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VoteClimate: General Election Scenario: Labour Slips 5%

General Election Scenario: Labour Slips 5%

What might happen at the next general election if 5% of voters switched back from Labour to Conservative?

Main forecast: VoteClimate's Forecast For The Next General Election

Labour: 10 seats short of a majority
Conservative: 73 seats short of a majority

Predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 39% | Conservative: 32% | Liberal Democrat: 11.3% | Green: 6.8% | Reform/Brexit: 6.1%

[Last updated: September 2023]

In this scenario the most marginal seats would be as follows:

Constituency Winner Second Votes Required
1 Welwyn Hatfield Labour 20,627 Conservative 20,622 5 0.01%
2 Penrith and Solway Labour 23,156 Conservative 23,149 7 0.01%
3 Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke SNP 15,895 Labour 15,864 31 0.05%
4 Winchester Conservative 24,777 Liberal Democrat 24,656 121 0.15%
5 Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland Conservative 18,933 Labour 18,825 108 0.16%
6 Exmouth and Exeter East Other 18,560 Conservative 18,373 187 0.26%
7 South Ribble Labour 21,736 Conservative 21,516 220 0.29%
8 Erewash Labour 21,260 Conservative 21,042 218 0.30%
9 Chester South and Eddisbury Conservative 18,140 Labour 17,852 288 0.43%
10 Glasgow East Labour 13,673 SNP 13,364 309 0.52%
11 Chelsea and Fulham Conservative 16,766 Labour 16,387 379 0.53%
12 Glasgow North Labour 16,907 SNP 16,509 398 0.57%
13 Finchley and Golders Green Conservative 17,302 Liberal Democrat 16,805 497 0.64%
14 Glasgow South West Labour 17,421 SNP 16,910 511 0.70%
15 Bournemouth West Conservative 18,543 Labour 18,000 543 0.74%
16 Scunthorpe Conservative 19,235 Labour 18,656 579 0.78%
17 Macclesfield Labour 22,029 Conservative 21,380 649 0.85%
18 Edinburgh East and Musselburgh SNP 22,607 Labour 21,842 765 0.86%
19 Scarborough and Whitby Labour 22,692 Conservative 22,018 674 0.91%
20 Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme Labour 15,774 Conservative 15,144 630 0.92%
21 Thurrock Conservative 20,175 Labour 19,476 699 0.93%
22 Croydon South Labour 21,028 Conservative 20,307 721 0.94%
23 Na h-Eileanan an Iar SNP 5,676 Labour 5,459 217 1.03%
24 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Conservative 23,647 SNP 22,706 941 1.14%
25 Ashfield Labour 12,111 Conservative 11,358 753 1.16%
26 Hazel Grove Liberal Democrat 15,864 Conservative 15,115 749 1.17%
27 Gordon and Buchan Conservative 18,946 SNP 18,077 869 1.26%
28 Airdrie and Shotts Labour 15,982 SNP 15,099 883 1.38%
29 Dover and Deal Conservative 22,255 Labour 21,192 1,063 1.38%
30 Fermanagh and South Tyrone Sinn Fein 22,646 UUP 21,590 1,056 1.39%
31 Colchester Labour 20,648 Conservative 19,511 1,137 1.44%
32 East Thanet Conservative 20,918 Labour 19,822 1,096 1.52%
33 Shrewsbury Labour 22,068 Conservative 20,936 1,132 1.54%
34 Pendle and Clitheroe Labour 25,904 Conservative 24,579 1,325 1.58%
35 Hexham Labour 22,646 Conservative 21,413 1,233 1.59%
36 Mid Cheshire Labour 17,966 Conservative 16,950 1,016 1.59%
37 Godalming and Ash Conservative 19,539 Liberal Democrat 18,487 1,052 1.61%
38 Carlisle Conservative 22,774 Labour 21,503 1,271 1.62%
39 Glasgow South SNP 17,239 Labour 16,137 1,102 1.65%
40 Gloucester Labour 22,808 Conservative 21,483 1,325 1.68%
41 North East Derbyshire Conservative 21,297 Labour 20,031 1,266 1.71%
42 York Outer Labour 20,794 Conservative 19,456 1,338 1.80%
43 Bournemouth East Labour 20,101 Conservative 18,756 1,345 1.81%
44 Morecambe and Lunesdale Labour 21,754 Conservative 20,283 1,471 1.83%
45 Caerfyrddin Labour 16,927 Conservative 15,564 1,363 1.84%
46 St Ives Liberal Democrat 21,576 Conservative 20,191 1,385 1.92%
47 Reading West and Mid Berkshire Conservative 18,060 Labour 16,639 1,421 2.10%
48 Midlothian Labour 18,901 SNP 17,397 1,504 2.13%
49 Telford Conservative 20,655 Labour 19,119 1,536 2.15%
50 Newcastle-under-Lyme Labour 19,772 Conservative 18,209 1,563 2.18%
51 Stevenage Labour 20,593 Conservative 19,046 1,547 2.18%
52 Bexleyheath and Crayford Conservative 18,788 Labour 17,304 1,484 2.18%
53 Northampton South Conservative 14,857 Labour 13,718 1,139 2.28%
54 Rutherglen Labour 20,623 SNP 18,839 1,784 2.31%
55 Ceredigion Preseli Plaid Cymru 16,185 Labour 14,384 1,801 2.33%
56 Westmorland and Lonsdale Liberal Democrat 20,771 Conservative 19,097 1,674 2.37%
57 Rossendale and Darwen Labour 22,002 Conservative 20,224 1,778 2.41%
58 Coatbridge and Bellshill Labour 21,741 SNP 19,840 1,901 2.42%
59 Guildford Liberal Democrat 21,347 Conservative 19,558 1,789 2.45%
60 South Down Sinn Fein 14,629 SDLP 12,798 1,831 2.47%
61 Glasgow North East Labour 25,586 SNP 22,959 2,627 2.50%
62 Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West SNP 19,581 Labour 17,795 1,786 2.53%
63 Glasgow West SNP 15,296 Labour 13,735 1,561 2.60%
64 Belfast North Sinn Fein 21,795 DUP 19,966 1,829 2.60%
65 Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock SNP 14,602 Conservative 13,074 1,528 2.64%
66 Sutton and Cheam Conservative 18,332 Liberal Democrat 16,414 1,918 2.67%
67 Plymouth Moor View Conservative 20,490 Labour 18,470 2,020 2.77%
68 Dumfries and Galloway Conservative 22,015 SNP 19,761 2,254 2.87%
69 Harrogate and Knaresborough Conservative 21,484 Liberal Democrat 19,323 2,161 2.96%
70 Hamilton and Clyde Valley SNP 17,223 Labour 15,135 2,088 2.97%
71 North East Somerset and Hanham Conservative 25,171 Labour 22,654 2,517 2.97%
72 Monmouthshire Labour 21,174 Conservative 19,022 2,152 2.98%
73 Uxbridge and South Ruislip Labour 18,396 Conservative 16,528 1,868 2.99%
74 Belfast East DUP 20,625 Alliance 18,578 2,047 3.03%
75 Rugby Conservative 22,345 Labour 20,123 2,222 3.09%
76 North Northumberland Conservative 20,213 Labour 17,772 2,441 3.16%
77 Eastbourne Liberal Democrat 21,397 Conservative 19,058 2,339 3.16%
78 Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey SNP 18,134 Conservative 15,969 2,165 3.22%
79 Stoke-on-Trent North Labour 18,076 Conservative 15,695 2,381 3.36%
80 West Dunbartonshire SNP 21,292 Labour 18,717 2,575 3.36%
81 Crawley Labour 22,995 Conservative 20,495 2,500 3.37%
82 Blackpool North and Fleetwood Labour 18,633 Conservative 16,363 2,270 3.40%
83 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale Conservative 18,788 SNP 16,417 2,371 3.49%
84 Earley and Woodley Labour 16,028 Conservative 13,931 2,097 3.53%
85 Camborne and Redruth Labour 21,182 Conservative 18,832 2,350 3.57%
86 South Cambridgeshire Liberal Democrat 20,869 Conservative 18,221 2,648 3.59%
87 North Down Alliance 19,420 DUP 16,831 2,589 3.60%
88 Wakefield and Rothwell Labour 21,036 Conservative 18,345 2,691 3.61%
89 Crewe and Nantwich Labour 22,857 Conservative 20,056 2,801 3.62%
90 Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes Conservative 18,203 Labour 15,474 2,729 3.66%
91 Southend East and Rochford Conservative 21,255 Labour 18,487 2,768 3.68%
92 North East Fife SNP 19,345 Liberal Democrat 16,799 2,546 3.69%
93 Wolverhampton North East Labour 20,064 Conservative 17,162 2,902 3.70%
94 Blackpool South Labour 20,525 Conservative 17,534 2,991 3.71%
95 Halesowen Conservative 20,751 Labour 18,113 2,638 3.72%
96 Penistone and Stocksbridge Labour 20,294 Conservative 17,649 2,645 3.73%
97 Taunton and Wellington Conservative 24,991 Liberal Democrat 21,983 3,008 3.73%
98 Corby and East Northamptonshire Labour 25,418 Conservative 22,658 2,760 3.75%
99 Dunfermline and Dollar SNP 17,135 Labour 14,578 2,557 3.84%
100 Rother Valley Labour 17,402 Conservative 14,668 2,734 3.87%
101 Bassetlaw Conservative 20,311 Labour 17,345 2,966 3.90%
102 Basingstoke Conservative 17,247 Labour 14,800 2,447 3.90%
103 Lewes Liberal Democrat 23,065 Conservative 20,124 2,941 3.93%
104 Nuneaton Conservative 21,151 Labour 18,341 2,810 4.00%
105 Woking Conservative 18,890 Liberal Democrat 15,921 2,969 4.15%
106 South Antrim DUP 15,223 UUP 12,201 3,022 4.21%
107 Orkney and Shetland Liberal Democrat 8,638 SNP 7,186 1,452 4.24%
108 Eastleigh Conservative 21,959 Liberal Democrat 18,809 3,150 4.25%
109 Aberdeenshire North and Moray East Conservative 22,167 SNP 18,905 3,262 4.28%
110 Cheadle Liberal Democrat 22,936 Conservative 19,457 3,479 4.30%
111 Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Conservative 22,556 Labour 19,146 3,410 4.33%
112 Edinburgh South West SNP 18,660 Labour 15,410 3,250 4.36%
113 Mid and South Pembrokeshire Labour 24,779 Conservative 21,455 3,324 4.49%
114 St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Conservative 19,279 Liberal Democrat 16,176 3,103 4.49%
115 Burton and Uttoxeter Conservative 22,322 Labour 18,979 3,343 4.56%
116 Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe Conservative 18,058 Liberal Democrat 14,735 3,323 4.59%
117 Didcot and Wantage Conservative 20,786 Liberal Democrat 17,434 3,352 4.61%
118 Swindon North Conservative 22,832 Labour 19,355 3,477 4.63%
119 Glenrothes and Mid Fife SNP 17,931 Labour 14,561 3,370 4.74%
120 Swindon South Labour 23,775 Conservative 20,297 3,478 4.74%
121 Barrow and Furness Labour 23,307 Conservative 19,534 3,773 4.79%
122 Bishop Auckland Labour 22,559 Conservative 18,752 3,807 4.81%
123 East Worthing and Shoreham Labour 24,015 Conservative 20,371 3,644 4.85%
124 Worthing West Conservative 21,405 Labour 17,900 3,505 4.91%
125 Bolsover Labour 19,283 Conservative 15,614 3,669 4.92%
126 Paisley and Renfrewshire North SNP 19,809 Labour 16,233 3,576 4.96%
127 Bolton West Labour 19,156 Conservative 15,982 3,174 5.02%
128 Harrow East Labour 22,908 Conservative 19,160 3,748 5.09%
129 Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy Labour 17,945 SNP 14,193 3,752 5.20%
130 St Austell and Newquay Conservative 22,147 Labour 18,275 3,872 5.22%
131 Worcester Labour 23,295 Conservative 19,421 3,874 5.27%
132 Esher and Walton Liberal Democrat 23,474 Conservative 19,854 3,620 5.32%
133 Stoke-on-Trent South Conservative 18,505 Labour 15,214 3,291 5.32%
134 Loughborough Labour 24,422 Conservative 20,317 4,105 5.33%
135 Hemel Hempstead Conservative 19,456 Labour 15,973 3,483 5.34%
136 Ynys Mon Labour 13,215 Plaid Cymru 10,417 2,798 5.39%
137 Lothian East Labour 20,671 SNP 16,646 4,025 5.44%
138 Sherwood Forest Conservative 23,235 Labour 19,060 4,175 5.52%
139 Northampton North Labour 29,507 Conservative 24,330 5,177 5.61%
140 Herne Bay and Sandwich Conservative 23,803 Labour 19,490 4,313 5.62%
141 Dudley Conservative 21,197 Labour 17,117 4,080 5.68%
142 Farnham and Bordon Conservative 22,482 Liberal Democrat 18,499 3,983 5.69%
143 East Kilbride and Strathaven SNP 20,187 Labour 15,938 4,249 5.70%
144 Rushcliffe Labour 25,027 Conservative 20,772 4,255 5.71%
145 Mid Derbyshire Conservative 21,487 Labour 17,548 3,939 5.74%
146 Bromley and Biggin Hill Conservative 24,382 Labour 19,601 4,781 5.79%
147 Whitehaven and Workington Labour 21,328 Conservative 17,404 3,924 5.84%
148 Edinburgh North and Leith SNP 16,493 Labour 12,731 3,762 5.84%
149 North Somerset Conservative 22,705 Labour 18,421 4,284 5.86%
150 Buckingham and Bletchley Conservative 19,357 Labour 15,361 3,996 5.86%
151 Southend West and Leigh Conservative 23,649 Labour 19,246 4,403 5.96%
152 Central Ayrshire SNP 19,766 Conservative 15,262 4,504 5.98%
153 Redcar Labour 18,980 Conservative 14,745 4,235 5.99%
154 Stoke-on-Trent Central Labour 20,264 Conservative 15,826 4,438 5.99%
155 Barnsley North Labour 18,103 Reform/Brexit 13,544 4,559 5.99%
156 Weston-super-Mare Conservative 18,574 Labour 14,807 3,767 6.04%
157 Filton and Bradley Stoke Labour 23,106 Conservative 18,890 4,216 6.04%
158 Forest of Dean Conservative 23,619 Labour 19,303 4,316 6.04%
159 Carshalton and Wallington Liberal Democrat 19,281 Conservative 14,872 4,409 6.04%
160 Paisley and Renfrewshire South SNP 18,722 Labour 14,864 3,858 6.04%
161 Wokingham Conservative 24,276 Liberal Democrat 19,241 5,035 6.06%
162 Banbury Conservative 18,552 Labour 14,700 3,852 6.08%
163 Ipswich Labour 22,587 Conservative 17,937 4,650 6.16%
164 Livingston SNP 16,952 Labour 12,832 4,120 6.29%
165 Broxtowe Labour 23,834 Conservative 18,871 4,963 6.33%
166 Gravesham Conservative 22,969 Labour 18,331 4,638 6.33%
167 Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber SNP 20,594 Conservative 16,026 4,568 6.34%
168 Gillingham and Rainham Conservative 19,984 Labour 15,712 4,272 6.35%
169 East Renfrewshire SNP 22,315 Conservative 17,710 4,605 6.38%
170 Stafford Conservative 24,464 Labour 19,715 4,749 6.38%
171 Norwich North Labour 22,655 Conservative 18,066 4,589 6.42%
172 Harborough, Oadby and Wigston Conservative 22,284 Labour 17,554 4,730 6.42%
173 Mansfield Conservative 24,781 Labour 19,990 4,791 6.45%
174 Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor Labour 17,986 Conservative 13,841 4,145 6.45%
175 West Bromwich Labour 21,238 Conservative 16,076 5,162 6.46%
176 Tipton and Wednesbury Labour 15,599 Conservative 11,635 3,964 6.47%
177 Clwyd North Labour 23,144 Conservative 18,292 4,852 6.49%
178 Ely and East Cambridgeshire Conservative 19,917 Liberal Democrat 15,466 4,451 6.50%
179 Leeds South West and Morley Labour 22,424 Conservative 17,468 4,956 6.54%
180 Kettering Conservative 25,750 Labour 20,368 5,382 6.54%
181 Tatton Conservative 22,512 Labour 17,432 5,080 6.60%
182 Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr Conservative 20,321 Labour 15,629 4,692 6.62%
183 Altrincham and Sale West Labour 24,510 Conservative 19,633 4,877 6.67%
184 Stourbridge Conservative 24,911 Labour 19,549 5,362 6.67%
185 Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Conservative 24,382 SNP 19,242 5,140 6.71%
186 Watford Labour 24,911 Conservative 19,448 5,463 6.81%
187 Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch SNP 19,972 Labour 15,350 4,622 6.83%
188 Harlow Conservative 23,386 Labour 18,354 5,032 6.85%
189 Shipley Labour 25,679 Conservative 20,596 5,083 6.87%
190 Perth and Kinross-shire SNP 27,938 Conservative 21,933 6,005 6.87%
191 Isle of Wight East Conservative 15,768 Labour 11,914 3,854 6.90%
192 Isle of Wight West Conservative 16,123 Labour 12,182 3,941 6.90%
193 Ribble Valley Conservative 22,688 Labour 17,657 5,031 6.91%
194 Milton Keynes Central Labour 25,800 Conservative 20,224 5,576 6.92%
195 Rochester and Strood Conservative 22,588 Labour 17,291 5,297 6.92%
196 Witney Conservative 20,892 Liberal Democrat 16,097 4,795 6.95%
197 Wimbledon Liberal Democrat 21,443 Labour 16,134 5,309 7.02%
198 Southport Labour 23,233 Conservative 17,935 5,298 7.03%
199 Walsall and Bloxwich Labour 23,375 Conservative 17,568 5,807 7.03%
200 Milton Keynes North Labour 23,444 Conservative 18,316 5,128 7.05%
201 Bathgate and Linlithgow SNP 19,187 Labour 13,726 5,461 7.05%
202 Barnsley South Labour 17,072 Reform/Brexit 11,804 5,268 7.15%
203 Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice Labour 15,718 Conservative 10,937 4,781 7.17%
204 West Dorset Conservative 24,512 Liberal Democrat 18,919 5,593 7.21%
205 Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross SNP 17,921 Liberal Democrat 12,677 5,244 7.21%
206 Angus and Perthshire Glens SNP 23,990 Conservative 18,394 5,596 7.27%
207 Central Devon Conservative 23,708 Labour 18,476 5,232 7.28%
208 Sheffield Hallam Labour 22,574 Liberal Democrat 17,162 5,412 7.30%
209 Congleton Conservative 23,713 Labour 18,321 5,392 7.31%
210 Harpenden and Berkhamsted Conservative 21,409 Liberal Democrat 15,682 5,727 7.37%
211 Portsmouth North Conservative 21,863 Labour 16,470 5,393 7.56%
212 Lowestoft Conservative 21,174 Labour 15,725 5,449 7.67%
213 Stockton West Labour 19,718 Conservative 15,053 4,665 7.70%
214 Hyndburn Labour 20,160 Conservative 14,693 5,467 7.72%
215 Southampton Itchen Labour 20,351 Conservative 15,314 5,037 7.72%
216 Wellingborough and Rushden Conservative 22,760 Labour 17,062 5,698 7.76%
217 Aylesbury Conservative 20,243 Labour 14,749 5,494 7.78%
218 Darlington Labour 21,482 Conservative 15,938 5,544 7.80%
219 Lincoln Labour 23,529 Conservative 17,616 5,913 7.88%
220 Hartlepool Labour 17,655 Reform/Brexit 12,031 5,624 7.94%
221 Henley and Thame Conservative 22,811 Liberal Democrat 17,193 5,618 7.94%
222 Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Conservative 22,537 Labour 16,529 6,008 7.96%
223 Truro and Falmouth Labour 27,391 Conservative 21,100 6,291 7.96%
224 Aberdeen South SNP 22,459 Conservative 15,751 6,708 7.99%
225 Burnley Labour 18,477 Conservative 12,753 5,724 8.07%
226 Wycombe Labour 23,191 Conservative 17,259 5,932 8.08%
227 Leigh and Atherton Labour 22,099 Conservative 15,857 6,242 8.10%
228 Cheltenham Liberal Democrat 28,114 Conservative 21,764 6,350 8.12%
229 North East Hertfordshire Conservative 24,162 Labour 17,887 6,275 8.17%
230 Dartford Conservative 23,611 Labour 17,594 6,017 8.21%
231 Colne Valley Labour 25,223 Conservative 18,947 6,276 8.30%
232 Hertford and Stortford Conservative 24,164 Labour 17,778 6,386 8.35%
233 Bicester and Woodstock Conservative 20,968 Liberal Democrat 14,466 6,502 8.41%
234 Chippenham Conservative 24,175 Liberal Democrat 17,828 6,347 8.49%
235 Hendon Labour 25,258 Conservative 18,688 6,570 8.54%
236 South Derbyshire Conservative 21,648 Labour 15,735 5,913 8.60%
237 Mid Dunbartonshire SNP 20,892 Liberal Democrat 14,367 6,525 8.61%
238 Thornbury and Yate Conservative 25,427 Liberal Democrat 18,769 6,658 8.63%
239 Lancaster and Wyre Labour 22,169 Conservative 16,020 6,149 8.63%
240 Hastings and Rye Labour 26,174 Conservative 19,484 6,690 8.63%
241 Calder Valley Labour 28,846 Conservative 22,325 6,521 8.69%
242 South Dorset Conservative 23,162 Labour 16,737 6,425 8.71%
243 Cities of London and Westminster Labour 22,245 Conservative 14,800 7,445 8.72%
244 Fylde Conservative 24,937 Labour 18,288 6,649 8.78%
245 Edinburgh West SNP 21,199 Liberal Democrat 13,516 7,683 8.85%
246 Wrexham Labour 21,448 Conservative 15,148 6,300 8.95%
247 Selby Conservative 22,154 Labour 16,195 5,959 8.96%
248 Stroud Labour 27,252 Conservative 20,438 6,814 8.98%
249 Strangford DUP 16,492 Alliance 10,300 6,192 9.05%
250 Alloa and Grangemouth SNP 16,757 Conservative 11,324 5,433 9.08%
251 Romsey and Southampton North Conservative 22,161 Liberal Democrat 15,372 6,789 9.09%
252 Amber Valley Conservative 22,591 Labour 16,257 6,334 9.11%
253 Newbury Conservative 21,899 Liberal Democrat 15,642 6,257 9.13%
254 Peterborough Labour 22,362 Conservative 15,780 6,582 9.14%
255 Wetherby and Easingwold Conservative 29,086 Labour 20,603 8,483 9.17%
256 Wolverhampton South East Labour 22,729 Conservative 15,248 7,481 9.19%
257 Upper Bann DUP 17,551 Sinn Fein 10,914 6,637 9.19%
258 Romford Conservative 23,158 Labour 16,399 6,759 9.22%
259 South Devon Conservative 22,356 Liberal Democrat 15,569 6,787 9.30%
260 Lagan Valley DUP 19,364 Alliance 12,326 7,038 9.30%
261 North Ayrshire and Arran SNP 20,761 Conservative 13,632 7,129 9.32%
262 North Devon Conservative 24,320 Liberal Democrat 17,221 7,099 9.36%
263 North Bedfordshire Conservative 26,768 Labour 18,626 8,142 9.37%
264 Folkestone and Hythe Conservative 22,000 Labour 15,368 6,632 9.38%
265 Aldershot Conservative 23,091 Labour 15,866 7,225 9.38%
266 Birmingham Northfield Labour 20,067 Conservative 13,441 6,626 9.39%
267 Yeovil Conservative 22,878 Liberal Democrat 16,260 6,618 9.43%
268 Ossett and Denby Dale Labour 18,226 Conservative 12,480 5,746 9.48%
269 Derby North Labour 24,210 Conservative 16,383 7,827 9.58%
270 Glastonbury and Somerton Conservative 24,728 Liberal Democrat 17,377 7,351 9.58%
271 Huntingdon Conservative 28,568 Labour 19,584 8,984 9.61%
272 South Norfolk Conservative 20,064 Labour 14,112 5,952 9.66%
273 Sutton Coldfield Conservative 23,466 Labour 16,106 7,360 9.73%
274 Rawmarsh and Conisbrough Labour 17,591 Conservative 10,675 6,916 9.73%
275 Derbyshire Dales Conservative 25,191 Labour 18,053 7,138 9.76%
276 Dorking and Horley Conservative 21,036 Liberal Democrat 14,750 6,286 9.77%
277 Redditch Conservative 22,669 Labour 16,059 6,610 9.80%
278 Wells and Mendip Hills Conservative 24,642 Liberal Democrat 16,834 7,808 9.83%
279 Hitchin Conservative 20,052 Labour 13,414 6,638 9.90%
280 Suffolk Coastal Conservative 22,930 Labour 15,530 7,400 9.97%
281 Staffordshire Moorlands Conservative 25,017 Labour 17,658 7,359 9.99%
282 North Norfolk Conservative 22,835 Liberal Democrat 15,567 7,268 9.99%
283 Clwyd East Labour 26,183 Conservative 18,262 7,921 10.01%
284 Beaconsfield Conservative 22,417 Other 15,546 6,871 10.01%
285 Tunbridge Wells Conservative 24,214 Liberal Democrat 16,640 7,574 10.12%
286 Reigate Conservative 22,526 Labour 14,791 7,735 10.13%
287 South West Hertfordshire Conservative 18,692 Labour 11,892 6,800 10.14%
288 Dundee Central SNP 23,683 Labour 15,682 8,001 10.23%
289 North Warwickshire and Bedworth Conservative 23,739 Labour 16,545 7,194 10.24%
290 Wolverhampton West Labour 20,458 Conservative 13,942 6,516 10.27%
291 Vale of Glamorgan Labour 25,825 Conservative 18,634 7,191 10.28%
292 Waveney Valley Conservative 27,986 Labour 19,037 8,949 10.34%
293 North West Leicestershire Conservative 25,362 Labour 17,492 7,870 10.35%
294 Kingston upon Hull East Labour 16,054 Conservative 8,542 7,512 10.37%
295 Harwich and North Essex Conservative 23,469 Labour 15,968 7,501 10.40%
296 Great Yarmouth Conservative 22,496 Labour 14,925 7,571 10.52%
297 Mid Bedfordshire Conservative 22,191 Labour 14,934 7,257 10.53%
298 Beverley and Holderness Conservative 23,091 Labour 15,587 7,504 10.57%
299 Normanton and Hemsworth Labour 18,086 Conservative 10,344 7,742 10.60%
300 Chatham and Aylesford Conservative 22,790 Labour 15,008 7,782 10.66%
301 Kilmarnock and Loudoun SNP 22,786 Labour 14,260 8,526 10.66%
302 The Wrekin Conservative 25,298 Labour 17,374 7,924 10.68%
303 Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley Labour 18,577 Conservative 10,656 7,921 10.74%
304 Newark Conservative 26,650 Labour 18,079 8,571 10.75%
305 Spelthorne Conservative 22,497 Labour 14,847 7,650 10.79%
306 Bracknell Conservative 21,606 Labour 14,100 7,506 10.89%
307 Windsor Conservative 19,240 Labour 12,005 7,235 10.89%
308 Stirling and Strathallan SNP 24,694 Conservative 16,689 8,005 10.95%
309 Doncaster North Labour 17,058 Reform/Brexit 9,239 7,819 11.03%
310 Poole Conservative 22,385 Labour 14,340 8,045 11.10%
311 Gedling Labour 26,084 Conservative 17,564 8,520 11.18%
312 Keighley and Ilkley Labour 26,235 Conservative 18,073 8,162 11.21%
313 Epsom and Ewell Conservative 26,706 Liberal Democrat 16,828 9,878 11.25%
314 West Tyrone Sinn Fein 17,622 DUP 9,633 7,989 11.25%
315 East Antrim DUP 18,252 Alliance 10,378 7,874 11.27%
316 North Cornwall Conservative 25,416 Liberal Democrat 16,966 8,450 11.27%
317 Warrington South Labour 26,817 Conservative 18,052 8,765 11.29%
318 Frome and East Somerset Conservative 17,766 Liberal Democrat 11,322 6,444 11.32%
319 Ashford Conservative 22,861 Labour 14,800 8,061 11.33%
320 Beckenham and Penge Labour 26,172 Conservative 16,912 9,260 11.36%
321 Doncaster Central Labour 19,820 Conservative 11,024 8,796 11.38%
322 Bangor Aberconwy Labour 23,687 Conservative 15,078 8,609 11.40%
323 Blyth and Ashington Labour 20,106 Conservative 12,408 7,698 11.43%
324 Newry and Armagh Sinn Fein 18,559 DUP 10,053 8,506 11.43%
325 North West Cambridgeshire Conservative 19,940 Labour 12,723 7,217 11.44%
326 Runnymede and Weybridge Conservative 23,336 Labour 14,048 9,288 11.56%
327 Aberdeen North SNP 16,817 Conservative 9,559 7,258 11.57%
328 Bedford Labour 20,864 Conservative 13,264 7,600 11.64%
329 Dwyfor Meirionnydd Plaid Cymru 21,742 Labour 13,304 8,438 11.76%
330 Coventry North West Labour 23,476 Conservative 14,608 8,868 11.78%
331 Heywood and Middleton North Labour 22,601 Conservative 13,344 9,257 11.80%
332 Stockton North Labour 24,278 Conservative 15,163 9,115 11.88%
333 Cannock Chase Conservative 24,973 Labour 16,078 8,895 11.89%
334 Surrey Heath Conservative 24,135 Liberal Democrat 15,278 8,857 11.91%
335 Chesterfield Labour 19,749 Conservative 11,472 8,277 11.95%
336 Solihull West and Shirley Conservative 24,220 Labour 15,024 9,196 12.01%
337 South Basildon and East Thurrock Conservative 21,536 Labour 13,308 8,228 12.05%
338 Mid Sussex Conservative 21,914 Labour 13,273 8,641 12.09%
339 Broxbourne Conservative 24,333 Labour 15,358 8,975 12.09%
340 Chipping Barnet Labour 28,009 Conservative 18,569 9,440 12.10%
341 Broadland and Fakenham Conservative 24,425 Labour 15,631 8,794 12.11%
342 Kenilworth and Southam Conservative 22,333 Labour 13,912 8,421 12.13%
343 Hereford and South Herefordshire Conservative 23,532 Labour 14,812 8,720 12.14%
344 Old Bexley and Sidcup Conservative 24,855 Labour 16,205 8,650 12.17%
345 North Cotswolds Conservative 23,102 Labour 14,005 9,097 12.18%
346 Oxford West and Abingdon Liberal Democrat 26,356 Conservative 15,535 10,821 12.28%
347 Kingston upon Hull North and Cottingham Labour 21,299 Conservative 11,258 10,041 12.28%
348 North Shropshire Conservative 25,625 Labour 16,100 9,525 12.36%
349 Bolton North East Labour 24,729 Conservative 15,277 9,452 12.36%
350 Newton Abbot Conservative 22,365 Labour 13,415 8,950 12.36%
351 Meriden and Solihull East Conservative 23,839 Labour 14,456 9,383 12.39%
352 South West Wiltshire Conservative 21,338 Labour 13,204 8,134 12.49%
353 Bognor Regis and Littlehampton Conservative 25,635 Labour 15,725 9,910 12.49%
354 Salisbury Conservative 23,952 Labour 14,425 9,527 12.52%
355 Kensington and Bayswater Labour 24,425 Conservative 14,264 10,161 12.55%
356 Dewsbury and Batley Labour 24,566 Conservative 15,262 9,304 12.58%
357 Warwick and Leamington Labour 25,788 Conservative 16,298 9,490 12.58%
358 Wyre Forest Conservative 25,862 Labour 16,037 9,825 12.58%
359 Tamworth Conservative 24,079 Labour 15,074 9,005 12.60%
360 Mid Norfolk Conservative 24,264 Labour 15,127 9,137 12.61%
361 Dagenham and Rainham Labour 22,938 Conservative 13,597 9,341 12.63%
362 Bridgend Labour 22,876 Conservative 13,507 9,369 12.65%
363 Chelmsford Conservative 24,866 Labour 14,988 9,878 12.69%
364 Leeds East Labour 23,093 Conservative 13,389 9,704 12.69%
365 Brigg and Immingham Conservative 23,569 Labour 14,274 9,295 12.71%
366 Rotherham Labour 19,308 Conservative 9,827 9,481 12.74%
367 Bury North Labour 22,738 Conservative 14,447 8,291 12.74%
368 Alyn and Deeside Labour 24,963 Conservative 15,611 9,352 12.76%
369 East Londonderry DUP 15,879 SDLP 6,807 9,072 12.77%
370 Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Conservative 24,865 Labour 15,125 9,740 12.78%
371 Aldridge-Brownhills Conservative 22,601 Labour 13,895 8,706 12.79%
372 Melksham and Devizes Conservative 23,248 Liberal Democrat 14,077 9,171 12.87%
373 South Leicestershire Conservative 24,606 Labour 15,598 9,008 12.87%
374 Hornchurch and Upminster Conservative 25,306 Labour 15,433 9,873 12.91%
375 Hertsmere Conservative 24,963 Labour 15,553 9,410 12.93%
376 Houghton and Sunderland South Labour 19,822 Conservative 9,922 9,900 12.95%
377 North West Norfolk Conservative 25,040 Labour 15,334 9,706 12.98%
378 Coventry South Labour 22,151 Conservative 12,936 9,215 12.99%
379 Weald of Kent Conservative 25,031 Labour 14,981 10,050 13.00%
380 Bury South Labour 28,363 Conservative 17,093 11,270 13.04%
381 South East Cornwall Conservative 24,489 Labour 15,175 9,314 13.04%
382 Bridlington and The Wolds Conservative 21,295 Labour 12,853 8,442 13.05%
383 High Peak Labour 27,327 Conservative 17,634 9,693 13.05%
384 Torfaen Labour 18,929 Conservative 9,905 9,024 13.06%
385 Mid Buckinghamshire Conservative 23,557 Labour 13,495 10,062 13.11%
386 Mid Leicestershire Conservative 26,267 Labour 16,311 9,956 13.16%
387 Sunderland Central Labour 20,219 Conservative 10,602 9,617 13.23%
388 Warrington North Labour 22,816 Conservative 13,301 9,515 13.25%
389 Mid Ulster Sinn Fein 20,498 DUP 11,004 9,494 13.26%
390 Newport East Labour 26,059 Conservative 14,928 11,131 13.26%
391 South West Devon Conservative 26,457 Labour 16,609 9,848 13.28%
392 Mid Dorset and North Poole Conservative 26,213 Liberal Democrat 16,231 9,982 13.28%
393 Central Suffolk and North Ipswich Conservative 23,634 Labour 14,373 9,261 13.37%
394 East Grinstead and Uckfield Conservative 22,100 Liberal Democrat 12,639 9,461 13.58%
395 Stalybridge and Hyde Labour 21,798 Conservative 11,448 10,350 13.70%
396 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry SNP 21,633 Conservative 12,187 9,446 13.74%
397 South Cotswolds Conservative 22,486 Liberal Democrat 13,311 9,175 13.82%
398 South Northamptonshire Conservative 27,074 Labour 16,538 10,536 13.82%
399 Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire SNP 22,799 Conservative 11,921 10,878 14.01%
400 Bristol North East Labour 25,586 Conservative 15,474 10,112 14.04%
401 Skipton and Ripon Conservative 26,076 Labour 15,455 10,621 14.04%
402 Blaydon and Consett Labour 20,937 Conservative 11,356 9,581 14.05%
403 Torbay Conservative 23,369 Liberal Democrat 12,717 10,652 14.09%
404 Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge Conservative 23,386 Labour 14,264 9,122 14.13%
405 Falkirk SNP 22,377 Conservative 11,341 11,036 14.14%
406 Bexhill and Battle Conservative 24,129 Labour 14,430 9,699 14.15%
407 Eltham and Chislehurst Labour 24,783 Conservative 14,354 10,429 14.15%
408 Nottingham North and Kimberley Labour 17,198 Conservative 8,991 8,207 14.24%
409 West Suffolk Conservative 25,775 Labour 14,702 11,073 14.26%
410 Halifax Labour 25,264 Conservative 14,384 10,880 14.30%
411 Spen Valley Labour 23,112 Conservative 12,759 10,353 14.32%
412 Tiverton and Minehead Conservative 22,336 Labour 12,544 9,792 14.33%
413 East Wiltshire Conservative 21,567 Labour 12,191 9,376 14.33%
414 Maidstone and Malling Conservative 21,285 Labour 11,850 9,435 14.33%
415 Goole and Pocklington Conservative 31,306 Labour 18,340 12,966 14.35%
416 Oldham East and Saddleworth Labour 26,067 Conservative 14,224 11,843 14.36%
417 Melton and Syston Conservative 26,061 Labour 15,109 10,952 14.40%
418 Horsham Conservative 24,946 Liberal Democrat 13,661 11,285 14.46%
419 Washington and Gateshead South Labour 20,590 Conservative 9,735 10,855 14.47%
420 South Suffolk Conservative 24,977 Labour 14,299 10,678 14.54%
421 Basildon and Billericay Conservative 25,300 Labour 14,247 11,053 14.55%
422 Southampton Test Labour 24,934 Conservative 13,626 11,308 14.56%
423 Lichfield Conservative 27,866 Labour 16,422 11,444 14.57%
424 Bromsgrove Conservative 26,903 Labour 15,960 10,943 14.58%
425 Epping Forest Conservative 25,380 Labour 14,520 10,860 14.62%
426 Chesham and Amersham Conservative 24,014 Liberal Democrat 13,032 10,982 14.63%
427 Makerfield Labour 24,475 Conservative 12,216 12,259 14.65%
428 Chingford and Woodford Green Labour 26,731 Conservative 16,591 10,140 14.66%
429 Faversham and Mid Kent Conservative 24,327 Labour 13,737 10,590 14.71%
430 Bradford South Labour 22,901 Conservative 11,767 11,134 14.72%
431 North West Hampshire Conservative 29,149 Labour 16,039 13,110 14.85%
432 Cramlington and Killingworth Labour 23,128 Conservative 12,283 10,845 15.00%
433 Maidenhead Conservative 25,044 Liberal Democrat 13,575 11,469 15.00%
434 Llanelli Labour 19,457 Conservative 9,262 10,195 15.10%
435 Sittingbourne and Sheppey Conservative 24,474 Labour 13,185 11,289 15.15%
436 Orpington Conservative 20,065 Labour 11,160 8,905 15.18%
437 Belfast South and Mid Down SDLP 25,780 DUP 13,678 12,102 15.18%
438 North East Hampshire Conservative 26,259 Liberal Democrat 14,501 11,758 15.27%
439 Easington Labour 18,874 Reform/Brexit 8,261 10,613 15.38%
440 Gainsborough Conservative 26,959 Labour 15,599 11,360 15.48%
441 Newport West and Islwyn Labour 20,860 Conservative 10,220 10,640 15.60%
442 Tewkesbury Conservative 22,605 Labour 11,739 10,866 15.60%
443 North Durham Labour 22,244 Conservative 10,793 11,451 15.60%
444 Ashton-under-Lyne Labour 21,700 Conservative 10,413 11,287 15.60%
445 Honiton and Sidmouth Conservative 26,815 Labour 13,808 13,007 15.62%
446 Chichester Conservative 24,764 Labour 12,700 12,064 15.63%
447 Cambridge Labour 25,240 Liberal Democrat 13,448 11,792 15.64%
448 Bridgwater Conservative 20,333 Labour 10,434 9,899 15.74%
449 Arundel and South Downs Conservative 26,274 Labour 13,782 12,492 15.80%
450 City of Durham Labour 22,679 Conservative 11,233 11,446 15.81%
451 St Albans Liberal Democrat 25,161 Conservative 14,821 10,340 15.84%
452 Torridge and Tavistock Conservative 26,108 Labour 14,176 11,932 15.85%
453 Thirsk and Malton Conservative 24,790 Labour 13,367 11,423 15.89%
454 Havant Conservative 23,652 Labour 12,163 11,489 15.94%
455 Derby South Labour 21,060 Conservative 10,448 10,612 15.98%
456 Leicester West Labour 20,600 Conservative 9,439 11,161 16.18%
457 Sheffield South East Labour 23,249 Conservative 11,196 12,053 16.29%
458 Stratford-on-Avon Conservative 25,954 Liberal Democrat 13,857 12,097 16.35%
459 East Hampshire Conservative 23,405 Liberal Democrat 12,271 11,134 16.38%
460 Reading Central Labour 27,250 Conservative 15,025 12,225 16.44%
461 Daventry Conservative 30,299 Labour 16,871 13,428 16.46%
462 Huddersfield Labour 23,378 Conservative 12,039 11,339 16.49%
463 North Antrim DUP 19,231 UUP 7,484 11,747 16.51%
464 Hinckley and Bosworth Conservative 25,164 Labour 13,064 12,100 16.65%
465 Gosport Conservative 25,427 Labour 13,122 12,305 16.73%
466 Gower Labour 26,548 Conservative 14,143 12,405 16.77%
467 Leeds West and Pudsey Labour 25,055 Conservative 13,107 11,948 16.78%
468 Worsley and Eccles Labour 23,698 Conservative 11,051 12,647 16.83%
469 Sleaford and North Hykeham Conservative 24,821 Labour 12,999 11,822 16.83%
470 Rutland and Stamford Conservative 24,976 Labour 12,940 12,036 16.84%
471 Bolton South and Walkden Labour 27,629 Conservative 13,054 14,575 16.90%
472 Canterbury Labour 32,119 Conservative 19,133 12,986 16.98%
473 Grantham and Bourne Conservative 27,629 Labour 14,601 13,028 17.03%
474 Hamble Valley Conservative 25,696 Labour 12,703 12,993 17.05%
475 Wigan Labour 21,390 Conservative 9,216 12,174 17.06%
476 Middlesbrough and Thornaby East Labour 23,135 Conservative 10,162 12,973 17.07%
477 South Shropshire Conservative 27,762 Labour 14,376 13,386 17.11%
478 West Worcestershire Conservative 27,543 Labour 14,307 13,236 17.13%
479 Croydon East Labour 22,915 Conservative 11,948 10,967 17.14%
480 Leeds North West Labour 27,304 Conservative 14,564 12,740 17.15%
481 Birmingham Erdington Labour 25,930 Conservative 11,631 14,299 17.17%
482 Sussex Weald Conservative 24,626 Labour 12,500 12,126 17.21%
483 East Surrey Conservative 22,401 Labour 10,689 11,712 17.29%
484 Plymouth Sutton and Devonport Labour 26,670 Conservative 13,772 12,898 17.34%
485 South Shields Labour 20,030 Reform/Brexit 7,877 12,153 17.44%
486 Brighton Pavilion Green 28,142 Labour 15,359 12,783 17.51%
487 Richmond and Northallerton Conservative 25,520 Labour 12,641 12,879 17.60%
488 Sevenoaks Conservative 24,925 Labour 11,744 13,181 17.72%
489 Braintree Conservative 27,488 Labour 13,918 13,570 17.79%
490 Coventry East Labour 24,933 Conservative 11,358 13,575 17.85%
491 Kingston and Surbiton Liberal Democrat 26,365 Conservative 13,130 13,235 17.89%
492 Leicester East Labour 25,585 Conservative 12,429 13,156 17.90%
493 Portsmouth South Labour 26,220 Conservative 12,803 13,417 18.09%
494 Caerphilly Labour 21,369 Conservative 8,421 12,948 18.23%
495 South West Norfolk Conservative 25,939 Labour 12,782 13,157 18.23%
496 Richmond Park Liberal Democrat 35,033 Conservative 20,304 14,729 18.27%
497 Witham Conservative 27,454 Labour 13,794 13,660 18.29%
498 Tonbridge Conservative 26,563 Labour 12,600 13,963 18.43%
499 Tynemouth Labour 28,756 Conservative 14,749 14,007 18.50%
500 Birmingham Edgbaston Labour 23,275 Conservative 10,530 12,745 18.52%
501 Edinburgh South Labour 20,323 SNP 9,905 10,418 18.53%
502 Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Conservative 26,705 Labour 13,362 13,343 18.55%
503 Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney Labour 23,502 Reform/Brexit 9,071 14,431 18.59%
504 Feltham and Heston Labour 24,693 Conservative 10,824 13,869 18.60%
505 Jarrow and Gateshead East Labour 21,064 Conservative 8,239 12,825 18.65%
506 Erith and Thamesmead Labour 27,107 Conservative 12,209 14,898 19.04%
507 Battersea Labour 26,757 Conservative 13,257 13,500 19.13%
508 New Forest East Conservative 25,769 Labour 11,663 14,106 19.18%
509 Putney Labour 26,537 Conservative 13,206 13,331 19.19%
510 Droitwich and Evesham Conservative 28,273 Labour 13,789 14,484 19.28%
511 Gateshead Central and Whickham Labour 23,046 Conservative 9,768 13,278 19.30%
512 Luton South and South Bedfordshire Labour 28,368 Conservative 11,818 16,550 19.40%
513 Pontypridd Labour 23,455 Conservative 8,674 14,781 19.57%
514 Belfast West Sinn Fein 20,193 DUP 7,113 13,080 19.57%
515 Neath and Swansea East Labour 24,785 Conservative 9,220 15,565 19.59%
516 Brentford and Isleworth Labour 24,431 Conservative 10,594 13,837 19.76%
517 Rochdale Labour 22,262 Conservative 8,841 13,421 19.78%
518 Fareham and Waterlooville Conservative 26,926 Labour 12,194 14,732 20.00%
519 Wirral West Labour 30,888 Conservative 15,980 14,908 20.00%
520 Clacton Conservative 27,278 Labour 11,860 15,418 20.06%
521 Runcorn and Helsby Labour 24,515 Conservative 11,436 13,079 20.16%
522 North Herefordshire Conservative 25,205 Labour 10,913 14,292 20.27%
523 Harrow West Labour 27,919 Conservative 12,517 15,402 20.28%
524 Bristol North West Labour 28,835 Conservative 14,029 14,806 20.29%
525 Bermondsey and Old Southwark Labour 26,676 Liberal Democrat 11,195 15,481 20.34%
526 Stockport Labour 24,975 Conservative 9,710 15,265 20.39%
527 Bath Liberal Democrat 27,183 Conservative 12,411 14,772 20.44%
528 North West Essex Conservative 27,314 Labour 11,679 15,635 20.46%
529 Preston Labour 25,085 Conservative 10,029 15,056 20.48%
530 Chester North and Neston Labour 32,335 Conservative 15,354 16,981 20.52%
531 North Dorset Conservative 26,606 Liberal Democrat 11,583 15,023 20.55%
532 New Forest West Conservative 25,177 Labour 10,583 14,594 20.59%
533 Nottingham South Labour 25,407 Conservative 9,507 15,900 20.71%
534 Hayes and Harlington Labour 27,452 Conservative 11,594 15,858 20.72%
535 Brent West Labour 28,220 Conservative 11,620 16,600 20.75%
536 Louth and Horncastle Conservative 29,520 Labour 13,513 16,007 20.77%
537 Bristol South Labour 27,402 Conservative 11,318 16,084 20.89%
538 Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven Labour 26,808 Conservative 11,636 15,172 21.02%
539 Wythenshawe and Sale East Labour 25,255 Conservative 9,152 16,103 21.10%
540 North East Cambridgeshire Conservative 27,436 Labour 11,630 15,806 21.24%
541 Enfield North Labour 29,935 Conservative 13,002 16,933 21.26%
542 Swansea West Labour 22,671 Conservative 8,040 14,631 21.34%
543 Ilford North Labour 26,055 Conservative 11,656 14,399 21.36%
544 West Lancashire Labour 29,150 Conservative 13,166 15,984 22.06%
545 Luton North Labour 20,630 Conservative 8,054 12,576 22.19%
546 Exeter Labour 29,174 Conservative 12,389 16,785 22.21%
547 Cardiff North Labour 31,189 Conservative 14,108 17,081 22.22%
548 Christchurch Conservative 26,846 Labour 10,771 16,075 22.36%
549 Hampstead and Highgate Labour 23,578 Liberal Democrat 8,893 14,685 22.43%
550 Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton Labour 23,141 Conservative 8,348 14,793 22.45%
551 Birmingham Selly Oak Labour 30,821 Conservative 11,132 19,689 22.56%
552 Twickenham Liberal Democrat 33,669 Conservative 15,342 18,327 22.65%
553 Blackley and Middleton South Labour 19,281 Conservative 6,011 13,270 22.67%
554 Newcastle upon Tyne North Labour 25,951 Conservative 9,663 16,288 22.68%
555 Ellesmere Port and Bromborough Labour 27,826 Conservative 12,226 15,600 22.72%
556 Sheffield Heeley Labour 24,778 Conservative 8,531 16,247 22.73%
557 Brentwood and Ongar Conservative 28,838 Labour 11,617 17,221 22.93%
558 Foyle SDLP 25,566 Sinn Fein 9,293 16,273 23.01%
559 Rayleigh and Wickford Conservative 30,252 Labour 12,947 17,305 23.20%
560 Slough Labour 28,977 Conservative 10,064 18,913 23.29%
561 Aberafan Maesteg Labour 21,733 Conservative 6,574 15,159 23.30%
562 Birmingham Yardley Labour 23,418 Conservative 7,484 15,934 23.30%
563 St Helens North Labour 26,706 Conservative 8,653 18,053 23.42%
564 Cardiff West Labour 27,036 Conservative 9,474 17,562 23.49%
565 Rhondda and Ogmore Labour 21,475 Reform/Brexit 5,608 15,867 23.66%
566 Smethwick Labour 23,828 Conservative 8,077 15,751 23.73%
567 Castle Point Conservative 30,454 Labour 12,854 17,600 23.74%
568 Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare Labour 23,615 Conservative 6,078 17,537 23.94%
569 Boston and Skegness Conservative 29,616 Labour 11,658 17,958 23.97%
570 Norwich South Labour 29,101 Conservative 10,203 18,898 24.41%
571 Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough Labour 25,787 Conservative 7,090 18,697 24.54%
572 Barking Labour 26,789 Conservative 8,291 18,498 24.57%
573 Leeds Central and Headingley Labour 28,223 Conservative 8,476 19,747 24.94%
574 Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West Labour 29,171 Conservative 9,656 19,515 24.98%
575 Leeds South Labour 20,949 Conservative 5,449 15,500 25.06%
576 Cardiff South and Penarth Labour 33,712 Conservative 11,123 22,589 25.20%
577 Maldon Conservative 29,918 Labour 10,945 18,973 25.31%
578 Ealing North Labour 29,305 Conservative 10,649 18,656 25.36%
579 York Central Labour 28,720 Conservative 9,533 19,187 25.44%
580 Clapham and Brixton Hill Labour 30,576 Liberal Democrat 9,770 20,806 25.49%
581 South Holland and The Deepings Conservative 30,330 Labour 10,778 19,552 25.74%
582 Queen's Park and Maida Vale Labour 30,342 Conservative 9,034 21,308 25.83%
583 Salford Labour 25,913 Conservative 7,164 18,749 25.92%
584 Ealing Central and Acton Labour 26,386 Conservative 8,660 17,726 26.67%
585 Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend Labour 29,286 Conservative 9,029 20,257 26.93%
586 Tooting Labour 34,335 Conservative 12,210 22,125 27.04%
587 Bristol Central Labour 24,662 Green 10,428 14,234 27.10%
588 Edmonton and Winchmore Hill Labour 30,789 Conservative 9,935 20,854 27.26%
589 Croydon West Labour 31,354 Conservative 9,712 21,642 27.31%
590 Southgate and Wood Green Labour 31,049 Conservative 10,002 21,047 27.58%
591 Greenwich and Woolwich Labour 24,480 Conservative 6,806 17,674 27.81%
592 Sefton Central Labour 30,915 Conservative 10,591 20,324 27.96%
593 Hammersmith and Chiswick Labour 34,448 Conservative 10,441 24,007 27.96%
594 Brent East Labour 22,861 Conservative 5,898 16,963 27.99%
595 Islington South and Finsbury Labour 30,250 Liberal Democrat 8,734 21,516 28.01%
596 Hornsey and Friern Barnet Labour 24,866 Liberal Democrat 8,423 16,443 28.11%
597 Vauxhall and Camberwell Green Labour 27,812 Liberal Democrat 7,497 20,315 28.12%
598 Oxford East Labour 20,508 Conservative 4,857 15,651 28.20%
599 Birmingham Perry Barr Labour 22,554 Conservative 5,932 16,622 28.34%
600 Nottingham East Labour 33,935 Conservative 8,197 25,738 29.01%
601 Mitcham and Morden Labour 29,478 Conservative 8,262 21,216 29.18%
602 Cardiff East Labour 22,124 Conservative 5,672 16,452 29.20%
603 Birkenhead Labour 28,897 Other 7,284 21,613 29.24%
604 St Helens South and Whiston Labour 26,307 Conservative 5,973 20,334 29.47%
605 Streatham and Croydon North Labour 30,911 Liberal Democrat 7,659 23,252 29.60%
606 Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North Labour 30,425 Conservative 7,544 22,881 29.60%
607 Ealing Southall Labour 33,347 Conservative 8,768 24,579 29.85%
608 Bradford East Labour 25,811 Conservative 5,861 19,950 29.96%
609 Hove and Portslade Labour 34,268 Conservative 10,851 23,417 30.01%
610 Bristol East Labour 38,778 Green 11,432 27,346 30.41%
611 Stretford and Urmston Labour 31,358 Conservative 9,303 22,055 30.47%
612 Sheffield Central Labour 26,530 Green 4,727 21,803 30.77%
613 Manchester Central Labour 33,856 Conservative 6,128 27,728 30.84%
614 Leeds North East Labour 30,005 Conservative 7,985 22,020 31.22%
615 Blackburn Labour 29,129 Conservative 7,088 22,041 31.45%
616 Gorton and Denton Labour 30,592 Conservative 5,858 24,734 31.75%
617 Lewisham East Labour 24,721 Conservative 5,495 19,226 31.94%
618 Ilford South Labour 31,272 Conservative 6,784 24,488 32.17%
619 Dulwich and West Norwood Labour 32,260 Green 8,383 23,877 32.64%
620 Leicester South Labour 34,017 Conservative 7,710 26,307 33.47%
621 Wallasey Labour 32,675 Conservative 8,836 23,839 33.47%
622 Poplar and Limehouse Labour 33,423 Liberal Democrat 6,666 26,757 33.90%
623 Widnes and Halewood Labour 27,987 Conservative 5,707 22,280 34.32%
624 Holborn and St Pancras Labour 35,357 Liberal Democrat 6,318 29,039 34.92%
625 Leyton and Wanstead Labour 39,137 Conservative 8,249 30,888 35.60%
626 Hackney North and Stoke Newington Labour 35,222 Green 5,769 29,453 35.64%
627 Islington North Labour 34,257 Liberal Democrat 7,287 26,970 35.88%
628 Lewisham West and East Dulwich Labour 29,500 Conservative 5,248 24,252 36.57%
629 Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley Labour 32,595 Conservative 4,846 27,749 36.82%
630 Peckham Labour 28,537 Liberal Democrat 4,010 24,527 37.27%
631 Manchester Withington Labour 35,153 Liberal Democrat 6,578 28,575 37.54%
632 West Ham and Beckton Labour 31,323 Conservative 4,584 26,739 37.70%
633 Manchester Rusholme Labour 21,049 Conservative 2,162 18,887 37.85%
634 Stratford and Bow Labour 27,499 Conservative 3,823 23,676 38.11%
635 Hackney South and Shoreditch Labour 36,333 Green 4,431 31,902 38.28%
636 Birmingham Ladywood Labour 40,712 Conservative 4,354 36,358 38.81%
637 East Ham Labour 33,545 Conservative 4,622 28,923 39.70%
638 Lewisham North Labour 40,164 Liberal Democrat 5,442 34,722 40.09%
639 Tottenham Labour 34,349 Green 3,631 30,718 40.70%
640 Bradford West Labour 33,221 Conservative 4,384 28,837 40.79%
641 Bethnal Green and Stepney Labour 39,309 Liberal Democrat 4,921 34,388 42.19%
642 Chorley Other 34,397 Green 3,414 30,983 42.39%
643 Walthamstow Labour 31,138 Conservative 4,223 26,915 43.35%
644 Liverpool Garston Labour 38,445 Reform/Brexit 4,534 33,911 43.67%
645 Knowsley Labour 39,832 Reform/Brexit 4,880 34,952 43.71%
646 Liverpool Wavertree Labour 24,857 Reform/Brexit 2,440 22,417 44.15%
647 Liverpool West Derby Labour 32,533 Reform/Brexit 3,314 29,219 44.97%
648 Bootle Labour 37,782 Reform/Brexit 4,111 33,671 45.00%
649 Liverpool Riverside Labour 45,773 Green 4,631 41,142 45.12%
650 Liverpool Walton Labour 33,273 Conservative 3,037 30,236 46.70%

See also: Electoral Analysis

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