 1,131 2.27%
54 Rutherglen Labour 20,639 SNP 18,855 1,784 2.30%
55 Ceredigion Preseli Plaid Cymru 16,185 Labour 14,390 1,795 2.32%
56 Westmorland and Lonsdale Liberal Democrat 20,774 Conservative 19,096 1,678 2.37%
57 Rossendale and Darwen Labour 22,008 Conservative 20,226 1,782 2.41%
58 Coatbridge and Bellshill Labour 21,755 SNP 19,851 1,904 2.42%
59 Guildford Liberal Democrat 21,349 Conservative 19,561 1,788 2.45%
60 South Down Sinn Fein 14,629 SDLP 12,798 1,831 2.47%
61 Glasgow North East Labour 25,590 SNP 22,961 2,629 2.50%
62 Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West SNP 19,578 Labour 17,792 1,786 2.53%
63 Glasgow West SNP 15,305 Labour 13,743 1,562 2.60%
64 Belfast North Sinn Fein 21,797 DUP 19,965 1,832 2.60%
65 Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock SNP 14,601 Conservative 13,072 1,529 2.64%
66 Sutton and Cheam Conservative 18,331 Liberal Democrat 16,414 1,917 2.67%
67 Plymouth Moor View Conservative 20,490 Labour 18,472 2,018 2.77%
68 Dumfries and Galloway Conservative 22,030 SNP 19,774 2,256 2.87%
69 Harrogate and Knaresborough Conservative 21,489 Liberal Democrat 19,328 2,161 2.96%
70 North East Somerset and Hanham Conservative 25,196 Labour 22,677 2,519 2.97%
71 Monmouthshire Labour 21,158 Conservative 19,011 2,147 2.97%
72 Hamilton and Clyde Valley SNP 17,206 Labour 15,117 2,089 2.97%
73 Uxbridge and South Ruislip Labour 18,398 Conservative 16,529 1,869 2.99%
74 Belfast East DUP 20,623 Alliance 18,578 2,045 3.03%
75 Rugby Conservative 22,382 Labour 20,156 2,226 3.09%
76 Eastbourne Liberal Democrat 21,401 Conservative 19,062 2,339 3.16%
77 North Northumberland Conservative 20,201 Labour 17,760 2,441 3.16%
78 Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey SNP 18,120 Conservative 15,957 2,163 3.22%
79 West Dunbartonshire SNP 21,288 Labour 18,715 2,573 3.36%
80 Stoke-on-Trent North Labour 18,076 Conservative 15,691 2,385 3.37%
81 Crawley Labour 22,995 Conservative 20,490 2,505 3.38%
82 Blackpool North and Fleetwood Labour 18,664 Conservative 16,394 2,270 3.39%
83 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale Conservative 18,772 SNP 16,406 2,366 3.48%
84 Earley and Woodley Labour 15,961 Conservative 13,884 2,077 3.50%
85 Camborne and Redruth Labour 21,186 Conservative 18,835 2,351 3.57%
86 South Cambridgeshire Liberal Democrat 20,910 Conservative 18,258 2,652 3.59%
87 North Down Alliance 19,426 DUP 16,841 2,585 3.60%
88 Wakefield and Rothwell Labour 21,018 Conservative 18,330 2,688 3.61%
89 Crewe and Nantwich Labour 22,861 Conservative 20,061 2,800 3.62%
90 Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes Conservative 18,221 Labour 15,493 2,728 3.66%
91 North East Fife SNP 19,338 Liberal Democrat 16,800 2,538 3.68%
92 Southend East and Rochford Conservative 21,251 Labour 18,485 2,766 3.68%
93 Wolverhampton North East Labour 20,064 Conservative 17,165 2,899 3.70%
94 Blackpool South Labour 20,511 Conservative 17,517 2,994 3.72%
95 Halesowen Conservative 20,746 Labour 18,109 2,637 3.72%
96 Penistone and Stocksbridge Labour 20,294 Conservative 17,650 2,644 3.73%
97 Taunton and Wellington Conservative 24,981 Liberal Democrat 21,973 3,008 3.73%
98 Corby and East Northamptonshire Labour 25,445 Conservative 22,682 2,763 3.75%
99 Dunfermline and Dollar SNP 17,131 Labour 14,575 2,556 3.84%
100 Rother Valley Labour 17,397 Conservative 14,664 2,733 3.87%
101 Bassetlaw Conservative 20,307 Labour 17,343 2,964 3.90%
102 Basingstoke Conservative 17,243 Labour 14,800 2,443 3.90%
103 Lewes Liberal Democrat 23,068 Conservative 20,124 2,944 3.94%
104 Nuneaton Conservative 21,151 Labour 18,343 2,808 4.00%
105 Woking Conservative 18,888 Liberal Democrat 15,915 2,973 4.16%
106 South Antrim DUP 15,224 UUP 12,198 3,026 4.22%
107 Orkney and Shetland Liberal Democrat 8,637 SNP 7,188 1,449 4.24%
108 Eastleigh Conservative 21,978 Liberal Democrat 18,828 3,150 4.24%
109 Aberdeenshire North and Moray East Conservative 22,175 SNP 18,913 3,262 4.27%
110 Cheadle Liberal Democrat 22,929 Conservative 19,451 3,478 4.30%
111 Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Conservative 22,553 Labour 19,147 3,406 4.33%
112 Edinburgh South West SNP 18,672 Labour 15,424 3,248 4.35%
113 Mid and South Pembrokeshire Labour 24,774 Conservative 21,452 3,322 4.49%
114 St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Conservative 19,204 Liberal Democrat 16,110 3,094 4.49%
115 Burton and Uttoxeter Conservative 22,338 Labour 18,990 3,348 4.57%
116 Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe Conservative 18,060 Liberal Democrat 14,733 3,327 4.59%
117 Didcot and Wantage Conservative 20,822 Liberal Democrat 17,462 3,360 4.62%
118 Swindon North Conservative 22,829 Labour 19,354 3,475 4.63%
119 Glenrothes and Mid Fife SNP 17,938 Labour 14,566 3,372 4.74%
120 Swindon South Labour 23,824 Conservative 20,337 3,487 4.75%
121 Barrow and Furness Labour 23,314 Conservative 19,538 3,776 4.79%
122 Bishop Auckland Labour 22,577 Conservative 18,764 3,813 4.81%
123 East Worthing and Shoreham Labour 24,016 Conservative 20,374 3,642 4.84%
124 Worthing West Conservative 21,418 Labour 17,915 3,503 4.90%
125 Bolsover Labour 19,283 Conservative 15,617 3,666 4.92%
126 Paisley and Renfrewshire North SNP 19,813 Labour 16,236 3,577 4.96%
127 Bolton West Labour 19,146 Conservative 15,972 3,174 5.03%
128 Harrow East Labour 22,911 Conservative 19,160 3,751 5.10%
129 Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy Labour 17,944 SNP 14,193 3,751 5.20%
130 St Austell and Newquay Conservative 22,140 Labour 18,261 3,879 5.23%
131 Worcester Labour 23,296 Conservative 19,420 3,876 5.27%
132 Esher and Walton Liberal Democrat 23,481 Conservative 19,861 3,620 5.32%
133 Stoke-on-Trent South Conservative 18,510 Labour 15,215 3,295 5.33%
134 Loughborough Labour 24,424 Conservative 20,321 4,103 5.33%
135 Hemel Hempstead Conservative 19,445 Labour 15,963 3,482 5.35%
136 Ynys Mon Labour 13,215 Plaid Cymru 10,418 2,797 5.39%
137 Lothian East Labour 20,666 SNP 16,643 4,023 5.44%
138 Northampton North Labour 29,510 Conservative 24,334 5,176 5.61%
139 Herne Bay and Sandwich Conservative 23,804 Labour 19,487 4,317 5.63%
140 Dudley Conservative 21,170 Labour 17,097 4,073 5.67%
141 Farnham and Bordon Conservative 22,479 Liberal Democrat 18,491 3,988 5.70%
142 East Kilbride and Strathaven SNP 20,181 Labour 15,933 4,248 5.71%
143 Rushcliffe Labour 25,030 Conservative 20,774 4,256 5.71%
144 Mid Derbyshire Conservative 21,481 Labour 17,544 3,937 5.74%
145 Sherwood Forest Conservative 24,244 Labour 19,884 4,360 5.77%
146 Bromley and Biggin Hill Conservative 24,389 Labour 19,605 4,784 5.79%
147 Edinburgh North and Leith SNP 16,477 Labour 12,723 3,754 5.83%
148 Whitehaven and Workington Labour 21,342 Conservative 17,413 3,929 5.84%
149 North Somerset Conservative 22,704 Labour 18,419 4,285 5.86%
150 Buckingham and Bletchley Conservative 19,381 Labour 15,360 4,021 5.89%
151 Southend West and Leigh Conservative 23,649 Labour 19,246 4,403 5.96%
152 Central Ayrshire SNP 19,769 Conservative 15,262 4,507 5.98%
153 Redcar Labour 18,987 Conservative 14,750 4,237 5.99%
154 Stoke-on-Trent Central Labour 20,267 Conservative 15,829 4,438 5.99%
155 Barnsley North Labour 18,096 Reform/Brexit 13,538 4,558 6.00%
156 Weston-super-Mare Conservative 18,585 Labour 14,818 3,767 6.03%
157 Forest of Dean Conservative 23,617 Labour 19,302 4,315 6.04%
158 Carshalton and Wallington Liberal Democrat 19,276 Conservative 14,868 4,408 6.04%
159 Paisley and Renfrewshire South SNP 18,722 Labour 14,862 3,860 6.05%
160 Filton and Bradley Stoke Labour 23,087 Conservative 18,866 4,221 6.05%
161 Wokingham Conservative 24,266 Liberal Democrat 19,238 5,028 6.06%
162 Banbury Conservative 18,585 Labour 14,727 3,858 6.08%
163 Ipswich Labour 22,590 Conservative 17,936 4,654 6.16%
164 Livingston SNP 16,950 Labour 12,829 4,121 6.29%
165 Broxtowe Labour 23,823 Conservative 18,863 4,960 6.33%
166 Gravesham Conservative 22,968 Labour 18,331 4,637 6.33%
167 Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber SNP 20,591 Conservative 16,022 4,569 6.34%
168 Gillingham and Rainham Conservative 19,990 Labour 15,715 4,275 6.36%
169 Stafford Conservative 24,473 Labour 19,722 4,751 6.38%
170 East Renfrewshire SNP 22,316 Conservative 17,710 4,606 6.38%
171 Norwich North Labour 22,657 Conservative 18,069 4,588 6.41%
172 Harborough, Oadby and Wigston Conservative 22,305 Labour 17,566 4,739 6.43%
173 Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor Labour 17,990 Conservative 13,845 4,145 6.45%
174 Mansfield Conservative 24,775 Labour 19,982 4,793 6.46%
175 West Bromwich Labour 21,216 Conservative 16,058 5,158 6.46%
176 Tipton and Wednesbury Labour 15,623 Conservative 11,650 3,973 6.48%
177 Clwyd North Labour 23,151 Conservative 18,301 4,850 6.49%
178 Ely and East Cambridgeshire Conservative 19,932 Liberal Democrat 15,467 4,465 6.51%
179 Leeds South West and Morley Labour 22,429 Conservative 17,479 4,950 6.53%
180 Kettering Conservative 25,722 Labour 20,337 5,385 6.55%
181 Shipley Labour 24,635 Conservative 19,758 4,877 6.59%
182 Tatton Conservative 22,519 Labour 17,440 5,079 6.60%
183 Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr Conservative 20,316 Labour 15,628 4,688 6.62%
184 Altrincham and Sale West Labour 24,509 Conservative 19,634 4,875 6.67%
185 Stourbridge Conservative 24,936 Labour 19,568 5,368 6.67%
186 Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Conservative 24,381 SNP 19,243 5,138 6.71%
187 Watford Labour 24,911 Conservative 19,451 5,460 6.81%
188 Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch SNP 19,959 Labour 15,335 4,624 6.84%
189 Harlow Conservative 23,382 Labour 18,352 5,030 6.84%
190 Perth and Kinross-shire SNP 27,929 Conservative 21,925 6,004 6.87%
191 Isle of Wight West Conservative 16,135 Labour 12,192 3,943 6.89%
192 Isle of Wight East Conservative 15,753 Labour 11,901 3,852 6.90%
193 Milton Keynes Central Labour 25,827 Conservative 20,244 5,583 6.92%
194 Rochester and Strood Conservative 22,579 Labour 17,282 5,297 6.93%
195 Ribble Valley Conservative 22,692 Labour 17,651 5,041 6.93%
196 Witney Conservative 20,868 Liberal Democrat 16,074 4,794 6.96%
197 Wimbledon Liberal Democrat 21,437 Labour 16,131 5,306 7.02%
198 Southport Labour 23,230 Conservative 17,929 5,301 7.03%
199 Walsall and Bloxwich Labour 23,356 Conservative 17,552 5,804 7.04%
200 Bathgate and Linlithgow SNP 19,184 Labour 13,723 5,461 7.05%
201 Milton Keynes North Labour 23,437 Conservative 18,308 5,129 7.05%
202 Barnsley South Labour 17,080 Reform/Brexit 11,811 5,269 7.15%
203 Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice Labour 15,706 Conservative 10,920 4,786 7.19%
204 West Dorset Conservative 24,520 Liberal Democrat 18,922 5,598 7.21%
205 Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross SNP 17,932 Liberal Democrat 12,681 5,251 7.22%
206 Angus and Perthshire Glens SNP 24,007 Conservative 18,405 5,602 7.27%
207 Central Devon Conservative 23,705 Labour 18,472 5,233 7.28%
208 Sheffield Hallam Labour 22,577 Liberal Democrat 17,162 5,415 7.30%
209 Congleton Conservative 23,725 Labour 18,330 5,395 7.31%
210 Harpenden and Berkhamsted Conservative 21,409 Liberal Democrat 15,680 5,729 7.37%
211 Portsmouth North Conservative 21,864 Labour 16,470 5,394 7.57%
212 Lowestoft Conservative 21,180 Labour 15,731 5,449 7.67%
213 Stockton West Labour 19,685 Conservative 15,031 4,654 7.69%
214 Hyndburn Labour 20,162 Conservative 14,694 5,468 7.72%
215 Southampton Itchen Labour 20,363 Conservative 15,320 5,043 7.73%
216 Wellingborough and Rushden Conservative 22,778 Labour 17,077 5,701 7.75%
217 Aylesbury Conservative 20,141 Labour 14,685 5,456 7.76%
218 Darlington Labour 21,462 Conservative 15,922 5,540 7.81%
219 Lincoln Labour 23,533 Conservative 17,625 5,908 7.87%
220 Hartlepool Labour 17,655 Reform/Brexit 12,031 5,624 7.94%
221 Henley and Thame Conservative 22,804 Liberal Democrat 17,186 5,618 7.94%
222 Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Conservative 22,531 Labour 16,525 6,006 7.96%
223 Truro and Falmouth Labour 27,387 Conservative 21,096 6,291 7.97%
224 Aberdeen South SNP 22,460 Conservative 15,751 6,709 7.99%
225 Burnley Labour 18,462 Conservative 12,742 5,720 8.06%
226 Wycombe Labour 23,192 Conservative 17,261 5,931 8.08%
227 Leigh and Atherton Labour 22,113 Conservative 15,865 6,248 8.10%
228 Cheltenham Liberal Democrat 28,114 Conservative 21,764 6,350 8.12%
229 North East Hertfordshire Conservative 24,165 Labour 17,890 6,275 8.17%
230 Dartford Conservative 23,587 Labour 17,577 6,010 8.21%
231 Colne Valley Labour 25,212 Conservative 18,942 6,270 8.29%
232 Hertford and Stortford Conservative 24,166 Labour 17,780 6,386 8.35%
233 Bicester and Woodstock Conservative 20,939 Liberal Democrat 14,452 6,487 8.40%
234 Chippenham Conservative 24,172 Liberal Democrat 17,825 6,347 8.49%
235 Hendon Labour 25,253 Conservative 18,682 6,571 8.54%
236 Mid Dunbartonshire SNP 20,904 Liberal Democrat 14,371 6,533 8.61%
237 Thornbury and Yate Conservative 25,442 Liberal Democrat 18,779 6,663 8.63%
238 Hastings and Rye Labour 26,170 Conservative 19,482 6,688 8.63%
239 Lancaster and Wyre Labour 22,149 Conservative 16,005 6,144 8.63%
240 Calder Valley Labour 28,840 Conservative 22,320 6,520 8.69%
241 South Dorset Conservative 23,159 Labour 16,737 6,422 8.71%
242 Cities of London and Westminster Labour 22,254 Conservative 14,802 7,452 8.73%
243 Fylde Conservative 24,967 Labour 18,311 6,656 8.78%
244 Edinburgh West SNP 21,204 Liberal Democrat 13,518 7,686 8.85%
245 Wrexham Labour 21,452 Conservative 15,156 6,296 8.94%
246 Selby Conservative 22,167 Labour 16,209 5,958 8.95%
247 Stroud Labour 27,251 Conservative 20,446 6,805 8.97%
248 South Derbyshire Conservative 22,594 Labour 16,415 6,179 8.99%
249 Strangford DUP 16,488 Alliance 10,300 6,188 9.05%
250 Romsey and Southampton North Conservative 22,152 Liberal Democrat 15,372 6,780 9.08%
251 Alloa and Grangemouth SNP 16,773 Conservative 11,334 5,439 9.08%
252 Amber Valley Conservative 22,592 Labour 16,260 6,332 9.11%
253 Newbury Conservative 21,901 Liberal Democrat 15,642 6,259 9.13%
254 Peterborough Labour 22,362 Conservative 15,780 6,582 9.14%
255 Wetherby and Easingwold Conservative 29,096 Labour 20,616 8,480 9.16%
256 Wolverhampton South East Labour 22,729 Conservative 15,247 7,482 9.19%
257 Upper Bann DUP 17,538 Sinn Fein 10,906 6,632 9.19%
258 South Devon Conservative 22,354 Liberal Democrat 15,570 6,784 9.29%
259 Lagan Valley DUP 19,362 Alliance 12,323 7,039 9.31%
260 North Ayrshire and Arran SNP 20,759 Conservative 13,631 7,128 9.32%
261 North Devon Conservative 24,320 Liberal Democrat 17,225 7,095 9.35%
262 North Bedfordshire Conservative 26,776 Labour 18,632 8,144 9.37%
263 Folkestone and Hythe Conservative 22,002 Labour 15,370 6,632 9.38%
264 Aldershot Conservative 23,093 Labour 15,865 7,228 9.38%
265 Birmingham Northfield Labour 20,062 Conservative 13,436 6,626 9.39%
266 Yeovil Conservative 22,881 Liberal Democrat 16,262 6,619 9.43%
267 Ossett and Denby Dale Labour 18,214 Conservative 12,473 5,741 9.48%
268 Derby North Labour 24,231 Conservative 16,396 7,835 9.58%
269 Glastonbury and Somerton Conservative 24,724 Liberal Democrat 17,373 7,351 9.59%
270 Huntingdon Conservative 28,622 Labour 19,620 9,002 9.61%
271 Romford Conservative 24,169 Labour 17,110 7,059 9.64%
272 South Norfolk Conservative 19,925 Labour 14,024 5,901 9.64%
273 Rawmarsh and Conisbrough Labour 17,584 Conservative 10,673 6,911 9.72%
274 Sutton Coldfield Conservative 23,465 Labour 16,107 7,358 9.73%
275 Derbyshire Dales Conservative 25,180 Labour 18,043 7,137 9.77%
276 Dorking and Horley Conservative 21,043 Liberal Democrat 14,756 6,287 9.77%
277 Redditch Conservative 22,667 Labour 16,058 6,609 9.80%
278 Wells and Mendip Hills Conservative 24,620 Liberal Democrat 16,824 7,796 9.82%
279 Hitchin Conservative 20,071 Labour 13,427 6,644 9.90%
280 Suffolk Coastal Conservative 21,905 Labour 14,838 7,067 9.97%
281 Staffordshire Moorlands Conservative 25,002 Labour 17,648 7,354 9.99%
282 North Norfolk Conservative 22,836 Liberal Democrat 15,569 7,267 9.99%
283 Beaconsfield Conservative 22,416 Other 15,547 6,869 10.01%
284 Clwyd East Labour 26,174 Conservative 18,254 7,920 10.01%
285 Tunbridge Wells Conservative 24,214 Liberal Democrat 16,641 7,573 10.12%
286 South West Hertfordshire Conservative 18,690 Labour 11,897 6,793 10.13%
287 Reigate Conservative 22,532 Labour 14,795 7,737 10.13%
288 Dundee Central SNP 23,682 Labour 15,681 8,001 10.23%
289 North Warwickshire and Bedworth Conservative 23,747 Labour 16,551 7,196 10.24%
290 Wolverhampton West Labour 20,471 Conservative 13,950 6,521 10.27%
291 Vale of Glamorgan Labour 25,819 Conservative 18,633 7,186 10.27%
292 Waveney Valley Conservative 27,957 Labour 19,019 8,938 10.34%
293 North West Leicestershire Conservative 25,363 Labour 17,495 7,868 10.35%
294 Kingston upon Hull East Labour 16,033 Conservative 8,535 7,498 10.36%
295 Harwich and North Essex Conservative 23,480 Labour 15,970 7,510 10.41%
296 Great Yarmouth Conservative 22,496 Labour 14,926 7,570 10.52%
297 Mid Bedfordshire Conservative 22,167 Labour 14,913 7,254 10.53%
298 Beverley and Holderness Conservative 23,111 Labour 15,599 7,512 10.57%
299 Normanton and Hemsworth Labour 18,099 Conservative 10,349 7,750 10.60%
300 Chatham and Aylesford Conservative 22,808 Labour 15,023 7,785 10.66%
301 Kilmarnock and Loudoun SNP 22,790 Labour 14,260 8,530 10.66%
302 The Wrekin Conservative 25,297 Labour 17,370 7,927 10.68%
303 Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley Labour 18,574 Conservative 10,656 7,918 10.73%
304 Newark Conservative 26,652 Labour 18,084 8,568 10.74%
305 Spelthorne Conservative 22,497 Labour 14,846 7,651 10.79%
306 Bracknell Conservative 21,619 Labour 14,108 7,511 10.89%
307 Windsor Conservative 19,239 Labour 12,005 7,234 10.89%
308 Stirling and Strathallan SNP 24,691 Conservative 16,685 8,006 10.95%
309 Doncaster North Labour 17,057 Reform/Brexit 9,239 7,818 11.03%
310 Poole Conservative 22,396 Labour 14,349 8,047 11.10%
311 Gedling Labour 26,087 Conservative 17,567 8,520 11.18%
312 Keighley and Ilkley Labour 26,228 Conservative 18,069 8,159 11.21%
313 Epsom and Ewell Conservative 26,682 Liberal Democrat 16,809 9,873 11.25%
314 West Tyrone Sinn Fein 17,625 DUP 9,633 7,992 11.26%
315 North Cornwall Conservative 25,422 Liberal Democrat 16,969 8,453 11.27%
316 East Antrim DUP 18,257 Alliance 10,378 7,879 11.27%
317 Warrington South Labour 26,810 Conservative 18,049 8,761 11.29%
318 Frome and East Somerset Conservative 17,763 Liberal Democrat 11,320 6,443 11.32%
319 Ashford Conservative 22,894 Labour 14,817 8,077 11.34%
320 Beckenham and Penge Labour 26,191 Conservative 16,911 9,280 11.38%
321 Doncaster Central Labour 19,821 Conservative 11,026 8,795 11.38%
322 Bangor Aberconwy Labour 23,689 Conservative 15,078 8,611 11.41%
323 Newry and Armagh Sinn Fein 18,563 DUP 10,059 8,504 11.43%
324 Blyth and Ashington Labour 20,100 Conservative 12,405 7,695 11.43%
325 North West Cambridgeshire Conservative 19,916 Labour 12,709 7,207 11.44%
326 Aberdeen North SNP 16,821 Conservative 9,565 7,256 11.56%
327 Runnymede and Weybridge Conservative 23,327 Labour 14,041 9,286 11.56%
328 Bedford Labour 20,865 Conservative 13,264 7,601 11.64%
329 Dwyfor Meirionnydd Plaid Cymru 21,740 Labour 13,307 8,433 11.75%
330 Coventry North West Labour 23,470 Conservative 14,602 8,868 11.79%
331 Heywood and Middleton North Labour 22,601 Conservative 13,342 9,259 11.80%
332 Stockton North Labour 24,302 Conservative 15,181 9,121 11.87%
333 Cannock Chase Conservative 24,971 Labour 16,080 8,891 11.88%
334 Surrey Heath Conservative 24,140 Liberal Democrat 15,282 8,858 11.90%
335 Chesterfield Labour 19,757 Conservative 11,476 8,281 11.95%
336 Solihull West and Shirley Conservative 24,234 Labour 15,031 9,203 12.01%
337 South Basildon and East Thurrock Conservative 21,527 Labour 13,298 8,229 12.06%
338 Broxbourne Conservative 24,331 Labour 15,354 8,977 12.10%
339 Mid Sussex Conservative 21,924 Labour 13,274 8,650 12.10%
340 Chipping Barnet Labour 28,014 Conservative 18,574 9,440 12.10%
341 Broadland and Fakenham Conservative 24,412 Labour 15,623 8,789 12.11%
342 Hereford and South Herefordshire Conservative 23,535 Labour 14,817 8,718 12.14%
343 Kenilworth and Southam Conservative 22,297 Labour 13,877 8,420 12.15%
344 Old Bexley and Sidcup Conservative 24,861 Labour 16,209 8,652 12.17%
345 North Cotswolds Conservative 23,142 Labour 14,023 9,119 12.19%
346 Oxford West and Abingdon Liberal Democrat 26,362 Conservative 15,537 10,825 12.28%
347 Kingston upon Hull North and Cottingham Labour 21,312 Conservative 11,254 10,058 12.30%
348 Bolton North East Labour 24,729 Conservative 15,279 9,450 12.36%
349 North Shropshire Conservative 25,627 Labour 16,099 9,528 12.36%
350 Newton Abbot Conservative 22,364 Labour 13,414 8,950 12.36%
351 Meriden and Solihull East Conservative 23,819 Labour 14,442 9,377 12.39%
352 Bognor Regis and Littlehampton Conservative 25,615 Labour 15,709 9,906 12.50%
353 South West Wiltshire Conservative 21,317 Labour 13,187 8,130 12.50%
354 Salisbury Conservative 23,966 Labour 14,429 9,537 12.53%
355 Kensington and Bayswater Labour 24,412 Conservative 14,258 10,154 12.55%
356 Dewsbury and Batley Labour 24,551 Conservative 15,253 9,298 12.58%
357 Warwick and Leamington Labour 25,795 Conservative 16,305 9,490 12.58%
358 Wyre Forest Conservative 25,862 Labour 16,036 9,826 12.59%
359 Tamworth Conservative 24,089 Labour 15,086 9,003 12.60%
360 Mid Norfolk Conservative 24,365 Labour 15,195 9,170 12.60%
361 Dagenham and Rainham Labour 22,959 Conservative 13,611 9,348 12.63%
362 Bridgend Labour 22,867 Conservative 13,501 9,366 12.65%
363 Chelmsford Conservative 24,863 Labour 14,986 9,877 12.69%
364 Leeds East Labour 23,063 Conservative 13,356 9,707 12.71%
365 Brigg and Immingham Conservative 23,549 Labour 14,257 9,292 12.72%
366 Rotherham Labour 19,314 Conservative 9,831 9,483 12.73%
367 Bury North Labour 22,741 Conservative 14,451 8,290 12.74%
368 Alyn and Deeside Labour 24,964 Conservative 15,607 9,357 12.77%
369 East Londonderry DUP 15,881 SDLP 6,806 9,075 12.78%
370 Aldridge-Brownhills Conservative 22,603 Labour 13,900 8,703 12.78%
371 Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Conservative 24,872 Labour 15,129 9,743 12.78%
372 Melksham and Devizes Conservative 23,263 Liberal Democrat 14,089 9,174 12.87%
373 South Leicestershire Conservative 24,725 Labour 15,669 9,056 12.88%
374 Hornchurch and Upminster Conservative 25,300 Labour 15,431 9,869 12.90%
375 Hertsmere Conservative 24,966 Labour 15,555 9,411 12.93%
376 Houghton and Sunderland South Labour 19,821 Conservative 9,921 9,900 12.95%
377 North West Norfolk Conservative 25,058 Labour 15,341 9,717 12.99%
378 Coventry South Labour 22,184 Conservative 12,956 9,228 12.99%
379 Weald of Kent Conservative 24,978 Labour 14,949 10,029 13.00%
380 Bury South Labour 28,359 Conservative 17,092 11,267 13.04%
381 South East Cornwall Conservative 24,491 Labour 15,174 9,317 13.05%
382 Bridlington and The Wolds Conservative 21,268 Labour 12,837 8,431 13.05%
383 High Peak Labour 27,325 Conservative 17,634 9,691 13.05%
384 Torfaen Labour 18,936 Conservative 9,910 9,026 13.06%
385 Mid Buckinghamshire Conservative 23,628 Labour 13,544 10,084 13.10%
386 Mid Leicestershire Conservative 26,163 Labour 16,249 9,914 13.15%
387 Sunderland Central Labour 20,218 Conservative 10,601 9,617 13.23%
388 Mid Ulster Sinn Fein 20,494 DUP 11,009 9,485 13.24%
389 Warrington North Labour 22,817 Conservative 13,301 9,516 13.25%
390 Newport East Labour 26,077 Conservative 14,939 11,138 13.26%
391 South West Devon Conservative 26,464 Labour 16,612 9,852 13.28%
392 Mid Dorset and North Poole Conservative 26,218 Liberal Democrat 16,233 9,985 13.28%
393 Central Suffolk and North Ipswich Conservative 23,673 Labour 14,395 9,278 13.38%
394 East Grinstead and Uckfield Conservative 22,077 Liberal Democrat 12,625 9,452 13.58%
395 Stalybridge and Hyde Labour 21,795 Conservative 11,446 10,349 13.70%
396 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry SNP 21,622 Conservative 12,180 9,442 13.74%
397 South Cotswolds Conservative 22,463 Liberal Democrat 13,301 9,162 13.81%
398 South Northamptonshire Conservative 27,079 Labour 16,543 10,536 13.82%
399 Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire SNP 22,799 Conservative 11,923 10,876 14.01%
400 Skipton and Ripon Conservative 26,074 Labour 15,455 10,619 14.04%
401 Bristol North East Labour 25,569 Conservative 15,463 10,106 14.04%
402 Blaydon and Consett Labour 20,920 Conservative 11,346 9,574 14.06%
403 Torbay Conservative 23,372 Liberal Democrat 12,716 10,656 14.09%
404 Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge Conservative 23,373 Labour 14,259 9,114 14.12%
405 Falkirk SNP 22,384 Conservative 11,344 11,040 14.14%
406 Bexhill and Battle Conservative 24,122 Labour 14,427 9,695 14.15%
407 Eltham and Chislehurst Labour 24,782 Conservative 14,353 10,429 14.15%
408 Nottingham North and Kimberley Labour 17,215 Conservative 9,002 8,213 14.23%
409 West Suffolk Conservative 25,774 Labour 14,699 11,075 14.27%
410 Halifax Labour 25,270 Conservative 14,387 10,883 14.30%
411 Spen Valley Labour 23,126 Conservative 12,765 10,361 14.32%
412 Tiverton and Minehead Conservative 22,354 Labour 12,551 9,803 14.33%
413 Maidstone and Malling Conservative 21,282 Labour 11,848 9,434 14.33%
414 Goole and Pocklington Conservative 31,339 Labour 18,362 12,977 14.35%
415 Oldham East and Saddleworth Labour 26,075 Conservative 14,225 11,850 14.36%
416 East Wiltshire Conservative 21,527 Labour 12,144 9,383 14.37%
417 Melton and Syston Conservative 26,024 Labour 15,078 10,946 14.41%
418 Horsham Conservative 24,992 Liberal Democrat 13,685 11,307 14.46%
419 Washington and Gateshead South Labour 20,592 Conservative 9,736 10,856 14.47%
420 South Suffolk Conservative 24,972 Labour 14,295 10,677 14.54%
421 Basildon and Billericay Conservative 25,300 Labour 14,248 11,052 14.55%
422 Southampton Test Labour 24,934 Conservative 13,628 11,306 14.56%
423 Lichfield Conservative 27,837 Labour 16,403 11,434 14.57%
424 Bromsgrove Conservative 26,903 Labour 15,957 10,946 14.58%
425 Epping Forest Conservative 25,378 Labour 14,524 10,854 14.61%
426 Chesham and Amersham Conservative 24,008 Liberal Democrat 13,029 10,979 14.62%
427 Makerfield Labour 24,474 Conservative 12,216 12,258 14.65%
428 Chingford and Woodford Green Labour 26,721 Conservative 16,588 10,133 14.65%
429 Faversham and Mid Kent Conservative 24,258 Labour 13,697 10,561 14.71%
430 Bradford South Labour 22,911 Conservative 11,768 11,143 14.72%
431 North West Hampshire Conservative 29,169 Labour 16,048 13,121 14.85%
432 Cramlington and Killingworth Labour 23,155 Conservative 12,298 10,857 15.00%
433 Maidenhead Conservative 25,042 Liberal Democrat 13,573 11,469 15.00%
434 Llanelli Labour 19,455 Conservative 9,263 10,192 15.10%
435 Sittingbourne and Sheppey Conservative 24,528 Labour 13,212 11,316 15.15%
436 Orpington Conservative 20,057 Labour 11,157 8,900 15.18%
437 Belfast South and Mid Down SDLP 25,777 DUP 13,675 12,102 15.18%
438 North East Hampshire Conservative 26,246 Liberal Democrat 14,495 11,751 15.27%
439 Easington Labour 18,877 Reform/Brexit 8,261 10,616 15.39%
440 Gainsborough Conservative 26,964 Labour 15,601 11,363 15.48%
441 Tewkesbury Conservative 22,582 Labour 11,729 10,853 15.60%
442 North Durham Labour 22,241 Conservative 10,791 11,450 15.60%
443 Ashton-under-Lyne Labour 21,691 Conservative 10,409 11,282 15.60%
444 Newport West and Islwyn Labour 20,865 Conservative 10,219 10,646 15.60%
445 Honiton and Sidmouth Conservative 26,846 Labour 13,817 13,029 15.63%
446 Chichester Conservative 24,750 Labour 12,694 12,056 15.63%
447 Cambridge Labour 25,242 Liberal Democrat 13,449 11,793 15.64%
448 Bridgwater Conservative 20,333 Labour 10,432 9,901 15.74%
449 Arundel and South Downs Conservative 26,277 Labour 13,786 12,491 15.79%
450 City of Durham Labour 22,685 Conservative 11,235 11,450 15.81%
451 St Albans Liberal Democrat 25,165 Conservative 14,825 10,340 15.84%
452 Torridge and Tavistock Conservative 26,103 Labour 14,172 11,931 15.85%
453 Thirsk and Malton Conservative 24,776 Labour 13,360 11,416 15.89%
454 Havant Conservative 23,657 Labour 12,170 11,487 15.93%
455 Derby South Labour 21,053 Conservative 10,445 10,608 15.98%
456 Leicester West Labour 20,600 Conservative 9,440 11,160 16.18%
457 Sheffield South East Labour 23,247 Conservative 11,196 12,051 16.29%
458 Stratford-on-Avon Conservative 25,961 Liberal Democrat 13,857 12,104 16.35%
459 East Hampshire Conservative 23,399 Liberal Democrat 12,270 11,129 16.38%
460 Reading Central Labour 27,287 Conservative 15,048 12,239 16.44%
461 Daventry Conservative 30,304 Labour 16,872 13,432 16.46%
462 Huddersfield Labour 23,387 Conservative 12,044 11,343 16.49%
463 North Antrim DUP 19,229 UUP 7,484 11,745 16.51%
464 Hinckley and Bosworth Conservative 25,164 Labour 13,066 12,098 16.65%
465 Gosport Conservative 25,430 Labour 13,121 12,309 16.74%
466 Gower Labour 26,542 Conservative 14,141 12,401 16.77%
467 Leeds West and Pudsey Labour 25,059 Conservative 13,109 11,950 16.78%
468 Worsley and Eccles Labour 23,676 Conservative 11,042 12,634 16.82%
469 Rutland and Stamford Conservative 24,979 Labour 12,941 12,038 16.84%
470 Sleaford and North Hykeham Conservative 24,827 Labour 12,999 11,828 16.84%
471 Bolton South and Walkden Labour 27,646 Conservative 13,062 14,584 16.90%
472 Canterbury Labour 32,131 Conservative 19,143 12,988 16.98%
473 Hamble Valley Conservative 25,582 Labour 12,658 12,924 17.03%
474 Grantham and Bourne Conservative 27,610 Labour 14,587 13,023 17.03%
475 Wigan Labour 21,392 Conservative 9,216 12,176 17.07%
476 Middlesbrough and Thornaby East Labour 23,159 Conservative 10,178 12,981 17.07%
477 South Shropshire Conservative 27,765 Labour 14,378 13,387 17.10%
478 West Worcestershire Conservative 27,545 Labour 14,310 13,235 17.12%
479 Croydon East Labour 22,976 Conservative 11,976 11,000 17.14%
480 Leeds North West Labour 27,306 Conservative 14,564 12,742 17.15%
481 Birmingham Erdington Labour 25,888 Conservative 11,621 14,267 17.15%
482 Sussex Weald Conservative 24,611 Labour 12,491 12,120 17.21%
483 East Surrey Conservative 22,411 Labour 10,696 11,715 17.28%
484 Plymouth Sutton and Devonport Labour 26,670 Conservative 13,772 12,898 17.34%
485 South Shields Labour 20,031 Reform/Brexit 7,879 12,152 17.44%
486 Brighton Pavilion Green 28,175 Labour 15,377 12,798 17.51%
487 Richmond and Northallerton Conservative 25,541 Labour 12,651 12,890 17.60%
488 Sevenoaks Conservative 24,939 Labour 11,753 13,186 17.72%
489 Braintree Conservative 27,500 Labour 13,922 13,578 17.80%
490 Coventry East Labour 24,902 Conservative 11,340 13,562 17.86%
491 Kingston and Surbiton Liberal Democrat 26,374 Conservative 13,136 13,238 17.88%
492 Leicester East Labour 25,585 Conservative 12,429 13,156 17.90%
493 Portsmouth South Labour 26,222 Conservative 12,802 13,420 18.09%
494 South West Norfolk Conservative 25,950 Labour 12,789 13,161 18.23%
495 Caerphilly Labour 21,357 Conservative 8,415 12,942 18.23%
496 Richmond Park Liberal Democrat 35,028 Conservative 20,300 14,728 18.27%
497 Witham Conservative 27,447 Labour 13,792 13,655 18.29%
498 Tonbridge Conservative 26,597 Labour 12,614 13,983 18.43%
499 Tynemouth Labour 28,760 Conservative 14,748 14,012 18.51%
500 Birmingham Edgbaston Labour 23,259 Conservative 10,527 12,732 18.52%
501 Edinburgh South Labour 20,330 SNP 9,909 10,421 18.53%
502 Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Conservative 26,736 Labour 13,375 13,361 18.56%
503 Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney Labour 23,507 Reform/Brexit 9,071 14,436 18.59%
504 Feltham and Heston Labour 24,697 Conservative 10,826 13,871 18.60%
505 Jarrow and Gateshead East Labour 21,052 Conservative 8,234 12,818 18.65%
506 Erith and Thamesmead Labour 27,045 Conservative 12,193 14,852 19.02%
507 Battersea Labour 26,765 Conservative 13,259 13,506 19.13%
508 New Forest East Conservative 25,771 Labour 11,659 14,112 19.19%
509 Putney Labour 26,523 Conservative 13,199 13,324 19.19%
510 Droitwich and Evesham Conservative 28,260 Labour 13,786 14,474 19.27%
511 Gateshead Central and Whickham Labour 23,056 Conservative 9,771 13,285 19.30%
512 Luton South and South Bedfordshire Labour 28,363 Conservative 11,821 16,542 19.39%
513 Belfast West Sinn Fein 20,191 DUP 7,115 13,076 19.56%
514 Pontypridd Labour 23,439 Conservative 8,665 14,774 19.57%
515 Neath and Swansea East Labour 24,761 Conservative 9,211 15,550 19.59%
516 Brentford and Isleworth Labour 24,405 Conservative 10,584 13,821 19.75%
517 Rochdale Labour 22,262 Conservative 8,842 13,420 19.78%
518 Fareham and Waterlooville Conservative 26,948 Labour 12,204 14,744 20.00%
519 Wirral West Labour 30,883 Conservative 15,977 14,906 20.00%
520 Clacton Conservative 27,246 Labour 11,840 15,406 20.06%
521 Runcorn and Helsby Labour 24,531 Conservative 11,440 13,091 20.17%
522 North Herefordshire Conservative 25,201 Labour 10,910 14,291 20.27%
523 Harrow West Labour 27,920 Conservative 12,518 15,402 20.28%
524 Bristol North West Labour 28,854 Conservative 14,039 14,815 20.29%
525 Bermondsey and Old Southwark Labour 26,700 Liberal Democrat 11,206 15,494 20.34%
526 Stockport Labour 24,978 Conservative 9,715 15,263 20.38%
527 Bath Liberal Democrat 27,177 Conservative 12,406 14,771 20.44%
528 North West Essex Conservative 27,315 Labour 11,677 15,638 20.47%
529 Preston Labour 25,086 Conservative 10,021 15,065 20.50%
530 Chester North and Neston Labour 32,375 Conservative 15,374 17,001 20.51%
531 North Dorset Conservative 26,603 Liberal Democrat 11,579 15,024 20.55%
532 New Forest West Conservative 25,176 Labour 10,584 14,592 20.59%
533 Nottingham South Labour 25,423 Conservative 9,511 15,912 20.72%
534 Hayes and Harlington Labour 27,453 Conservative 11,593 15,860 20.72%
535 Brent West Labour 28,221 Conservative 11,618 16,603 20.75%
536 Bristol South Labour 27,396 Conservative 11,316 16,080 20.88%
537 Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven Labour 26,793 Conservative 11,630 15,163 21.03%
538 Wythenshawe and Sale East Labour 25,255 Conservative 9,154 16,101 21.10%
539 North East Cambridgeshire Conservative 27,421 Labour 11,627 15,794 21.23%
540 Enfield North Labour 29,922 Conservative 12,999 16,923 21.25%
541 Swansea West Labour 22,707 Conservative 8,054 14,653 21.33%
542 Ilford North Labour 26,070 Conservative 11,661 14,409 21.36%
543 Louth and Horncastle Conservative 30,924 Labour 14,156 16,768 21.77%
544 West Lancashire Labour 29,147 Conservative 13,162 15,985 22.06%
545 Luton North Labour 20,641 Conservative 8,059 12,582 22.18%
546 Exeter Labour 29,180 Conservative 12,394 16,786 22.21%
547 Cardiff North Labour 31,193 Conservative 14,110 17,083 22.22%
548 Christchurch Conservative 26,843 Labour 10,770 16,073 22.36%
549 Hampstead and Highgate Labour 23,597 Liberal Democrat 8,899 14,698 22.43%
550 Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton Labour 23,138 Conservative 8,347 14,791 22.45%
551 Birmingham Selly Oak Labour 30,816 Conservative 11,134 19,682 22.55%
552 Twickenham Liberal Democrat 33,664 Conservative 15,341 18,323 22.65%
553 Blackley and Middleton South Labour 19,289 Conservative 6,013 13,276 22.68%
554 Newcastle upon Tyne North Labour 25,995 Conservative 9,681 16,314 22.68%
555 Ellesmere Port and Bromborough Labour 27,799 Conservative 12,216 15,583 22.71%
556 Sheffield Heeley Labour 24,796 Conservative 8,535 16,261 22.73%
557 Brentwood and Ongar Conservative 28,837 Labour 11,619 17,218 22.93%
558 Foyle SDLP 25,560 Sinn Fein 9,296 16,264 23.01%
559 Rayleigh and Wickford Conservative 30,256 Labour 12,948 17,308 23.20%
560 Slough Labour 28,974 Conservative 10,059 18,915 23.29%
561 Birmingham Yardley Labour 23,395 Conservative 7,479 15,916 23.30%
562 Aberafan Maesteg Labour 21,736 Conservative 6,577 15,159 23.30%
563 St Helens North Labour 26,711 Conservative 8,655 18,056 23.41%
564 Cardiff West Labour 27,041 Conservative 9,476 17,565 23.49%
565 Rhondda and Ogmore Labour 21,484 Reform/Brexit 5,609 15,875 23.67%
566 Smethwick Labour 23,826 Conservative 8,077 15,749 23.73%
567 Castle Point Conservative 30,453 Labour 12,854 17,599 23.74%
568 Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare Labour 23,610 Conservative 6,077 17,533 23.94%
569 Boston and Skegness Conservative 29,621 Labour 11,661 17,960 23.97%
570 Norwich South Labour 29,101 Conservative 10,205 18,896 24.40%
571 Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough Labour 25,784 Conservative 7,090 18,694 24.54%
572 Barking Labour 26,776 Conservative 8,286 18,490 24.57%
573 Leeds Central and Headingley Labour 28,215 Conservative 8,474 19,741 24.94%
574 Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West Labour 29,160 Conservative 9,650 19,510 24.98%
575 Leeds South Labour 20,962 Conservative 5,453 15,509 25.06%
576 Cardiff South and Penarth Labour 33,730 Conservative 11,132 22,598 25.20%
577 Maldon Conservative 29,921 Labour 10,946 18,975 25.31%
578 Ealing North Labour 29,302 Conservative 10,648 18,654 25.36%
579 York Central Labour 28,721 Conservative 9,534 19,187 25.44%
580 Clapham and Brixton Hill Labour 30,553 Liberal Democrat 9,758 20,795 25.50%
581 South Holland and The Deepings Conservative 30,330 Labour 10,778 19,552 25.74%
582 Queen's Park and Maida Vale Labour 30,312 Conservative 9,026 21,286 25.83%
583 Salford Labour 25,917 Conservative 7,165 18,752 25.92%
584 Ealing Central and Acton Labour 26,383 Conservative 8,659 17,724 26.67%
585 Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend Labour 29,261 Conservative 9,020 20,241 26.93%
586 Tooting Labour 34,343 Conservative 12,216 22,127 27.04%
587 Bristol Central Labour 24,676 Green 10,433 14,243 27.11%
588 Edmonton and Winchmore Hill Labour 30,788 Conservative 9,931 20,857 27.26%
589 Croydon West Labour 31,231 Conservative 9,671 21,560 27.32%
590 Southgate and Wood Green Labour 31,025 Conservative 10,000 21,025 27.58%
591 Greenwich and Woolwich Labour 24,545 Conservative 6,823 17,722 27.81%
592 Sefton Central Labour 30,915 Conservative 10,590 20,325 27.96%
593 Hammersmith and Chiswick Labour 34,464 Conservative 10,448 24,016 27.96%
594 Brent East Labour 22,881 Conservative 5,903 16,978 27.99%
595 Islington South and Finsbury Labour 30,252 Liberal Democrat 8,735 21,517 28.01%
596 Hornsey and Friern Barnet Labour 24,901 Liberal Democrat 8,434 16,467 28.10%
597 Vauxhall and Camberwell Green Labour 27,783 Liberal Democrat 7,491 20,292 28.12%
598 Oxford East Labour 20,489 Conservative 4,851 15,638 28.20%
599 Birmingham Perry Barr Labour 22,603 Conservative 5,944 16,659 28.34%
600 Nottingham East Labour 33,912 Conservative 8,190 25,722 29.01%
601 Mitcham and Morden Labour 29,485 Conservative 8,268 21,217 29.17%
602 Cardiff East Labour 22,111 Conservative 5,667 16,444 29.21%
603 Birkenhead Labour 28,904 Other 7,285 21,619 29.24%
604 St Helens South and Whiston Labour 26,318 Conservative 5,974 20,344 29.48%
605 Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North Labour 30,408 Conservative 7,550 22,858 29.58%
606 Streatham and Croydon North Labour 30,981 Liberal Democrat 7,669 23,312 29.61%
607 Ealing Southall Labour 33,342 Conservative 8,768 24,574 29.85%
608 Bradford East Labour 25,801 Conservative 5,859 19,942 29.96%
609 Hove and Portslade Labour 34,266 Conservative 10,850 23,416 30.01%
610 Bristol East Labour 38,766 Green 11,426 27,340 30.41%
611 Stretford and Urmston Labour 31,359 Conservative 9,302 22,057 30.48%
612 Sheffield Central Labour 26,515 Green 4,725 21,790 30.77%
613 Manchester Central Labour 33,846 Conservative 6,127 27,719 30.84%
614 Leeds North East Labour 30,005 Conservative 7,985 22,020 31.22%
615 Blackburn Labour 29,124 Conservative 7,086 22,038 31.45%
616 Gorton and Denton Labour 30,586 Conservative 5,856 24,730 31.75%
617 Lewisham East Labour 24,746 Conservative 5,500 19,246 31.94%
618 Ilford South Labour 31,265 Conservative 6,783 24,482 32.17%
619 Dulwich and West Norwood Labour 32,293 Green 8,391 23,902 32.64%
620 Leicester South Labour 34,017 Conservative 7,709 26,308 33.47%
621 Wallasey Labour 32,676 Conservative 8,837 23,839 33.47%
622 Poplar and Limehouse Labour 33,423 Liberal Democrat 6,668 26,755 33.90%
623 Widnes and Halewood Labour 27,891 Conservative 5,694 22,197 34.30%
624 Holborn and St Pancras Labour 35,357 Liberal Democrat 6,319 29,038 34.91%
625 Leyton and Wanstead Labour 39,163 Conservative 8,250 30,913 35.61%
626 Hackney North and Stoke Newington Labour 35,186 Green 5,764 29,422 35.64%
627 Islington North Labour 34,258 Liberal Democrat 7,287 26,971 35.88%
628 Lewisham West and East Dulwich Labour 29,449 Conservative 5,236 24,213 36.58%
629 Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley Labour 32,628 Conservative 4,850 27,778 36.82%
630 Peckham Labour 28,561 Liberal Democrat 4,014 24,547 37.27%
631 Manchester Withington Labour 35,154 Liberal Democrat 6,577 28,577 37.54%
632 West Ham and Beckton Labour 31,335 Conservative 4,585 26,750 37.70%
633 Manchester Rusholme Labour 21,057 Conservative 2,162 18,895 37.85%
634 Stratford and Bow Labour 27,488 Conservative 3,820 23,668 38.11%
635 Hackney South and Shoreditch Labour 36,339 Green 4,432 31,907 38.28%
636 Birmingham Ladywood Labour 40,740 Conservative 4,357 36,383 38.81%
637 East Ham Labour 33,553 Conservative 4,623 28,930 39.70%
638 Lewisham North Labour 40,133 Liberal Democrat 5,437 34,696 40.09%
639 Tottenham Labour 34,366 Green 3,635 30,731 40.70%
640 Bradford West Labour 33,221 Conservative 4,384 28,837 40.79%
641 Bethnal Green and Stepney Labour 39,307 Liberal Democrat 4,920 34,387 42.19%
642 Chorley Other 34,409 Green 3,414 30,995 42.39%
643 Walthamstow Labour 31,117 Conservative 4,220 26,897 43.36%
644 Liverpool Garston Labour 38,531 Reform/Brexit 4,543 33,988 43.68%
645 Knowsley Labour 39,813 Reform/Brexit 4,876 34,937 43.71%
646 Liverpool Wavertree Labour 24,861 Reform/Brexit 2,441 22,420 44.15%
647 Liverpool West Derby Labour 32,529 Reform/Brexit 3,315 29,214 44.97%
648 Bootle Labour 37,783 Reform/Brexit 4,113 33,670 44.99%
649 Liverpool Riverside Labour 45,785 Green 4,633 41,152 45.12%
650 Liverpool Walton Labour 33,268 Conservative 3,035 30,233 46.70%

See also: Electoral Analysis

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